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Chapter 5: Mercantilism Instead, the bulk of the earlier literature was devoted to special phases or aspects of the subject. The writing was usually stimulated by the events of the day, and it was often designed to assist the public authorities in policy making or to influence them by special pleading. Rather, as a modern observer ha put it, every one was his own economist. The writers of the period include public officials, journalists, scientists, philosophers-- and especially businessmen. Child, an outstanding figure in economic discussion, was the wealthiest Englishman in the seventeenth century. Both he and Mun, another outstanding writer on economic questions, were closely associated and had leading positions with the east India company. THE MAN OF THE RENAISSANCE Versatility rather than specialization was the hallmark of the ideal of the renaissance, the “universal man” who was to develop his potentialities to the utmost and in all possible directions. This ideal was closely approximated by such great figures as Lorence de’ Medici, the merchant prince and ruler of Florence who was also reputable scholar and poet, and Leonardo da’ Vinci, the painter, sculptor, architect, musician, engineer and scientist. ECONOMIC THOUGHT OF THE PERIOD That so many businessmen attained stature as economic thinker has its effects on the quality of economic thought. By the standards of their own time as well as by our own these men are well educated, trained in the humanities, familiar with several languages- not excluding Latin and Greek-and able to draw on suitable authorities for quotations to support their arguments. In general, the thought of the period was eminently practical and policy oriented, largely based on what was considered observation of reality but also on a few general principles. On the empirical side it often failed because of the tendency to interpret as cause and effect relationships mere sequences of events that followed each other in time. Such lapses into the fallacies of “non sequitur” or “post hoc Ergo propter hoc” were common when writers attempted to make the bare facts speak. The writers of the period were interested in a few special economic problems and they did not have on hand, nor did they try to construct, an integrated model of the economy showing the relationship between relevant variables such as only the pursuit of systematic knowledge can produce. As they were usually concerned with a segment of the economy, heir thought lacked this integration and was replete with contradictions. NATIONAL CHARACTERISTICS The observations made thus far apply especially to England, when the connection between economic thought and business was especially close. However with its shortcomings, English economic thought was oar superior than that of other countries. In the one exhaustive study of Dutch economic thought of the period, a study now over a hundreds years old, the author commented on this discrepancy between the thought and the accomplishments of the Dutch and concluded that the more an economy prospers the less is written about it. In Spain, the decay of the economy failed to stimulate notable economic thought, whereas in prosperous countries such as Italy and France contribution of significance was made. SPECIAL PLEADING The situation in England, where the businessmen-economist was so prominent, calls for come further comment. Not seldom these men dealt in their writings with matters involving their own private interests, which in turn bound to be affected by the policies advocated by them. Unlike the high official of General Motors who claimed that what is good for General Motors is good also for United States, these men were aware of the possibility of conflict between their own interests and those of society. MERCANTILISM The first attempt to systematize the thought of the writers here considered, those of the seventeenth and the first half of eighteenth century, was made in 1776 by Adam smith in book IV of the Wealth of Nations, which discusses the “Systems of Political Economy”. By far the larger part of book IV, more than 200 pages, contains a review of what Smith calls “the commercial or mercantile system.” Smith’s intent was principally critical. He held up the weaknesses of the mercantile system and exposed them in the strong light of his own system of economic freedom. To him the mercantile system was a fraud perpetrated by the business class on the public: “The interested sophistry of merchants and manufacturers confounded the common sense of mankind.” What Smith called the mercantile system later became known as mercantilism. In the present context it is principally the ideas of the mercantilists that call for discussion. These developed against the background of rivalry and warfare among the great powers of Europe, which were at peace in only a single year during the period from 1600 to 1667. England, once a backwater, had successfully challenged the Spanish Armada in 1588. In seventeenth century, she took on the Dutch, then the strongest nation of Europe, and early in the eighteenth she put an end to the expansion of France, then the most powerful military country of Europe. The rise of mercantilist thought thus parallels the rise of England and the British Empire as a world power. ECONOMIC RIVALRIES The Dutch, located at the crossroads of east-west and north-south trade, had made the most of the opportunities offered by geographic location and had developed a profitable carrying trade side by side with their seasonal