Dealing With Complexity and Extreme Events Using a Bottom-Up,
... 2010; Pielke Jr. et al., 2007]. There are several reasons why top-down IPCC-type multidecadal global climate change model predictions are not able to accurately predict changes in the climate system over this time period. First, as a necessary condition for an accurate prediction, the multidecadal G ...
... 2010; Pielke Jr. et al., 2007]. There are several reasons why top-down IPCC-type multidecadal global climate change model predictions are not able to accurately predict changes in the climate system over this time period. First, as a necessary condition for an accurate prediction, the multidecadal G ...
Preparing for worst case climate change scenarios
... Background and focus On request of Minister Jacqueline Cramer the 7th meeting of the VROM International Affairs Think Tank, scheduled for 8 July 2009, will address to the topic “Preparing for worst case climate change scenarios”. A number of developments have led to this decision. Up till now the la ...
... Background and focus On request of Minister Jacqueline Cramer the 7th meeting of the VROM International Affairs Think Tank, scheduled for 8 July 2009, will address to the topic “Preparing for worst case climate change scenarios”. A number of developments have led to this decision. Up till now the la ...
Warm Arctic—cold continents: climate impacts of the newly open
... data from various sources listed on the website.) (b) Extended annual mean surface air temperature (SAT) record for the AtlanticArctic boundary region based on composite land station records (Wood et al. 2010). Ninety-five percent confidence limits are shown. Decadal-scale variations are emphasized ...
... data from various sources listed on the website.) (b) Extended annual mean surface air temperature (SAT) record for the AtlanticArctic boundary region based on composite land station records (Wood et al. 2010). Ninety-five percent confidence limits are shown. Decadal-scale variations are emphasized ...
Climate Change, Agricultural Production and Food Security
... The DCGE model is specifically built to capture the economic, distributional, and nutrition effects of climate change in Yemen. Given the importance of agriculture for income generation and the satisfaction of consumption needs, the model captures both the sectoral and spatial heterogeneity of crop ...
... The DCGE model is specifically built to capture the economic, distributional, and nutrition effects of climate change in Yemen. Given the importance of agriculture for income generation and the satisfaction of consumption needs, the model captures both the sectoral and spatial heterogeneity of crop ...
Climate Change Survey Measures: Exploring Perceived Bias and
... Great Plains Research 24 (Fall 2014):153–168. Copyright © 2014 by the Center for Great Plains Studies, University of Nebraska–Lincoln ...
... Great Plains Research 24 (Fall 2014):153–168. Copyright © 2014 by the Center for Great Plains Studies, University of Nebraska–Lincoln ...
Sensitivity analysis of snow patterns in Swiss ski resorts to shifts in
... To assess the impacts of climate change on ski resorts, it is necessary to simulate values of snow depth within the ski areas themselves. However, the weather stations are usually not situated directly on ski slopes; consequently, the analysis of snow cover has been divided into two phases. Firstly, ...
... To assess the impacts of climate change on ski resorts, it is necessary to simulate values of snow depth within the ski areas themselves. However, the weather stations are usually not situated directly on ski slopes; consequently, the analysis of snow cover has been divided into two phases. Firstly, ...
PDF
... Recent projections of rainfall change for the MDB suggest a decline in winter and spring rainfall by the year 2030. In summer, rainfall may either decrease or increase, with increases slightly more likely, while in autumn the direction of rainfall change is uncertain. Possible rainfall increases are ...
... Recent projections of rainfall change for the MDB suggest a decline in winter and spring rainfall by the year 2030. In summer, rainfall may either decrease or increase, with increases slightly more likely, while in autumn the direction of rainfall change is uncertain. Possible rainfall increases are ...
Draft Resolution X
... has established climate change as a Priority Area for Interdisciplinary Action, in order to assist countries in developing cross-sectoral policies to address the negative impacts of climate variability and change on agriculture; has organized the “High-Level Conference on World Food Security: The Ch ...
... has established climate change as a Priority Area for Interdisciplinary Action, in order to assist countries in developing cross-sectoral policies to address the negative impacts of climate variability and change on agriculture; has organized the “High-Level Conference on World Food Security: The Ch ...
for tanzania. - The REDD Desk
... various sectors which are important for the economy. Tanzania NAPA document is informed by the aspirations of National Development Vision 2025 for high and shared growth, quality livelihood, peace, stability and unity, good governance, high quality education and global competitiveness. Since Tanzani ...
