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1 The nature of the plant community: a reductionist view 2 3 J. Bastow Wilson Botany Department, University of Otago, P.O. Box 56, Dunedin, New Zealand. 4 5 Andrew D.Q. Agnew Institute of Biological Sciences, University of Wales Aberystwyth, SY23 3DA, U.K. Chapter 4. Mechanisms of coexistence and stability 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Alpha-niche differentiation ................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 Resources: type of resource and time of availability ............................................................ 5 1.2 Heterotroph-imposed niches ................................................................................................. 6 1.3 The niche extended by reaction ............................................................................................. 7 Environmental fluctuation: seasonal, annual and decadal change ........................................................ 8 Pest pressure: heterotroph challenges ................................................................................................. 10 3.1 Pathogens ............................................................................................................................ 12 3.2 Herbivory, general ............................................................................................................... 13 3.3 Herbivory of disseminules and seedlings ............................................................................ 13 3.4 Vegetative herbivory ........................................................................................................... 14 Circular competitive networks ............................................................................................................ 15 Allogenic disturbance: disrupting growth, mainly mechanically ....................................................... 15 Competition/dispersal tradeoff ........................................................................................................... 17 Initial patch composition .................................................................................................................... 18 Cyclic succession: movement of community phases .......................................................................... 18 Equal chance: neutrality...................................................................................................................... 18 Inertia .................................................................................................................................................. 20 10.1 Temporal inertia .................................................................................................................. 20 10.2 Spatial intertia: aggregation ................................................................................................ 21 Coevolution of similar competitive ability ......................................................................................... 22 Spatial mass effect: vicinism .............................................................................................................. 22 Conclusion .......................................................................................................................................... 23 30 Were there no species coexistence, there would be no need for this book. However, most plant 31 communities comprise persisting populations of several species. Populations may increase or decrease 32 through neutral drift or weather fluctuations, and species can immigrate or disappear from the local 33 community. However, long-term studies such as the Park Grass experiment (Silvertown 1987) and 34 Bibury (Dunnett et al. 1998) show that the basic tendency is persistence, for example outbreaks are 35 often followed by a decrease back to the original abundance. This coexistence is the fundamental 36 statement to be made about plant communities, and how it is achieved is the fundamental problem. 37 Resources (e.g. light and nutrients) are almost always limiting and competition between 38 individuals and species is demonstrable in all types of habitat, except very soon after disturbance (this 39 vol., chapt. 2, sect. 2.5 and chapt. 6, sect. 9.2; Clements et al. 1929). Competitive abilities can never be 40 exactly equal, so the result should be the competitive exclusion of all but one species (Gause 1934). 41 Therefore, the amazing thing is not that the species in plant communities show any particular patterns of 42 coexistence, but that they coexist at all. Hutchinson (1941; 1961) asked: "How [is it] possible for a Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 2 of 25 43 number of species to coexist in a relatively isotrophic or unstructured environment, all competing for the 44 same sorts of materials?". He called it the “Paradox of the Plankton”. 45 Monospecific stands do exist, by which we mean with only one vascular plant species (Plate 1). 46 Table 1 lists those that we have seen ourselves, and there are certainly more. They are often at 47 land/water ecotones, in wet places and especially in open water or extreme saline environments. In arid 48 countries, a monotonous vegetation of one halophytic species can dominate the landscape (Zohary 49 1973). We could generalise that these are habitats where only one species is capable of growth due to a 50 harsh environment, or where the exuberance of one species excludes others by competition, but in some 51 cases it is hard to know whether to credit the extreme habitat or the high competition, e.g. Phragmites 52 communis reedswamps. 53 At the other extreme is high species richness. Values depend on the size of the area censused, the 54 life form guild being considered (e.g. often trees alone are censused in tropical forests) and the 55 recording convention used (rooted or shoot presence, perennially or seasonally visible). Whatever the 56 sampling regime, extraordinarily high diversities can exist. Tropical rain forest is always quoted as an 57 example. Valencia et al. (1994) found 473 species of tree (individuals >5 cm dbh) in 1 ha of Ecuadorian 58 tropical rain forest, while Richards (1996) tabulates other examples with over 100 species in 1 ha in 59 New World and Malesian (not African!) tropical forests, Naveh and Whittaker (1979) recorded 179 60 vascular species in 0.1 ha of a dry shrub/grass community in Israel. Mean species richness of 18.3 per 61 0.01 m2 has been found in bryophyte carpets in the per-humid West Cape in New Zealand (Steel et al. 62 2004) and 12.2 species at that scale in limestone grassland on Oeland, Sweden (van der Maarel and 63 Sykes 1993). 64 When we talk of coexistence, the question must be asked at a particular spatial scale. Rainforest 65 trees such as Swietenia mahogoni (mahogany) occur in the tropics, and three flowering plant species are 66 native to Antarctica, e.g. Colobanthus quitensis. We never wonder how they coexist: they do it by 67 growing in quite different places and environmental conditions, that is to say in different beta-niches. In 68 fact, to use ‘coexist’ for them is stretching the word. Saltmarsh species (e.g. Salicornia spp., glasswort) 69 occur at low altitudes, and alpines (such as Androsace spp.) at high altitudes. Again, we do not ask 70 about coexistence. The Paradox of the Plankton as defined by Hutchinson refers to how coexistence can 71 occur in a “relatively isotrophic or unstructured environment”. This scale is difficult to define, because 72 environmental heterogeneity occurs down to the very finest scales, so all species in a mixture exist as a 73 pattern of abundance (this vol., chapt. 3, sect. 1). The species’ patterns will create further patchiness in 74 resources since species differ in their resource economies, their reaction on the environment. Numerous 75 studies have shown that each species’ individuals affect its soils (sect. 1.3 below). Also, each individual 76 by extending over space must sample a spectrum of resource and environmental qualities. Therefore, 77 rather than specify a particular scale, we state here that we are concerned with mechanisms that allow Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 3 of 25 78 species to coexist locally, i.e. mechanisms that are not due to imposed habitat heterogeneity within the Stabilising mechanisms Niche-differentiation 1. Alpha-niche differentiation (type of resource and time of availability) 2. Environmental fluctuation – season, decadal and gradual change Balances 3. Heterotroph challenges: pest pressure 4. Circular competitive networks Escape through movement 5. Allogenic disturbance – disrupting growth mainly mechanically 6. Competition/dispersal tradeoff 7. Initial patch composition 8. Cyclic succession: movement of community phases: 79 80 Equalising mechanisms 9. Equal chance (neutrality) 10. Inertia Temporal inertia Spatial inertia: aggregation 12. Coevolution of similar competitive ability 13. Spatial mass effect (vicinism) area considered. Wilson (1992) found 12 distinct mechanisms by which coexistence could be maintained: 81 (1) Alpha niche differentiation, (2) Environmental fluctuation, (3) Pest pressure, (4) Circular 82 competitive networks, (5) Allogenic disturbance, (6) Competition/dispersal tradeoff, (7) Initial patch 83 composition, (8) Cyclic succession, (9) Equal chance, (10) Inertia (temporal and spatial), 84 (11) Coevolution of similar competitive ability and (12) Spatial mass effect. We believe them to be 85 distinct, and we know of no new ones, though we have adopted a different arrangement that we hope 86 brings some new insights. 