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Slide 1
Slide 1

... • The presence of a strong positive feedback from water vapor amplifies both the magnitude of climate change and the impact of uncertainty in other feedbacks. • This makes it hard to reduce uncertainty at high sensitivities (Roe and Baker 2007) ...
Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?
Climate change prediction: Erring on the side of least drama?

... model predictions). Then, in 2012, another record minimum was set (Stroeve et al., 2007).  CO2 emissions were also tracking the high-end scenarios developed in 1999 and applied in AR4, showing that scientists’ ‘‘worst-case scenario’’ has in fact been realized (Allison et al., 2009, p. 9; see also N ...
A decade of dirty tricks
A decade of dirty tricks

... When President Bush announced that the US would be pulling out of the Kyoto Treaty in March 2001, the mark of the fossil fuel industry was all over his policy. One company stands out from the rest in its efforts to bring about Bush’s climate climbdown. For more than a decade, ExxonMobil1 (or Esso in ...
Communicating the science of climate change
Communicating the science of climate change

... Group I portion of the 2007 Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). That document assesses the physical-science foundation for our understanding of climate change. It is based on careful consideration of the entire body of relevant published research studies ...
The 2°C target - Climate Emergency Institute
The 2°C target - Climate Emergency Institute

... 1996 and reaffirmed since then by the Environment Council 2003, and European Council, 2005, 2007. The paper also identifies how this target may be achieved through global action. The Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC AR4) indicates that the global mean t ...
Potential areas of focus for the 2018 quadrennial reports of the
Potential areas of focus for the 2018 quadrennial reports of the

... and by the Thirty-first Meeting of the Parties to the Montreal Protocol in 2019, noting that the panels should exchange information during the process of developing their respective reports in order to provide consistent information to the parties; ...
Glossary of Synthesis Report
Glossary of Synthesis Report

... As defined in the IPCC Procedures, the Synthesis Report (SYR) synthesises and integrates material contained within IPCC Assessment Reports and Special Reports. The scope of the SYR of the Fourth Assessment Report includes material contained in the three Working Group contributions to the AR4, and it ...
Stand alone and web based decision support systems for climate
Stand alone and web based decision support systems for climate

... Socio-cultural, institutional and political capacity to implement CCA measure(s) might be problematic in Europe Knowledge exchange and network building is important, and shared conceptual frameworks developed upon the main policy references may help Integrated assessment frameworks can provide signi ...
The Challenge of Adapting to Climate in a Changing World
The Challenge of Adapting to Climate in a Changing World

... scenarios? (continued) V&A assessments suffer from serious weakness if by default they assume that the projected climates will take place in a world with a society and economy similar to today. ...
Climate Change and its impact on Australias
Climate Change and its impact on Australias

... Little has been written in Australia about the impacts of climate change on cultural heritage places (but see Pearson & Williams 1996). The models used to produce predictions of the nature of climate change have been refined to over the last decade, and have produced a range of scenarios that can at ...
Future climate change projections for the Latin American region
Future climate change projections for the Latin American region

... leading up to the middle of the century. Of particular interest would be aspects that are salient for agriculture, such as spatial scale and higher-order statistics of rainfall that impact crops, as well as possible advances in process-based understanding, climate model diagnostics, and empirical me ...
Links between ozone and climate (John Pyle, Co-Chair, SAP)
Links between ozone and climate (John Pyle, Co-Chair, SAP)

... • Different types of gases make different contributions to positive and negative forcing IPCC/TEAP 2005 ...
8 Appendix other age.. - The Work of Malcolm Roberts
8 Appendix other age.. - The Work of Malcolm Roberts

... authors of UN IPCC assessment reports. I am advised that many of the booklet’s other authors are from CSIRO or connected with CSIRO, an organisation benefitting enormously from government funding on climate and enmeshed in discredited UN IPCC activities. Please refer to Appendix 2 (UN IPCC) and Appe ...
VILLAGE AT PLAYA VISTA – SEA LEVEL RISE, MESTRE GREVE
VILLAGE AT PLAYA VISTA – SEA LEVEL RISE, MESTRE GREVE

... by noted scientists. The CCCC report uses a sea level rise of 4.6 feet. The 2006 report by Cayan shows a range of sea level rise projections for different assumptions with the range being 0.3 to 2.4 feet (0.1 to 0.72 meters). (The 2009 Cayan report increased their sea level rise projections.) Most i ...
Analysis of winter and summer warming rates in
Analysis of winter and summer warming rates in

