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Climate Change - Province of British Columbia
Climate Change - Province of British Columbia

... British Columbia will need to adapt to the unavoidable impacts of climate change, as well as to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Because of the historical and continuing rise in global GHGs, the Earth will continue to warm for decades to come. We can expect more long-term warming, more extreme ...
WHAT IS THE “DAMAGES FUNCTION” FOR GLOBAL WARMING
WHAT IS THE “DAMAGES FUNCTION” FOR GLOBAL WARMING

... for low-probability high-impact applications. When temperature changes are modest, the functional form of a “damages function” does not much matter for the economic analysis of climate change. But with extreme temperatures well outside the range of normal experience the specification can matter a lo ...
www.ssoar.info Hauling data: anthropocene analogues
www.ssoar.info Hauling data: anthropocene analogues

Changes in the precipitation at Keszthely according to the
Changes in the precipitation at Keszthely according to the

... Precipitation in Hungary and its possible changes in the future Trewartha – after viewing the climatic picture of the Earth – classified our country as a moderate-climate zone, as continental climate with longer warm period. This climate type has capricious temperature, and its seasonal and monthly ...
Report to CLIVAR SSG-20 Panel or Working Group: ETCCDI 1
Report to CLIVAR SSG-20 Panel or Working Group: ETCCDI 1

Global Massive Change
Global Massive Change

... Management, Organisational Theory and Operational Analysis. It is applied in these domains to understand how organisations or enterprises adapt to their environment. The theory treats organizations and firms as collections of strategies and structures. When organisations or enterprises demonstrate p ...
PDF: Paris 2015 Getting a global agreement on climate change
PDF: Paris 2015 Getting a global agreement on climate change

... The IPCC reports: growing evidence, greater consensus ...
the imposible sustainability: applications of relational
the imposible sustainability: applications of relational

... the planet only has a name, ecocide. Recently, interesting studies emphasized on the needs to change the current source of energy to mitigate the effects of climate change such as hurricanes, typhoons and extreme weather (Gossling & Hall, 2006; Scott, Gossling & Hall, 2012; Korstanje & George, 2012) ...
Lead time = 3
Lead time = 3

... ● Substantial systematic error, including lack of reliability, is still a fundamental problem in dynamical forecasting and forces a posteriori corrections to obtain useful predictions. Don’t take model probabilities as true probabilities. • Initial conditions are still a very important issue. • Esti ...
Glen Harris
Glen Harris

... ocean model, and longer runtime required.  Flux adjustments used to prevent model drift, and reduce SST biases.  HadCRUT observed series. ...
Interannual variability and expected regional climate change over
Interannual variability and expected regional climate change over

PPT
PPT

... SURFACE OZONE IS THE #1 AIR POLLUTANT IN U.S. Mean # summer days (1980-1998) exceeding U.S. ozone air quality standard (84 ppbv, 8-hour average) ...
Austrian Climate Research Programme ACRP 7
Austrian Climate Research Programme ACRP 7

... „k.i.d.Z. – kompetent in die Zukunft“ – Preparing Austria´s Youth for Climate Change Challenges of the 21st Century Open source model for analysing Austria’s transition to a low carbon society by 2050 – A research plan Environmental psychology knowledge for administrative decision makers-improving b ...
Communicating the risks of global warming
Communicating the risks of global warming

... respondents selected “don’t know” as their answer to these four questions – by far the dominant response. This is another strong indication that Americans do not currently perceive global warming as a grave danger to human health either now or in the future. Further, this research also found that ve ...
Climate Change and its Effects on Ecosystems, Habitats and Biota
Climate Change and its Effects on Ecosystems, Habitats and Biota

... AMO phase in the next decade, it may offset some of the effects of global warming. The NAO fluctuates on a shorter time scale than the AMO, but in recent years has also been consistently in a positive phase that is synergistic with climate warming trends. Scientists are still studying how natural cy ...
A Perfect Moral Storm: Climate Change, Intergenerational Ethics
A Perfect Moral Storm: Climate Change, Intergenerational Ethics

