Using expert knowledge to assess uncertainties in future polar bear
... performed in order to quantify the trends and variance surrounding possible impacts of climate change on polar bear populations. 2. Polar bears have become an iconic species in the communication of climate change. Negative impacts of climatic warming on polar bears have been suggested, but cannot be ...
... performed in order to quantify the trends and variance surrounding possible impacts of climate change on polar bear populations. 2. Polar bears have become an iconic species in the communication of climate change. Negative impacts of climatic warming on polar bears have been suggested, but cannot be ...
UNEP and Climate Change
... I provided a verbal response at the Meeting and also undertook to provide answers in writing to be distributed to the CPR. The United Nations family is galvanizing behind the successful negotiation of a post2012 regime under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change ( ...
... I provided a verbal response at the Meeting and also undertook to provide answers in writing to be distributed to the CPR. The United Nations family is galvanizing behind the successful negotiation of a post2012 regime under the auspices of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change ( ...
climate impacts and adaptation unit
... The climate of the Earth has always varied on all time-scales: from year-toyear; decade-to-decade; and over millions of years. Changes in the gas composition of the atmosphere are one of the many factors influencing climate patterns. Is the observed warming over the last half-century due to changing ...
... The climate of the Earth has always varied on all time-scales: from year-toyear; decade-to-decade; and over millions of years. Changes in the gas composition of the atmosphere are one of the many factors influencing climate patterns. Is the observed warming over the last half-century due to changing ...
climate impacts and adaptation unit
... The climate of the Earth has always varied on all time-scales: from year-toyear; decade-to-decade; and over millions of years. Changes in the gas composition of the atmosphere are one of the many factors influencing climate patterns. Is the observed warming over the last half-century due to changing ...
... The climate of the Earth has always varied on all time-scales: from year-toyear; decade-to-decade; and over millions of years. Changes in the gas composition of the atmosphere are one of the many factors influencing climate patterns. Is the observed warming over the last half-century due to changing ...
The Scientific Consensus on Climate Change: How Do We Know
... foster new research but to compile and assess existing knowledge on a politically charged issue. Perhaps its conclusions have been skewed by these political concerns, but the IPCC is by no means alone it its conclusions, and its results have been repeatedly ratified by other scientific organizations. ...
... foster new research but to compile and assess existing knowledge on a politically charged issue. Perhaps its conclusions have been skewed by these political concerns, but the IPCC is by no means alone it its conclusions, and its results have been repeatedly ratified by other scientific organizations. ...
Ozone hole and Southern Hemisphere climate change
... been robustly documented in the last several years. It has altered the atmospheric circulation in a surprising number of ways: a rising global tropopause, a poleward intensification of the westerly jet, a poleward shift in storm tracks, a poleward expansion of the Hadley cell, and many others. While ...
... been robustly documented in the last several years. It has altered the atmospheric circulation in a surprising number of ways: a rising global tropopause, a poleward intensification of the westerly jet, a poleward shift in storm tracks, a poleward expansion of the Hadley cell, and many others. While ...
Towards indicators for resilient architecture and infrastructure
... between vulnerability and resilience is often discussed and often confused. While the concepts are linked, they are not subsets of each other, nor are they opposites – the absence of vulnerability does not equate with resilience (Manyena, 2006, p. 443). Reduction in vulnerability and increase in res ...
... between vulnerability and resilience is often discussed and often confused. While the concepts are linked, they are not subsets of each other, nor are they opposites – the absence of vulnerability does not equate with resilience (Manyena, 2006, p. 443). Reduction in vulnerability and increase in res ...
Misdefining ``climate change``: consequences for science and action
... also focus on adaptation in FCCC World? Is changing the energy habits of six billion people really more tractable than modulating the global earth system via carbon sequestration or other strategies of geoengineering? Such questions quickly begin to reveal many assumptions that underlie approaches t ...
... also focus on adaptation in FCCC World? Is changing the energy habits of six billion people really more tractable than modulating the global earth system via carbon sequestration or other strategies of geoengineering? Such questions quickly begin to reveal many assumptions that underlie approaches t ...
NRDC: Hotter and Drier - The West`s Changed Climate
... climate system is unequivocal,” and it is “very likely” that most of the warming since the middle of the 20th century is the result of human pollutants. ...