... various sectors which are important for the economy. Tanzania NAPA document is informed by the aspirations of National Development Vision 2025 for high and shared growth, quality livelihood, peace, stability and unity, good governance, high quality education and global competitiveness. Since Tanzani ...
SDSM-a decision support tool for the assessment of regional
... with the assembly of coincident predictor and predictand data sets. Although the predictands are typically individual daily weather series, obtained from meteorological observations at single sites (e.g. daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, hours of sunshine, wind speed, etc.), the ...
... with the assembly of coincident predictor and predictand data sets. Although the predictands are typically individual daily weather series, obtained from meteorological observations at single sites (e.g. daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature, hours of sunshine, wind speed, etc.), the ...
Antarctic precipitation and climate-change predictions: horizontal
... Models vary in terms of treatment of the climate-system physics and in terms of resolution. The meridional resolution ranges from 1.28 to 48, with an average of 2.58. Horizontal resolution is generally not perfectly isotropic, particularly at high latitudes where meridians converge. Here, since the ...
... Models vary in terms of treatment of the climate-system physics and in terms of resolution. The meridional resolution ranges from 1.28 to 48, with an average of 2.58. Horizontal resolution is generally not perfectly isotropic, particularly at high latitudes where meridians converge. Here, since the ...
Nullifying the climate null hypothesis
... argued that null hypothesis testing leads to relatively little increase in understanding and diverts attention from issues of estimation of effect size and meaningful mechanistic understanding and modeling of predictive and causal relationships. A frequent criticism of null hypothesis testing is the ...
... argued that null hypothesis testing leads to relatively little increase in understanding and diverts attention from issues of estimation of effect size and meaningful mechanistic understanding and modeling of predictive and causal relationships. A frequent criticism of null hypothesis testing is the ...
Good practice for the usage of climate model simulation results
... observed climate. For determining climate signals, however, it is necessary to use the GCM-driven 20C RCM runs for comparison with future scenario runs to avoid including any GCM-borne errors into the climate signal analysis. 4. Future climate projections: GCM simulation results under the assumption ...
... observed climate. For determining climate signals, however, it is necessary to use the GCM-driven 20C RCM runs for comparison with future scenario runs to avoid including any GCM-borne errors into the climate signal analysis. 4. Future climate projections: GCM simulation results under the assumption ...
PICES Scientific Report No. 28 2005 REPORT OF THE STUDY
... The California Current System (CCS) extends from British Columbia, Canada, to northern Baja California, Mexico. It is a well-studied area and benefits from a comparatively long history of physical and biological observations. Conditions in the CCS are subject to decade-scale regime behavior, with an ...
... The California Current System (CCS) extends from British Columbia, Canada, to northern Baja California, Mexico. It is a well-studied area and benefits from a comparatively long history of physical and biological observations. Conditions in the CCS are subject to decade-scale regime behavior, with an ...
Why Have the Leading Journals in Management
... acceptance of an article and its eventual publication in a journal (Hamermesh 1994, Ellison 2002.). Consequently, there is always likely to be a discrepancy in the number and speed of articles produced by scientists compared to the social sciences. Nevertheless, Figure 1 shows that many articles re ...
... acceptance of an article and its eventual publication in a journal (Hamermesh 1994, Ellison 2002.). Consequently, there is always likely to be a discrepancy in the number and speed of articles produced by scientists compared to the social sciences. Nevertheless, Figure 1 shows that many articles re ...
Assessments of moisture fluxes east of the Andes in South America
... (2004) show that this transport exhibits an annual cycle, where in summer, the moisture that goes into the La Plata Basin is mostly from the Amazon region. In winter, on the other hand, even though we can have moisture transport from the Amazon region, it is observed that the moisture transport of t ...
... (2004) show that this transport exhibits an annual cycle, where in summer, the moisture that goes into the La Plata Basin is mostly from the Amazon region. In winter, on the other hand, even though we can have moisture transport from the Amazon region, it is observed that the moisture transport of t ...
Historical and Idealized Climate Model Experiments: An EMIC
... variety of Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs) as part of a community contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report. Historical simulations start at 850 CE and continue through to 2005. The standard simulations include changes in forcing fro ...
... variety of Earth System Models of Intermediate Complexity (EMICs) as part of a community contribution to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report. Historical simulations start at 850 CE and continue through to 2005. The standard simulations include changes in forcing fro ...