87 There is a basic distinction between stabilising mechanisms and equalising mechanisms (Table 88 4.2; Chesson 2000). Of the stabilising mechanisms (1 to 8 in Table 4.2), some are due to alpha niche 89 differentiation, some involve environmental fluctuation, some are due to balances unrelated to niches 90 and some can be categorised as escape through movement (Table 4.2). Species abundances are bound to 91 fluctuate, and stabilising mechanisms must include negative abundance-dependence to counter this. [For 92 animals, ‘density-dependence’ is often used, but since the concepts of ‘individual’ and ‘density’ are 93 difficult in most plants (chapt. 1, sect. # above) the more general ‘abundance-dependence’ should be 94 used.] This means that the plants of a species must have higher fitness, and thus biomass should 95 increase, when the species is at lower biomass in the community (Chesson in press). Simply, the one 96 necessary and sufficient phenomenon for maintaining a species in a mixture is ‘increase-when-rare’1. 97 The corollary of this is population limitation, i.e. reduced fitness as biomass increases. Either way, a 98 species’ fitness should be inversely related to its abundance. In the short term and in species that Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 4 of 25 99 reproduce only vegetatively we should consider vegetative RGR. In the longer term, population growth 100 is the critical question. However, if a species decreases to zero abundance, the long term will never 101 arrive for it. The increase-when-rare feature is incorporated into the Lotka-Volterra logistic function, as 102 every schoolboy knows. A feature that interferes with this in the real world is the Allee effect, whereby 103 populations cannot recover from very low numbers due to low success in mating. We believe that it is 104 rare in plants because, as we outlined in chapter1, each individual is effectively a colony and perennials 105 have an indefinite life span. Nevertheless there are examples of the effect in Banksia goodii, a shrub of 106 dry woodland (Lamont 1993), and in the outpollinated annual Clarkia concinna in California (Groom 107 1998). Species with obligate outcrossing and/or scattered distributions and/or monocarpic reproduction 108 and/or specialised pollen vectors would be more liable to it. 109 True coexistence must be through a stabilising mechanism. Equalising processes do not contain 110 an increase-when-rare mechanism, but are ways in which species may persist for a time in unstable local 111 coexistence, slowing competitive exclusion. Moreover, if the difference between the competitive 112 abilities of species is large, even the presence of a stabilising mechanism may not prevent competitive 113 exclusion, and in this situation an equalising mechanism might reduce the difference in competitive 114 ability between two species so that the stabilising mechanism is able to cause coexistence (Chesson 115 2000 %343). Ultimately every plant has established itself by a process that can be explained by its 116 tolerances (its niche) and the environmental conditions prevailing during its ecesis, but the reasons for a 117 species' presence in a particular spot are usually obscure. For example a tree may persist for so long that 118 the local soil/geomorphological conditions that allowed it to establish have changed. It is therefore 119 tempting to suggest that each individual's presence owes as much to chance as to ecological 120 differentiation and a theory of equal chance has been proposed to explain species mixtures, as we 121 discuss below. Again, species may persist temporarily through inertia of individuals or populations in 122 time or aggregation in space. Any process causing similarity in competitive ability is equalising too. 123 Lastly, and rather hesitantly, we include the spatial mass effect as an equalising mechanism. 124 1 Alpha-niche differentiation 125 We discussed alpha niches in chapter 1 (sect. 4.1). It has been pointed out that coexistence by 126 alpha-niche differentiation is impossible to disprove. Each species must by definition occupy a different 127 niche (chapt. 1, sect. 1.2 above). Moreover, by reaction it uniquely constructs part of its niche. The other 128 side of the coin is that if redundancy really occurs, i.e. there are coexisting species that do not differ in 129 alpha niche, they will not coexist by this mechanism and some of the 11 other mechanisms mentioned 130 below must account for their presence. The ‘increase when rare’ element occurs here because when a 131 species is rare the resource that it particularly takes up and requires will be present in greater abundance, 132 that is, the niche is not fully occupied, though interference with this process could come through luxury 133 uptake of nutrients (Lipson et al. 1996). The population limitation on the other hand is due to full niche Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 5 of 25 134 occupancy, i.e. full use of its resource. The degree of niche separation required will increase with the 135 difference in competitive ability between the species; if one species is a very strong competitor another 136 species will be able to coexist only if it is occupying a completely different niche. However, in contrast 137 to some stabilising mechanisms of coexistence, if the niche differentiation between two species is strong 138 enough, they can always coexist. 139 1.1 Resources (type of resource and time of availability) 140 Tilman (Titman 1976) demonstrated that coexistence was possible between two algae limited by 141 different nutrients P and Si, and concluded that the number of species able to coexist is the number of 142 resources, and then only if each species is limited by a different resource. He confirmed this in 143 modelling (Tilman 1977). *[JBW will see] Huston and DeAngelis (1994) produced a model that 144 purported to give coexistence between many species on a single limiting resource if it was patchy and 145 resource transport was slow. However, no increase-when-rare mechanism is apparent, and it seems 146 likely that the effect was due to immigration of propagules to a system where the advantages of the 147 species were similar. *[JBW will see] Vance (1984) produced a model that claimed to show that two 148 species can coexist on one limiting resource. However, it depended on “if each species interferes less 149 with resource acquisition by the other than with resource acquisition by itself”, which if the only 150 interaction is competition must mean niche differentiation (e.g. the one resource is water, but it is taken 151 up from different soil strata). The "steady state" that these authors specify will not be realised, but 152 environmental variation will bring other mechanisms (sect. 2 below) into play. 153 The primary resource requirements of most embryophytes are similar (light, water, CO2, N, P, K, 154 minor elements, sometimes pollination and dispersal). The concept of a resource gradient as niche 155 differentiation is simple for seed sizes as a resource for birds, but it applies less readily to plants, for 156 which most of the resources are discrete requirements. For example one species cannot require a low- 157 concentration type of P and another a high-concentration type, and the two cannot occur simultaneously 158 anyway. However, in other cases such as soil resources at different depths and pollinator service during 159 the season (sect. 2 below), the separation and specialisation of species along gradients are an important 160 mechanisms of coexistence (Fig. 5.x; MacArthur and Levins 1967). We should ask how much 161 separation is needed, but in spite of the calculations of MacArthur and Levins this question remains 162 unanswered for the real world. Even the existence of such niche limitation has been controversial and 163 difficult to prove (this vol., chapt. 5). Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 6 of 25 164 Fig. 4.x. The MacArthur and Levins (1967) concept of niche separation along a gradient 165 The whole of the above-ground structure of a plant is a light-capture mechanism. Therefore 166 gross characteristics of plant form have great relevance. Consider tree size and shape in rain forest, 167 where light is the prime resource; Kohyama (1992) and Akashi et al. (2003) concluded from modelling 168 that short species, with high seedling recruitment but with height-limited growth, could coexist with 169 taller species with lower recruitment rates. This is basically niche differentiation based on canopy strata. 170 Kohyama (1993) used the model to show that stable coexistence resulted without requiring a stand 171 mosaic and Kubota (1996) showed how just two canopy shapes, conical and spheroidal, interacted with 172 speed of recruitment to give situations that allowed a diverse canopy flora. These are subtle and devious 173 ways in which resource differentiation takes place in this famous biome. Stratification below ground, 174 i.e. in rooting depth, is another important niche gradient (this vol., chapt. 1, sect. 4.3), especially when 175 there is both precipitation and an accessible water table. 176 Two types of temporal gradient can be seen: (1) If growth is triggered by the resource itself, 177 species can differ in their speed of reaction to resource availability, their opportunism. Opportunistic 178 species react fast to resource availability, for example production of surface roots of succulents, 179 ephemeral leaves like Grewia spp. (cross berry) that have a leaf flush after every rain in African summer 180 deciduous bushland, and seasonally produced leaves that must survive periods of resource starvation. 181 (2) More commonly seasonal separation of species' growth patterns is controlled not by the resource 182 itself but by signals such as daylength and temperature. This causes regular seasonal phenological 183 separation of species’ activity. Here, the mechanism overlaps with the Storage effect (sect. 2 below). 184 1.2 Heterotroph-imposed niches 185 Pollination and dispersal can be switch mediators (this vol., chapt. 