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Session Three: Market economy vs. planned economy: how China is transforming Questions • What is market economy? What is centrally planned economy? • Is market economy better than centrally planned economy? Why? • How to transit from a centrally planned economy to a market economy? • How China has done and is still doing? Market economy vs. planned economy: different reforms • Market economy vs. planned economy • Ways and components of economic reforms • Radical reforms in Russia • Gradual reforms in China Market economy vs. planned economy • How is an economy organized to produce goods and services? There are three key issues: • Who owns the means of production? • Who makes decisions? • How are the prices determined? Market vs. planned economy • Market economy (private enterprise economy/ free market economy/capitalism): – Under this economic system, the means of production are privately held by individuals and firms. Economic decision-making is highly decentralized, with resources being allocated through a large number of goods and services markets. The market synchronizes the decisions of buyers and sellers and, by establishing an equilibrium price, determines how much of a good will be produced and sold. Market vs. planned economy • Centrally planned economy (command economy/collectivism): – Under this economic system, economic decisionmaking is centralized in the hands of the state with collective ownership of the means of production (except labor). It is the state that decides what goods and services are to be produced in accordance with its centralized national plan. Resources are allocated between producing units, and final outputs between customers by the use of physical quotas. Market vs. planned economy • Mixed economy: – Under this economic system, some goods and services are supplied by private enterprise and others, typically, basic infrastructure goods and services such as electricity, postal services and water supply, are provided by the state. Market vs. planned economy • Arguments for market economy: – Advocates of free enterprise argue that a decentralized, market-based system leads to a more efficient allocation of productive resources in line with the demands of buyers and that in pursuit of individual self-interest (the profit motive) it will produce economic results (lower costs and prices, innovative new products) that are beneficial to society as a whole. Market vs. planned economy • Arguments against market economy: – Critics argue that market-based economies may not fully respond to the demands of buyers where supply is in the hands of powerful suppliers (monopoly), that it cannot ensure the provision of collective products for which no market exists, that it can generate pollution and other externalities and that it leads to gross inequalities in income distribution. Market vs. planned economy • Arguments for centrally planned economy: – The main argument is that the collective ownership of the means of production “by the people for the people” is preferable to a situation in which the ownership of the means of production is in the hands of the “capitalist class” who are able to exploit their elite position to the detriment of the populace at large. State control of industry enables the economy as a whole to be organized in accordance with some central plan, which by interlocking and synchronizing the input-output requirements of industry is able to secure an efficient allocation of productive resources. Market vs. planned economy • Arguments against centrally planned economy: – Critics argue that in practice they tend to be “captured and corrupted” by powerful state officials, and that their top-heavy bureaucratic structures result in a highly inefficient organization of production and insensitivity to what customers actually want. Market vs. planned economy • General phenomenon in market economy: surplus • General phenomenon in centrally planned economy: shortage • Both economies cannot always reach equilibrium! Market vs. planned economy • After the WWII, almost all the developing countries (not to say socialist countries like China) undertook national planning, influenced theoretically by structuralist and neo-Marxist thinking, and practically by the success of the former Soviet Union. • Even many developed countries adopted national planning, becoming so-called mixed economies. Market vs. planned economy • Reasons for government intervention and planning: market is supposed to allocate resources efficiently, however, there are market failures. • In the 1950s, 60s and 70s, government intervention and planning allocation were extensive in developing countries. However, since the 1980s, there is a tendency to turn back to rely more on market forces. Market vs. planned economy • The reality is that market economy (or somewhat mixed economy) is better than centrally planned economy, so by 1990s, almost all the centrally planned economies have transformed or are transforming to market economies. Ways and components of economic reforms (1) Different ways of reforms • Gradual vs. radical reforms • Partial vs. overall reforms • Incremental vs. destructive reforms Ways and components of economic reforms (2) The components of reforms • Macroeconomic stabilization (prerequisites): Reducing inflation and stabilizing exchange rate, etc. • Microeconomic liberalization (price mechanism): Eliminating price controls, reducing market restrictions, removing trade barriers, establishing currency convertibility, etc. Ways and components of economic reforms • Institutional reform (ownership): privatization, property rights and legal system, Tax system and government administration, financial system, social safety net, etc. Radical (big bang) reform: Russia (1) Gorbachev’s reform • Greater openness, political democratization, economic reform • Reform measures: enacting new laws, reducing restrictions on private enterprises, reducing controls on prices, wage and employment, increasing government expenditure • Results: economic growth slowed down; government deficit increased; wage increased (implicit inflation); foreign debt increased Radical (big bang) reform: Russia (2) Yeltsin’s reform: “big-bang” reform • Macroeconomic stabilization: reducing expenditure on subsidies, arms procurement, etc.; tax reform to increase revenue; trade liberalization • Price liberalization: liberalizing price controls and wage control • Enterprise reform: privatization Radical (big bang) reform: Russia • Results: – Weakened political control; – Macroeconomic deterioration; – Limited success in privatization; – Social unrest. Radical (big bang) reform: Russia (3) Evaluation of the reform: failure or success? • Problems in the reform – Wrong order of reform? – Lack of political support? – Limited Western financial support – Lack of food – No good way of privatization – No sound market environment – No social safety net – No entrepreneurs Radical (big bang) reform: Russia • The reasons for fast development since the end of 1990 – Market economic system has been established – Higher level of economic development – Higher education level – Rich resources – Relatively good infrastructure, etc. Gradual reform: China (1) Compare China with Russia at the starting point of reform • Much backward • More population • Lack of resources • Relatively shorter period of planning economy, but long history of central control • Different cultural tradition Gradual reform: China (2) The process of China’s reform • Rural reform: household contract responsibility system • Urban reform: price reform (dual-track) and enterprise reform • Other reforms: tax reform, financial reform, trade reform, social safety net, etc. Gradual reform: China (3) The achievements • Rapid economic growth • Upgrade of industries • Fast development of foreign trade • Improvement of people’s living standard • Enhancement of China’s international status Gradual reform: China (4) Problems facing China • Business environment • Uneven development and Income distribution • Rural problems • Social problems: housing, education, social safety net etc. • Population problems • Environmental problems • Corruption