2012 Annual Report on the Monitoring of
... 7 miles from the trailhead), treacherous or unsafe terrain, or inappropriate for sampling because of significant activities not representative of national forest management like major water diversions, extensive private land in close proximity or flow manipulations not under the jurisdiction of the ...
... 7 miles from the trailhead), treacherous or unsafe terrain, or inappropriate for sampling because of significant activities not representative of national forest management like major water diversions, extensive private land in close proximity or flow manipulations not under the jurisdiction of the ...
18_Lecture_Presentation_PC
... organisms, ecosystems, and human well-being Scientists have studied the many aspects of climate change Climate variables have been monitored, building a long-term database for researchers to study ...
... organisms, ecosystems, and human well-being Scientists have studied the many aspects of climate change Climate variables have been monitored, building a long-term database for researchers to study ...
Operating in Limits: Defining an Australian
... per cent target by 2050 would see Australians use four times as much of the global budget as the average person globally. Put another way if other countries emitted, per person, a comparable amount of emissions to that implied by Australia’s current emission targets then total emissions to 2050 woul ...
... per cent target by 2050 would see Australians use four times as much of the global budget as the average person globally. Put another way if other countries emitted, per person, a comparable amount of emissions to that implied by Australia’s current emission targets then total emissions to 2050 woul ...
Request for Expression of Interest Firm - World Bank E
... The GEF Climate Change (CC) focal area is one of the six focal areas supported by the GEF Trust Fund as well as the Least Developed Countries Trust Fund (LDCF) and the Special Climate Change Trust Fund (SCCF) administered by the GEF, all serving as financial mechanisms of the UN Framework Convention ...
... The GEF Climate Change (CC) focal area is one of the six focal areas supported by the GEF Trust Fund as well as the Least Developed Countries Trust Fund (LDCF) and the Special Climate Change Trust Fund (SCCF) administered by the GEF, all serving as financial mechanisms of the UN Framework Convention ...
Texas Coastal Bend Regional Climate Change Vulnerability
... Past trends provide strong support for the direct correlation between carbon dioxide concentrations and temperature variations (Figure 5; National Research Council 2010). Carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases trap and re-emit heat into Earth’s system. With higher concentrations of GHG in the ...
... Past trends provide strong support for the direct correlation between carbon dioxide concentrations and temperature variations (Figure 5; National Research Council 2010). Carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases trap and re-emit heat into Earth’s system. With higher concentrations of GHG in the ...
Climate modulation of the Tibetan Plateau on haze in China
... simulations of the distribution and variation of global and regional aerosols (Zhao et al., 2012; Gong et al., 2012). Regional variations of aerosols in east Asia are reasonably captured by the GEM-AQ/EC model, compared to the observed aerosol concentrations and aerosol optical depth. Air quality ch ...
... simulations of the distribution and variation of global and regional aerosols (Zhao et al., 2012; Gong et al., 2012). Regional variations of aerosols in east Asia are reasonably captured by the GEM-AQ/EC model, compared to the observed aerosol concentrations and aerosol optical depth. Air quality ch ...
Analyses of the Effects of Global Change on Human Health and
... posed by climate change. The first section of this chapter focuses on climate-related impacts on human morbidity and mortality from extreme weather, vector-, water- and foodborne diseases, and changes in air quality. For each health endpoint, the assessment addresses the potential impacts, populatio ...
... posed by climate change. The first section of this chapter focuses on climate-related impacts on human morbidity and mortality from extreme weather, vector-, water- and foodborne diseases, and changes in air quality. For each health endpoint, the assessment addresses the potential impacts, populatio ...
Adaptation to climate change in the developing world
... analysts even outside the IPCC process that, by its nature, cannot be all-encompassing. Participants at a meeting in London in October 2001, hosted by the Tyndall Centre and the International Institute for Environment and Development, including climate scientists, humanitarian relief and internation ...
... analysts even outside the IPCC process that, by its nature, cannot be all-encompassing. Participants at a meeting in London in October 2001, hosted by the Tyndall Centre and the International Institute for Environment and Development, including climate scientists, humanitarian relief and internation ...
Instrumental temperature record
The instrumental temperature record shows fluctuations of the temperature of earth's climate system. Initially the instrumental temperature record only documented land and sea surface temperature, but in recent decades instruments have also begun recording ocean temperature. Data is collected from thousands of meteorological stations around the globe and through satellite observations. The longest-running temperature record is the Central England temperature data series, that starts in 1659. The longest-running quasi-global record starts in 1850.