3, sect. 5.4.G), but also means of 186 niche differentiation. Pollinators come in many sizes and specializations: insects, birds, mammals and 187 even reptiles. Among insect pollinators there is huge variation in characteristics, and their interplay with 188 plants can be rich and complex. There are robbers, mimics, rewards, guides and warnings. The 189 pollination niche is liable to the Allee effect, both for self-incompatible plants when there is no mate in 190 the neighbourhood and for those specialised to particular pollinating insects when the plant population is 191 not large enough to attract the pollinator. Dispersal tends to be less specialised, without an equivalent to 192 the close relation between flower morphology and pollinator morphology seen with some insects and Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 7 of 25 193 birds, but differences in fruiting times could reduce competition for dispersers. An Allee effect is 194 possible in dispersal if the population is too small to attract more specialised dispersers. Allee effects 195 can neutralise an increase-when-rare mechanism. 196 Vascular plants could occupy different niches by associating with different mycorrhizal fungi. 197 However, specificity within the two main groups of fungi (VAM, ecto, ericoid/epacrid, etc.) is 198 quantitative, in terms of efficacy rather than in absolute ability to colonise the roots. Moreover, the 199 effect on the higher plant with all types is on availability of soil nutrients (especially P) and water, and 200 the loss is in carbon. We conclude that niche diversification through mycorrhizae unlikely. 201 1.3 The niche extended by reaction 202 The alpha niche is not a pre-existing box into which a species has to fit. We have emphasised 203 that the individuals of a species react on their environment, changing it and to a lesser or greater extent 204 constructing their own niche. Ramets of a species always show some sort of pattern of densities (this 205 vol., chapt. 3, sect. 1) and this pattern must cause patchiness in the micro-environment of the habitat. 206 Litter production is often the basis for nutrient heterogeneity, but plant morphology and root growth can 207 also be the cause (Vogt et al. 1995). Habitats, therefore, must always be patchy in resource availability 208 and physical environmental actors and the size of the patches depends on the pattern of densities of each 209 species. There is much evidence of this, particularly from forests where the sheer size of the trees makes 210 their patches large and easy to sample. From many examples we cite Pelletier et al. (1999) who analysed 211 the basal soils of more than seven species of North American forest trees and found that each species’ 212 subcanopy had a characteristic soil, presumably due to root and litter effects. Presumably plants can 213 have the same effects, but there are few published studies. This argument is that every plant community 214 must show pattern associated with each of its constituent species, but there are other biotic forces 215 making habitats more heterogeneous. Litter is not only a significant niche factor, but one especially 216 liable to cause change by reaction. 217 The necessary presence of patches in a community is important to every species’ foraging 218 strategy. Large patches are best exploited by stoloniferous herbs (Wijesinghe and Hutchings 1997). 219 Jackson and Caldwell (1996) modelled the effect of root plasticity on the uptake of nutrients from small 220 patches versus homogenous environments and found that plasticity was theoretically highly 221 advantageous in sagebrush steppe conditions. In the same habitat, patchy soils differentially affected 222 Agropyron desertorum (wheatgrass) and Artemisia tridentata (big sagebrush) under shady conditions, 223 the former failing in root plasticity, *[JBW will look up] the latter species in root physiology 224 compared with uniform nutrient treatments (Cui and Caldwell 1997). 225 Of course, the above-ground environment is altered too. Canopy trees create a 226 shade/temperature/humidity niche for understorey plants, that might not be able to survive without those 227 modifications. Many manifestly cannot do so in competition, since they are restricted to forest Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 8 of 25 228 understories. Trees also create the niche for climbers and epiphytes via their support, and for many 229 epiphytes water and nutrients via stemflow. Parasite plants obviously occupy a niche that would not 230 exist without other plants; the term ‘niche construction’ is very appropriate here. 231 2 Environmental fluctuation (seasonal, annual and decadal change) 232 Species can separate along annual and other changes in the environment, predictable and 233 unpredictable. We cannot talk of coexistence caused by millenial-scale fluctuation unless the plants are 234 very long-lived (say 500+ yr), because competitive exclusion may happen before the environmental- 235 fluctuation coexistence mechanism can operate. We discuss flowering and fruiting niche gradients, 236 mediated by pollinators and dispersers, in chapter 5 (sect. 6.2) and species can also separate along niche 237 axes of vegetative phenology. An excellent example is the vernal ground flora of deciduous forest. 238 Fargione and Tilman (2005 %598) found evidence that vegetative phenological niche differentiation 239 added to rooting-depth differences in facilitating the coexistence of species at Cedar Creek with the 240 dominant grass Schizachyrium scoparium (bluestem). Separation in flowering times will reduce 241 competition for pollinators, giving coexistence based on niche differentiation. 242 Environmental fluctuation can cause coexistence if it be on scales shorter than this but long 243 enough for there to be feedback on resources. The fluctuation can be one that affects vegetative growth, 244 for example the vernal flora of forests and spring ephemerals of semi-arid areas, though there is often an 245 accompanying fluctuation in reproduction. 246 As will be clear below, there has to be an interaction between growth and resource supply. There 247 has been confusion about this. Many authors have claimed that simple variation in the environment and 248 therefore in demographic parameters would allow long-term coexistence. For example, Gigon (1997) 249 wrote: “The fluctuations and their interferences mean that no species encounters optimal growth 250 conditions for a prolonged period of time. Therefore no species can outcompete the others. Fluctuations 251 are thus decisive for the coexistence of species”. Coexistence cannot happen this way. For coexistence, 252 the long-term growth rate of each species has to be RGR = 0.0 (r = 0.0, λ = 1.0). The long-term growth 253 rate for a species is the arithmetic average of RGR (the geometric average of λ) in each period. 254 Variation in growth rate will not make it more likely that long-term r is 0.0, in fact a value of exactly 0.0 255 due to such averaging is infinitely unlikely. There are only two ways in which temporal variation can 256 lead to the coexistence of two species: Relative non-linearity and Sub-additivity. These can cause 257 coexistence only if the competitive unbalance between the two species is not too great, and equalising 258 mechanisms can contribute to this. 259 Relative non-linearity means that two species respond differently to levels of a resource for 260 which they are competing, and moreover that they respond by differently-shaped relations. For example, 261 the three scenarios in Fig. 4.1 count as different shapes. The way to test for Relative non-linearity of Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 9 of 25 262 shapes is to plot the values of RGR of one species at each level of resource R against the values of the 263 other: if the result is a anything but a straight line, the species are relatively non-linear. C D RGR A F B Rmean Resource level [R] Rmean Resource level [R] Rmean Resource level [R] E Fig. 4.1: Pairs of two species showing relative non-linearity 264 265 Take the third graph. If [R], the level of resource R, is constant at the mean value (Rmean), species E has 266 a higher RGR than F. However, if there be environmental fluctuation around the mean, the mean growth 267 rate of F would be higher. Thus, low fluctuation in [R] advantages E, high fluctuation advantages F. 268 The reason this matters is that at low [R] species E grows faster than F and therefore depletes the 269 resources, at high [R] it grows little more than at Rmean, and leaves much of the R unutilised. Both ways, 270 when species E is in the majority it exacerbates the fluctuations in [R]. Conversely when it is in the 271 minority, fluctuation in [R] is lower, which favours it: increase when rare is achieved. 272 In contrast, species F grows little at low [R], and will hardly deplete R. At high [R] it grows 273 disproportionately fast, absorbing R and therefore reducing [R]. Both ways, when species F is in the 274 majority it damps down the fluctuations in [R]. Conversely when it is in the minority, fluctuation in [R] 275 is higher, which favours it: increase when rare is achieved. 276 277 The second way that environmental fluctuations can cause coexistence is the Storage effect. There are four requirements for the Storage effect to operate: 278 1. The species must be competing for a resource. 279 2. They must be affected by an environmental (i.e. non-resource) factor, and respond differently 280 to it. 281 3. There must be covariance between the environmental factor and the intensity of competition. 282 We would expect this, because when the plants are denser or larger competition will be 283 more intense. That is, in ‘favourable’ conditions competition will be greater. 284 4. There must be subadditivity (= buffering, = an interaction between environment and 285 competition). That is to say, the effect of competition on the population of a species 286 depends on the environment. So, whilst ‘3’ refers to the intensity of competition, ‘4’ 287 refers to the effect of competition. 