Flood hazard maps in Matucana village under climate change
... Arithmetic mean values of the precipitation for the periods 2010–2039, 2040–2069 and 2070– 2099 were estimated by using projected percentage changes according to the ECHAM4 (European Center – Hamburg 4), NCAR PCM (National Center for Atmospheric Research – Parallel Climate Model) and HADCM3 (Hadley ...
... Arithmetic mean values of the precipitation for the periods 2010–2039, 2040–2069 and 2070– 2099 were estimated by using projected percentage changes according to the ECHAM4 (European Center – Hamburg 4), NCAR PCM (National Center for Atmospheric Research – Parallel Climate Model) and HADCM3 (Hadley ...
Expert Judgment for Climate Change Adaptation
... than today’s and with more intense hot weather events (High Speed Two Limited, 2013). Several coastal sites in the UK are currently being evaluated for new build nuclear power stations; the choice of site, as well as the physical design and adaptive management plan are sensitive to long term project ...
... than today’s and with more intense hot weather events (High Speed Two Limited, 2013). Several coastal sites in the UK are currently being evaluated for new build nuclear power stations; the choice of site, as well as the physical design and adaptive management plan are sensitive to long term project ...
INTERREG IIIB ASTRA PROJECT Report on Generation, Use and
... large scale predictors. These relationships can be based on a range of mathematical functions and fitting routines (cf. Wilby et al. 2002, for an overview and, for example, Fig. 2). Advantages of these methods are there computational efficiency, the possibility to apply them easily to several GCMs a ...
... large scale predictors. These relationships can be based on a range of mathematical functions and fitting routines (cf. Wilby et al. 2002, for an overview and, for example, Fig. 2). Advantages of these methods are there computational efficiency, the possibility to apply them easily to several GCMs a ...
Great Decisions Energy Use and Global Warming — Fact Sheet
... (8) L. Cifuentes, V. H. Borja-Aburto, N. Gouveia, G. Thurston, and D. Lee Davis, “Hidden health benefits of greenhouse gas mitigation,” Science 293, 1257 (2001). (9) R. Aktar, R. Cavacavallo, D. Gubler, A. Haines, R. S. Kovats, P. Martens, J. Patz, A. Sasaki, (Lead authors), K. L. Ebi, D. Focks, L. ...
... (8) L. Cifuentes, V. H. Borja-Aburto, N. Gouveia, G. Thurston, and D. Lee Davis, “Hidden health benefits of greenhouse gas mitigation,” Science 293, 1257 (2001). (9) R. Aktar, R. Cavacavallo, D. Gubler, A. Haines, R. S. Kovats, P. Martens, J. Patz, A. Sasaki, (Lead authors), K. L. Ebi, D. Focks, L. ...
The challenges of building cosmopolitan climate expertise
... skeleton agreement for the FCCC. Its second report helped to catalyze the negotiations that finally resulted in the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. In 2007, climate change became a priority political issue in many industrialized countries, and the Nobel Peace Prize was awarded jointly to the IPCC and former ...
... skeleton agreement for the FCCC. Its second report helped to catalyze the negotiations that finally resulted in the Kyoto Protocol of 1997. In 2007, climate change became a priority political issue in many industrialized countries, and the Nobel Peace Prize was awarded jointly to the IPCC and former ...
Climate Impacts in Mesoamerican Countries
... rainfall in storms not well captured by these global models. In particular, if the number of storms does not change, Knutson and Tuleya (2004) estimate nearly a 20% increase in average precipitation rate within 100 km of the storm centre at the time of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) doubling.’ The ...
... rainfall in storms not well captured by these global models. In particular, if the number of storms does not change, Knutson and Tuleya (2004) estimate nearly a 20% increase in average precipitation rate within 100 km of the storm centre at the time of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) doubling.’ The ...
Climate Change Science
... It is important to understand the difference between “weather” and “climate”. What is happening in the atmosphere at any given time is considered “weather” (including e.g. wind speed and direction, precipitation, barometric pressure, temperature, and relative humidity). Weather changes in the short ...
... It is important to understand the difference between “weather” and “climate”. What is happening in the atmosphere at any given time is considered “weather” (including e.g. wind speed and direction, precipitation, barometric pressure, temperature, and relative humidity). Weather changes in the short ...