fisheries. Both activities provided a reserve of naval strength and stimulated host auxiliary industries. The Dutch fisheries, which had been a minor enterprise in medieval times, expended greatly after the early fifteenth century. The herring became both a source and a symbol of Dutch commercial strength and of Dutch-English commercial rivalries, which a common religious preference did little to restrain. In the protracted conflicts that the troubling of the English waters by Dutch brought about, there was born an economic literature dealing with matter of international trade and finance as well as the modern law of nations, which takes its starting point from the work of Hugo Grotius, the Dutch jurist, who in his Mare Liberum of 1609 asserted that the sea was free to all, provoking the English reply from John Selden in his Mare Clausum of 1635. It was however, not only international rivalry that formed background of mercantilist controversies but also domestic conflicts of interest. Tracts and pamphlets were used as weapons by the spokesmen of the great chartered companies which were active in foreign trade and colonization. Of these, there were two kinds, the regulated company, whose members traded on their own, and the joint stock company whose operations resembled those of the modern corporation. Both needed a charter and had to cultivate good relations with the king, high officials and the public. They were often involved in bitter hostilities and jealousies among themselves. Thus the society of Merchant Adventures, the oldest and most widely known of the regulated companies founded in 1359, might denounce the East India Company, the greatest of all of them, chartered in 1600, and both might find fault with “free traders” or interlopers who carried an independent activities. On occasion, however, regulated companies, joint stock companies and interlopers were united in their complaints about merchant bankers and financers. If they did not deplore high rates of interest, they accused them of manipulating foreign exchange rates. Thus the usury controversy did not die down but was transformed from a moral to an economic issue. THE BALANCE OF TRADE The central doctrine in mercantilist thought is that of the “balance of trade”, a phrase probably derived from accounting precedents, which seems to have come into usage in 1610s. As enunciated by Francis Bacon in 1616, the Doctrine states: “Let the foundation of profitable trade be thus laid that the exportation of home commodities be more in value than importation of foreign, so we shall be sure that the stocks of the Kingdom shall increase, for the balance of trade must be returned in money of bullion. By 1600 little was left of these regulations except the prohibition of the export of coin or bullion. At least one extremist, the diplomat and customs official Thomas Milles, wanted to restore the earlier system with its “staple”, which restricted the export trade to certain companies and towns, its “hosting”, which meant the supervision of foreign merchants by local “hosts,” its statutes of employment,” which compelled the foreign sellers to employ the proceeds from an import on the purchase of English merchandise, its Royal Exchequer, which was to be transformed into the instrument of exchange control and other ancient institutions which had long fallen into disuse. Milles was so much out of step with the time that his pamphlets had little influence, but as they contained attacks against the merchant adventurers, John Wheeler, the secretary of the society, replied to these in his Treaties of Commerce of 1601. This work was an apology for what would now be called orderly competition as carried on by the society’s thirty five hundred members. This state of affairs is much preferable to “the straggling and single merchant’s trade,” but it must not be confused with monopoly-of which the society has been accused. According to Wheeler, “monopoly is when one man alone buys up all that is to be got of one kind of merchandise, to the end that he alone may sell at hiss own lust and pleasure.” Milles found much fault with the regulated companies, as he did with the bankers. “Merchandise Exchange,” he said “is that labyrinth of errors and private practice, whereby (though kings wear crown and seem absolutely to reign) particular bankers, private societies of merchants, and covetous persons (whose end is private gain) are to suspend their councils and control their policies…thus making kings to be subjects and vessels to be kings.” MALYNES Milles prejudices against foreign exchange transactions were shared by Gerard de Malynes, who proudly called himself a merchant and who had a part in a number of business adventures of the time, fortunate as well as unfortunate, one of the latter causing him to spend some time in the London debtors’ prison. Malynes’s picture of the world was in substance that of a medievalist who lived in an environment that he found difficult to accept. He was deeply suspicious about usury and his thought in this matter reflects the not always acknowledged influence of Thomas Wilson. His complaint that money, by nature a mere measure, had become an article of commerce, and his insistence that exchanges should be traded at par recall the medieval motions of money and of the just price. His ideal was an orderly, static, well-regulated economic universe, in which the desire for gain was always to be restrained by public policy. Malynes’s long and active career as a writer begins with an eighty page tract, Saint George for England Allegorically Described, published