Climate Change Policy: Mixing Politics and Uncertainty
... greenhouse gases in the atmosphere will be the equivalent of having doubled the amount of carbon dioxide since the year 1860. This could cause the earth's surface temperature to rise from between one and five degrees centigrade (two to nine degrees Fahrenheit). To me, this is and should be a very fr ...
... greenhouse gases in the atmosphere will be the equivalent of having doubled the amount of carbon dioxide since the year 1860. This could cause the earth's surface temperature to rise from between one and five degrees centigrade (two to nine degrees Fahrenheit). To me, this is and should be a very fr ...
Characterizing the uncertainty of climate change impacts using a
... temperature, and PET are smaller than previous studies • Changes in flows: -19% to +29% for the Blue Nile (Diem) -8% to +10% for the White Nile (Malakal) • RCM provides a viable downscaling methodology • RCM results confirm the uncertainty regarding the direction of change for rainfall and flow • RC ...
... temperature, and PET are smaller than previous studies • Changes in flows: -19% to +29% for the Blue Nile (Diem) -8% to +10% for the White Nile (Malakal) • RCM provides a viable downscaling methodology • RCM results confirm the uncertainty regarding the direction of change for rainfall and flow • RC ...
Slide 1
... – Includes climate-change scenario, IS92a, which employs CO2 increase of 1% per year – Not a toy model – CCCma predictions are relatively high compared to other models • Aggressive climate change model • Is this preferable in this case? ...
... – Includes climate-change scenario, IS92a, which employs CO2 increase of 1% per year – Not a toy model – CCCma predictions are relatively high compared to other models • Aggressive climate change model • Is this preferable in this case? ...
BURMA - Climatelinks
... and the services they provide through increased drought, temperatures, floods, sea level rise/salt water intrusion and rainfall variability. Hotter and drier conditions, especially toward the end of the dry season, will increase evapotranspiration from vegetation, likely causing increased moisture s ...
... and the services they provide through increased drought, temperatures, floods, sea level rise/salt water intrusion and rainfall variability. Hotter and drier conditions, especially toward the end of the dry season, will increase evapotranspiration from vegetation, likely causing increased moisture s ...
Effects of global climate change on freshwater biota: A review with
... example, are characterized by long periods of cold water and low primary and secondary production. The thermal increase will result in stronger thermal stratification, enhanced nutrient resuspension, and increased lake production (Rouse et al. 1997); consequently, the productivity of the system will ...
... example, are characterized by long periods of cold water and low primary and secondary production. The thermal increase will result in stronger thermal stratification, enhanced nutrient resuspension, and increased lake production (Rouse et al. 1997); consequently, the productivity of the system will ...
'An Economist Tries to Grapple with Catastrophic Climate Change' (pdf).
... Climate Sensitivity as Prototype Example of Uncertainty What is equilibrium climate sensitivity? What are its strengths and weaknesses as an aggregate measure and as a prototype example? Why is climate sensitivity uncertain? What is its PDF? How should we extrapolate its tail probabilities? If clim ...
... Climate Sensitivity as Prototype Example of Uncertainty What is equilibrium climate sensitivity? What are its strengths and weaknesses as an aggregate measure and as a prototype example? Why is climate sensitivity uncertain? What is its PDF? How should we extrapolate its tail probabilities? If clim ...
Global Climate Change - Center for Sustaining Agriculture and
... Carbon dioxide (CO2), water vapor, nitrous oxide (N2O), methane (CH4), and certain other gases trap some of the infrared energy, which then warms the ...
... Carbon dioxide (CO2), water vapor, nitrous oxide (N2O), methane (CH4), and certain other gases trap some of the infrared energy, which then warms the ...
Case Study: Africa - Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre
... Divided by the East African Rift Valley into highlands and lowlands, Ethiopia has an extraordinarily diverse climate, from the cool and rainy Dega highlands to the Danakil depression – one of the hottest, driest places on Earth. The economy is based on agriculture, which accounts for half GDP, 60 pe ...
... Divided by the East African Rift Valley into highlands and lowlands, Ethiopia has an extraordinarily diverse climate, from the cool and rainy Dega highlands to the Danakil depression – one of the hottest, driest places on Earth. The economy is based on agriculture, which accounts for half GDP, 60 pe ...
US Army Corps of Engineers CP2a Sustainability Activities
... Retreat of coastal landscapes Problems in maneuvering Reduced capacity of natural systems to recover Access to Polar Regions (NW and NE Passages open all year) Potentially more ice at river outlets in the north Potential northward relocation of fish ...
... Retreat of coastal landscapes Problems in maneuvering Reduced capacity of natural systems to recover Access to Polar Regions (NW and NE Passages open all year) Potentially more ice at river outlets in the north Potential northward relocation of fish ...
LCCARL232_en.pdf
... It is likely that all of these changes would affect small islands more significantly than the large land masses even though these islands may be contributing minimally to the causes. Local communities would be impacted even more as they often lack the economic and technical resources available to re ...
... It is likely that all of these changes would affect small islands more significantly than the large land masses even though these islands may be contributing minimally to the causes. Local communities would be impacted even more as they often lack the economic and technical resources available to re ...
Round 1: Global warming basics Q2
... Listed below are the 5 Australian terrestrial ecosystems thought to be the most vulnerable to climate change, and 5 threatening processes associated with climate change. Match each ecosystem to the greatest climate threat it faces. ...
... Listed below are the 5 Australian terrestrial ecosystems thought to be the most vulnerable to climate change, and 5 threatening processes associated with climate change. Match each ecosystem to the greatest climate threat it faces. ...
