complex social system
... What is Mathematical Modeling? • Framing questions in/about the real world in mathematical terms. • Simplified representations of some real-world entity in equations • It is characterized: – Variables (the things which change) – Parameters (the things which do not change) – Functional forms (the re ...
... What is Mathematical Modeling? • Framing questions in/about the real world in mathematical terms. • Simplified representations of some real-world entity in equations • It is characterized: – Variables (the things which change) – Parameters (the things which do not change) – Functional forms (the re ...
PDF File - Patrick Gonzalez
... A team of scientists has identified regions that should be top conservation priorities due to being susceptible to both manmade climate change and habitat destruction. Their research was published yesterday in the journal Global Change Biology. The researchers analyzed to what extent regions with ve ...
... A team of scientists has identified regions that should be top conservation priorities due to being susceptible to both manmade climate change and habitat destruction. Their research was published yesterday in the journal Global Change Biology. The researchers analyzed to what extent regions with ve ...
economic and environmental costs of climate change
... water levels in lakes and streams, and increased forest fire risk are a few of the visible signs. National Air and Space Administration (NASA) research shows that the eight warmest years (globally) on record have occurred since 19981 and predicts that summer high temperatures in the eastern half of ...
... water levels in lakes and streams, and increased forest fire risk are a few of the visible signs. National Air and Space Administration (NASA) research shows that the eight warmest years (globally) on record have occurred since 19981 and predicts that summer high temperatures in the eastern half of ...
Questions and answers on the EU-China Joint Statement on Climate
... Furthermore, China acknowledges the likely need 'to increase ambition over time'. This means in practice that in case the Paris agreement is not sufficient to keep the global average temperature rise below 2 degrees Celsius, further national efforts will be necessary before and after 2020, the year ...
... Furthermore, China acknowledges the likely need 'to increase ambition over time'. This means in practice that in case the Paris agreement is not sufficient to keep the global average temperature rise below 2 degrees Celsius, further national efforts will be necessary before and after 2020, the year ...
16. Frequently Asked Questions - Canada`s Action on Climate Change
... human activities have largely been the cause of climate change. These activities have caused the amount of greenhouse gas released into the atmosphere to increase substantially, causing a “greenhouse” or warming effect. Also, as the human population has increased, large areas of the planet have ...
... human activities have largely been the cause of climate change. These activities have caused the amount of greenhouse gas released into the atmosphere to increase substantially, causing a “greenhouse” or warming effect. Also, as the human population has increased, large areas of the planet have ...
GTAP 2015 Conference Paper # 4650 Coupling Socioeconomic
... detailed information about land cover change, nutrient cycles, and even ice-sheet dynamics. Coupling CGE with ESMs offers the potential to study the effect of long run climate events. ACCESS-CM, for example, has a realistic El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle as well as the ability to reconstr ...
... detailed information about land cover change, nutrient cycles, and even ice-sheet dynamics. Coupling CGE with ESMs offers the potential to study the effect of long run climate events. ACCESS-CM, for example, has a realistic El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle as well as the ability to reconstr ...
presentation
... DD>00C is limited as projection: Mean DD>00C flawed for local seasonal variations on survival Insensitve to arid habitats (prairies) limiting spread Insensitive to local rainfall variations and humidity Stochastic extinsions of ticks Conflict with Brownstein et al. 2005 (lower border projections) Co ...
... DD>00C is limited as projection: Mean DD>00C flawed for local seasonal variations on survival Insensitve to arid habitats (prairies) limiting spread Insensitive to local rainfall variations and humidity Stochastic extinsions of ticks Conflict with Brownstein et al. 2005 (lower border projections) Co ...
written exam - WordPress.com
... more positive, something much more dynamic, something much more capable of bringing about revolutionary change. Its image is also changing from one of hand-wringing and whining to one that is hip, an image that is cutting edge, forceful and self-confident and even sexy. And a big boost is coming, of ...
... more positive, something much more dynamic, something much more capable of bringing about revolutionary change. Its image is also changing from one of hand-wringing and whining to one that is hip, an image that is cutting edge, forceful and self-confident and even sexy. And a big boost is coming, of ...
The Grand Challenge of Estimating One Billion Predictive Models
... add breakpoint to split cubes, order by number of new alerts, & select one or more new breakpoints ...
... add breakpoint to split cubes, order by number of new alerts, & select one or more new breakpoints ...
Slide 1
... temperature increases >4oC, models suggest 45% Amazonian tree species potentially extinct. Source: IPCC, 2008 ...
... temperature increases >4oC, models suggest 45% Amazonian tree species potentially extinct. Source: IPCC, 2008 ...
Concluding summary - International Research Institute for Climate
... 1. Using previous El Niño events as analogues is increasingly challenging, as the climate in which these events are occurring is changing, e.g. rising sea temperatures, decreasing ice extent, decreasing temperature gradient from equator to poles, etc. Therefore, although analogs are an important veh ...
... 1. Using previous El Niño events as analogues is increasingly challenging, as the climate in which these events are occurring is changing, e.g. rising sea temperatures, decreasing ice extent, decreasing temperature gradient from equator to poles, etc. Therefore, although analogs are an important veh ...
