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Osman-Elasha_IPCC_5AR_Adaptation needs
Osman-Elasha_IPCC_5AR_Adaptation needs

... Africa Specific Findings (3) Despite implementation limitations, Africa’s adaptation experiences nonetheless highlight valuable lessons for enhancing and scaling up the adaptation response, including principles for good practice and integrated approaches to adaptation (high confidence).  Strengthe ...
A critical exploration of the concept of `climate stabilization`
A critical exploration of the concept of `climate stabilization`

Energy-Water-Climate Change Scenario Report
Energy-Water-Climate Change Scenario Report

Modelling the Miocene climatic optimum, Part 1: land and atmosphere
Modelling the Miocene climatic optimum, Part 1: land and atmosphere

... areas such as the Tibetan Plateau and Andean Cordillera (see Herold et al. (2008) for details). ...
Inter-hemispheric linkages in climate change
Inter-hemispheric linkages in climate change

... the East Asia to Australasia region, and PEPIII extends from Northern Europe to Southern Africa. Under the auspices of the PEPs hundreds of scientists have been involved in dozens of projects. The PEPs have played a major role in bringing together disparate regions and research disciplines into cohe ...
Copernicus Climate Change Services
Copernicus Climate Change Services

...  Develop further appropriate links with WIS, WMO GFCS, etc.  Co-develop and integrate technical solutions for the C3S portal and Climate Data Store in the operational phase  Provide computing support for reanalysis and seasonal forecast ...
CIRCE urban heat island simulations
CIRCE urban heat island simulations

... 2. Including cities in a regional climate model Urbanization greatly affects surface characteristics and its interaction with the wider atmosphere. This leads to distinct urban climates that can differ substantially from rural environments. The most apparent consequence of this is the urban heat isl ...
U.S. Senate Report
U.S. Senate Report

... Scientists Convert to Skeptics After Reviewing New Research – (LINK) - In addition, an August 2007 report detailed how proponents of man-made global warming fears enjoy a monumental funding advantage over skeptical scientists. LINK) ] The report counters the claims made by the promoters of man-made ...
Cultural Dynamics of Climate Change and the Environment in
Cultural Dynamics of Climate Change and the Environment in

... of climate change are situated, power-laden, media-fed and recursive in an ongoing battlefield of knowledge and interpretation.18 Mass media link these varied spaces together, as powerful and important interpreters of climate science and policy, translating what can often be alienating, jargon-laden ...
detailed chapter
detailed chapter

Climate change and the northern Russian treeline zone
Climate change and the northern Russian treeline zone

... Climate change and the northern Russian treeline zone G. M. MacDonald*, K. V. Kremenetski and D. W. Beilman Department of Geography, University of California-Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1524, USA The Russian treeline is a dynamic ecotone typified by steep gradients in summer temperature and r ...
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species
Functional and Phylogenetic Approaches to Forecasting Species

... The magnitude of climate change varies considerably across locations and seasons. One midrange climate change scenario predicts that average annual global temperatures will increase by 2.45◦ C from 1950–1990 to 2070–2100. However, polar and temperate areas (>20◦ N and S) are expected to incur more p ...
Hunting on a hot day: effects of temperature on interactions between
Hunting on a hot day: effects of temperature on interactions between

... and kilograms of meat obtained per individual (b  =  0.083 ± 0.065 SE, z  =  1.27, P  =  0.21) were not detectably related to temperature deviation (Fig. 3). Consistent with the observation that number of kills increased with temperature deviation but kilograms of meat obtained per individual did no ...
Ice Age DA - GDI - 2011
Ice Age DA - GDI - 2011

... Contrary to the conventional wisdom of the day, the real danger facing humanity is not global warming, but more likely the coming of a new Ice Age. What we live in now is known as an interglacial, a relatively brief period between long ice ages. Unfortunately for us, most interglacial periods last o ...
Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models
Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models

Presenters
Presenters

Download (PDF)
Download (PDF)

Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current
Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current

... In this paper we do not address how meteorological drought propagates to agricultural or hydrological droughts, or how soil moisture feedbacks, temperature changes, or human water use act to maintain or even amplify the different types of drought, although these issues are addressed to varying degre ...
Emergence of a midseason period of low floral resources in a
Emergence of a midseason period of low floral resources in a

Chapter 3
Chapter 3

... • Wang & Liang (2009) found that daily downwelling LW increased at an average rate of 2.2 W/m2 per decade from 1973 to 2008. The rising trend results from increases in air temperature, atmospheric water vapor, and CO2 concentration. • Evans & Puckrin (2006) - an energy flux imbalance of 3.5 W/m2 has ...
Enhanced weathering strategies for stabilizing climate and averting
Enhanced weathering strategies for stabilizing climate and averting

... mitigation)9,10 indicates that enhanced weathering could lower atmospheric CO2 by 30–300 ppm by 2100, depending mainly on silicate rock application rate (1 kg or 5 kg m−2 yr−1 ) and composition. At the higher application rate, end-of-century ocean acidification is reversed under RCP4.5 and reduced b ...
i4332e11
i4332e11

... differences among the world’s major crops – such as between C3 and C4 crops, and between crops grown in temperate and tropical latitudes. For example, a synthesis of adaptation studies of wheat yield found that adaptation counteracted the equivalent of 4.5 to 5oC of warming in the mid to high latitu ...
Mixed Messages - National Center for Science Education
Mixed Messages - National Center for Science Education

- Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme
- Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme

... In this sub-region, recent warmer winters and changing snow conditions are thought to have contributed to declines in some reindeer populations and to the observed collapse in lemming and small rodent population peaks in recent decades. Such collapses in turn lead to a decrease in populations of bir ...
What Do Editorial Cartoons about the 21st United
What Do Editorial Cartoons about the 21st United

... would carry the torch of freedom to authoritarian regimes… [B]ut it seems that it may be the torch of authoritarianism that is being carried by those most determined to go global.”30 The meta-narrative of the debate is still in the process of formation. The New Yorker’s writer, Jonathan Franzen, des ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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