climate change, sea-level rise and extreme events
... Historical sea-level reconstruction is shown by the thin black line, with grey shading indicating ±95% confidence limits. Magenta dots and arrows indicate the estimate of sea-level rise from 1842–2001 from Port Arthur, Tasmania (Hunter et al.2003). Dashed grey lines indicate the upper and lower limi ...
... Historical sea-level reconstruction is shown by the thin black line, with grey shading indicating ±95% confidence limits. Magenta dots and arrows indicate the estimate of sea-level rise from 1842–2001 from Port Arthur, Tasmania (Hunter et al.2003). Dashed grey lines indicate the upper and lower limi ...
6 global policy recommendations for a more sustainable
... in the context of climate change and livelihoods that was published in Nature Climate Change (Tanner et al. 2015). They also identified a number of other aspects of resilience which, during the followin ...
... in the context of climate change and livelihoods that was published in Nature Climate Change (Tanner et al. 2015). They also identified a number of other aspects of resilience which, during the followin ...
Progress in Physical Geography Sea levels: resolution and uncertainty
... The complexity of dealing with these uncertainties led Rahmstorf (2007) to adopt a contrasting approach to projecting future sea-level rise. This employs a simple semiempirical model based on the relationship between global sea level (derived from Church and White, 2006) and temperature (derived fro ...
... The complexity of dealing with these uncertainties led Rahmstorf (2007) to adopt a contrasting approach to projecting future sea-level rise. This employs a simple semiempirical model based on the relationship between global sea level (derived from Church and White, 2006) and temperature (derived fro ...
the scientific article as a Word document here
... Stern, 2006, IPCC, 2007, World Bank, 2010). It has also been noted that our limited understanding of vulnerability and adaptation precludes developing adaptation interventions, with more research integrating socio-economic and climate scenarios needed (Moss et al., 2010, World Bank, 2010). Our abili ...
... Stern, 2006, IPCC, 2007, World Bank, 2010). It has also been noted that our limited understanding of vulnerability and adaptation precludes developing adaptation interventions, with more research integrating socio-economic and climate scenarios needed (Moss et al., 2010, World Bank, 2010). Our abili ...
changing risks in changing climate
... Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). RCPs are not linked to any socio-economic scenarios, but each of them is consistent with many socio-economic storylines because different socio-economic futures could lead to similar changes in atmospheric GHGs concentrations. Future impact can be shape ...
... Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). RCPs are not linked to any socio-economic scenarios, but each of them is consistent with many socio-economic storylines because different socio-economic futures could lead to similar changes in atmospheric GHGs concentrations. Future impact can be shape ...
Why Scientists Disagree About Global Warming
... human activities are responsible for observed climate changes in recent decades and could have “catastrophic” effects in the future. The claim that “97 percent of scientists agree” appears on the websites of government agencies such as the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA, 20 ...
... human activities are responsible for observed climate changes in recent decades and could have “catastrophic” effects in the future. The claim that “97 percent of scientists agree” appears on the websites of government agencies such as the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA, 20 ...
Progress in Physical Geography
... The complexity of dealing with these uncertainties led Rahmstorf (2007) to adopt a contrasting approach to projecting future sea-level rise. This employs a simple semiempirical model based on the relationship between global sea level (derived from Church and White, 2006) and temperature (derived fro ...
... The complexity of dealing with these uncertainties led Rahmstorf (2007) to adopt a contrasting approach to projecting future sea-level rise. This employs a simple semiempirical model based on the relationship between global sea level (derived from Church and White, 2006) and temperature (derived fro ...
Submission from the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS)
... ensure that the observation and information needed to address climate‐related issues are obtained and made available to all potential users. The goal of GCOS is that contributing observing systems together provide comprehensive information on the total climate sy ...
... ensure that the observation and information needed to address climate‐related issues are obtained and made available to all potential users. The goal of GCOS is that contributing observing systems together provide comprehensive information on the total climate sy ...
Historical Overview of Climate Change Science
... gone before, science is cumulative, with useful features retained and non-useful features abandoned. Active research scientists, throughout their careers, typically spend large fractions of their working time studying in depth what other scientists have done. Superficial or amateurish acquaintance w ...