in 1601. THE TERMS OF TRADE Malynes does not speak of the balance of trade in so many words but insists that a country should have “a certain equality” of its exports and imports. It should not suffer “an overbalancing of foreign commodities” with home commodities which will cause it to loose wealth. Such a loss may be incurred in three ways: by exporting bullion or coin, by selling domestic goods too cheaply, or by buying foreign goods at too high a price “wherein chiefly consists the aforesaid overbalancing.” “This overbalancing,” he says, “consists properly in the price of commodities and not in the quantity or quality,” that is, the overbalancing is connected with what is now known as “terms of trade,” the relationship between the prices of exports and imports. The terms of trade have deteriorated because prices abroad have increased faster than English prices. England thus buys dear and sells cheap. Would devaluation of the English coin, a measure always proposed by a few, be of help in this situation? Malynes rejects this remedy, stating that it would raise prices both at home and abroad and abroad more than at home. THE RATE OF EXCHANGE When England’s exports fell short of her imports, foreign claims on England would exceed English claims on foreigners. The demand for foreign exchange would exceed the supply, English exchange would fall, and foreign exchange would rise up to the specie export point. Once the foreign exchange rate had exceeded the specie export point, a merchant who had to make a payment abroad would find it to his advantage to ship coin or bullion rather than purchase foreign exchange. Of all this, Malynes was aware, but with the blindness and obstinate ness of a fanatic believer in conspiracy theories, he closed his eyes to the fact that fluctuations of the exchange rate, which give rise to specie exports, reflect commercial operations. Instead, he attributed to the bankers the power to manipulate the rate of exchange for the sake of their own gain, and he denounced the being responsible for the outflow of specie accompanying a rising foreign exchange. Malynes’s mind had a speculative bent that enabled him to detect relationships-not only figments of his imaginations but also real insights-that were beyond the grasp of his contemporaries. While attaching vital importance to the balance of trade, neither he nor they ever raised in so many words the question, what determines exports ad imports? Because high rate of foreign exchange-or a low rate of English exchange-leads to an outflow of specie from England, one would think that a low rate of foreign exchange- or a high rate of English exchange- would bring specie into England. Normally an English exporter’s factor might use the proceeds from the sale of English goods on the continent to purchase a bill of exchange on London, drawn by the London banker’s foreign correspondent. If the London exchange were high enough, the factor would prefer to ship specie once the specie import point have been reached. But this is not Malynes’s argument. If the English exchange is high, that is, if per unit of foreign balances little English money can be obtained, the proceeds from exports will be used neither for the purchases of bills of exchange on London nor for the importation of specie. Again and again the fluctuations of the exchange rates are ascribed to the tricks of the bankers rather than to the movement of exports and imports. The remedy that Malynes proposes is the elimination of fluctuations of exchange rates by pegging the rates at mint parity, combined with a comprehensive system of exchange control. Malynes is highly optimistic about the benefits that will follow from the adoption of his proposal. His list includes the following statement: “The commodities of the realm will be advanced in sale and price.” It is not clear, however, how this would be so if the exchange rate rose to mint parity, causing English goods o become more expensive to foreign purchasers. Perhaps Malynes considered the foreign demand for English goodsmainly cloth-inelastic, and this indeed indicted in statements that he made elsewhere. MISSELDEN Malynes views about exchanges were challenged by the balance of trade theorists such as Misselden and Mun, who played down the influence of bankers and who believed that the outflow of specie was not the result of a low English exchange but of an “unfavorable” balance of trade. Edward Misselden, a businessman with a checkered career, a merchant adventurer who at times also served the East India Company, tried to explain the causes of the business depression from which England was suffering in the early 1620s in a tract of approximately 130 pages. Free Trade or the Means to Make the Trade Flourish, published in 1622. Misselden is obsessed by the idea that England needs more specie, to obtain it; she must force exports and restrain imports. When Misselden employs the words “free trade” he by no means wants to endorse what the terms connote now, that is, absence of restrictions on imports. What he had in mind was “freedom from competition” as well as “freedom to export,” that is, a trade that was neither disorganized, such as that of the competitive interlopers, nor monopolized by a joint stock company, such as was the East India trade by the great East India Company. More adequately than his predecessor he defines monopoly as “a kind of commerce, in buying, selling, changing or bartering usurped by a few and sometimes but by one percent, and forestalled from all others, to the game of the monopolist and to the detriment