GCC - Mr. Davey`s Science!!!
... droughts, and seasonal growth • Researchers also gather data on past ocean conditions from coral reefs • Scientists need to combine multiple records to get a global perspective ...
... droughts, and seasonal growth • Researchers also gather data on past ocean conditions from coral reefs • Scientists need to combine multiple records to get a global perspective ...
information document - Melbourne Global Mobility
... The key details The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (or UNFCCC) aims to provide an intergovernmental platform to mitigate the effects of climate change. Membership is almost universal across the world with 194 countries listed as members of the UNFCCC. Member-states attend an a ...
... The key details The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (or UNFCCC) aims to provide an intergovernmental platform to mitigate the effects of climate change. Membership is almost universal across the world with 194 countries listed as members of the UNFCCC. Member-states attend an a ...
What are the natural factors that lead to climate change?
... multi-model means, shading denotes the ±1 standard deviation range of individual model annual averages. The orange line is for the experiment where concentrations were held constant at year 2000 values. (c) Projected surface temperature changes for the early and late 21st century relative to the per ...
... multi-model means, shading denotes the ±1 standard deviation range of individual model annual averages. The orange line is for the experiment where concentrations were held constant at year 2000 values. (c) Projected surface temperature changes for the early and late 21st century relative to the per ...
PPT File - Iowa State University
... Impact Assessment (www.acia.uaf.edu) Cambridge University Press (www.cambridge.org). ...
... Impact Assessment (www.acia.uaf.edu) Cambridge University Press (www.cambridge.org). ...
Global Warming and the Environment – A Challenge for Lawyers in
... “Global warming” refers to the rise in average global temperature, and it is believed to result partly from a build-up of heat trapping greenhouse gases by human activities including burning of fossil fuels (coal and oil) and wood. “Climate change” on the other hand refers to changes in longterm ave ...
... “Global warming” refers to the rise in average global temperature, and it is believed to result partly from a build-up of heat trapping greenhouse gases by human activities including burning of fossil fuels (coal and oil) and wood. “Climate change” on the other hand refers to changes in longterm ave ...
New Zealand Earthquakes
... • Most NZ insurance policies cover costs of compliance with regulations • 2010 Christchurch policy requires 67% seismic strengthening for new building (after 1st earthquake) • Council can require work if building dangerous in “moderate earthquake” • “Moderate earthquake” – based on 34% likelihood of ...
... • Most NZ insurance policies cover costs of compliance with regulations • 2010 Christchurch policy requires 67% seismic strengthening for new building (after 1st earthquake) • Council can require work if building dangerous in “moderate earthquake” • “Moderate earthquake” – based on 34% likelihood of ...
A PLANET IN DANGER? Tool 3, Activity 6 Deforestation http://www
... Greenhouse gases (GHGs) are gases in the atmosphere that trap energy from the sun. Naturally occurring GHGs include water vapour, ozone, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O). Without them, the Earth's average temperature would be about 33°C lower than it is, making the climat ...
... Greenhouse gases (GHGs) are gases in the atmosphere that trap energy from the sun. Naturally occurring GHGs include water vapour, ozone, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O). Without them, the Earth's average temperature would be about 33°C lower than it is, making the climat ...
Greenhouse Gases and Climate Change
... “Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations.” Climate Change 2007 – The Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC ...
... “Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-20th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations.” Climate Change 2007 – The Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC ...
Climate Change - WordPress.com
... • The global average surface temperature rose 0.6 to 0.9 degrees Celsius between 1906 and 2005, and the rate of temperature increase has nearly doubled in the last 50 ...
... • The global average surface temperature rose 0.6 to 0.9 degrees Celsius between 1906 and 2005, and the rate of temperature increase has nearly doubled in the last 50 ...
crop and water resource modelling - START
... Bruce Hewitson (University of Cape Town), Chris Reason (UCT), Roland Schulze (Natal University), Coleen Vogel (University of Witwatersrand), Emma Archer (IRI and UCT), Edmund Chattoe (Department of Sociology, University of Oxford), Gina Ziervogel, SoGE Oxford and SEI), Sukaina Bharwani (SEI) Matt Sw ...
... Bruce Hewitson (University of Cape Town), Chris Reason (UCT), Roland Schulze (Natal University), Coleen Vogel (University of Witwatersrand), Emma Archer (IRI and UCT), Edmund Chattoe (Department of Sociology, University of Oxford), Gina Ziervogel, SoGE Oxford and SEI), Sukaina Bharwani (SEI) Matt Sw ...
Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change - EEG, TU-Wien
... shutdown of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, studies were presented suggesting that a shutdown becomes more likely with increasing temperature. In this context, some felt that it would be useful to agree upon a set of critical thresholds that we should aim not to cross. Others noted it would b ...
... shutdown of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, studies were presented suggesting that a shutdown becomes more likely with increasing temperature. In this context, some felt that it would be useful to agree upon a set of critical thresholds that we should aim not to cross. Others noted it would b ...