... 'Office of Climatology, Arizona State University, Ternpe, Arizona 85287. USA 'Department of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia 22903, USA ...
1. Introduction
1. Introduction

... What the handbook does not do is provide a detailed discussion of the array of available methods and models, such as is provided in the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Handbook on Methods for Climate Change Impact Assessment and Adaptation Strategies (Feenstra et al., 1998). Nor does it ...
INTERACTIVE PDF INSTRUCTIONS
INTERACTIVE PDF INSTRUCTIONS

... for developing and developed countries. With the possible rise in sea levels, coastal management, including a re-examination of coastal defense structures such as dykes and seawalls, should be a priority. Flooding in coastal areas can propagate large distances inland to cause damage to infrastructur ...
Climate Change 2007. IPCC WG2
Climate Change 2007. IPCC WG2

... freshwater biological systems), are shown together with surface air temperature changes over the period 1970-2004. A subset of about 29,000 data series was selected from about 80,000 data series from 577 studies. These met the following criteria: (1) ending in 1990 or later; (2) spanning a period of ...
FRAMES IN REPORTS AND IN REPORTING: HOW FRAMING
FRAMES IN REPORTS AND IN REPORTING: HOW FRAMING

... present information in a particular context. Gross describes this context as a world view: “[. . .] through style, scientific communication conveys, along with the information it contains, a world view, a view of the world as the causal interaction of physical objects and events” [11, p. 935]. Gross ...
On the Risk of Overshooting 2°C - Potsdam Institute for Climate
On the Risk of Overshooting 2°C - Potsdam Institute for Climate

... http://ue.eu.int/ueDocs/cms_Data/docs/pressData/en/envir/83237.pdf ...
exxon`s weapons of mass deception
exxon`s weapons of mass deception

... reports which attempt to show that human activities such as burning fossil fuels have no role in global warming, that science does not suggest dangerous climate change, and that scientific findings do not support federal regulation. Baliunas is an expert in astrophysics, not climate, and the reports ...
2. Global climate change
2. Global climate change

... UK at a regional and national level. Key features of the scenarios will now be described. The structure of UKCIP will then be outlined and key findings from the application of the UKCIP98 scenarios in UKCIP studies will be summarised. The UKCIP98 scenarios comprise four scenarios (low, medium-low, ...
Science of Climate Change
Science of Climate Change

... the Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and in particular from its Synthesis Report1. The paper also takes account of science published since the AR4, and offers additional perspectives beyond the findings of the IPCC. ...
Climate Hype Exposed
Climate Hype Exposed

... It means governments nominate lead science authors who support this agenda; governments then have the final say on what the IPCC publishes, by writing the “Summary for Policymakers” (SPM) and using that summary to revise the underlying scientific studies, to support SPM analyses and conclusions. Its ...
Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate
Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate

... Both objective and subjective sources of information can be precise or imprecise. Imprecision occurs in the frequentist setting when the sample size is small, and in the subjective setting when experts are deeply uncertain and cannot give precise probabilities, and hence cannot quantify risk. In cli ...
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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is a scientific intergovernmental body under the auspices of the United Nations, set up at the request of member governments. It was first established in 1988 by two United Nations organizations, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), and later endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly through Resolution 43/53. Membership of the IPCC is open to all members of the WMO and UNEP.The IPCC produces reports that support the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which is the main international treaty on climate change. The ultimate objective of the UNFCCC is to ""stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic [i.e., human-induced] interference with the climate system"". IPCC reports cover ""the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.""The IPCC does not carry out its own original research, nor does it do the work of monitoring climate or related phenomena itself. The IPCC bases its assessment on the published literature, which includes peer-reviewed and non-peer-reviewed sources.Thousands of scientists and other experts contribute (on a voluntary basis, without payment from the IPCC) to writing and reviewing reports, which are then reviewed by governments. IPCC reports contain a ""Summary for Policymakers"", which is subject to line-by-line approval by delegates from all participating governments. Typically this involves the governments of more than 120 countries.The IPCC provides an internationally accepted authority on climate change, producing reports which have the agreement of leading climate scientists and the consensus of participating governments. The 2007 Nobel Peace Prize was shared, in two equal parts, between the IPCC and Al Gore.
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