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Downscaling Global Circulation Model Outputs
Downscaling Global Circulation Model Outputs

... particularly in the tropics, where orographic and climatic conditions vary significantly across relatively small distances (Wilby et al., 1998; Tabor and Williams, 2010; Hijmans et al., 2005). Moreover, changes in topography and climate variables are not the only factors accounting for variability ...
Decadal-Scale Temperature Trends in the Southern Hemisphere
Decadal-Scale Temperature Trends in the Southern Hemisphere

... Southern Ocean. Since most Southern Ocean shipboard observations are carried out only during summer months, while float and Drake Passage XBTs operate steadily throughout the year, there are clear seasonal biases in the data that could lead to systematic temperature differences, at least within the ...
variability of freezing levels, melting season indicators, and snow
variability of freezing levels, melting season indicators, and snow

... significant. The pre-1958 data may contain biases, particularly in the Southern Hemisphere, arising from changes in the observing system (Kistler et al., 2001). However, we note that the cooler temperatures and lower FLH evident for these early years of the record are consistent with the generally l ...
Trust in Sources of Information about Climate Change
Trust in Sources of Information about Climate Change

... (20%) rely on the Internet for most of their weather news. Five percent (5%) listen to the radio, and two percent (2%) get the bulk of their weather news from newspapers. The survey of 1,000 Adults was conducted on December 30, 2010. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% ...
Global Change Impact Studies Centre and its Activities
Global Change Impact Studies Centre and its Activities

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International Institutional Responses to Climate Change in a Post
International Institutional Responses to Climate Change in a Post

... University of Houston Law Center LAW 5297 International Institutional Responses to Climate Change in a Post-Kyoto World Spring 2009 (February) ...
Recent Trends in Temperature and Precipitation in Al Jabal Al
Recent Trends in Temperature and Precipitation in Al Jabal Al

... Available gridded datasets for Saudi Arabia also accurately represent the very dry (40-80 mm) area over the Rub Al Khali, and the dry (80150 mm) area over the middle to north of Saudi Arabia, and the wettest (>150 mm) region in the southwest of the AP [20]. For the Sultanate of Oman in the south-eas ...
UCS NECIA Presentation
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... Lower: 4-21 inches ...
Chapter 3 – Energy Balance and Temperature
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EC Project Officer - ENSEMBLES Project
EC Project Officer - ENSEMBLES Project

... The Six Axes of FP7 4. Reinforce human resources through the support of training and mobility of researchers in the perspective of enabling and developing European scientific careers; 5. Develop research infrastructure through support for the creation and for the exploitation of infrastructure of E ...
Read the full transcript of this interview.
Read the full transcript of this interview.

... So the first group we’ve identified is 18% of the public. It’s a group we call the Alarmed. They’re fully convinced. It’s happening, it’s human-caused, it’s urgent, they strongly support action. However many of them don’t know what to do. They don’t know what they can do individually and they don’t ...
Framing Science
Framing Science

... About 40% of Americans still think most scientists disagree about global warming. "This is in part because of a very strategic framing campaign by conservatives and others who oppose any meaningful policy action." In fact, said Nisbet, a strategy memo of GOP pollster Frank Luntz recommended that pol ...
Clemmitt, "Climate change"
Clemmitt, "Climate change"

... ened in the softening soil methane gas, from animals killed 25,000 Europeans, including 15,000 in France. — crazily leaning houses and other sources. 7 • World ocean temperatures have and meadows sunken three feet lower “Greenhouse gas concentrations in risen by a net 0.11 degrees Fahren- the atmosp ...
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Slide 1

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palcomms201727-s1
palcomms201727-s1

... pre-industrial. We thus interpret T2 such that the risk of dangerous climate change decreases linearly from 90% to zero as mitigation increases from 2 °C to 3 °C. In T3 we consider the case where loss probability decreases linearly with the sum collected for any sum up to €120. Again we interpret th ...
Links between native forest and climate in Australia
Links between native forest and climate in Australia

... and Pitman (2003) used the Pennsylvania State University–National Centre for Atmospheric Research (PSU–NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5) to highlight anomalies in spatial patterns of climate for January and July over an eight-year period, backdating conditions in 1788 relative to those of 1988. Their stud ...
Chapter 6. Future climate changes
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... As discussed in Chapter 5, the changes in external forcing have to a large extent driven past climate variations. In order to “predict” the climate of the 21st century and beyond, it is thus necessary to estimate future changes in the forcing. This is achieved by the development of scenarios for the ...
Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate
Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate

... 20. Department of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, USA 21. Goddard Earth Science & Technology Center (GEST), Maryland, Washington, DC, USA. ...
Lesson Eight: Climate Change and Ecosystems
Lesson Eight: Climate Change and Ecosystems

... temperature, precipitation, soil moisture, humidity, and wind. A shift in the magnitude or variability of these factors in a given location due to global climate change will likely impact the organisms living there. • Species sensitive to temperature may respond to a warmer climate by moving to coo ...
Global change final
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... As temperatures rise the results will be seen on a worldwide scale with, effects being seen on many levels of organisation, from individual organisms through to entire ecosystems. Many biogeographical processes and ecosystem properties are highly temperature sensitive, and the predicted effects of ...
Methane Bubbles – what they can tell us about the impacts of global
Methane Bubbles – what they can tell us about the impacts of global

... Methane Bubbles – what they can tell us about the impacts of global temperature changes The arctic regions are expected to suffer the brunt of any temperature increases associated with global warming. A major change concomitant with warming is the release of carbon in the form of methane through the ...
Slide 1
Slide 1

... Smaller future meridional SST gradient Maximum equatorial warming is a robust response to greenhouse warming (e.g., Xie et al., 2010 J. Climate) ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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