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docx - School of Global Environmental Sustainability
docx - School of Global Environmental Sustainability

... Many recent discussions have focused on "uncertainty." Yes, topics of uncertainty exist in climate science as in any science, but this does not render the science unusable. Most readers would take an umbrella or expect rain if the weather forecast called for a 95% or greater chance of rain. How sill ...
UNFCCC COP21 Draft Concept Note Addressing Climate
UNFCCC COP21 Draft Concept Note Addressing Climate

... warming, incidences of extreme events such as tropical cyclones, floods, droughts and heavy precipitation, are expected to rise even with moderate temperature increases. Changes in some types of extreme events have already been observed, for example, increases in the frequency and intensity of heat ...
Today
Today

... What does it take to change the climate? Mt. Tambora erupted in 1815. The eruption was so large the volcano went from ~14,000 ft. to ~9,000 ft. ...
Footprints of climate change on Mediterranean Sea biota
Footprints of climate change on Mediterranean Sea biota

... (x, t) – SSTAug 1960–1985 (x)]. August was chosen as the reference period because this is the month when the highest sea surface temperatures are reached in the Mediterranean. Hence, this is the time when warming impacts are most likely to be observed, as extreme temperature, when organisms may be e ...
Climate Change and Ecosystem Responses - lterdev
Climate Change and Ecosystem Responses - lterdev

... response. The magnitude of warming is predicted to vary from east to west across the United States, the greatest warming being in the Great Plains where the Dakotas may eventually develop a climate more like that of Texas. The models predict a warming in mountains equivalent to a 650-m to 900-m dece ...
MLA citation - saddlespace.org
MLA citation - saddlespace.org

... Here are some common features you should try and find before citing electronic sources in MLA style. Not every Web page will provide all of the following information. However, collect as much of the following information as possible both for your citations and for your research notes: ...
How Is Puget Sound`s Climate Changing?
How Is Puget Sound`s Climate Changing?

... Oregon,  and  California  (1900-­‐2012)  can  be  explained  by  changes  in  atmospheric   circulation  (specifically,  variations  in  surface  pressure  and  winds),  which  may  or   may  not  result  from  human-­‐induced  warming.7  Other ...
ISSUE GUIDE: Changing the Social Climate
ISSUE GUIDE: Changing the Social Climate

Climate Change Science
Climate Change Science

... that CO2 and H2O can cause changes in the climate. In 1895, Swedish chemist Svante Arrhenius concludes that industrial-age coal burning will enhance the natural greenhouse effect. In 1938 the British engineer Guy Callendar shows that temperatures had risen over the previous century due to increased ...
assessment report on climate change and its consequences
assessment report on climate change and its consequences

... of Russia (APR). Runoff increases were also observed in the Yenisey basin (8%) and in the greater part of the Lena basin, particularly in the last decade of the 20th century. The runoff also increased by 5–15% in the north-eastern river basins of the APR (AR, vol. I, Ch. 3). Snow cover. Satellite me ...
A global deal on climate change: the challenges between now and December in Copenhagen
A global deal on climate change: the challenges between now and December in Copenhagen

Research projects (21570
Research projects (21570

... Abstract: Rapid climate change during the Paleocene/Eocene thermal maximum (PETM)at 56 million years ago coincided with dramatic global changes amongst marine and terrestrial biota. The PETM, however, was not an entirely single and unique event, but it was part of a series of less severe transient g ...
IOSR Journal of Applied Physics (IOSR-JAP)
IOSR Journal of Applied Physics (IOSR-JAP)

... local and national climates may already be changing using the most widely used climate change indicators. This will enable policy makers, environmental managers and authorities at local and national levels to design appropriate and effective mitigation and adaptation mechanisms. According to IPCC(20 ...
QUESTIONS FOR THE RECORD The Honorable Lamar Smith (R-TX)
QUESTIONS FOR THE RECORD The Honorable Lamar Smith (R-TX)

- Wiley Online Library
- Wiley Online Library

... in urban areas human activities may considerably modify the temperature pattern driven by broader natural factors [Fall et al., 2011; Watts, 2009]. On the other hand, in those areas that are less impacted by human activities, such as mountains and deserts, this modification can be less as well. In t ...
Current and future climate of the Solomon Islands
Current and future climate of the Solomon Islands

... temperatures have increased in Honiara since 1951 (Figure 4). Maximum temperatures have increased at a rate of 0.15°C per decade since 1951. These temperature increases are consistent with the global pattern of warming. ...
5.8 MB - arcus
5.8 MB - arcus

... resolution. The focus will be on :  the last two thousand years (recent records within the range of current climate boundary conditions) complete/partial records from earlier in the present ...
An Environmental War Economy
An Environmental War Economy

... What kind of debts do you have? Unpayable emotional debts to friends? Debts of favour that you “owe” until they get called in? Or financial debts to banks or loan sharks? Every debt has a story. A poor country not paying its foreign debts becomes a financial pariah state, isolated and denied interna ...
Atmospheric Circulations do not Explain the
Atmospheric Circulations do not Explain the

... related socioeconomic processes have been identified and filtered out, leaving behind a “pure” record of climatic change. But several studies have shown a correlation between the spatial pattern of warming trends in climatic data products and the spatial pattern of industrialization, indicating that ...
Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Critical Period Water
Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Critical Period Water

... Because most planning studies currently use a critical period framework, our project produces “adjusted” realizations of the historic streamflow record based on simulations from a physically based hydrologic model driven by simple climate change scenarios. The methods are flexible and portable and c ...
The Science of Climate Change
The Science of Climate Change

... Climate change in the past: Hothouse Earth  Snowball Earth In the last few hundred million years the Earth's climate has swung between a 'hothouse Earth' with global average temperatures well over 20°C and a 'snowball Earth' with average temperatures below 10°C. Hothouse conditions were associate ...
File
File

... • 46.4 Biogeochemical Cycles Affect Global Climate • 46.5 Rapid Climate Change Affects Species and Communities ...
International committee on large dams
International committee on large dams

... Understanding Impacts & Uncertainties  Putting Guidance and Tools to action: ○ Ideally: we’d have well-trained practitioners, familiar with climate change concepts, how to apply it in planning, how to communicate results ...
Climate Science: Is it currently designed to answer questions
Climate Science: Is it currently designed to answer questions

... the creative center of the scientific world. The Bush paradigm seemed amply justified. (This period and its follow-up are also discussed by Miller, 2007, with special but not total emphasis on the NIH (National Institutes of Health).) However, something changed in the late 60’s. In a variety of fiel ...
Climate Change Impacts on Northeast Agriculture: Overview
Climate Change Impacts on Northeast Agriculture: Overview

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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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