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Chapter 20
Chapter 20

... a Warmer Earth? ...
Conceptual models - University of Bristol
Conceptual models - University of Bristol

... Cloud feedback: We do not know how cloud cover will change. In our present climate, satellite observations suggest that the net effect of clouds is to cool the climate system, but this does not tell us how they will respond to a particular climate change scenario. Clouds can influence the radiation ...
here. - EU InfoCentre
here. - EU InfoCentre

EP 23: MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR A CONSERVATION AREA
EP 23: MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR A CONSERVATION AREA

... the 21st century, the post 2015 and a serious threat to sustainable development. Africa would be the most affected not only because of being tropical climate, but also because of its high level of vulnerability – lack of infrastructure health facilities and other problems. ...
Extreme Weather and Climate Change
Extreme Weather and Climate Change

... Extreme Weather and Climate Change Devastating deluges, record floods and deadly heat waves have raised the question of whether there’s a connection between these events and global warming. The bottom line answer is yes: Heat waves are longer and hotter than they used to be and some regions are suff ...
Weather, Climate and Climate Change
Weather, Climate and Climate Change

... Scotland this means that the north and west are generally wetter than the south and east. Rainfall patterns also change over the seasons, generally wetter in autumn and winter. As we are an island nation and rapidly changing weather sweeps in from the Atlantic Ocean, this can make it very difficult ...
• An archipelago of 1200 Islands with a geographical territory of 99
• An archipelago of 1200 Islands with a geographical territory of 99

... With the rising sea levels, it is only a matter of time before the nation itself is submerged. If we forget the present and all the problems we face today, there is still the issue of tomorrow. Is world ready to accept the thought of a State without a territory? Is the world ready to accommodate a n ...
Met10_lecture_16
Met10_lecture_16

... (b) Additionally, the year by year (blue curve) and 50 year average (black curve) variations of the average surface temperature of the Northern Hemisphere for the past 1000 years have been reconstructed from “proxy” data calibrated against thermometer data (see list of the main proxy data in the di ...
Drought, Dust Storms, and Wildfire
Drought, Dust Storms, and Wildfire

... of the periods of large wildfires have coincided with some of the warmest ...
GLOBAL WARMING : ITS CAUSE AND EFFECT IN CONTEXT TO
GLOBAL WARMING : ITS CAUSE AND EFFECT IN CONTEXT TO

... scenario of 20th century in relation to global warming, since the early period of this century, Earth’s average surface temperature has increased by about 1.4 F i.e. 0.8oC. This finding is, with about two thirds of the increase occurring since 1980. Warming of the climate system is unequivocal and s ...
Climate-change-answer-sheet
Climate-change-answer-sheet

... the Sun itself), 2) by changing the fraction of solar radiation that is reflected (changes in cloud cover or atmospheric particles), and 3) by altering the longwave radiation from Earth back towards space (changing greenhouse gas concentrations). Climate, in turn, responds directly to such changes, ...
OPERATIONal Plans and Tools for Climate Change Adaptation in
OPERATIONal Plans and Tools for Climate Change Adaptation in

... With this objective in 2007 was approved the Andalusian Action Plan for the Climate-Mitigation Program. In 2010, the Andalusian Program for Adaptation to Climate Change was adopted. It has been a step in the development of the Strategy. The overall objective of this Program is to minimize the vulner ...
Webquest Directions
Webquest Directions

Teacher Lesson plan - New Zealand Wind Energy Association
Teacher Lesson plan - New Zealand Wind Energy Association

... up? What changes does he say we can expect in the future? • Using group or class shared reading, focus on the ‘Likely impacts of Global Warming’ section on Student Fact Sheet 2. Have students focus on and discuss the following: - what the IPCC is and why was it formed by the United Nations? - why it ...
It`s a Hard-Knock Butterfly`s Life
It`s a Hard-Knock Butterfly`s Life

... stable Holocene climate in which civilization developed. The rate of global warming, with BAU fossil fuel emissions, would exceed anything that Earth's species have experienced. It is clear that science, with its inherent objectivity, is needed to help society find a path that provides a bright futu ...
Stratospheric and tropospheric SSU/MSU temperature
Stratospheric and tropospheric SSU/MSU temperature

... years in a “historical” climate simulation will rarely (and only by chance) coincide with years when El Niños have actually occurred. This is because the historical runs are initiated from an arbitrary point of a quasi-equilibrium control run, so internal variations (even if they were perfectly pred ...
Energy Balance - Istituto Sant'Anna
Energy Balance - Istituto Sant'Anna

... An earthquake (also known as a tremor or temblor) is the result of a sudden release of energy in the Earth's crust that creates seismic waves. Earthquakes are recorded with a seismometer, also known as a seismograph. The moment magnitude of an earthquake is conventionally reported, or the related an ...
Action plan template - Local Government NSW
Action plan template - Local Government NSW

... Annual average Arctic sea ice extent has shrunk by 2.7% per decade since 1978. Larger decreases of about 7.4% per decade are observed in the summer months. Mountain glaciers and snow cover have, on average declined in both hemispheres since 1990 (IPCC 2007). Changes in extreme weather events have be ...
A climate of change? - Forschungszentrum Jülich
A climate of change? - Forschungszentrum Jülich

... among the major polluters, causing large-scale CO2 emissions. But to counter global warming, the emission of all greenhouse gases must be considerably lowered. “This includes more than just CO2: other greenhouse gases such as methane or nitrous oxide also contribute to the effect,” says Andreas Wahn ...
"Methodological constrains and need in the area of V&A assessment
"Methodological constrains and need in the area of V&A assessment

... V&A ASSESSMENTS ? (1) • The Region, as a whole, is not adapted to current climate. • Diferentiated vulnerarability to CC adverse impacts at the national and regional level, and within the region, there are populations with greatest risk to be impacted, those coincide with the areas where there is gr ...
Australia sets price on carbon
Australia sets price on carbon

... lauded, as should its resolve to underpin its carbon policy with a clear and transparent legal framework. But, as noted by Jotzo, the policy lacks bipartisan support, and with national elections due in 2013 it may turn out to be short-lived. This would be a great shame. The impacts on Australia of c ...
scientific method and the “greenhouse” theory
scientific method and the “greenhouse” theory

... Few people seem to understand how limited are actual temperature measurements made at weather stations and under what conditions. The equipment has tended to include a Stevenson Screen, situated 2 meters or so above the ground, containing liquid-in-glass thermometers read only once a day. Some of t ...
introduction - war changes climate
introduction - war changes climate

Global Warming - Scientific Controversies in Climate Variability
Global Warming - Scientific Controversies in Climate Variability

... Zorita, E., T. Stocker and H. von Storch: How unusual is the recent series of warm years? Geophys. Res. Lett. Page 7 ...
Madrid LSE lectures 20 Session I (opens in new window)
Madrid LSE lectures 20 Session I (opens in new window)

... innovation and the economics of climate change. Simon Dietz & Nicholas Stern, (2014). Endogenous growth, convexity of damages and climate risk: how Nordhaus’ framework supports deep cuts in carbon emissions, GRI Working Papers 180, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment. h ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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