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analytical and physical models aproach, in a deformation process
analytical and physical models aproach, in a deformation process

... There are a lot of mathematical models of elastic, elastic-plastic, plastic and elastic-plasticviscoplastic materials behavior. Although these models are perfect functionally for particular situation, never can applied these „as is” on special process like superplastic deformation. A study of the pa ...
The Oceans and Climate
The Oceans and Climate

... In 1897 Svante Arrhenius discovered that the amount of carbón dioxide in the atmosphere affected the global temperature through the greenhouse effect. In 1938 G. S. Callendar showed that atmospheric carbón dioxide was increasing due to human activities. However, it has only been since the late 1960s ...
COP21 Presentation 4
COP21 Presentation 4

... COP21 Predictions  Most experts think that a new international treaty will be signed  Update or replacement for Kyoto Protocol  Only 32% think it will have legally binding authority  Low confidence in ability to meet 2 degree goal ...
IPCC Working Group II Summary For Policymakers
IPCC Working Group II Summary For Policymakers

... in Spring and an overall increase in run-off, at least in the short term.** •The temporary increase in water flows will not always be welcome. For example, glacier melt in the Himalayas will increase flooding and rock avalanche risks, while flash flood risks will increase in inland areas in Europe.* ...
A broader view of the role of Roger A. Pielke Sr
A broader view of the role of Roger A. Pielke Sr

IOC Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission and
IOC Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission and

... IOC Member States • 136 Member States (subset of UNESCO MS) • Widely varying capacities for research, monitoring, projections • Widely varying capacities for ocean observations, provision of ocean services • Less than 20 countries provide the vast majority of global-scale space-based and in situ oc ...
No Slide Title
No Slide Title

... Direct measurements from space of ASR, OLR, Net Take inventory of where all the energy has gone Use climate models with specified forcings Use atmospheric reanalyses Use surface fluxes (assume no atmospheric heat capacity) Not accurate enough; good for relative changes after 2000 Only viable option: ...
We Can Reduce the Threat of Climate Change (2)
We Can Reduce the Threat of Climate Change (2)

... • CO2, CH4, and N2O emissions higher • Main sources: agriculture, deforestation, and burning of fossil fuels ...
Global warming and agriculture: impact estimates by country
Global warming and agriculture: impact estimates by country

... tionate income loss in a developing than in an industrial country. This study seeks to provide more detailed and systematic estimates than previously available for the differential effects across countries, and in particular between industrial and developing countries. To assess the impact of climat ...
research_proposal_pdf
research_proposal_pdf

... ocean mixed layer into the ocean interior and away from interaction with the atmosphere. Process A occurs preferentially in the Southern Ocean due to the upwelling of cold middepth (2-3km) water poleward of the Antarctic Circumpolar current; no where else in the world is water of this depth upwelle ...
Risks from Global Climate Change from UN Institutional Investors
Risks from Global Climate Change from UN Institutional Investors

... by the cooling effects of increases in reflecting particles. Thus the net effect of all the human additions to the atmosphere over the past 250 years is (by coincidence) about equal to the CO2 effect alone. ...
Geochemists Chart Carbon-Dioxide Levels At 650000
Geochemists Chart Carbon-Dioxide Levels At 650000

... • Researchers expect 2007 to end among the warmest years on record. In May, an international research consortium, led by the Global Carbon Project2, reported in "The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences" that CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels and industrial activity has accelerated ...
Pakistan Increasing Vulnerability To Climate Change:Policy Response
Pakistan Increasing Vulnerability To Climate Change:Policy Response

... into Indus delta due to sea-level rise. ...
In Hot Water - Preparing for Climate Change
In Hot Water - Preparing for Climate Change

... • The report's conclusion is that the technologies and sustainable energy resources known or available today are sufficient to meet this challenge, and there is still sufficient time to build up and deploy them, but only if the necessary decisions are made in the next two years. ...
Effect of plants on Climate
Effect of plants on Climate

... The study utilized climate modeling and other independent data to show that the climate in Rocky Mountain National Park and in surrounding natural areas is being affected by changes in land-use in the lower-elevation plains of Colorado. Land-use in this area has been consistently shifting toward agr ...
Impact on GDP of climate change / low carbon
Impact on GDP of climate change / low carbon

... • Geographical inequality: economic impact of global warming concentrated on South-East Asia and India (rise in the sea level threatening dense urban areas). • Limitations of the models: cf. rather ad hoc form of the damage function relating GDP with higher temperatures, rightly criticized by Pindyc ...
japan
japan

... the mid-1980s, the temperature rapidly rose from the late 1980s. Many of the years that marked record-high temperatures in Japan are concentrated in the 1990s and onwards. The frequent occurrence of high-temperature years in Japan can be construed as a combination of global warming caused by an incr ...
i3084e25
i3084e25

... the mid-1980s, the temperature rapidly rose from the late 1980s. Many of the years that marked record-high temperatures in Japan are concentrated in the 1990s and onwards. The frequent occurrence of high-temperature years in Japan can be construed as a combination of global warming caused by an incr ...
CSS: Climate Screening
CSS: Climate Screening

... NOT prescriptive: many possible adaptation plans for a project NOT driven by uncertain climate scenarios NOT forcing all projects to conduct full climate audits ...
draft decision - Meetings
draft decision - Meetings

... Observes that: ...
05_Energy_I
05_Energy_I

... of a real system, incorporating only the essential features of a system while omitting details considered non-essential or non-predictable ...
Impacts PowerPoint
Impacts PowerPoint

... melting, and sea water is getting warmer and expanding. This is bad news for inhabitants for these small Pacific Island nations. A slight rise in sea level can have drastic effects. Coastlines are getting smaller, almost like their islands are ‘shrinking’. ...
- Intact Primary Forest
- Intact Primary Forest

... Ocean ecosystem-benefits  Climate regulation • Ocean warming dominates the increase in energy stored in the climate system, accounting for more than 90% of the energy accumulated between 1971 and 2010 • Of the total emissions from human activities during the period 2004-2013, about 26% accumulated ...
Characterizing the uncertainty of climate change impacts using a
Characterizing the uncertainty of climate change impacts using a

... -19% to +29% for the Blue Nile (Diem) -8% to +10% for the White Nile (Malakal) • RCM provides a viable downscaling methodology • RCM results confirm the uncertainty regarding the direction of change for rainfall and flow • RCM reduced the uncertainty bandwidth but care must be taken that not all sou ...
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group
PPT - Atmospheric Chemistry Modeling Group

... • GISS GCM w/4ox5o horiz resolution, 23 layers in vertical, q-flux ocean • Chemical tracers (CO and soot) transported in model • IPCC scenarios A1 and B1 Analysis: • Trends in air pollution meteorological variables (T, humidity, PBL height, clouds) • Trends in ventilation, circulation, scavenging us ...
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General circulation model

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