288 In years (or other periods) when the environment is favourable for a species, if it is in the majority and 289 therefore competing against itself it cannot take much advantage of the favourable conditions because it 290 is competing against itself at high biomass: X in Fig. 4.2. Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 10 of 25 Competitive intensity X Low RGR High RGR Environmental favourability Fig. 4.2: The effect of competitive intensity and environmental favourability on RGR. For ‘X’, see the text. 291 292 Chesson’s (1994) calculations indicate that the Storage effect is a considerably stronger force than 293 Relative non-linearity. 294 These mechanisms clarify that the timescale on which environmental fluctuation can cause 295 coexistence is set by the timescale on which resource depletion can occur. Light intensity can change 296 instantaneously, it cannot be stored from one second to another, and its effects in producing 297 photosynthate are quite short-term, so within-day fluctuation could suffice. Water depletion could occur 298 over a few days, and nutrient depletion over a few months. Soil nutrients often become more available 299 in the spring due to mineralisation but slow uptake over winter, and are depleted during the period of 300 active growth, so the Storage effect can operate on within-season or between year variation in nutrient 301 use. Seasonal niche differentiation can also be seen as alpha niche differentiation, so long as different 302 resource bases are being utilised. 303 3 Pest pressure (heterotroph challenges) 304 Both pathogens and herbivores (from insects to megaherbivores) have the potential to give an 305 increase-when-rare process (we use ‘pest’ to cover both pathogens and herbivores). For this, three 306 conditions are required. 307 308 1. Impact: the pests involved must have a significant impact on the growth and/or survival of the plant species, i.e. their fitness must be reduced. 309 2. Specificity: The pests involved must be at least partially specific to the plant species. It could be 310 sufficient for the least competitive species to have no specific pests/diseases, but to benefit when 311 the others are suppressed by pests/diseases. 312 313 3. Abundance-dependence: The challenge from pests must be less on a sparse than on an abundant species. This represents an abundance-dependent effect. The requirement is for a lower impact Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 11 of 25 314 on the growth and reproduction of sparse species, but this will presumably be through reduced 315 infection. 316 If these three conditions all obtain, when any one of the plant species in the mixture becomes more 317 abundant, the host-specific pest (Condition 2) will move more rapidly amongst its host population and 318 the degree of infestation will increase (Condition 3). This will reduce its fitness (Condition 1). This will 319 not impact other species, or will do so only to a lesser extent (Condition 2). Conversely, when a species 320 becomes sparse, infestation by its specific pests will decrease and its fitness increase relative to its 321 fitness when more abundant, giving the increase-when-rare effect. Again, the strength of conditions 1-3 322 necessary for coexistence depends on the degree of difference in competitive ability, and equalising 323 mechanisms of coexistence can allow Pest pressure to result in coexistence when it otherwise would not. 324 Condition ‘1’ can often be met, since pests have various effects on plant production. Basically, 325 the pest organism must have a carbon requirement, which is almost bound to result in lower production 326 and fitness for the plant. Many pests are quite specific to a species or group of species, meeting 327 Condition 2. Ecologists tend more to question Condition ‘3’ because it is less obvious how abundance- 328 dependence could operate. Possible mechanisms (Boudreau and Mundt 1997) are via: (a) a decreased 329 abundance of palatable / susceptible plants, which inhibits the dispersal of herbivores, disease-spores or 330 disease-vectors, (b) the flypaper effect for disease spores and possibly for insect pests, virus vectors and 331 hence for the viruses they carry, in which the pest is caught by a passive surface, (c) alteration in the air 332 flow and microclimate, (d) chemicals from associated species that repel herbivorous insects, and (e) 333 promotion by an associated species of natural enemies of the herbivorous insects, i.e. their predators. 334 We shall discuss diseases and herbivory separately since they act in different ways with different 335 dynamics. However, there is sometimes evidence for abundance-dependent mortality or a reduction in 336 growth that is circumstantial evidence for the process and therefore for the Pest pressure mechanism, 337 that cannot be pinned down to a particular pest. For example, Packer and Clay (2000) examined the 338 distribution of seedlings of Prunus serotina (black cherry). The greatest number of seeds germinated 339 quite close to their parent tree, 5-10 m. However, 4 months later and thereafter up to 28 months, 340 seedling survival was higher the greater the distance from the parent tree, up to the furthest distance 341 monitored (30 m). This is not always the pattern. Dalling et al. (1998) in tropical rainforest on Barro 342 Colorado Island found that seedlings tended to be denser nearer to an adult of the same species. For 343 temperate forests Houle (1992) found the seedling mortality of Acer saccharum (sugar maple) in an 344 Eastern American forest was not abundance-dependent; there was no particular spatial relation between 345 trees and seedlings. Hyatt et al. (2003), in a thorough review of the literature, found no evidence for an 346 effect of distance from conspecifics on seed survival in either temperate or tropical communities, but 347 there was a tendency for seedlings to show higher survival at distance, with hints that this occurred 348 especially in the tropical forests. This matches the conclusions of Wright (2002 %1) who, with a rather Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 12 of 25 349 different review approach, found considerable evidence of low growth performance of saplings near 350 conspecific adults. When effects like this are found, they are assumed to be because of Pest pressure, 351 though Wright discusses other explanations. This kind of pattern recalls the ‘Janzen-Connell’ hypothesis 352 that whilst the greatest density of fruit will be dispersed to near the parent plant, pests will have the 353 greatest impact there, so the maximal regeneration will occur at an intermediate distance from the 354 parent. We would expect this to be an important abundance-dependent method of species' maintenance 355 in diverse, stable communities of trees, specifically tropical rain forest. But it seems that it is far from 356 universal. 357 3.1 Pathogens 358 Pathogens act in the soil, in the plant systemically and in the plant’s photosynthetic and 359 reproductive systems. The impact of fungal pathogens can be considerable. Mihail et al. (1998) found 360 that in a greenhouse experiment with the annual legume Kummerowia stipulacea (Korean clover) the 361 fungus Rhizoctonia solani caused mortality that reduced plant density by 40 % whilst the fungus 362 Pythium irregulare reduced density by 80 %. Mitchell (2003 %147) found that in an oldfield grassland 363 at Cedar Creek 8.9 % of the leaf area was infected by fungal pathogens, which decreased root 364 production by 25% by decreasing leaf life, while herbivores had no effect. 365 366 367 The species-specificity requirement is less easy to meet. Gilbert (2000) concludes that the evidence so far indicates that in natural communities that most fungi infect a large number of hosts. The abundance-dependence criterion can often be met. Most ephemeral pathogens are 368 transmitted aerially including rusts and smuts which affect leaves, stems and floral parts. Abundance of 369 the host plant affects the pathogen's population and its persistence, and the transmission of specialist 370 pathogens can be highly sensitive to the identity of other host species in the community (Boudreau and 371 Mundt 1997). An example is the Ustilago violacea smut on Silene alba (≡ S. latifolia; white campion), 372 for which Thrall and Jarosz (1994) experimentally compared the behaviour of the host and pathogen 373 populations to theoretical models. The match was good and showed that both density dependence and 374 frequency dependence occurred. An excellent study by Burdon et al. (1992) described the mortality of 375 Pinus sylvestris (Scots pine) caused by the snow blight fungus Phacidium infestans as being mostly 376 abundance-dependent, with greater mortality in subsites where the host had been denser the previous 377 year. This abundance-dependence has sometimes been shown to lead to a lower pathogen load in 378 mixtures, which must imply some host specificity. Mitchell et al. (2002 %1713) examined 147 plots in 379 an experiment at Cedar Creek established by Tilman and co-workers, sown and weeded to species 380 richness from 1 to 24 species. The percentage of each leaf visibly infected was guessed, using calibrated 381 cards as a guide. Infection dropped as species richness increased, the 24-species plots having only 37% 382 the foliar fungal pathogen load of the mean monoculture (though more than the least-infected 383 monoculture). Similarly, Mitchell et al. (2003 %438) analysed another Cedar Creek experiment sown Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 13 of 25 384 and weeded to 1 to 16 species, and the pathogen load in the 16-species plots was only 34% of that in the 385 mean of monocultures. In chapter 3, sections 6 and 7.5 we described the ‘selection’ artefact in overyield 386 and invasion-resistance experiments. A similar artefact would be possible here if the species less 387 susceptible to disease had thereby a competitive advantage and increased its proportion in the mixture, 388 so that the mixture had a lower mean pathogen susceptibility and thus a lower pathogen load. However, 389 Mitchell et al. (2002; 2003) present evidence that this is not the cause of the effect they found. Mitchell 390 and Power (Collinge %58) conclude that “the transmission of specialist pathogens can be highly 391 sensitive to the identity of other host species in the community”. 