Box 1.3
... ΔTs = λΔF The reason surface temperature changes in different models are not usually compared directly is that the climate sensitivity is poorly known and varies by a factor of three between different climate models (IPCC, 2001, Chapter 9). Further, climate model studies have shown that, for many fo ...
... ΔTs = λΔF The reason surface temperature changes in different models are not usually compared directly is that the climate sensitivity is poorly known and varies by a factor of three between different climate models (IPCC, 2001, Chapter 9). Further, climate model studies have shown that, for many fo ...
WOrld ClimaTE rESEarCH PrOGrammE GlOBal SEa
... The new scientific evidence discussed above suggests that the future ice-sheet contribution to sea-level rise ...
... The new scientific evidence discussed above suggests that the future ice-sheet contribution to sea-level rise ...
FORTY-FOURTH SESSION OF THE IPCC Bangkok, Thailand, 17
... Climate Change (IPCC) “to provide a special report in 2018 on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways”. In paragraph 2 of its Decision IPCC/XLIII-6 on the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) – Special Reports - the IPCC decides ...
... Climate Change (IPCC) “to provide a special report in 2018 on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways”. In paragraph 2 of its Decision IPCC/XLIII-6 on the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) – Special Reports - the IPCC decides ...
Cascading uncertainty in climate change models and its implications
... and climate post 2100. There is also very little change in equilibrium climate sensitivity to doubling of atmospheric CO2. The uncertainties around future projections may increase by up to 20%, but this is because of our greater understanding of the processes and our ability to quantify that knowled ...
... and climate post 2100. There is also very little change in equilibrium climate sensitivity to doubling of atmospheric CO2. The uncertainties around future projections may increase by up to 20%, but this is because of our greater understanding of the processes and our ability to quantify that knowled ...
Thermohaline circulation changes: a question of risk
... The report also disappoints in a more fundamental way: it fails to understand the issue of future ocean circulation changes as an issue of risk assessment, rather than one of climate prediction. In climate prediction, the question is “What is most likely to happen?” In a risk assessment, the questi ...
... The report also disappoints in a more fundamental way: it fails to understand the issue of future ocean circulation changes as an issue of risk assessment, rather than one of climate prediction. In climate prediction, the question is “What is most likely to happen?” In a risk assessment, the questi ...
Climate Change in the Pacific | Volume 1: Regional Overview
... • Education, training and awareness. • Contributing to global greenhouse gas reduction. • Partnerships and cooperation. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC, 2007) found significant research gaps which needed to be filled to better inform climate change a ...
... • Education, training and awareness. • Contributing to global greenhouse gas reduction. • Partnerships and cooperation. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC, 2007) found significant research gaps which needed to be filled to better inform climate change a ...
Facts and Projections on Climate Change
... four decades, the contribution of economic growth to emission growth has risen sharply during the last years. Between 2000 and 2010, both drivers outpaced emission reductions caused by improvements in energy intensity. Moreover, increased use of coal relative to other energy sources has reversed the ...
... four decades, the contribution of economic growth to emission growth has risen sharply during the last years. Between 2000 and 2010, both drivers outpaced emission reductions caused by improvements in energy intensity. Moreover, increased use of coal relative to other energy sources has reversed the ...
2. The Earth, biosphere, climate and Man
... The change in the atmospheric composition and the resulting climate change result in a cascade of impacts with numerous linkages (see figure 3.3 for some selected aspects of the whole cascade). Many impacts and linkages are now increasingly confirmed by the observations such as presented in this pre ...
... The change in the atmospheric composition and the resulting climate change result in a cascade of impacts with numerous linkages (see figure 3.3 for some selected aspects of the whole cascade). Many impacts and linkages are now increasingly confirmed by the observations such as presented in this pre ...
IPCC WGII email part 2
... You will see that Professor Tol describes 'The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review' as "grey literature" and declares that it "has no place in the IPCC’s work". I note that Professor Tol has apparently ensured that the Stern Review is not cited at all in Chapter 10, even though the corresp ...
... You will see that Professor Tol describes 'The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review' as "grey literature" and declares that it "has no place in the IPCC’s work". I note that Professor Tol has apparently ensured that the Stern Review is not cited at all in Chapter 10, even though the corresp ...
