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Chapter 8: Confidence Interval Lab III– Heights of Women Class Time: ________________ Names _____________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ _______________________________________ ALL STUDENT WORK MUST BE TYPED. FOLLOW DIRECTIONS ON LAB GRADING OUTLINE. Student Learning Outcomes: The student will calculate a 90% confidence interval using the given data. The student will examine the relationship between the confidence level and the percent of constructed intervals that contain the population average. Given: TABLE I: Heights of the population of 100 Women (in Inches) # Height # Height # Height # Height 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 59.4 66.5 63.8 65.5 61.8 66.1 61.3 62.4 61.5 58.8 71.6 61.7 62.9 61.9 60.6 66.8 59.2 63.5 64.3 64.9 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 69.3 55.2 63.0 69.6 69.8 60.6 64.1 60.9 62.9 65.7 65.0 67.5 63.9 58.7 60.0 65.6 59.3 63.3 60.6 62.5 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 62.9 67.2 68.7 63.4 64.9 63.8 64.9 66.3 63.8 70.9 62.9 66.0 65.0 59.2 65.5 66.1 58.5 60.0 66.4 67.5 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 63.1 60.5 64.1 61.4 62.3 64.9 63.4 58.1 61.2 63.2 62.2 64.7 61.1 62.0 65.5 66.9 69.2 62.5 60.4 56.6 # 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 Height 58.7 65.4 65.3 63.5 64.7 57.9 65.9 62.4 58.7 67.7 64.7 60.2 64.6 61.4 58.8 69.8 62.2 59.1 66.7 62.5 1. Listed above are the heights of 100 women. Use a random number generator to randomly select 10 data values. Neatly list both your random numbers and corresponding women’s heights. Group Data: Random Selection of 10 Women’s Heights Random Number Woman’s Height 2. Provide the correct symbols for the sample mean and sample standard deviation for your sample of 10 women’s heights. Calculate the values for the sample mean and sample standard deviation each to one decimal point. Sample mean: Symbol: ____________________ = Value: ________________________________ Sample standard deviation: Symbol: ________________ = Value: __________________________ 3. Assume that the population standard deviation is known to be 3.3 inches. With this information, construct a 90% confidence interval with values to one decimal point for your sample of 10 women’s heights. List the next calculator instruction that you used after: STAT – TESTS - _______________________ Write the confidence interval (to one decimal point) you obtained: ___________________________ 4. Write the symbol for actual population mean and calculate its value to one decimal point for the population of 100 women’s heights listed in TABLE I. Population mean: Symbol: ____________________ = Value: ______________________________ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Now, answer the following questions using results shown in the table below from a previous class. These confidence intervals were calculated in the same way you calculated your confidence interval. TABLE II 90% Confidence Intervals For Heights of Women (inches) Constructed By A Previous Class ( 61.2 , 64.6 ) ( 61.6 , 65.0 ) ( 61.1 , 64.6 ) ( 61.4 , 64.9 ) ( 59.1 , 62.6 ) ( 63.3 , 66.8 ) ( 63.0 , 66.4 ) ( 60.5 , 63.9 ) ( 62.2 , 65.6 ) ( 63.9 , 66.1 ) ( 60.3 , 63.7 ) ( 56.9 , 60.3 ) ( 61.6 , 64.6 ) ( 65.5 , 69.0 ) ( 62.7 , 66.2 ) ( 61.2 , 64.7 ) ( 63.3 , 64.4 ) ( 62.1 , 64.6 ) ( 61.0 , 64.3 ) ( 61.7 , 65.1 ) ( 61.6 , 65.0 ) ( 60.5 , 63.9 ) Discussion Questions (Using TABLE II) 1. Define the random variable, X : 2. Define the random variable, X : 3. Using Table II, the class list of confidence intervals, highlight in yellow, the confidence intervals that actually contain the true population mean μ. How many intervals did you highlight? Answer: ______________________________ 4. Determine the percent of confidence intervals from the class list that contain the mean μ. Show your work and estimate your answer to one decimal point. Work Shown: Answer: ____________ 5. Is the percent of confidence intervals that contain the population mean μ close to 90%? Check one of the following answers: Very close ______________ Somewhat close ______________ Not very close _______________ 6. Suppose we had generated 100 confidence intervals. What do you think would happen to the percent of confidence intervals that contained the population mean compared to your answer to #4? Discuss both the direction and value of percent. Why? (Explain clearly and completely!!!) 7. When we construct a 90% confidence interval, we say that we are 90% confident that the true population mean lies within the confidence interval. Using complete sentences, explain what we mean by this phrase clearly and completely. 8. Some students think that a 90% confidence interval contains 90% of the original data. a) Go back to TABLE I and highlight in yellow each of the 100 women’s heights that lie within the confidence interval that you generated. Count the number of heights that you highlighted. Number of 100 women’s heights that lie within YOUR confidence interval ____________________ b) What percent of the 100 women's heights, to one decimal place, is this? __________________ c) Is this percent close to 90%? Check off your answer. Very close ___________ Somewhat close ____________ Not very close ____________ 9. The symbol for the random variable used as the basis to create your confidence interval is: _______ 10. Explain clearly and completely why it does not make sense to count original data values that lie in a confidence interval. Think about the definition of the random variable that is being used in the problem? This is the heart of this lab project. Be thoughtful in your response! Include the symbol for and a discussion about the random variable being used for this problem. 11. Suppose you obtained the heights of 10 women and calculated a confidence interval from this information. Without knowing the population mean μ, would you have any way of knowing for certain if your interval actually contained the value of μ? Why or why not? Explain your answer clearly and completely.