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Does tomorrow ever come?
Does tomorrow ever come?

... thought and knowledge of risks they face (Wynne, 1995, 1996, and Jasanoff, 1998, all cited in Horlick-Jones et al., 2003). However, whilst general lay perceptions of climate change and other environmental issues are relatively well understood, knowledge of the forces that shape the perceptions and r ...
The Impact of Climate Change and Human Activity on Net Primary
The Impact of Climate Change and Human Activity on Net Primary

... As the results have demonstrated, the NPP of the Tibetan Plateau was increasing although it is likely that the average net primary productivity would decrease in China with a warming climate [25]. Nevertheless, the distribution of NPP and annual mean temperature were similar at the temporal scale, w ...
2. Protection of groundwater: Case of Nimboyores Aquifer and the
2. Protection of groundwater: Case of Nimboyores Aquifer and the

... therefore be those that currently have a profile of higher temperatures and lower rainfall, where water resources could be reduced by about 50%. They are, in turn, the largest water users; this heightens uncertainty as to the availability of water to guarantee future social and environmental needs. ...
Young People`s Burden: Requirement of Negative CO2 Emissions
Young People`s Burden: Requirement of Negative CO2 Emissions

... Global temperature has just reached a level similar to the mean level in the prior interglacial (Eemian) period, when sea level was several meters higher than today, and, if it long remains at this level, slow amplifying feedbacks will lead to greater climate change and consequences. The growth rate ...
Environmental and Climate Justice along the Brahmaputra River in
Environmental and Climate Justice along the Brahmaputra River in

... (World Bank 2016; Olivier et al. 2015). Therefore, the effort to meet India’s growing energy demands, promote Indian government is confronted with the challenge of economic and sustainable development17 (Verghese providing energy for a growing economy, while also facing 2010), and curb GHG emissions ...
What does climate change have to do with the sand dunes and the
What does climate change have to do with the sand dunes and the

... development and subdivision. • There are a number of coastal hazards that pose a threat to coastal living. • These include: – Climate change (including associated increase in intensive storms and sea level rise). – Tsunamis. ...
Climate Variability and Urbanization in Athens
Climate Variability and Urbanization in Athens

... as warming. However, there are marked differences in seasonal and diurnal warming caused by a complex combination of factors. For example, in London the urban warming is strongest on summer nights when heat which has been absorbed by buildings during daytime is released. Even with a decline of popul ...
Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal
Anticipated Effects of Climate Change on Coastal

... the concentrations of greenhouse gasses have continued to increase. This pattern of increased upwelling-favorable wind intensity could be due to other climate-related mechanisms, such as natural multi-decadal climate variability, but the likelihood of significant greenhouse gas-related interactions ...
Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report
Working Group I Fifth Assessment Report

... resulting atmospheric concentrations of radiatively important gases and aerosols and by changing land surface properties. Previous assessments have already shown through multiple lines of evidence that the climate is changing across our planet, largely as a result of human activities. The most compe ...
Teacher Pack
Teacher Pack

... At the end of last year, world leaders got together in Paris to try to figure out how to stop the earth's temperature from rising by 2 degrees by the end of the century. In the past, it's been hard for countries to agree on a solution that applies to everyone because while some rules might work for ...
PDF
PDF

... above normal (normal based on period, 1961-1990) since 1993. This warming is primarily due to rise in maximum temperature across the country, over a larger part of the data set. Apart from direct impacts, higher temperatures also increase the water requirements of crops putting more pressure on the ...
Regional climate simulation with a mosaic of RCMs
Regional climate simulation with a mosaic of RCMs

... more expensive than running a single global model at equivalent high resolution. On the other hand, if the aim is to focus on a small region, a single stretched model is sufficient, and the approach has been already discussed in FOX-RABINOWITZ et al. (2008). Here the region we want to downscale cove ...
climate change adaptation action plan for iqaluit
climate change adaptation action plan for iqaluit

Globalisation, Inequality and Climate Change: What
Globalisation, Inequality and Climate Change: What

... and increasingly also semiskilled and information technology workers – have experienced growing levels of unemployment and seen their relative incomes decline (Hira 2004). This has not just been a phenomenon experienced in low-income developing countries, but in the rich countries as well, where inc ...
Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent
Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent

... There is evidence that the 2007−2010 drought contributed to the conflict in Syria. It was the worst drought in the instrumental record, causing widespread crop failure and a mass migration of farming families to urban centers. Century-long observed trends in precipitation, temperature, and sea-level ...
CLIMATE CHANGE – SCOPING THE ISSUES
CLIMATE CHANGE – SCOPING THE ISSUES