Monitoring and Assessment of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Mitigation Potential in Agriculture: the new greenhouse Gas Emissions database in FAOSTAT; and Presentation and discussion of the conclusions and recommendations of the greenhouse gas emission and mitigation workshop
... • Increase in the submission frequency of National Communications submitted by non– Annex I countries; • Commitment to develop country-specific emission factors, i.e., higher tiers for calculating emissions; and • Establishment of a coherent data platform that can be used to benchmark National Comm ...
... • Increase in the submission frequency of National Communications submitted by non– Annex I countries; • Commitment to develop country-specific emission factors, i.e., higher tiers for calculating emissions; and • Establishment of a coherent data platform that can be used to benchmark National Comm ...
Erian-IPCC report on Climate Change & DRR-Day2
... Confidence is low in projections of changes in monsoons (rainfall, circulation) because there is little consensus in climate models regarding the sign of future change in the monsoons. Model projections of changes in El Niño–Southern Oscillation variability and the frequency of El Niño episodes are ...
... Confidence is low in projections of changes in monsoons (rainfall, circulation) because there is little consensus in climate models regarding the sign of future change in the monsoons. Model projections of changes in El Niño–Southern Oscillation variability and the frequency of El Niño episodes are ...
Author`s personal copy
... model predictions). Then, in 2012, another record minimum was set (Stroeve et al., 2007). ! CO2 emissions were also tracking the high-end scenarios developed in 1999 and applied in AR4, showing that scientists’ ‘‘worst-case scenario’’ has in fact been realized (Allison et al., 2009, p. 9; see also N ...
... model predictions). Then, in 2012, another record minimum was set (Stroeve et al., 2007). ! CO2 emissions were also tracking the high-end scenarios developed in 1999 and applied in AR4, showing that scientists’ ‘‘worst-case scenario’’ has in fact been realized (Allison et al., 2009, p. 9; see also N ...
Is the Earth still recovering from the “Little Ice Age”?
... The fact that an almost linear change has been progressing, without a distinct change of slope, from as early as 1800 or even earlier (about 1660, even before the Industrial Revolution), suggests that the linear change is natural change. As shown at the top diagram of Figure 1, a rapid increase of ...
... The fact that an almost linear change has been progressing, without a distinct change of slope, from as early as 1800 or even earlier (about 1660, even before the Industrial Revolution), suggests that the linear change is natural change. As shown at the top diagram of Figure 1, a rapid increase of ...
AGENDA
... University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii Hosted by IPRC sponsored by WCRP, IGBP, US National Science Foundation, Climate Central ...
... University of Hawaii, Honolulu, Hawaii Hosted by IPRC sponsored by WCRP, IGBP, US National Science Foundation, Climate Central ...
Austrian Assessment Report Climate Change 2014 (AAR14)
... Climate change and the associated impacts show large regional differences. For example, the Mediterranean region can expect a significant decrease in precipitation as well as an associated reduction of water availability. In coastal areas, especially when densely populated, climate change induced se ...
... Climate change and the associated impacts show large regional differences. For example, the Mediterranean region can expect a significant decrease in precipitation as well as an associated reduction of water availability. In coastal areas, especially when densely populated, climate change induced se ...
Chapter XX Collapse of IPCC
... I have been closely involved in research on water resources, floods and natural disasters at national and international level for the past 35 years, personally as well as a research administrator and coordinator. Since 1993 I have been involved in studies of linkages between climate variability and ...
... I have been closely involved in research on water resources, floods and natural disasters at national and international level for the past 35 years, personally as well as a research administrator and coordinator. Since 1993 I have been involved in studies of linkages between climate variability and ...
A noodle, hockey stick, and spaghetti plate: a perspective on high-resolution paleoclimatology
... back to place recent temperature change in the context of the perhaps temporally nearest natural warm analog: the MWP. Such analyses are of relevance as they allow the forcing and variability responsible for natural warm and cool conditions to be understood and contrasted with the current and more d ...
... back to place recent temperature change in the context of the perhaps temporally nearest natural warm analog: the MWP. Such analyses are of relevance as they allow the forcing and variability responsible for natural warm and cool conditions to be understood and contrasted with the current and more d ...
What does the IPCC say about Bangladesh?
... climate change and its impacts. The IPCC was first established in 1988 by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The IPCC is the leading international body for the assessment of climate change, and thousands of scientists and other experts co ...
... climate change and its impacts. The IPCC was first established in 1988 by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The IPCC is the leading international body for the assessment of climate change, and thousands of scientists and other experts co ...