Vulnerability of Carbon and Water
... the increase of i) global precipitation, ii) water stress in some regions (eg, Amazon), and iii) interannual variability and extreme events (eg, droughts, floods). Changes in water cycle variables such as precipitation, runoff, streamflow, soil moisture, and atmospheric vapor pressure impact carbon ...
... the increase of i) global precipitation, ii) water stress in some regions (eg, Amazon), and iii) interannual variability and extreme events (eg, droughts, floods). Changes in water cycle variables such as precipitation, runoff, streamflow, soil moisture, and atmospheric vapor pressure impact carbon ...
Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence (QCCCE)
... • Observed trends for the 1993 to 2003 period show strong decline in rainfall, soil moisture and runoff, mainly during summer (NDJFM) season! • These trends have occurred in spite of prolonged La Nina’s (1998 to 2001) when typically the water storage is replenished. ...
... • Observed trends for the 1993 to 2003 period show strong decline in rainfall, soil moisture and runoff, mainly during summer (NDJFM) season! • These trends have occurred in spite of prolonged La Nina’s (1998 to 2001) when typically the water storage is replenished. ...
FORESTS IN A CHANGING CLIMATE: IMPACTS AND
... CUMULATIVE IMPACTS: Damage caused by increasing pest and disease occurrence may increase vulnerability to forest fires and extreme events. This combination of impacts has a multiplying effect on climate risk and can complicate forest resource management adaptation efforts. ...
... CUMULATIVE IMPACTS: Damage caused by increasing pest and disease occurrence may increase vulnerability to forest fires and extreme events. This combination of impacts has a multiplying effect on climate risk and can complicate forest resource management adaptation efforts. ...
current conditions
... agriculture to estimate the impact of future GDP and population scenarios on crop production and staple consumption, which can be used to derive commodity prices, agricultural trade patterns, food prices, calorie consumption, and child malnutrition. Three GDP-per-capita scenarios were used – an opti ...
... agriculture to estimate the impact of future GDP and population scenarios on crop production and staple consumption, which can be used to derive commodity prices, agricultural trade patterns, food prices, calorie consumption, and child malnutrition. Three GDP-per-capita scenarios were used – an opti ...
Evaluating Washington`s Future in a Changing Climate
... Changes in annual precipitation averaged over all models are small but some models show large seasonal changes, especially toward wetter autumns and winters and drier summers. Mote and Salathé, 2009 ...
... Changes in annual precipitation averaged over all models are small but some models show large seasonal changes, especially toward wetter autumns and winters and drier summers. Mote and Salathé, 2009 ...
Climate change and climate variability * implications for food
... Dr. Ananka Loubser (NWU) and Prof. Karen O'Brien (UiO) mapped the beliefs by using semi-structured interviews and Q methodology. Flexibility was tested by introducing contradictory statements offering both indigenous and scientific explanations for climate change. Preliminary results show belief sys ...
... Dr. Ananka Loubser (NWU) and Prof. Karen O'Brien (UiO) mapped the beliefs by using semi-structured interviews and Q methodology. Flexibility was tested by introducing contradictory statements offering both indigenous and scientific explanations for climate change. Preliminary results show belief sys ...
STOCKHOLM COUNTY 2100
... surfaces of the city, giving more floods with risk of mould and damage due to damp, e.g. in cellars. ...
... surfaces of the city, giving more floods with risk of mould and damage due to damp, e.g. in cellars. ...
CALVIN Model - California Water and Environmental Modeling Forum
... Other odd dry years Correlation of droughts with Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) – Scripps, and others ...
... Other odd dry years Correlation of droughts with Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) – Scripps, and others ...
MediterraneanArea
... be beneficial to agriculture, due to the ability of Israel to supply international markets earlier in the season in the season in Morocco likely changes include a reduction in the growth period of regional crops, a reduction in the duration of crop cycles, and an increase in the risk of dry period ...
... be beneficial to agriculture, due to the ability of Israel to supply international markets earlier in the season in the season in Morocco likely changes include a reduction in the growth period of regional crops, a reduction in the duration of crop cycles, and an increase in the risk of dry period ...
Meteorology-Climate - Onteora Central School District
... Now, while doing this, draw the number “6” in the air with your right hand. ...
... Now, while doing this, draw the number “6” in the air with your right hand. ...
3.1.3 Intensification of the hydrological cycle – An important signal of
... Global and regional climate models are nowadays used to in the long run. estimate possible climate related changes in the water cycle. These models describe the physical processes in the climate What’s the story that regional system as precisely as possible and calculate e.g. the water climate model ...
... Global and regional climate models are nowadays used to in the long run. estimate possible climate related changes in the water cycle. These models describe the physical processes in the climate What’s the story that regional system as precisely as possible and calculate e.g. the water climate model ...
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... simulations of those models that contain an Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM), which we also will mention in section 3.3. (Models and experiments). Although this may be a limiting factor, Stouffer et al. (2006) showed convincingly for present day conditions that EMIC results are qualitat ...
... simulations of those models that contain an Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM), which we also will mention in section 3.3. (Models and experiments). Although this may be a limiting factor, Stouffer et al. (2006) showed convincingly for present day conditions that EMIC results are qualitat ...
5 Determinants of Crop Growth and Yield in a Changing Climate
... to be more than 6 t/ha in India whereas their average yields range between 2 and 3 t/ha (Aggarwal et al., 2000). Such large yield gaps can be tapped in future for ensuring food security in the scenario of adverse climatic impacts. Institutional support in the form of improved extension services, mar ...
... to be more than 6 t/ha in India whereas their average yields range between 2 and 3 t/ha (Aggarwal et al., 2000). Such large yield gaps can be tapped in future for ensuring food security in the scenario of adverse climatic impacts. Institutional support in the form of improved extension services, mar ...