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Overview of categorical by continuous interactions: Part I: Concepts, definitions, and shapes Jane E. Miller, PhD The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. What is an interaction? • The association between one independent variable (X1) and the dependent variable (Y) differs depending on the value of a second independent variable (X2). • Can be thought of as an exception to a general pattern: – X1 is associated with Y in one way when X2 = 1, but in a different way when X2 = 2. • X1 is sometimes termed the “focal predictor” • X2 is referred to as the “modifier” or “modifying variable.” The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Statistical interactions defined • When X1 and X2 not only potentially have separate effects on Y, but also have a joint effect that is different from the simple sum of their respective individual effects. – The association between X1and Y is conditional on X2. – The specific combinations of values of X1 and X2 determine the value of Y. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Three general shapes of interaction patterns 1. Size: The effect of X1 on Y is larger for some values of X2 than for others; 2. Direction: the effect of X1 on Y is positive for some values of X2 but negative for other values of X2; 3. The effect of X1 on Y is non-zero (either positive or negative) for some values of X2 but is not statistically significantly different from zero for other values of X2. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Synonyms for “interaction” • Terminology for interactions varies by discipline. • Common synonyms include: – Effects modification – Moderating effect – Modifying effect – Joint effect – Contingency effect – Conditioning effect – Heterogeneity of effects The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Specifying an interaction model • Multivariate regression specifications to test for interactions include a combination of “main effects terms” and “interaction terms.” The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Main-effects-only specification • A main-effects-only model implies that controlling for other covariates (Xi), – the effect of X1 on Y is the same for all values of X2, – and the effect of X2 is the same for all values of X1. • Its specification can be written: Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2, where X1 is the main effect term for the first independent variable (IV) X2 is the main effect term for a second IV The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Example: Main-effects-only model • If Y is birth weight in grams • X1 is family income in dollars • X2 is a dummy variable for black race – coded 1 for black infants – 0 for white infants, the reference category • Birth weight = β0 + β1Income + β2Black implies that the slope of the income/birth weight curve is the same for black as for white infants – the income/birth weight (X1/Y) association is not modified by race The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Birth weight (grams) Main effects of race and income, but no interaction with income Income/birth weight curves for blacks and whites have same slope (their curves are parallel) But different intercepts White Black Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Interaction specification • A model with interactions implies that controlling for other covariates, – the effect of X1 on Y is different for different values of X2. Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X1 _ X2, where X1 is the main effect term for the focal IV in the interaction, X2 is the main effect term for the modifying IV, X1 _X2 is the interaction term between the focal and modifying IVs. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Interaction term • The value of the interaction term variable is defined as the product of the two component variables: X1_ X2 = X1 × X2 • When naming an interaction term variable, I often use an “_” to connect the names of the two component variables. – E.g., age_income would be the interaction between the two variables “age” and “income.” • E.g., for case #1, if – age (X1) = 27, – income (X2) =$10,000, – interaction term age_income = 27 × 10,000 = 27,000 The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Contingency of coefficients in an interaction model Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X1 _ X2, • Inclusion of the interaction term X1_ X2 means that the βis on the main effects terms X1 and X2 no longer apply to all values of X1 and X2. – The main effects and interactions βis for X1 and X2 are contingent upon one another and cannot be considered separately. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Implications for interpreting main effects and interaction coefficients Y = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X1_X2 • In the interaction model: – β1 estimates the effect of X1 on Y when X2 = 0, – β2 estimates the effect of X2 on Y when X1 = 0, – β3 must also be considered in order to calculate the shape of the overall pattern among X1, X2, and Y. • E.g., when X1 and X2 take on other values. • See podcast on calculating the shape of an interaction pattern. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Example: Interaction model BW = β1Income + β2Black + β3Income_black, • If β3 is statistically significantly different from zero, the slope of the income/birth weight curve is different for black than for white infants. • β1 estimates the association between income and birth weight among whites (e.g., when Black = 0) • β2 estimates the difference in birth weight for blacks compared to whites at income = 0. • β3 estimates how predicted birth weight deviates from the value implied by β1 and β2 alone, for different combinations of race and income. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Birth weight (grams) Main effects of race and income, and interaction of race with income Birth weight/income curves for blacks and whites have Different slopes and Different intercepts White Black Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Possible patterns: Interaction between one categorical and one continuous independent variable • Example: Race and income as predictors of birth weight: – Birth weight (BW) in grams is the dependent variable; – The focal independent variable, annual family income, is a continuous variable in $; – The modifier, race, is a nominal independent variable. • An interaction means that the association between income and birth weight differs by race. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Income main effect, but no race main effect or interaction with income BW (g.) No racial difference in income/birth weight relation: slope and intercept same for blacks and whites. Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Income and race main effects, but no interaction BW (g.) Income/birth weight curves for blacks and whites have same slope (their curves are parallel) But different intercepts White Black Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. BW (g.) Income main effect and interaction with race, but no race main effect Income/birth weight curves for blacks and whites have different slopes same intercept White Black Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Income and race main effects and interaction: Divergent curves Income/birth weight curves for blacks and whites have Different slopes and different intercepts BW (g.) White Black Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Income and race main effects and interaction: Convergent curves BW (g.) Income/birth weight curves for blacks and whites have different slopes and different intercepts White Black Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. BW (g.) Income and race main effects and interaction: Disordinal curves Income/birth weight curves for blacks and whites have different slopes (in this case, opposite-signed slopes) and different intercepts Disordinal curves are those that cross in the observed range. White Black Income ($) The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Possible patterns among income, race, and birth weight BW BW Income BW Income Income main effect White Black Income Income & race main effects, and interaction: converging Income & race main effects BW BW BW Income Income & race main effects, and interaction: diverging from same intercept Income Income & race main effects, and interaction: diverging from different intercepts Income Income & race main effects, and interaction: disordinal The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Continue on to Part II • Information on – Creating variables – Specifying models – Calculating overall shape of an interaction pattern from regression coefficients For a categorical by continuous interaction The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Suggested resources • Chapter 16, Miller, J. E. 2013. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. • Chapters 8 and 9 of Cohen et al. 2003. Applied Multiple Regression/Correlation Analysis for the Behavioral Sciences, 3rd Edition. Florence, KY: Routledge. The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Suggested exercises • Study guide to The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. – Problem set for chapter 16 – Suggested course extensions for chapter 16 The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition. Contact information Jane E. Miller, PhD [email protected] Online materials available at http://press.uchicago.edu/books/miller/multivariate/index.html The Chicago Guide to Writing about Multivariate Analysis, 2nd Edition.