... gone before, science is cumulative, with useful features retained and non-useful features abandoned. Active research scientists, throughout their careers, typically spend large fractions of their working time studying in depth what other scientists have done. Superficial or amateurish acquaintance w ...
implications of long-term scenarios for medium
... The greenhouse gas emission reduction range of 40% to 70% by 2050, which is often quoted from the IPCC report, is not only due to uncertainty about technology performance or the climate system, but is also a reflection of policy choice. Scenarios that avoid net negative CO2 emissions show emission r ...
... The greenhouse gas emission reduction range of 40% to 70% by 2050, which is often quoted from the IPCC report, is not only due to uncertainty about technology performance or the climate system, but is also a reflection of policy choice. Scenarios that avoid net negative CO2 emissions show emission r ...
Projections of Future Climate Change in the 21st Century
... Research/National Institute for Environmental Studies (CCSR/NIES) CGCM used by Emori et al. (1999). From now on, we refer to the updated CGCM as CCSR/NIES2 and to the previous one as CCSR/NIES1. Although most of the dynamical and physical components of CCSR/NIES2 are exactly the same as those of CCS ...
... Research/National Institute for Environmental Studies (CCSR/NIES) CGCM used by Emori et al. (1999). From now on, we refer to the updated CGCM as CCSR/NIES2 and to the previous one as CCSR/NIES1. Although most of the dynamical and physical components of CCSR/NIES2 are exactly the same as those of CCS ...
Sea Level Rise on the Florida Keys
... unnatural elevations such as the U.S. Highway 1 bridge approaches. This created the basis for the simplistic “bathtub” modeling to follow. See Figures 1 through 14. Acquisition of the high-resolution elevation data corresponded with the release of the IPCC 4th Assessment Synthesis Report in Februar ...
... unnatural elevations such as the U.S. Highway 1 bridge approaches. This created the basis for the simplistic “bathtub” modeling to follow. See Figures 1 through 14. Acquisition of the high-resolution elevation data corresponded with the release of the IPCC 4th Assessment Synthesis Report in Februar ...
Review of relevant assessment processes and their theoretical
... At its most recent meeting (April 2008, Budapest), the IPCC recognised that there is an increasing need for coordinated treatment of adaptation and mitigation within an integrated sustainable development strategy and the development of regional approaches to complement the global approach, particula ...
... At its most recent meeting (April 2008, Budapest), the IPCC recognised that there is an increasing need for coordinated treatment of adaptation and mitigation within an integrated sustainable development strategy and the development of regional approaches to complement the global approach, particula ...
WHY DO WE CARE ABOUT METHANE?
... Scale lab observations to estimate a global source of 62–236 Tg yr-1. Suggest that this can reconcile high CH4 observed over tropical forests Production mechanism unknown VERY CONTROVERSIAL Frakenberg et al., Science 2005 ...
... Scale lab observations to estimate a global source of 62–236 Tg yr-1. Suggest that this can reconcile high CH4 observed over tropical forests Production mechanism unknown VERY CONTROVERSIAL Frakenberg et al., Science 2005 ...
11.2MB - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
... “[...] NOTES that scientific uncertainties exist in translating a temperature increase of 2°C into greenhouse gas concentrations and emission paths; ... ... however, RECOGNISES that recent scientific research and work under the IPCC indicates that it is unlikely that stabilisation of greenhouse gas ...
... “[...] NOTES that scientific uncertainties exist in translating a temperature increase of 2°C into greenhouse gas concentrations and emission paths; ... ... however, RECOGNISES that recent scientific research and work under the IPCC indicates that it is unlikely that stabilisation of greenhouse gas ...
Climate Change: Addressing the Major Skeptic Arguments
... Periodic summaries and reviews of the state of knowledge about Earth’s climate come from several institutions, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and national science academies of countries worldwide. These entities have concluded that the increasing body of observations ...
... Periodic summaries and reviews of the state of knowledge about Earth’s climate come from several institutions, including the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and national science academies of countries worldwide. These entities have concluded that the increasing body of observations ...
Climate Change, Sea-Level Rise and the Vulnerability of
... sea-level events (indicated by the diameter of the discs), caused by a sea-level rise of 0.1 m. The present statistics of extreme sea levels may be integrated with projections of the rise in mean sea level (and their associated uncertainties), in order to provide estimates of the statistics of futur ...