... In Finland, Norway and Sweden, rain and mild weather during the winter season often prevents reindeer from accessing lichen, which is a vital food source. This has caused massive loss of reindeers. For Saami communities, reindeers are vital to their culture, subsistence and economy. This has forced ...
Brook Trout Related Research Projects_2-26
Brook Trout Related Research Projects_2-26

... Stream temperature has a direct and indirect effect on many biological, physical, and chemical processes in the freshwater environment. For example, metabolic rates of most stream organisms are controlled directly by temperature. Feeding and breeding behaviors are altered when temperature changes, r ...
Climate Change in the Midwest: Impacts on Biodiversity
Climate Change in the Midwest: Impacts on Biodiversity

... likely to accelerate the rate of species declines & extinctions (very likely). In the Midwest, key drivers of these stresses and extinctions are likely to be interactions between climate change and current stressors, and adaptive responses will often be constrained by factors like habitat loss and l ...
module 1 - National Open University of Nigeria
module 1 - National Open University of Nigeria

... Climate change is the measurable increase in the average temperature of earth’s atmosphere, oceans and landmasses. Scientists believe earth is currently facing a period of rapid warming brought on by rising level of heat trapping gases known as greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. These greenhouse ga ...
pdf - Green Alliance
pdf - Green Alliance

... “by improving their communication, politicians could build stronger support for policies and reduce the likelihood of a public backlash.” The story of climate change is complex and often abstract. It is a difficult story to tell well. In we fight to win, Ben Caldecott of Climate Change Capital sugge ...
Redalyc.Climate Change and the Caribbean: Review and Response
Redalyc.Climate Change and the Caribbean: Review and Response

... and by altering carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations. However, these effects are not long term. Human activity is arguably the most debated of climate influences. Land-use practices alter land cover resulting in changes in the reflective properties of the Earth. Since the 1750s, the post-industrial r ...
Report of Inter Experts on Global Change
Report of Inter Experts on Global Change

... extreme weather events like floods and drought, and stressed the need to come up with reliable forecasts for these events. He urged the workshop participants to come up with project proposals that would lead to the formulation of sound policies for mitigation and adaptation. Dr Nyanganyura also disc ...
A Vulnerable Country in the Face of Climate Change
A Vulnerable Country in the Face of Climate Change

... areas, and approximately 24 billion tons of carbon stock (BtC) are stored in the vegetation and soil, and 80 percent of this is stored in forests (World Bank, 2007). The conversion of land and deforestation, which the World Bank estimates at around 2 million hectares per year, results in the emissio ...
Genetic adaptive response: missing issue in climate change
Genetic adaptive response: missing issue in climate change

... Adaptation is the dynamic evolutionary process that leads to a trait becoming adapted to local environmental conditions by means of natural selection, i.e. differential survival as a consequence of differences in values of the trait under selection. Adaptive capacity in its genetic sense is potentia ...
Module e – Impact assessment
Module e – Impact assessment

... • ISO 14040 definition: calculation of the magnitude of category indicator results to reference information • Reference information (over a given period of time): – area (e.g., France, Europe, the world) – person (e.g., a Danish citizen) – product (e.g., the most frequently used product) ...
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Attribution of recent climate change



Attribution of recent climate change is the effort to scientifically ascertain mechanisms responsible for recent changes observed in the Earth's climate, commonly known as 'global warming'. The effort has focused on changes observed during the period of instrumental temperature record, when records are most reliable; particularly in the last 50 years, when human activity has grown fastest and observations of the troposphere have become available. The dominant mechanisms (to which recent climate change has been attributed) are anthropogenic, i.e., the result of human activity. They are: increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases global changes to land surface, such as deforestation increasing atmospheric concentrations of aerosols.There are also natural mechanisms for variation including climate oscillations, changes in solar activity, and volcanic activity.According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), it is ""extremely likely"" that human influence was the dominant cause of global warming between 1951 and 2010. The IPCC defines ""extremely likely"" as indicating a probability of 95 to 100%, based on an expert assessment of all the available evidence.Multiple lines of evidence support attribution of recent climate change to human activities: A basic physical understanding of the climate system: greenhouse gas concentrations have increased and their warming properties are well-established. Historical estimates of past climate changes suggest that the recent changes in global surface temperature are unusual. Computer-based climate models are unable to replicate the observed warming unless human greenhouse gas emissions are included. Natural forces alone (such as solar and volcanic activity) cannot explain the observed warming.The IPCC's attribution of recent global warming to human activities is a view shared by most scientists, and is also supported by 196 other scientific organizations worldwide (see also: scientific opinion on climate change).
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