392 Similar effects could be caused by below-ground pathogens. Bever (2003) modelled this, but 393 concluded that there is no evidence for it yet. 394 3.2 Herbivory, general 395 Herbivores come in all sizes, specialisations and guilds. On vegetative parts there are leaf eaters, 396 stem borers and root eaters. On reproductive systems there are flower exploiters, frugivores and 397 granivores. Plant species are variously adapted to herbivory, with chemical and physical defences, life 398 histories and growth patterns that have evolved seemingly to deal with the challenges. The potential 399 mechanism for coexistence via herbivory is similar to that for pathogens. However, whilst pathogens 400 often reduce the functional efficiency of plant parts, most herbivores simply remove plant material so 401 that the plant needs to regrow to replace tissue and thus its resource base (cf. chapt. 2, sect. #). 402 Obviously we can expect a great variety of relationships between plant species and their herbivores, 403 including symbiotic ones, such as the Yucca moth (James et al. 1993). In many of these systems 404 herbivores exploit plant populations in an abundance-dependent way. Grover (1994) modelled this and 405 used the keystone concept (this vol., chapt. 5, sect. 11) to suggest that a controlling herbivore is one that 406 destroys a plant species that could become a dominant competitor. We may distinguish between 407 abundance-dependent culling of seeds and seedlings and wholesale removal of plant material, i.e. 408 vegetative herbivory. 409 3.3 Herbivory of disseminules and seedlings 410 Seeds and seedlings are a rich nutritional resource and are heavily predated. Maron and Gardner 411 (2000) showed by modelling that herbivores can control adult population abundance by limiting the 412 seed input to the seedbank. Such limitation seems to be widespread. It occurs also via vegetative 413 disseminules. Thus, the ‘impact’ requirement can be met. 414 Disseminule herbivory can often be abundance-dependent. Cygnus bewickii (swans) eat the 415 turions (disseminules, fleshy buds) of Potamogeton pectinatus (pondweed) in the autumn. Jonsen et al. 416 (2002) demonstrated clear abundance-dependent control of the P. pectinatus in which the denser patches 417 of turions were exploited, reducing their density, while areas of low turion densities were unexploited Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 14 of 25 418 and here the plant density subsequently increased. Edwards and Crawley (1999) examined four species 419 of British meadows and found that granivory by rodents was abundance-dependent, but its effects on 420 adult densities differed. Densities of species with bigger seeds (Arrhenatherum elatius, oat grass; and 421 Centaurea nigra, knapweed) appeared to be reduced, but in the smaller seeded Rumex acetosa (sorrel) 422 and Festuca rubra survival increased to compensate for seed predation, with no overall effect on plant 423 density. Again, Ehrlen (1996) found that in Lathyrus vernus (spring pea), although seed predation by a 424 Bruchidae beetle was correlated with seed density in small plots and with inflorescence size, this had no 425 consistent effect on plant population recruitment. Thus, even the occurrence of abundance-dependent 426 seed predation is no guarantee that it will control the population and hence contribute to species 427 coexistence. 428 Another limitation of disseminule/seedling herbivory as a mechanism of coexistence may be that 429 most mammal granivores are not specific to one species. There is huge literature assuming that bird 430 granivores are restricted by beak size to a particular range of fruit/seed sizes, but not to one species. 431 However, species of Bruchid beetle are generally restricted to the seeds of one or a few species of 432 Fabaceae (legumes). Seedlings are presumably eaten by invertebrates, but they are likely to be quite 433 generalist. 434 3.4 Vegetative herbivory 435 The impact of herbivory on vegetative parts can be considerable, both by vertebrate herbivores 436 (Jones 1933) and by insects above and below-ground (Brown and Gange 1989). The selectivity of 437 herbivores varies widely from megaherbivores that take large mouthfuls rather indiscriminately such as 438 horses and elephants, through more selective ungulates, to tiny flower gall wasps specific on one or a 439 few plant species and Lepidopterans feeding on one species (this vol., chapt. 2, sect 4.3), such Tyria 440 jacobaeae as (cinnabar moth) on Senecio jacobaea (ragwort): Plate 4.2. *(ref. from Andrew). 441 There are cases when coexistence can be attributed rather clearly to insect vegetative herbivory, 442 for example Carson and Root (2000) found that periodic plagues of folivorous chrysomelid beetles 443 checked populations of the dominant Solidago altissima (goldenrod) in an oldfield in New York state, 444 USA, and were responsible for the diversity and successional rates. The effect of vertebrate grazing in 445 increasing species diversity is well known, as shown by the rabbit exclosures erected by Tansley and 446 Adamson (1925). However, the effect there is surely that when the sward is higher, light competition is 447 more important, and especially there is more opportunity for the feedback between the outcome of 448 competition and competitive ability to occur (this vol., chapt. 3, sect. 1.5), allowing competitive 449 exclusion. This has nothing to do with the any mechanism of coexistence. Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 15 of 25 450 451 3.5 Pest pressure conclusions The Pest pressure effect seems most likely to operate via diseases. However, there can be 452 complex interactions. An example is seen on Netherlands sand dunes, on which there are relatively 453 uniform soils and clear successional sequences. The growth of the pioneer Ammophila arenaria 454 (marram grass) is impacted by nematodes and pathogens (Van der Stoel et al. 2002). The nematodes 455 reduce growth only early in succession and early in the season, and are not significant in the marked 456 decline in vigour commonly seen in older stands of A. arenaria. However, there is apparently a 457 synergistic effect between fungi, and between fungi and nematodes, which reduces A. arenaria’s 458 growth, and this is important in competition with Festuca rubra, the next dominant in the succession 459 (Derooijvandergroes 1995; Van der Putten and Peters 1997). Later in the succession, in nutrient poor 460 grassland, there is often a mosaic of Festuca rubra and Carex arenaria (sand sedge). Here Olff et al. 461 (2000) discovered that each species had phases of increased and decreased vigour, replacing each other, 462 and that this process was associated with pest phases, particularly the plant-feeding nematodes. Each 463 species seems to be affected by different groups of pests, leading to the changing mosaic aspect of the 464 vegetation, which might look superficially like cyclic succession (this vol., chapt. 3, sect. 4). 465 4 Circular competitive networks 466 Interference relations between a set of species are said to be transitive if the species can be 467 arranged in a pecking order, such that a species higher in the order can outcompete any species lower 468 down (this vol., chapt. 5, sect. 4.3). The opposite situation is the existence of circular competitive 469 networks (Fig. 4.3). If such networks exist, they would contain an increase-when-rare mechanism: as 470 species A starts to displace species B, species C increases because it has high competitive ability against 471 A, but then it in turn is replaced by B, completing the cycle. However, it is hard to see how circular 472 competitive abilities could exist, and they seem to be rare or non-existent (this vol., chapt. 5, sect. 4.3). 473 They are almost certainly not an important mechanism of coexistence. species A species C species B Fig. 4.3. A circular competitive network between three species. 474 475 476 5 Allogenic disturbance (disrupting growth, mainly mechanically) Disturbance can have the same effect as climate variation (Roxburgh et al. 2004), but the true Intermediate-timescale disturbance mechanism is a patch mechanism: within an area there are patches Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 16 of 25 477 of different time since disturbance, with different suites of species (Wilson 1994 %176). This gives a 478 successional mosaic. Whether this comprises coexistence depends on the scale at which the system is 479 viewed. Coexistence is seen only when considering a scale that is larger than the size of a disturbance 480 patch, so that it includes patches of differing time since disturbance – newly-disturbed versus recovered. 481 The different patch types are different beta niches but on a small scale, and a species specialising in a 482 particular patch type will increase when rare because it will have more of its specific resources 483 available. In a sense, we should therefore not count Allogenic disturbance as a mechanism of 484 coexistence; we do so here because it is so frequently seen as one, because of the impossibility of 485 defining the target scale, and because disturbances occur on all scales so that however small a scale we 486 examine there will still be disturbances within it. The disturbance does need to be sufficiently frequent 487 that each patch will usually include patches at various stages of recovery, or the mechanism will not 488 operate. 