of other men.” Every monopoly turns upon two hinges: “The restraint of the liberty of commerce to someone or few, and the setting of the price at the pleasure of the monopolian to his private benefit, and the prejudice of the public.” But while Misselden castigates the monopolist, he by no means favors pure or perfect competition in the modern sense. The orderly competition that he supports is a market structure most adequately classified as oligopoly, although he does not use this word. Misselden thus made the most of the contrast between the merchant adventurers who sold English woolen cloth on the continent, and the East India Company, which brought merchandise into the country. In addition Misselden introduced a number of policy proposals which included the devaluation of English money, or “raising the coin,” as the euphonious phrase went, always the controversial step and one that Malynes was opposed to. Since he also in a cavalier manner rejected Malynes’s proposal for a restoration of exchange parity. MUN Thomas Mun(1571-1641) had broken into print-in 1621 with A Discourse of Trade from England unto the East- Indies. THE DISCOURSE OF TRADE Mun’s first work, a tract of some 50 pages, is principally a defense of the East India Company. His second work, although probably completed by 1630, is superior in style and presentation, more modern in its approach to the bullionist controversy, and broader in perspective as well as in the range of topics. Is the East India trade really a blessing if it drains Europe of specie? Mun’s answer is a resounding yes. Oriental drugs and spices are necessities; indigo is an indispensable dye; raw silk provides employment for the poor; calicoes are a substitute for linen imports and will bring their prices down. Before the seaway around Africa was opened up, this merchandise had to travel over land and was purchased from the Turkish middleman at three times at what it costs to buy it in India. Much of the difference goes into the cost of shipping the goods from India to Europe, but this does not require “ready money” as would payment to the Turk; it merely involves the use of domestic labor and materials. It is true that the East India Company is licensed to export a certain amount of silver every year, but it also has the obligation to bring back as much pleasure as takes out. Actually the exports of silver have always fallen short of the maximum allowed, and the company has brought back more than it exported. It has also found new markets for English cloth, lead, and tin, and expects to increase these sales. Some of the merchandise imported by the company is retained in England and sold their much more cheaply than in earlier times. Admittedly the East India trade uses up English raw materials, such as timber .this however, is the purpose of such materials. Shipbuilding provides employment for the poor, and the warehouses of the shipbuilder and of the company constitute an emergency reserve useful for the nation in war time. If England were to relinquish her East India trade, the Dutch would soon get hold of it. This would only increase the outflow of specie because the Dutch would double the price or charge what they please for goods imported to England. “For in respect the prices of the exchange do rise and fall according to the plenty or scarcity of money which is to be taken up or delivered out, the exchange is hereby become rather a trade for some great moneyed men than a furtherance and accommodation of real trade to merchants, as it ought to be in the true use thereof.” ENGLAND’S TREASURE BY FOREIGN TRADE Mun’s first work dealt specifically with the East India trade: his second work is an elucidation of the significance of the nation’s foreign trade in general for the national economy. The theory of the balance of trade is boldly stated in the beginning of the work: “the ordinary means to increase our wealth and treasure is by foreign trade, wherein we must ever observe this rule: to sell more to strangers yearly than we consume of theirs in value.” The cultivation of hitherto unutilized land can be instrumental in reducing import requirements for such goods as hemp, flax, and tobacco. Mun praises the sumptuary legislation of foreign countries and the laws commanding the use of domestic manufacturers. Here as in other contexts he shows moderation and tact: “All kind of bounty and pomp is not to be avoided, for if we become so frugal that we would se few or no foreign wares, how shall we then vent our own commodities?” Frugal living will not only reduce imports but leave more goods that are available for exports. Exports may be derived either from “natural” or from “artificial” wealth. The former are mainly minerals or products of the soil, whereas the latter consists of manufacturers and the carrying trade. The cultivation of artificial wealth has further advantages. Natural wealth, although” most noble and advantageous, being always ready and certain,” nevertheless makes people “careless, proud and given to excesses,” whereas artificial wealth enforces vigilance, literature, arts, and policy.” Artificial wealth provides opportunities for greater “diversity of employments.” The promotion of exports requires that proper attention be given to commodity prices. A judicious price policy will reflect the type of market in which the sale takes place as well as the elasticity of the demand for exports. Goods that constitute necessities for foreign buyer, who is unable to procure them from other sources, maybe sold “dear, so far forth as the high price cause not a less