... climate system is unequivocal,” and it is “very likely” that most of the warming since the middle of the 20th century is the result of human pollutants. ...
Forecasting global climate change: A scientific approach Kesten C
... over this whole period. We tested the validity of the IPCC model for forecasting horizons up to 100 years using the data on global mean temperatures that the IPCC use: the U.K. Met Office Hadley Centre’s HadCRUT3 series7. The Hadley temperature series are derived from selected weather stations and s ...
... over this whole period. We tested the validity of the IPCC model for forecasting horizons up to 100 years using the data on global mean temperatures that the IPCC use: the U.K. Met Office Hadley Centre’s HadCRUT3 series7. The Hadley temperature series are derived from selected weather stations and s ...
Global Warming: Forecasts by Scientists versus Scientific Forecasts
... In 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Working Group One, a panel of experts established by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme, issued its updated, Fourth Assessment Report, forecasts. The Report was commissioned at great cost in orde ...
... In 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Working Group One, a panel of experts established by the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Environment Programme, issued its updated, Fourth Assessment Report, forecasts. The Report was commissioned at great cost in orde ...
Australia`s Energy Sector – Drivers for Change
... 6. Over the next one hundred years many Australians will be at risk from sea level rises. The IPCC warns that that 1 cm rise in sea level erodes beaches about 1 m horizontally.19 Therefore, even the lower end of the IPCC predictions, 9 cm is likely to result in as much as 9 m of eroded beach and coa ...
... 6. Over the next one hundred years many Australians will be at risk from sea level rises. The IPCC warns that that 1 cm rise in sea level erodes beaches about 1 m horizontally.19 Therefore, even the lower end of the IPCC predictions, 9 cm is likely to result in as much as 9 m of eroded beach and coa ...
Conceptual framework: Definitions for key concepts
... communicating knowledge from diverse scientific disciplines so that all relevant aspects of a complex societal issue can be evaluated and considered for the benefit of decision-making.” For the Mediterranean case studies, integration in this sense represents an integrated process of assessment acros ...
... communicating knowledge from diverse scientific disciplines so that all relevant aspects of a complex societal issue can be evaluated and considered for the benefit of decision-making.” For the Mediterranean case studies, integration in this sense represents an integrated process of assessment acros ...
Do Not Cite, Quote, or Distribute IPCC WGII AR5
... Support the decision to structure the chapter with the sections 25.3 and 25.4 ahead of sections 25.5-25.8. Reading these sections first helps provide context to sections 25.5-25.8. (NEW ZEALAND) Support the structure i.e. leading with adaptation (NEW ZEALAND) A number of comments to this chapter see ...
... Support the decision to structure the chapter with the sections 25.3 and 25.4 ahead of sections 25.5-25.8. Reading these sections first helps provide context to sections 25.5-25.8. (NEW ZEALAND) Support the structure i.e. leading with adaptation (NEW ZEALAND) A number of comments to this chapter see ...
Kyoto and Beyond - European Business Council for Sustainable
... This question too, can be further broken down into two key questions: 1. Is climate change happening? If so; 2. To what extent can any changes be attributed to human activities as opposed to natural processes? The debate in both these areas has evolved considerably over the last 10 years and is disc ...
... This question too, can be further broken down into two key questions: 1. Is climate change happening? If so; 2. To what extent can any changes be attributed to human activities as opposed to natural processes? The debate in both these areas has evolved considerably over the last 10 years and is disc ...
Abrupt Non-Linear Climate Change, Irreversibility and
... which has very different sensitivity to disturbances (i.e., each equilibrium may be self-sustaining within certain limits). The foregoing discussion is primarily about model-induced behaviours, but hysteresis has also been observed in nature (e.g., Rahmstorf, 1996). Exponential increases in computat ...
... which has very different sensitivity to disturbances (i.e., each equilibrium may be self-sustaining within certain limits). The foregoing discussion is primarily about model-induced behaviours, but hysteresis has also been observed in nature (e.g., Rahmstorf, 1996). Exponential increases in computat ...
Summary for Policymakers
... the climate system, paleoclimate archives, theoretical studies of climate processes and simulations using climate models. It builds upon the Working Group I contribution to the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), and incorporates subsequent new findings of research. As a component of the fifth as ...