489 All sorts of allogenic disturbances happen and it is not always easy to separate disturbance from 490 climatic stress, i.e. the environmental fluctuation discussed above (sect. 2 above). The characteristics of 491 disturbance are: (1) Plants not only fail to reproduce but are killed, at least above ground. (2) Most 492 species are killed, not just those that cannot tolerate a particular stress. (3) The event is sudden. (4) The 493 environmental effect is temporary, i.e. it is a pulse perturbation, so the original species can re-establish 494 the composition of the patch. However, the real difference is that Allogenic disturbance is a between- 495 patch mechanism. Disturbance is common, creating gaps over the landscape at a range of scales from 496 meteor hits (many km2) to worm casts (about 0.03 m). Fossorial rodents, ants and termites act at scales 497 which can be important for individual plants. A good example is that of McGinley et al.’s (1994) 498 description of enriched harvester ant mounds in western Texas. It is possible that much the variation that 499 we see in communities is due to old disturbances, where vegetation cover has been regained, and 500 obvious pioneers have been eliminated, but the species composition is different. Perhaps we do not 501 realise this because we fail to recognise mid-succession species as being such (Veblen and Stewart 1982 502 %413). 503 The Allogenic disturbance mechanism assumes that there are distinct pioneer and climax 504 species, i.e. r and K, R and C-S. However, we are talking of secondary succession, and cannot assume 505 this. Peterson and Pickett (1995) found that after windthrow disturbance in a North American conifer / 506 deciduous forest some species regenerated by the germination of seed and some from already-present 507 seedlings, but pioneer shade-intolerant species were sparse, apparently due to a lack of propagule input. 508 Autosuccession, in which the climax species immediately re-establishes after a disturbance, is known 509 from mesic areas such as after windthrow in temperate Nothofagus rainforest in New Zealand 510 (Cockayne 1926), but it is specially found under environmental stress, as predicted by C-S-R theory 511 (this vol., chapt. 6, sect. 6.7; Wilson and Lee 2000). We might expect that the greater species richness in Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 17 of 25 512 tropical rain forests would include a good number of gap specialists. Indeed, Hubbell (2005 %166) 513 demonstrated for Barro Colorado Island tropical rainforest a close negative correlation among species 514 between survival rate in shade and growth rate in full light (in gaps), though admitting there were rather 515 few gap species and their abundance was low. Wright et al. (2003) found that there was a continuous 516 distribution of gap-colonising species and those that avoided gaps in Barro Colorado Island, Panama, 517 but that the majority were rather indiscriminate. Similarly, Lieberman et al. (1995 %161) found that 518 87% of the tree species in Costa Rican tropical forest had no significant canopy-gap / matrix 519 specialization. Poorter et al. (2005 %256) found that only one of 47 species in a Liberian tropical 520 rainforest was a shade species for its whole life, and only one a light species for its whole life. It is clear 521 that most species are intermediate in this respect. This suggests that Allogenic disturbance may not be 522 an important mechanism of coexistence in the very biome where we tend to envisage it. Yet in 523 temperate forests there may be greater opportunities for it to increase species richness: Poulson and Platt 524 (1996) demonstrated in Michigan that the size of the gap affects the species re-establishing, such that 525 single treefalls favoured Fagus grandifolia (American beech) but multiple fall gaps favoured Acer 526 saccarum (sugar maple). This is not a question of gap versus non-gap, but also of differences between 527 different sorts of gap. 528 Gaps are by no means restricted to forests. Grubb (1982) suggested that in roadside communities 529 around Cambridge, England, the climax dominant amongst the grasses was Arrhenatherum elatius (oat 530 grass), but Dactylis glomerata (cocksfoot) and Plantago lanceolata (ribwort plantain) retained their 531 place in the community by being the first to invade small gaps. 532 6 Competition/dispersal tradeoff 533 This concept originated simultaneously with Skellam (1951) and Hutchinson (1951). It has been 534 known under a variety of names (Wilson 1990), including ‘Life history differences’ and the endearing if 535 not entirely accurate ‘Musical chairs’ (Crawley 1986). Consider a model in which two annual species 536 occupy single-plant safe sites. Species C is the better competitor, and eliminates the weaker competitor 537 D if it reaches a site, but it has less efficient reproduction/dispersal than species D, and therefore fails to 538 reach some sites. Species D has better dispersal, and is available to colonise most of the sites that C has 539 not reached. If C becomes sparse, there are many empty sites for its offspring to occupy and its 540 population growth rate increases; similarly if D becomes sparse, there are many sites left over by C for 541 it to occupy. This is increase-when-rare. The mechanism can be distinguished from (‘1’) Niche 542 differentiation in that no differences between species in resource use are required. It can be 543 distinguished from (‘5’) Allogenic disturbance in that: (a) the gaps are caused by monocarpic or 544 seasonal death, not necessarily by external disturbance, though that is possible, and (b) species C is 545 limited only by dispersal, not by its ability to tolerate the environment of the gap. It can be distinguished Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 18 of 25 546 from (‘9’) Equal Chance in that, though there is a random element, it acts via dispersal; the competitive 547 abilities of the two species are very different. 548 There have been many mathematical models of the mechanism, e.g. Levins and Culver (1971), 549 Nee and May (1992) and Tilman (1994). There is an assumption of a negative correlation (trade-off) 550 between competitive ability and dispersal ability, but Ehrlén and van Groenendael (1998) surveyed the 551 literature and found that this was common. Turnbull et al. (1999) demonstrated the mechanism 552 experimentally by sowing seven species from a limestone grassland, ranging from a seed mass of 0.013 553 to 0.16, back into that grassland. When the seeds were sown at a high density, 83 % of the resulting 554 plants were from the three species with the largest seeds, but when a low density was sown this 555 percentage was reduced to 49 %. This is entirely compatible with the Competition/dispersal tradeoff 556 mechanism: when there were enough seeds to reach almost all microsites the three big-seeded, strong 557 competitors occupied them, but when fewer seeds were sown there were microsites not occupied by the 558 big three, which the light seeded, probably well-dispersed species could occupy. The unlikely 559 Competition/dispersal tradeoff theory is proved. 560 7 Initial patch composition 561 The coexistence model of Levin (1974) is that two species occupy small, transient patches. Some 562 patches will by chance have more individuals of one species than the other. The species in the majority 563 will suppress the other in that patch if intra-specific interference is less than inter-specific interference. 564 The latter condition is beloved of ecological modellers, but it seems unlikely in the real world. It would 565 be possible with mutual species-specific allelopathy: the Getafix potions of community ecology. We do 566 not believe this model can apply to plants (or at all). 567 8 Cyclic succession: movement of community phases 568 This topic was covered in chapter 3, section 4. The increase-when-rare mechanism is similar to 569 that of (‘4’) Circular competitive networks. The latter are between individual species whereas cyclic 570 succession involves the whole community, though in many of Watt’s (1947) examples the community 571 comprises one species. Cyclic succession involves reaction, but then interference also involves 572 environmental modification, be it more temporary. There could be cyclic succession between just two 573 phases, whereas there cannot logically be a circular competitive network with fewer than three species. 574 9 Equal chance: neutrality 575 It is a longstanding idea that there is an element of chance in which species occurs at a spot 576 (Lippmaa 1939). This has been especially invoked for tropical rain forests (e.g. Schulz 1960; Hubbell 577 and Foster 1986). Sale (1977) described it as a ‘lottery’ and Connell (1978) formally put it forward as a 578 mechanism of coexistence, the ‘Equal chance’ mechanism. In this section, when we speak of chance, we Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 19 of 25 579 refer to such processes such as dispersal that are so complex as to be unpredictable in practice, 580 combined with equally unpredictable climatic and catastrophic disturbance events. It is impossible to 581 prove the operation of chance, but some have implicated it. 582 Equal chance means that any one of a number of species is equally likely to occupy and 583 pre-empt by to reaction a particular microsite. One cause would be that the probability of a disseminule 584 reaching a site is proportional to its abundance. Then, dispersal would determine which species occupies 585 a particular site (Schulz 1960). In New Zealand, Veblen and Stewart (1980) used this as an explanation 586 for the colonisation of canopy gaps by either Dacrydium cupressinum (rimu), Weinmannia racemosa 587 (kamahi) or Metrosideros umbellata (southern rata) as a function of seed/seedling availability, mast 588 seeding and the ability of many New Zealand tree species to remain as suppressed seedlings. Equal 589 competitive abilities are likely to be invoked: the ‘Equivalence of competitors’ concept of Goldberg and 590 Werner (1983) that often competition is intense but many species are similar in their competitive ability. 