... Institutional Inadequacy ...
3. The Climate Change Adaptation Planning Process
3. The Climate Change Adaptation Planning Process

IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report
IPCC AR5 Synthesis Report

Chapter 2: An Overview of Canada`s Changing Climate
Chapter 2: An Overview of Canada`s Changing Climate

... rate of lower latitudes (Richter-Menge and Jeffries, 2011). Natural fluctuations in climate can induce periods of a decade or two with little change in temperature, even with increasing levels of GHGs in the atmosphere (Easterling and Wehner, 2009). Despite the apparent slowdown in the rate of obser ...
Aerosol exposure versus aerosol cooling of climate
Aerosol exposure versus aerosol cooling of climate

Theoretical mechanism for natural radiative forcing of El Nino
Theoretical mechanism for natural radiative forcing of El Nino

... Mann, M.E., Ammann, C., Bradley, R.S., Briffa, K., Crowley, T.J., Hughes, M.K., Jones, P.D., Oppenheimer, M., Osborn, T.J., Overpeck, J.T., Rutherford, S., Trenberth, K.E., Wigley, T.M.L., On Past Temperatures and Anomalous late 20th Century Warmth, Eos, 84, 256-258, 2003 [MODIFIED: Boreholes—Ruthe ...
Combustion of available fossil fuel resources
Combustion of available fossil fuel resources

Global imprint of climate change on marine life
Global imprint of climate change on marine life

... of 3.1 days dec−1 (ref. 12) that was not significantly different from the estimate reported in ref. 11. � Recalculated using leading-edge (cold limit) observations spanning ≥19 yr, and with data after 1990. ...
Csc_ADS_2011 - University of Minnesota
Csc_ADS_2011 - University of Minnesota

... – A new understanding of the complex nature of the Earth system and mechanisms contributing to adverse consequences of climate change ...
A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate
A climatic basis for microrefugia: the influence of terrain on climate

... basis for explaining their existence. Investigators commonly attribute their subsistence to the presence of ‘microclimates,’ and implicit assumption that spatial variation in climate can support microrefugia. Beyond this assumption, there is little explicit understanding of the climatic processes th ...
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Global warming hiatus



A global warming hiatus, also sometimes referred to as a global warming pause or a global warming slowdown, is a period of relatively little change in globally averaged surface temperatures. In the current episode of global warming many such periods are evident in the surface temperature record, along with robust evidence of the long term warming trend.The exceptionally warm El Niño year of 1998 was an outlier from the continuing temperature trend, and so gave the appearance of a hiatus: by January 2006 assertions had been made that this showed that global warming had stopped. A 2009 study showed that decades without warming were not exceptional, and in 2011 a study showed that if allowances were made for known variability, the rising temperature trend continued unabated. There was increased public interest in 2013 in the run-up to publication of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report, and despite concerns that a 15-year period was too short to determine a meaningful trend, the IPCC included a section on a hiatus, which it defined as a much smaller increasing linear trend over the 15 years from 1998 to 2012, than over the 60 years from 1951 to 2012. Various studies examined possible causes of the short term slowdown. Even though the overall climate system had continued to accumulate energy due to Earth's positive energy budget, the available temperature readings at the earth's surface indicated slower rates of increase in surface warming than in the prior decade. Since measurements at the top of the atmosphere show that Earth is receiving more energy than it is radiating back into space, the retained energy should be producing warming in at least one of the five parts of Earth's climate system.A July 2015 paper on the updated NOAA dataset cast doubt on the existence of this supposed hiatus, and found no indication of a slowdown. This analysis incorporated the latest corrections for known biases in ocean temperature measurements, and new land temperature data. Scientists working on other datasets welcomed this study, though the view was expressed that the short term warming trend had been slower than in previous periods of the same length.
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