... the climate system, paleoclimate archives, theoretical studies of climate processes and simulations using climate models. It builds upon the Working Group I contribution to the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), and incorporates subsequent new findings of research. As a component of the fifth as ...
IPCC reasons for concern regarding climate change risks
... Figure 1 | The enhanced burning embers diagram, providing a global perspective on climate-related risks. Levels of risk associated with 5 different reasons for concern are illustrated for increasing global mean temperature and are the same as those presented in the IPCC Working Group II report. Icon ...
... Figure 1 | The enhanced burning embers diagram, providing a global perspective on climate-related risks. Levels of risk associated with 5 different reasons for concern are illustrated for increasing global mean temperature and are the same as those presented in the IPCC Working Group II report. Icon ...
An Introduction to the Science of Climate Change
... Despite normal fluctuations in global temperatures, evidence shows that most of the increases in global temperatures over the last 50 years are attributable to human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels and to land use practices such as deforestation (IPCC, 2001). There is high confidence ...
... Despite normal fluctuations in global temperatures, evidence shows that most of the increases in global temperatures over the last 50 years are attributable to human activities such as the burning of fossil fuels and to land use practices such as deforestation (IPCC, 2001). There is high confidence ...
Aalborg Universitet environmental assessment of spatial plans
... regional and local levels to reduce the adverse impacts of projected climate change and variability, regardless of the scale of mitigation undertaken over the next two to three decades” (Bernstein et al. 2007, p. 56). Climate change is increasingly becoming a concern in spatial planning. As stated ...
... regional and local levels to reduce the adverse impacts of projected climate change and variability, regardless of the scale of mitigation undertaken over the next two to three decades” (Bernstein et al. 2007, p. 56). Climate change is increasingly becoming a concern in spatial planning. As stated ...
A history of climate activities
... Figure 1 — The emergence of climate as an international scientific and policy issue: the five major scientific, technological and geopolitical developments on the left converged to inspire UN General Assembly (UNGA) Resolution 1721 (XVI) which triggered the establishment of the WMO World Weather Wat ...
... Figure 1 — The emergence of climate as an international scientific and policy issue: the five major scientific, technological and geopolitical developments on the left converged to inspire UN General Assembly (UNGA) Resolution 1721 (XVI) which triggered the establishment of the WMO World Weather Wat ...
Science Communication - Hubert H. Humphrey Fellowship Program
... colleagues from other beats. This could be criticized as “beat parochialism” (Sigal, 1973, p. 47). At the same time, more experienced and specialized reporters know more about their topics (Wilson, 2000). Thus, beat parochialism and better informed reporting seem to be two sides of the same coin and ...
... colleagues from other beats. This could be criticized as “beat parochialism” (Sigal, 1973, p. 47). At the same time, more experienced and specialized reporters know more about their topics (Wilson, 2000). Thus, beat parochialism and better informed reporting seem to be two sides of the same coin and ...
Communicating the Impacts of Potential Future Climate Change on
... The key objectives of this study are to i) design a framework to translate future climate scenarios into a product that engineers and planners can use to quantify the impact of climate change, and ii) demonstrate how climate model output can be used to inform and plan adaptive strategies for stormwa ...
... The key objectives of this study are to i) design a framework to translate future climate scenarios into a product that engineers and planners can use to quantify the impact of climate change, and ii) demonstrate how climate model output can be used to inform and plan adaptive strategies for stormwa ...
Future climate in world regions - the IPCC Data Distribution Centre
... Appendix B: Scatter diagrams ....................................................... 33 Documentation pages .................................................................... 81 ...
... Appendix B: Scatter diagrams ....................................................... 33 Documentation pages .................................................................... 81 ...
Mk3.5 simulations
... The model outputs will be available for a broader range of research on request, as for the CMIP3 (IPCC AR4) model outputs The model output will be in NetCDF format The total model output fields may run into several (many) PB. This may cause significant download issues for some Australian IPCC ...
... The model outputs will be available for a broader range of research on request, as for the CMIP3 (IPCC AR4) model outputs The model output will be in NetCDF format The total model output fields may run into several (many) PB. This may cause significant download issues for some Australian IPCC ...