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What shapes perceptions of climate change?
What shapes perceptions of climate change?

... is not easily and accurately identified by the lay public, using their normal tools of observation and inference. Climate is a statistical phenomenon, a term that describes average weather conditions or their typical range for a region. Climate change in the meteorological sense refers to systematic ...
Teacher manual - Government of Grenada
Teacher manual - Government of Grenada

... Development for initiating and supporting the development of this toolkit which our future leaders can use now. We commend the material authored by the Integrated Climate Change Adaptation Strategies Programme in Grenada (ICCAS), in particular the Environment Division and the Deutsche Gesellschaft f ...
full publication
full publication

... need to be reduced dramatically. This report was commissioned by the Institute for Public Policy Research (ippr) as part of its project on how to stimulate climate-friendly behaviour in the UK. Putting in place effective policies to achieve that is clearly essential, but so too is the use of effecti ...
A Just Climate: Our Responsibility To Act
A Just Climate: Our Responsibility To Act

... issues vital to human development, such as the protection of human rights, gender equity, good governance, environmental sustainability, access to healthcare, and other relevant factors that directly impact on human development in a particular context. These issues should not be considered in isolat ...
Contribution of oceanic and vegetation feedbacks to Holocene
Contribution of oceanic and vegetation feedbacks to Holocene

... Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany Institute, KlimaCampus, University Hamburg, Germany 3 International Max-Planck-Research School, Hamburg, Germany 2 Meteorological ...
Aquatic Microbial Ecology 70:17 - ICM-CSIC
Aquatic Microbial Ecology 70:17 - ICM-CSIC

... affect bacterial and viral abundance and production, protist community composition, and bacterial loss rates (bacterivory and lysis) in 2 contrasting Arctic marine systems. In July 2009, we collected samples from open Arctic waters in the Barents Sea and Atlantic-influenced waters in Isfjorden, Sval ...
Challenges of a Sustained Climate Observing System
Challenges of a Sustained Climate Observing System

Fisheries-dependent indicators of climate change in Western Australia
Fisheries-dependent indicators of climate change in Western Australia

... and location of storms (and rainfall) affecting the lower west coast of WA; and (f) change in frequency of cyclones (and summer rainfall) affecting the north-west of WA. One of the areas of greatest increase in surface sea temperatures (SST) (0.02oC per year) in the Indian Ocean over the last 50 yea ...
Download paper (PDF)
Download paper (PDF)

... To set the stage, we begin by surveying the area where economics has the least direct relevance: understanding the relationship between greenhouse gas buildup and possible future climate states. What can the scientiÞc community tell us about these relationships, and with what degree of certainty? Th ...
challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle
challenges in quantifying changes in the global water cycle

... (Liepert et al. 2004; Wu et al. 2013). Aerosols reduce et al. 2014) and influence the East Asian monsoon the available energy for evaporation, and absorbing (e.g., Lau et al. 2006; Meehl et al. 2008; Guo et al. aerosols such as black carbon locally heat the atmo- 2012; Polson et al. 2014) and midlat ...
Approaches for generating climate change scenarios for use in
Approaches for generating climate change scenarios for use in

... research which supports a picture of a warming world with significant changes in regional climate systems. For instance, an increase in the area of the globe affected by drought under enhanced greenhouse gas conditions is likely, despite much variation between regions and across climate change scena ...
Citizen Science Reveals Unexpected Continental-Scale
Citizen Science Reveals Unexpected Continental-Scale

Workshop Booklet - Global Ocean Acidification Observing Network
Workshop Booklet - Global Ocean Acidification Observing Network

... processes  responsible  for  those  changes  is  not  a  trivial  task.  Similarly,  change  may  be   obscured  by  compensative  mechanisms  that  are  not  individually  measured.  Finally,  models   can  provide  a  platform  to  test ...
Policy makers lament women`s vulnerablity to HIV infection, yet for
Policy makers lament women`s vulnerablity to HIV infection, yet for

... Two years ago, thousands of scientists came together in the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC). We agreed that the climate system was warming unequivocally and that, if current rates of greenhouse gas emissions from human activity continue, the world would see further warming, accompan ...
1 - EconStor
1 - EconStor

... consistent manner. Section five describes the data underlying the empirical exercise and section six refers to results from two very different models of consumer demand. Section seven investigates further the extent to which climate contributes to differences in the cost of living in various Japanes ...
Downscaling Tools - University of Victoria
Downscaling Tools - University of Victoria

... The Canadian Climate Impacts Scenarios (CCIS) Project is funded by the Climate Change Action Fund and provides climate change scenarios and related information to the VIA community in Canada ...
Explaining Media and Congressional Attention to Global Climate
Explaining Media and Congressional Attention to Global Climate

... historical and current news stories from various US newspapers, including all New York Times articles starting from January 1, 1969), and searched relevant articles containing one of the following key terms: "climate change," "global warming" and "greenhouse gas." There were two reasons to use these ...
INFORMATION DOCUMENT
INFORMATION DOCUMENT

01-Long Report-cover
01-Long Report-cover

... Figure 1.2. Locations of significant changes in data series of physical systems (snow, ice and frozen ground; hydrology; and coastal processes) and biological systems (terrestrial, marine, and freshwater biological systems), are shown together with surface air temperature changes over the period 197 ...
Opening a `Black Box` - Northeastern University
Opening a `Black Box` - Northeastern University

... framework for exploring the interaction of biotic and abiotic stressors, with the full realization that other abiotic factors such as salinity can also play important roles under field conditions. Bioenergetic models offer a mechanistic approach to predicting growth rate, ultimate body size, and repr ...
Quantification of increased flood risk caused by planning
Quantification of increased flood risk caused by planning

Effects of Climate Change in Amphibians and Reptiles
Effects of Climate Change in Amphibians and Reptiles

... species that are not in decline compared with those declining. Blaustein et al. (1994b) reviewed 10 species of amphibians in Oregon. The enzyme activity was higher in species that are not declining and low in declining species. Field experiments showed that in Hylla regilla embryos, a species that i ...
Feedback Dynamics, Sensitivity - Apollo-Gaia
Feedback Dynamics, Sensitivity - Apollo-Gaia

... might amplify the effects of the anthropogenic contribution to climate change. It was well-known that values of climate sensitivity emanating from the world of climate modelling were on the conservative side. No one knew just how conservative they were. The second question addressed the dilemma of t ...
The influence of vegetation dynamics on anthropogenic climate
The influence of vegetation dynamics on anthropogenic climate

3104 EN
3104 EN

... There is now clear evidence, presented in the 4th Assessment Report (AR4) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC1), that humankind is contributing to significant changes in the Earth climate system and these changes are adversely affecting natural ecosystems, humans, communities and ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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