vent in the quantity.” As for other goods we must “strive to sell as cheap as possible we can, rather than to loose the utterance of such wares.” INVISIBLE ITEMS Mun calls attention to the importance of the service, or invisible items in the balance of trade and gives a virtually complete list of these including shipping, fisheries, insurance, traveler’s expenditures, remittance to Rome, merchant commission and so forth. Commercial policy should be so fashioned that manufacturers made from foreign material can be relived of export duties. This measure would lead to increased exports as well as give employment to the poor. PARTICULAR AND GENERAL BALANCES Mun now distinguishes between particular and general balance pf trade, the former representing commercial relation with another country, the latter trade with the rest of the world. TREASURE AND TRADE A strong case is again made in favor of “the exportation of our monies in trade of merchandise” as “a means o increase our treasure.” Money must be sent out “to enlarge our trade by enabling us to bring in more foreign wares, which being sent out again will in due time much increase our treasure.” Money must not be left idle but it must be employed as capital funds; it must be turned into merchandise and then again into money, whereby it is multiplied. People’s assets need only include a relatively small reserve of ready money. Mun recommends price restraint when considering the competitiveness of the export economy, but in a chapter entitled “Foreign trade is the only means to improve the price of our lands,” he apparently forgets what he said before, and has no qualms about relating rising prices to rising exports and vice versa. In Mun’s theory of balance of trade there is no other way to bring treasure into the country than by the export of merchandise and of services. PUBLIC FINANCE Taxes “seem to be a rabble of oppression,” but when all circumstances are considered they will be found necessary and even profitable to the commonwealth. Moreover, taxes don’t oppress the people as much as it may seem at first glance “for as the food and raiment of the poor is made dear by excise so does the price of labor rise in proportion.” Mun adhered by implication to a subsistence theory of wages: if the subsistence became more expensive, wages would go up. If taxes contribute a burden, it is one that is places on the wealthy who have “the use and are the great consumers of the Poor’s labor.” THE BALANCE OF POWER When Bacon, the leading light of the age, whose writings enjoyed a wide distribution, spoke of the balance of trade, he associated it with “balance of greatness”, or balance of power and both balances were to become foremost objectives of English policy. Underlying mercantilist thought was the notion that power, trade and treasure are in the nature of fixed quantities. When one country increases its share of any of them, another country is bound to suffer a corresponding loss. THE CONFLICT OF INTERESTS Both in the international and in the domestic field of mercantilists are from envisaging a harmony of interest such as the classical school was to postulate. If in international relations one country’s gain is another country’s loss, and if it can be assumes that countries will strive to make gains and to avoid losses, then commercial policy specifically and foreign economic policy generally become instruments of economic warfare. In this sense mercantilists may be said to have considered the pursuit of national gain the solution of the economic problem as they saw it. In Mun’s opinion the commonwealth may gain while the merchant suffers a loss, for example, when a carrying trade brings treasure into the country in excess to what was paid out in the initial acquisition of the merchandise but not enough to cover the expenses of the merchant. By recognizing the possibility of conflict between private and public interests, the mercantilists are thus driven to endorse regulations and restrictions placed on the pursuit of private gain. The mercantilist’s belief in the potential in compatibility of private and public interest reflects their narrow view of productivity. Strictly domestic transactions between citizens of the same country are transfers of wealth, or what Mun calls “commutations,” matters that are little account for the balance of trade, which is “the rule of our treasure.” Again, the mercantilist’s concentrations on production for export forms a sharp contrast to the thought of the classical school. THE FLOW OF SPECIE Mun was prominent among the latter, and it is not surprising that he failed to develop a specie-flow theory that would have destroyed the structure he so carefully built up. All the elements of such a theory can be found in his writings. He is well aware of the relations between the quantity of money and the level of prices: “it is a common saying that plenty or scarcity of money makes all things dear or good or cheap.” He repeatedly stresses that high prices reduce exports: “when by the excessive price of wool our cloth was exceedingly dear, we lost at the least half or our clothing for foreign parts.” His principal argument, so often stated, is that an export balance will bring specie to the country. But whereas he is cognizant of each of these relationships, he fails to link them together in a chain that would constitute the automatic flow-of-specie theory. It will never be known whether his failure to develop this theory was an oversight r whether he considered such a theory inapplicable in the light of special conditions stipulated by him.