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Climate change as a threat to biodiversity
Climate change as a threat to biodiversity

... and in this special section. The intention is not to develop all elements of the framework completely, but to illustrate each of the elements with particular reference to the climate change implications for biodiversity. In this way, the usefulness of the framework for discussion of complex policy i ...
The climate of the United Kingdom and recent trends
The climate of the United Kingdom and recent trends

... The changes in global temperature seen in Figure 1.1 could be due to a number of causes, both natural and man-made. Under the heading of natural we include the internal (chaotic) variability of the earth’s climate system and also naturallyforced changes such as cooling due to aerosol from energetic ...
2006 IPCC Guidelines on National Greenhouse Gas - ipcc
2006 IPCC Guidelines on National Greenhouse Gas - ipcc

...  No “Tier 1” Methods available for storage – this must be based on site specific evaluation  There are demonstration projects but no wide scale use of CCS. Some technologies are well known  Use of CO2 pipelines and associated equipment  Modelling and investigation of oil and gas fields WMO ...
New results on climate change mitigation 2007
New results on climate change mitigation 2007

... COP6bis/SBSTA ...
Impacts, Adaptations and Uncertainty in the face of Anthropogenic
Impacts, Adaptations and Uncertainty in the face of Anthropogenic

... the boreal forest (Natural Resources Canada, 2011)18. Fire disturbances are influenced by weather conditions. Increases in warm and dry weather conditions should result in increased frequency and severity of fires throughout Canada’s boreal forest (The Canada Country Study, 1998)19. The area burned ...
Some thoughts on a strategy for adaptation to
Some thoughts on a strategy for adaptation to

... SRES scenarios and the effects of the degree of pursued mitigation will start to influence the outcome for many climate change variables, and the corresponding economic, physical, and ecological impacts. For adaptation decisions that require a relatively limited lead time or where the infrastructure ...
Topic 3: Economic Vulnerability under Climate Change
Topic 3: Economic Vulnerability under Climate Change

... specify watts of climate forcing per square meter and reflect concentrations and corresponding emissions, but are not directly based on socio-economic storylines. Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) Scenarios that include time series of emissions and concentrations of the full suite of gree ...
The rise and rise of fluorinated greenhouse gases - Öko
The rise and rise of fluorinated greenhouse gases - Öko

... The data and projections presented in this summary are based on scientific assumptions described in long version of the study (in German). For the conclusions presented above, it is necessary to clarify four points:. 1. The 2002 data on global emissions of CFCs, HCFCs and HFCs (in addition to SF6 an ...
Georgia`s Climate Variability vs Climate Change
Georgia`s Climate Variability vs Climate Change

... Climate change will exacerbate stresses on diverse sectors in North America, including, but not limited to, urban centers, coastal communities, human health, water resources and managed and unmanaged ecosystems. ...
1. introduction
1. introduction

... The literature review portion of this thesis presents background that is vital in understanding the importance of addressing sea level rise impacts and adaptation mechanisms to climate change at West Bengal coast. The history of the West Bengal coast gives an understanding of how the region came to ...
Comment by:  Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
Comment by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger

... In May 2013, the Interagency Working Group (IWG) produced an updated SCC value by applying updates to the underlying three Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) used in its initial 2010 SCC determination, but did not update the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) employed in the IAMs. This was not d ...
on the model applied (particularly on the
on the model applied (particularly on the

... in the mid-latitudes produces cooling and decreases in the mean daily temperature range over many areas. The A2 scenario results in more significant change, often of opposite sign, than does the B1 scenario. As anthropogenic impacts on Earth_s surface continue to accelerate, the effects of these act ...
Climate Scientists and the Consensus on Climate Change
Climate Scientists and the Consensus on Climate Change

... was posted in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, the Climlist server, and...sent to institutional lists in Germany and Denmark’. Respondents (n = 558) came ‘from some 30 countries’, with fewer from Europe than in 1996. The method of sampling, sometimes known as ‘saturation sampling ...
4 The Importance of Methane
4 The Importance of Methane

... chemistry of both CH4 molecules and CO2 molecules in the atmosphere is complicated and is still subject to some uncertainty, but it is now understood by the IPCC scientists that, over a 20 year time frame, the impact of CH4 is four times more significant than the 1998 basis, which is still used for ...
Comment by:  Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
Comment by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger

... The likelihood of occurrence of these low probability, high impact, events (“tipping points”) is greatly diminished under the new ECS findings. The average 95th percentile value of the new literature survey is only 3.5°C indicating a very low probability of a warming reaching 3-5°C by 2100 as indic ...
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate

... study why the models are running hot and to obtain reasonable estimates of future anthropogenic temperature change. The model is calibrated against the climate-sensitivity interval projected by the CMIP3 suite of models and against global warming since 1850. Its utility is demonstrated by its applic ...
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate
Why models run hot: results from an irreducibly simple climate

... study why the models are running hot and to obtain reasonable estimates of future anthropogenic temperature change. The model is calibrated against the climate-sensitivity interval projected by the CMIP3 suite of models and against global warming since 1850. Its utility is demonstrated by its applic ...
Chapter 5: Pacific Island Developing Country Water Resources and
Chapter 5: Pacific Island Developing Country Water Resources and

... (Falkland and Custodio 1991). Surface water also contributes to the freshwater supply in Nauru, Palau, and on the high islands of the Cook Islands (Falkland and Custodio 1991). Nonconventional sources. Given the costs or nonfeasibility of nonconventional alternatives for many PIDCs, especially small ...
Comment by:  Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
Comment by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger

... in the IAMs. This was not done, despite there having been, since January 1, 2011, at least 11 new studies and 17 experiments (involving more than 44 researchers) examining the ECS, each lowering the best estimate and tightening the error distribution about that estimate. Instead, the IWG wrote in it ...
Comment by:  Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger
Comment by: Patrick J. Michaels and Paul C. Knappenberger

... in the IAMs. This was not done, despite there having been, since January 1, 2011, at least 11 new studies and 17 experiments (involving more than 44 researchers) examining the ECS, each lowering the best estimate and tightening the error distribution about that estimate. Instead, the IWG wrote in it ...
Center for Policy Research
Center for Policy Research

... Although "scientific consensus" is often cited in support of opposing views on global climate change, there has been little systematic study of prevailing opinion within the scientific community. Scientists are well aware that scientific consensus can be wrong, but, nonetheless, it is invoked freque ...
Glossary of Terms and Definitions on Climate Change and Adaptation
Glossary of Terms and Definitions on Climate Change and Adaptation

... accounting for all or some of its known properties. The climate system can be represented by models of varying complexity (differing in such aspects as the number of spatial dimensions, the extent to which physical, chemical, or biological processes are represented etc.). Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Ge ...
Ideological cultures and media discourses on
Ideological cultures and media discourses on

... 2. Science, ideology and the media Studies of the relation of science and the media were for long dominated by a “transmissional” notion of communication. The “canonical view,” typically conceptualizing science communication as “popularization,” was centered on issues of quantity and rigor: how much ...
UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol - Training for the State Negotiators on
UNFCCC and Kyoto Protocol - Training for the State Negotiators on

... COP, COP/MOP, SBSTA, SBI, AWG-lCA, and AWG-KP are led by an elected bureau of officers with representatives from the five UN regional groups + AOSIS ...
PDF
PDF

... adaptation. The question is, what is the appropriate mix? The material above shows that mitigation—emission reduction—does not have major effects until post 2040 so adaptation is certainly appropriate today. However sole reliance on adaptation leads to diminishing returns and effectiveness. Furtherm ...
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Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is a scientific intergovernmental body under the auspices of the United Nations, set up at the request of member governments. It was first established in 1988 by two United Nations organizations, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), and later endorsed by the United Nations General Assembly through Resolution 43/53. Membership of the IPCC is open to all members of the WMO and UNEP.The IPCC produces reports that support the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), which is the main international treaty on climate change. The ultimate objective of the UNFCCC is to ""stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic [i.e., human-induced] interference with the climate system"". IPCC reports cover ""the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation.""The IPCC does not carry out its own original research, nor does it do the work of monitoring climate or related phenomena itself. The IPCC bases its assessment on the published literature, which includes peer-reviewed and non-peer-reviewed sources.Thousands of scientists and other experts contribute (on a voluntary basis, without payment from the IPCC) to writing and reviewing reports, which are then reviewed by governments. IPCC reports contain a ""Summary for Policymakers"", which is subject to line-by-line approval by delegates from all participating governments. Typically this involves the governments of more than 120 countries.The IPCC provides an internationally accepted authority on climate change, producing reports which have the agreement of leading climate scientists and the consensus of participating governments. The 2007 Nobel Peace Prize was shared, in two equal parts, between the IPCC and Al Gore.
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