591 Sometimes the outcome of competition can be established at the seedling stage, since when competition 592 is for light and therefore cumulative the first plant to establish will exclude others, a type of inertia (this 593 vol., chapt. 2, sect. 1.5) and this again invokes random dispersal. Alternatively, both the probabilities of 594 ecesis and their competitive abilities might be different between species, but the two balance. 595 The equal chance concept would result in variation in the species composition of communities 596 which it was impossible to correlate with any environmental factor, present or past. Some have used this 597 kind of negative result as evidence of chance. McCune and Allen (1985 %367) in forests in Montana, 598 USA, Allen and Peet (1990 %193) in forests in Colorado, USA, and Kazmierczak et al. (1995 %863) in 599 kettle-holes in Poland found only weak correlation between species composition and the environment 600 and invoked chance. In such work, the weak correlation could be because there were important 601 environmental factors that had not been measured, or because some factors measured gave a non-linear 602 response that the analysis could not cope with. The equal chance hypothesis, used as an excuse for 603 failing to find vegetation/environment correlations is the last resort of the scoundrel. Lavorel and 604 Lebreton (1992 %91) compared the composition of the vegetation with that of the seed pool in fields 605 from southern France, and took the similarity as evidence of a random draw from the seed pool. This is 606 also doubtful evidence; it could equally well be caused by determinism. 607 The most well-known invocation of chance is the Island Biogeography model of MacArthur and 608 Wilson (1963), based on probabilistic immigration and extinction. However, Kelly et al. (1989) and 609 Tangney et al. (1990) could find little evidence for its operation in Lake Manapouri islands. On islands, 610 a direct test of determinacy v. chance (assuming that incidence functions are not important) is available 611 in a test for nesting. On the other hand, Wilson (1988 %1030) found plant species nesting among these 612 islands to be significant, but far from complete. His analyses pointed to habitat control rather than 613 chance, at least for native species. Wilson et al. (1992 %150) sampled the algal flora of intertidal rock Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 20 of 25 614 pools, selected for habitat uniformity within a limited area, and analysed as virtual islands. The 615 distribution of species agreed closely with that expected at random, whether examined by the 616 distribution of associations, by nesting, by chequerboarding or by incidence functions. The simplest 617 explanation is that differences in specific composition between the pools are caused by chance, but that 618 is no proof, it is a minimalist default. The best example of chance – no difference between species if one 619 can ever have an example of no difference – is from Munday (2004), who investigated two small 620 congeneric coral-reef fish species, where there was evidence for competition, in field removal 621 experiments, and in lab colonisation. However, in none of these experiments, nor in field distribution, 622 was there any evidence of niche differentiation. 623 Even Equal Chance’s strongest advocates have been equivocal. Hubbell (2005 %166), having 624 emphasised differences in niche between Barro Colorado Island tropical rain forest species, eventually 625 attributed coexistence to dispersal and recruitment limitation. This is in effect a resort to Equal Chance. 626 However, he immediately discussed negative abundance-dependence, which is stabilising, not 627 equalising. The Equal chance mechanism is the equalising mechanism par excellance, and should be 628 seen as no more than that. 629 10 Inertia 630 Inertia is another type of equalising mechanism, slowing competitive exclusion and possibly 631 allowing stabilising mechanisms to operate. 632 10.1 Temporal inertia 633 Temporal inertia can be an individual or population effect, effectively the same because the 634 ‘individual’ concept is not meaningful for plants. Trees stand where they stand, and cause inertia. If, 635 when a tree fell over, there were a tendency for the niche it had constructed to favour its own juveniles 636 in the canopy gap created, this would represent a small-scale dispersal switch. This could constitute 637 inertia, slowing the ingress of a superior competitor. We mentioned above that Dalling et al. (1998) 638 found seedlings on BCI to be denser near to a conspecific adult. Species differed little in the correlation 639 of their growth rate with light intensity, and they declared that differential responses to soil and 640 topography were rare. This left them to speculate that there was dispersal limitation, as supported by the 641 correlation between parent and juvenile being weaker for species with small disseminules. This is inertia 642 due to dispersal limitation. Annuals are a conspicuous life form in arid climates where the rainfall is 643 highly erratic and form a long-lived seed bank, and this seed bank gives inertia as well as a storage 644 effect. A population with a seed bank has similarities to a tree, except that this is multi-generation 645 inertia. The decade-long dominance phases, with smooth increases and decreases, that Watt (1981 646 %509) found in the Breckland may owe something to inertia. A more active mechanism of inertia would 647 be delay in vegetation change caused by a switch (chapt. 3, sect. 5.3 above). Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 21 of 25 648 These situations are obvious in dryland vegetation where the rainfall is erratic and temperatures 649 are high. For many succulents, sufficient rainfall for the development of surface root hairs is itself a rare 650 event, yet by means of massive storage, CAM photosynthesis and often a high albedo they can 651 withstand years of unavailable moisture. The establishment of such succulents can be a very rare event, 652 as exemplified by Agave macroacantha in Mexico (Arizaga and Excurra 2002). Minor rain events may 653 allow annuals to grow, while rheatophytic shrubs and trees maintain contact with a deep water resource 654 giving the appearance of a plant community. Clarke (2002) described a similar situation with woody 655 dryland vegetation in southwestern Australia, where no natural recruitment of shrubs was observed over 656 five years. However, the rare event required to cause the state change could be a different grazing 657 regime, as Prins and van der Jeugd (1993) found in Tanzania. Two pandemics in the herbivores in 1880 658 (rinderpest) and 1961 (anthrax) temporarily reduced browsing and allowed even-aged stands of Acacia 659 tortilis (umbrella thorn) to establish. These are now a conspicuous and apparently integral part of the 660 vegetation of national parks in the area, yet are present through inertia, not as maintained populations. 661 Here, the state change was anthropogenic, but a similar situation could occur naturally. Inertia may not 662 apply to all the species in a community, since many contain species that differ markedly in survival and 663 establishment probabilities. Extremely long-lived individuals of slow growth exist alongside perennials 664 with lifespans shorter by at least one order of magnitude. The long-lived individuals can establish only 665 during a rare event, which could be a disturbance such as flood, a 1/100 yr wet season. The probability 666 of such an events occurring in any one year is very low, and does not change from year to year. Thus 667 their occurrence is stochastic yet within the time scale of very long-lived plants. 668 We still have to ask what the original coexistence was due to: if there is no coexistence, inertia 669 cannot prolong it. 670 10.2 Spatial inertia: aggregation 671 Spatial aggregation of the plants of a species also gives inertia, delaying competitive exclusion 672 since it occurs only at patch boundaries. Presumably the aggregation was established due to dispersal 673 processes, an ‘ecological founder effect’. Stoll and Prati (2001) demonstrated beautifully the slowing of 674 competitive exclusion by experimental aggregation. Amongst four annuals they found that the least 675 competitive species (Cardamine hirsuta, bitter-cress) decreased over the experiment to 6% of the 676 *[JBW: biomass??] monoculture in a random arrangement but only to 26% in an aggregated 677 arrangement. The most competitive species (Stellaria media, chickweed) increased to 324% of the 678 monoculture in the random but to only 239% in the aggregated [all this is in the high-density treatment]. 679 This would be a most potent mechanism for delaying competitive exclusion of a subservient species. 680 Rebele (2000) found a similar, but very slight, effect in an outdoor mesocosm experiment using mixtures 681 of Calamagrostis epigejos (reed) and Solidago canadensis (goldenrod). Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 22 of 25 682 Thórhallsdóttir (1990 % 909) had planted outdoors a hexagonal grid of adjacent plots. Each plot 683 contained one of five meadow species: Agrostis stolonifera (creeping bent), Holcus lanatus (Yorkshire 684 fog), Cynosurus cristatus (dog’s tail), Poa trivialis (meadow grass), Lolium perenne (ryegrass) and 685 Trifolium repens (white clover). Silvertown et al. (1992) ran simulations to see in retrospect what effect 686 aggregation would have, given the invasion rates that Thórhallsdóttir found between the pairs of grass 687 species. After 50 time periods when the species were intermixed in a random pattern, the weakest 688 competitor Lolium perenne had almost disappeared (reduced from 20% to 1%), but with the species 689 ‘planted’ in bands, depending on the order of the species in the bands, it decreased only to 9%, stayed at 690 20% or even increased slightly to 21%. 