... sea-level events (indicated by the diameter of the discs), caused by a sea-level rise of 0.1 m. The present statistics of extreme sea levels may be integrated with projections of the rise in mean sea level (and their associated uncertainties), in order to provide estimates of the statistics of futur ...
Annex D – EEA contributors and resource planning
... results are described in more detail in an ETC-CCA Technical Paper.9 This established indicator set shall be moderately revised in line with evolving policy needs, stakeholder feedback and scientific progress, considering also the goal of reducing the total length of the 2016 CCIV report, compared t ...
... results are described in more detail in an ETC-CCA Technical Paper.9 This established indicator set shall be moderately revised in line with evolving policy needs, stakeholder feedback and scientific progress, considering also the goal of reducing the total length of the 2016 CCIV report, compared t ...
Aviation and global climate change in the 21st century
... a global RF for aviation cirrus with a mean value of 30 mW m2 and an uncertainty range of 10–80 mW m2, assuming similar optical properties to very thin cirrus. IPCC AR4 WGI adopted these values with the caveat that 30 mW m2 does not constitute a ‘best estimate’ in the same qualitative sense as ot ...
... a global RF for aviation cirrus with a mean value of 30 mW m2 and an uncertainty range of 10–80 mW m2, assuming similar optical properties to very thin cirrus. IPCC AR4 WGI adopted these values with the caveat that 30 mW m2 does not constitute a ‘best estimate’ in the same qualitative sense as ot ...
Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate Change: Concepts, Issues
... relevant literature was undertaken with the objective of identifying various adaptation issues. Assessments of vulnerability in various regions— developing countries, in particular—were covered. In addition, a review of related UNFCCC documents and analyses of the climate negotiations was conducted ...
... relevant literature was undertaken with the objective of identifying various adaptation issues. Assessments of vulnerability in various regions— developing countries, in particular—were covered. In addition, a review of related UNFCCC documents and analyses of the climate negotiations was conducted ...
Projecting future climate change: Implications of carbon cycle
... [Cubasch et al., 2001] communicated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in its Third Assessment Report (TAR) did not account for uncertainty in future carbon cycle behavior. Uncertainty in carbon cycle behavior was, however, assessed in the reported IPCC CO2 projections [Prentice ...
... [Cubasch et al., 2001] communicated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in its Third Assessment Report (TAR) did not account for uncertainty in future carbon cycle behavior. Uncertainty in carbon cycle behavior was, however, assessed in the reported IPCC CO2 projections [Prentice ...
Source IPCC 2012
... Better building requirements Flood management design Increased surveillance [email protected] ...
... Better building requirements Flood management design Increased surveillance [email protected] ...
Future Impacts of Climate Change across Europe
... were not available when this paper was finalised; however, the respective organisations and authors were contacted with requests for preliminary findings. The bulk of the final findings from the CECILIA and CLAVIER projects (except those cited in other research reports), as well as a number of paper ...
... were not available when this paper was finalised; however, the respective organisations and authors were contacted with requests for preliminary findings. The bulk of the final findings from the CECILIA and CLAVIER projects (except those cited in other research reports), as well as a number of paper ...
Good practice for the usage of climate model simulation results
... attention is given to results from multiple simulations (ensembles), as evidence is mounting that there is a need to take ensemble results into account for decision making. The paper represents the view of an ongoing discussion of German federal and state environmental agencies in a semi-annual meet ...
... attention is given to results from multiple simulations (ensembles), as evidence is mounting that there is a need to take ensemble results into account for decision making. The paper represents the view of an ongoing discussion of German federal and state environmental agencies in a semi-annual meet ...
the Report - ULI Europe
... The looming economic consequences of climate change will have a significant and growing impact on the real estate industry, which makes it ever more important for market participants across most real estate disciplines to be proactive in mitigating and adapting to its effects. Source: NASA Earth Obs ...
... The looming economic consequences of climate change will have a significant and growing impact on the real estate industry, which makes it ever more important for market participants across most real estate disciplines to be proactive in mitigating and adapting to its effects. Source: NASA Earth Obs ...