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Climate prediction: a limit to adaptation?
Climate prediction: a limit to adaptation?

... natural factors. Unless both natural and anthropogenic forcings are included, climate model simulations cannot mimic the observed continental- and global- scale changes in surface temperature, and other climate-related biogeophysical phenomena, of the last 100 years. Under scenarios of increasing gr ...
Present weather and Climate: Average Conditions
Present weather and Climate: Average Conditions

... tions will help improve the prediction of spring emerging understanding. During the winter and runoff timing and volume, as well as projections spring, wind-blown dust from lowland regions of the impacts of climate change on mountain can accumulate in the mountain snowpack (Figsnowpack and ecosystem ...
The Effects of Climate Change on the Full Enjoyment of Human Rights
The Effects of Climate Change on the Full Enjoyment of Human Rights

... of climate change on future under-nutrition in five regions in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa in 2050 using the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2 (this translates into a temperature increase of 2°C-5.4°C temperature change in the period from 2090-2099)18 suggests “an increase in mod ...
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resPoNse oF alPINe PlaNt CoMMUNItY to sIMUlateD ClIMate

... Climate change influences the structure and function of terrestrial ecosystems, especially in alpine region (K l and e r u d et al. 2005, Wa l ke r et al. 2006, IPCC 2007). Alterations in the composition and distribution of plant communities have important effects on ecosystem processes, including n ...
PDF
PDF

... commodities. The variation in regional production adjustment follows the variation in yield changes induced by climate change (Figure 1). This adjustment follows the strong local specificity of climate change. For example, Figure 2 to Figure 5 report simulated production changes for cereals and oils ...
High Speed Rail aff – DDI 2012 KM
High Speed Rail aff – DDI 2012 KM

... literature has contributed a moderate degree of attention to the impact of economic decline and the security and defence behaviour of interdependent slates. Research in this vein has been considered at systemic, dyadic and national levels. Several notable contributions follow. First, on the systemic ...
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Word - war changes climate
Word - war changes climate

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Will we leave the Great Barrier Reef for our children?

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Cracks on the Wall: Why States Should be Allowed to Lead on
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... fifteen minute subway right for $2.50, especially if being late would be disastrous. Man-made greenhouse gas emissions increased by fifteen percent between 2000 and 2005.4 One major reason to set emissions limits (be they international, national or state) is that they allow governments to set up a c ...
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Hope Below Our Feet: Soil as a Climate Solution
Hope Below Our Feet: Soil as a Climate Solution

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Altai Sayan Ecoregion
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Health effects of climate change: heat related impacts
Health effects of climate change: heat related impacts

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Ocean of Grass: A Conservation Assessment for the Northern Great
Ocean of Grass: A Conservation Assessment for the Northern Great

... Section II: Historical Trends and Future Predictions for Climate Change Historical Trends in Climate Global average surface temperatures warmed by 0.74°C (1.3°F) during the 20th century (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration [NOAA] 2010a). Twenty of the warmest years in the past century h ...
NJCAA Natural Resources - New Jersey Climate Adaptation Alliance
NJCAA Natural Resources - New Jersey Climate Adaptation Alliance

... lies at the southern edge of the range of many northern species and the northern edge of the range of many southern species. There are more than 400 species of vertebrate wildlife, 134 freshwater fish, and 336 marine finfish in the state. Coastal ecosystems in New Jersey have 24 endangered and threa ...
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PDF

... construction of a dam or tunnel, how should one discount an environmental catastrophe that may or may not occur 100, 200, or 300 years from now? While the basic facts regarding global warming are clear, climate science is still very much in flux, too much so to be able to discern precise quantitativ ...
The importance of getting the numbers right
The importance of getting the numbers right

... Livestock farming plays a critical role in global food production, and has formed part of local landscapes and ecosystems for millennia. The importance of livestock in providing human societies with food, incomes, employment, nutrients and risk insurance is widely recognized (Perry and Sones, 2007; ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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