691 Aggregation might also delay competitive exclusion via effects on herbivory (Parmesan 2000), 692 fire spread (Hochberg et al. 1994) and other environmental factors. 693 11 Coevolution of similar competitive ability 694 Aarssen (1983) suggested that in a mixture of two species stronger selection pressure on the one 695 with lower competitive ability would cause it to become the stronger competitor of the two, “Superiority 696 in competition therefore alternates between … members of the two populations”. He later (1989) 697 produced some evidenced for this: over two generations the competitive ability of Senecio vulgaris 698 (groundsel) increased relative to a standard genotype of Phleum pratense (Timothy grass) with which it 699 was growing. Selection can result in small-scale genetic change in populations, as apparently occurred 700 in Trifolium repens (white clover) associated with different ecotypes of Lolium perenne (ryegrass) in the 701 pastures that Luscher et al. (1992) investigated. However, neither this study nor that of McNeilly and 702 Roose (1996) *[JBW: check is with L. perenne] could find evidence of co-adaptation between 703 neighbouring ecotypes of associated L. perenne. Eventual ecotypic evolution in response to neighbours 704 would be expected, and has occasionally been demonstrated (Martin and Harding 1981). However, 705 Aarssen’s proposal is unbelievable because it involves continual increases in competitive ability, as 706 Aarssen (1985) has since concluded. The plastic response to competition (e.g. Barthram 1997) can also 707 give a buffering effect. 708 12 Spatial mass effect (vicinism) 709 The spatial mass effect refers to the maintenance of a population of a species by constant 710 immigration into a patch where the species cannot otherwise maintain itself (Zonneveld 1995). It has 711 been called the sink effect. The immigration could be by seeds, or in theory by rhizomes or stolons. 712 Populus tremuloides and related species (aspen) produce root suckers (Barnes 1966) and these can 713 appear beyond the canopy of the tree where there is no chance that they will survive to be self- 714 supporting, let alone sexually reproductive, for example in a lawn. Seed immigration is the most 715 common but difficult to demonstrate. It is difficult enough to monitor occasional seeds blowing in, and Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 23 of 25 716 even more difficult to demonstrate that the population into which they are blowing would have RGR < 717 0.0 without that subsidy. Snyder and Chesson (2004) have applied the concepts of the ‘storage effect’ 718 and non-linear dynamics to coexistence between species that have different tradeoffs of competition vs 719 fecundity+dispersal. Their model has spatial mass effect, though also elements of (‘6’) 720 Competition/dispersal tradeoff. The effect clearly maintains populations that are not susceptible to 721 considerations of abundance-dependence or increase when rare, the stabilising mechanisms we require 722 here, yet it can maintain coexistence indefinitely. 723 The Spatial mass effect has rarely been quantified. Kunin (1998) examined boundaries between 724 plots with different fertiliser treatment in the 150-year old Park Grass Experiment. There was a very 725 sharp pH change, within 50 cm of the boundary. Although there were many exceptions, the majority of 726 plots examined (34 out of 51 non-zero, 2-tailed p = 0.024) showed higher species richness towards the 727 boundary. The effect was seen especially where the two adjacent plots differed more in species 728 composition. The Spatial mass effect can be seen clearly in extreme cases where the recipient (sink) 729 population does not reproduce at all, like the 13 species of angiosperm that grow in the Lost World 730 Cavern, northern North Island, NZ, without any of them ever setting seed (de Lange and Stockley 731 1987). Studying an Argentinian steppe with the (palatable) grass Bromus pictus amongst tussocks of 732 unpalatable grasses Stipa spp. and Poa ligularis, Oesterheld and Oyarsabal (2004) found more B. pictus 733 in the upwind part of a grazing exclosure, showing that a seed subsidy was arriving from the grazed 734 area. The tussocks outcompeted the B. pictus when ungrazed, reducing the local seed output in the 735 exclosure. This situation may be the commonest way in which the spatial mass effect operates to 736 maintain species metapopulations. 737 13 Conclusion 738 We believe our review covers all the mechanisms by which species can coexist in stable 739 mixtures. Chesson’s terminology of stabilising versus equalising mechanisms is useful and important. It 740 has focussed attention on the fact that some proposed mechanisms of ‘coexistence’ do not, in fact, cause 741 long-term coexistence. It has also highlighted what few had recognised, that even though the equalising 742 mechanisms cannot on their own cause stable coexistence between two species, they can reduce the 743 difference in competitive ability between species to the extent that a stabilising mechanism can operate. 744 We must speculate on the importance of each mechanism in order to build up in our minds a 745 vision of the plant community. The overwhelming reason for species coexistence is niche 746 differentiation. Environmental fluctuation is probably important. It can be seen as niche differentiation 747 in time, but with special restrictions on when it can operate. In seasonal climates, local environment can 748 vary enormously, both stochastically and predictably. Each of the ecosystem attributes enumerated by 749 Reichle et al. (1975; chapt. 1, sect #) must change during the year: the energy base (affected by 750 irradiance), the reservoir of energy, nutrient cycling (through mineralisation rates) and rate regulation Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 24 of 25 751 (temperature, water availability, herbivory). It seems that the available states of these variates, 752 factorially combined, should allow for the coexistence of a very large number of plant species. 753 Disturbance must be a major factor; surely all communities are successional mosaics. We earlier 754 discussed autogenic disturbance. It could have been listed as a separate mechanism here, it could have 755 been merged with allogenic disturbance since many disturbances are partly allogenic and partly 756 autogenic, or it could have been included with cyclic succession since it will often be a component. 757 Pest pressure may also be important. Gillett (1962) suggested that it is the major mechanism, but 758 that remains to be proved. The Spatial mass effect must be very common, if not a major factor. Other 759 mechanisms are probably of more minor importance. For example, circular competitive networks are an 760 attractive idea, but remain undiscovered. Cyclic succession is more believable and from time to time 761 fashionable, but seldom observed and even more rarely proven to take place. Autoallelopathy may be 762 widespread but the soil is an intractable and infinitely complex medium where clear chemical pathways 763 and effects are difficult to prove. 764 In a changing, disturbed world it will be increasingly difficult to separate stabilising mechanisms 765 from equalising ones. Species turnover in communities depends on some species disappearing, others 766 invading, so that many species in a community may be present by courtesy of one of the equalising 767 mechanisms, and will ultimately be doomed. The multiplicity of possibilities for coexistence should 768 allow the coexistence of a very large number of plant species. The question then becomes: “Why are 769 there so few species in most habitats?”. 770 A plant, however, is sedentary and extends over a spatial volume, necessarily exposed to wide 771 range of environmental conditions. It therefore cannot be confined to a precisely-defined niche. It is the 772 interplay between the potential for high plant diversity in restricted niches and the necessity for plants to 773 tolerate a wide range of environments that encourages us to look for patterns in plant communities. Id 774 adaptations to available niches wee most of the reason for every species’ occurrence, our enquiry in this 775 book would be less interesting. Wilson & Agnew, chapter 4, Species coexistence, page 25 of 25 776 Table 4.1. Examples of monospecific stands. We exclude monospecificity in a single stratum or guild of 777 vegetation, such as a tree species or understorey species. We have selected only those examples 778 with which we are personally familiar. Habitat Arid Saline Sand dunes Marine submerged Freshwater submerged Freshwater floating Freshwater edge Tidal/brackish edge River edge 779 780 781 782 Climatic zone Exemplar taxa Reference Sub-tropical Halocnemum strobilaceum Zohary 1973 Temperate Zygophyllum dumosum Zohary 1973 Ammophila arenaria Mediterranean Posidonia oceanica (also Den Hartog 1970 other marine Helobeae) Temperate Zostera marina Den Hartog 1970 Temperate Sagittaria sagittifolia Pieterse and Murphy 1993 Tropical Podostemon spp. Meijer 1976 Temperate Lemna minor Scunthorpe 1967 Azolla filiculoides Scunthorpe 1967 Tropical Eichornia crassipes Pieterse and Murphy 1993 Temperate Typha spp Weisner 1993 Cladium mariscus Tansley 1939 Tropical Cyperus papyrus Lind and Morrison 1974 Temperate Salicornia spp Tansley 1939 Subtropical Avicenna marina Batanouny 1981 Tropical Rhizophora mangle Gilmore and Snedaker 1993 Tropical Pandanus spp Van Steenis 1981 Footnotes 1 ‘sparse’ would be a better term than ‘rare’, but ‘increase when rare’ is ensconced in the literature, and so we use it here. 783 ILLUSTRATIONS 784 Fig. 4.1: Pairs of two species showing relative non-linearity. 785 Fig. 4.2: The effect of competitive intensity and environmental favourability on RGR. 786 Fig. 4.3. A circular competitive network between three species. 787 Plate 1: A monospecific community: Cladium mariscus stand. 788 Plate 2: