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PROJECT INFORMATION DOCUMENT (PID) APPRAISAL STAGE Project Name Region Sector Project ID Borrower(s) Implementing Agency Environment Category Date PID Prepared Date of Appraisal Authorization Date of Board Approval Report No.: AB3484 CL: Promoting Innovation and Competitiveness Project LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN General industry and trade sector (45%); General public administration sector (15%);Tertiary education (40%) P082927 REPUBLIC OF CHILE Ministry of Economy [ ] A [ ] B [X] C [ ] FI [ ] TBD (to be determined) June 6, 2008 December 10, 2007 July 15, 2008 1. Country and Sector Background Chile has been the fastest growing economy in Latin America since 1990 (Table 1). The impressive performance of the economy owes much to a strong institutional framework, exemplary monetary policies and deep integration into the global economy. Due to strong growth Chile has made notable progress towards the goal of convergence with OECD economies. The income gap, however, remains sizeable. Per capita income in Chile (adjusted for purchasing power parity) is currently less than 40 percent of the OECD average leaving ample room for further catch-up in relative living standards. Table 1: Chile and comparator countries: GDP per capita growth (percent) 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000-2005 0.26 4.21 3.01 5.84 1.89 2.72 2.47 3.42 1.13 2.72 6.02 -0.35 0.83 -2.19 0.12 2.33 3.19 1.93 4.66 6.82 1.32 0.28 3.19 1.66 1.79 0.99 2.15 3.24 7.21 1.24 1.13 0.82 1.51 1.65 2.46 1.79 Chile East Asia & Pacific Latin America & Caribbean Brazil Argentina Mexico OECD Finland Australia Source: World Development Indicators (2007) The Asian financial crises of the late 1990s revealed vulnerabilities of the Chilean economy to external shocks, in part due to shortcomings in productivity and economic diversification. Despite progress in recent decades, Chile remains highly dependent on the export of unprocessed natural resources, notably copper (Figure 1). Growth deceleration in 2006 has also raised concerns that Chile may have started to exhaust previous sources of growth. While there have been concerns in the private sector of a real effective exchange rate appreciation (16 percent from 2003 to 2007), there is little evidence that this has affected (non-copper) export growth (IMF 2007) thus far. That said, this calls for further productivity increases in the (non-copper) sector. Figure 1: Chile’s copper export as share of total exports 100% % of total Exports 80% 60% 40% 20% Copper Other mining Agricultural, Forestal and Fishing 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 0% Manufacturing Source: Comtrade, United Nations. Own elaboration. Chile will need fast and sustained growth to further reduce poverty, continue improving living standards, and close the income gap with the lower tier of OECD countries by 2020. The perception of sound macroeconomic management is now well entrenched. Chile is one of the few sovereign borrowers in Latin America, along with Mexico and more recently Brazil and Peru, to enjoy an investment-grade credit rating. Hence, Chile is in a favorable position to focus on microeconomic reforms aimed at boosting the capacity of firms to sustain productivity growth and develop new business opportunities. Evidence from economies that have successfully diversified and added value to their natural resource base such as Australia and Finland suggests that boosting Chile’s capacity to innovate should be at the center of such reforms. Cross-country analysis indicates that half of all differences in income and growth is attributable to differences in total factor productivity (TFP), generally associated with technological development, innovation, and the investment climate (see Chile, Development Policy Review, 2006). Chile’s total factor productivity has historically been relatively high, however during the 1990s, this trend has reversed and Chile’s TFP has sharply decreased. A potential explanation for the low levels of TPF is related to the microeconomic constraints to institutional adjustment costs (Bergoeing and Repetto, 2003). However, as mentioned by the Development Policy Review for Chile (2006), if the gap in TPF were due solely to microeconomic obstacles, the inefficiencies would appear to be surprisingly large relative to the US given the extensive microreforms that have taken place in Chile. The latter suggests that innovation deserves to be a central issue due to its impact on raising firms’ capacity to introduce productivity-improving measures. Cohen and Levinthal (1989) argue that R&D is not only crucial to generate new knowledge, but to enhance “absorptive capacity” (i.e., the firm´s ability to use and benefit from existing information). Investments in innovations that do not necessarily involve R&D may also yield high dividends in the medium term for Chile. Marimon (2008), for example, indicates that innovations in process and organizational forms that are not accounted for in official statistics have facilitated the growth of outward looking industries such as banking, tourism and textiles in Spain. Contribution to output per worker growth (%) Figure 2: Total factor productivity in Chile, 1986-2003 (percentage) 7.0 6.0 5.03 5.0 4.0 3.31 3.0 2.0 1.27 1.0 0.41 0.0 -1.0 1986-1990 Capital Education 1991-1995 1996-2000 Total Factor Productivity 2001-2003 Output per w orker Note: The data show the average annual percentage point contribution of TFP, education, and physical capital to output per worker growth. The numbers in the white squares next to the circle icons denote the compound annual growth rate of output per worker. Source: Updated dataset from Bosworth and Collins (2003). Sector issues In the area of science, technology and innovation (STI), Chile has made gains over the last decade but continues to lag substantially advanced economies with respect to most STI indicators (Table 2). Chile’s R&D spending per capita, full-time equivalent researchers as a percent of population, and patent activity significantly lag the efforts of OECD countries, even those with a natural resource base, in many cases by more than an order of magnitude. The differences are not due solely to income disparities; on some indicators Chile also falls behind dynamic economies with lower GDP per capita such as China and India. Several factors explain Chile’s low performance relative to more advanced economies: Chile’s policies and institutional framework for innovation is underdeveloped preventing an efficient use of public support for innovation. Until recently, the country did not have a fully articulated innovation policy with coherent and achievable objectives. The institutional framework takes current shape more from historical precedent, rather than from explicit decisions regarding the roles and functions of actors; in many cases, it is fragmented, shows overlaps and lacks clear accountability mechanisms. Diverse studies and assessments have warned about the lack of policy coordination in Chile’s national innovation system. Several ministries –including the Ministries of Economy, Education, Planning, Agriculture, Transport and Telecommunications, Public Works, and Foreign Affairs– have historically been involved in the formulation of STI policies and the design and management of programs (Box 1), but cooperation between actors has been minimal. Table 2: Indicators of STI and cost of doing business R&D/GDP (%) R&D per capita (US$) FTE Researchers per 1000 economically active persons USPTO patents granted per mill. Population Private R&D as percent of total Ease of doing business (rank) Cost of starting a business (% of income per capita) Australia 1.77 573 8.4 143.6 51.6 8 1.8 Canada 1.95 675 7.4 267.4 46.7 4 0.9 Chile 0.68 39 2.2 3.4 45.8 28 9.8 China 1.44 79 0.7 1.6 62.4 93 132 Finland 2.26 1 ,091 16.5 387.3 69.3 14 1.1 India 0.85 20 0.1 1.3 23.0 134 88 Spain 1.12 304 5.7 16.2 48.0 39 16.2 United States 2.68 1,063 9.6 701.3 63.7 3 0.7 Country Source: RICYT (2007), OECD (2006), USPTO (2007), UNESCO (2007) and World Bank (2007) As a result, Chile has had a wide array of uncoordinated policies and programs for R&D and for technology diffusion with significant overlap between content and objectives. For instance, coordination between Chile’s two key implementing agencies--the Chilean Science and Technology Council (CONICYT) and the Innovation promotion group (InnovaChile) of the Chilean Development Agency (CORFO)--has traditionally been modest. Support for team-based research, which could potentially have a high impact, is also fragmented among various institutions that follow different principles and strategic priorities for allocating funding. Fragmentation reduces the effectiveness of public expenditures, results in duplication and leads to excessive diffusion of programs including to some areas with relatively low social rates of return. The lack of explicit policy-making evaluation mechanisms has impeded learning, created inertia and prevented change despite duplication and fragmentation. This is an area for significant improvement. Box 1. Chile’s support system for innovation President National Innovation Council Inter-Ministerial Cabinet on Innovation Policy making and coordination Ministry of Education Implementing Line Ministers: Ministers of Finance, Transport and Telecommunications, Public Works, Agriculture, Foreign Affairs, and Education Ministry of Economy CONICYT FIA, MSI-MIDEPLAN CORFO agencies Innovation support programs Beneficiaries Innova Chile FONDECYT PBCT FONDEF Universities Individuals Sectoral Funds Enterprises Technology Institutes Need to build capacity in the Ministry of Economy (MoE) to design, manage and evaluate innovation and microeconomic policies. Shortly after the presentation of the National Innovation Strategy (volume 1) prepared by the National Innovation Council in February 2007, the Government formed an Inter-Ministerial Committee on Innovation tasked with the responsibility of formulating innovation policies, giving orientation to Chile’s support system for innovation and addressing problems that hinder the systems effectiveness, including fragmentation and overlap. The Committee is led by the MoE and comprises the Minister of Finance, the Minister of Education, and other line ministries. The Committee has a Technical Secretariat attached to the MoE. The Ministry is also tasked with the formulation, implementation, and evaluation of policies concerning markets regulation and small and medium size enterprises (SMEs). It will need a strong capacity to set the policy agenda, monitor the impact of innovation and microeconomic policies and hold implementing agencies accountable for results, a capacity that it currently does not possess. A major institutional strengthening effort is thus required to enhance its capacity. Chile's stock of human capital for innovation and technology management is low and geographically concentrated. A major barrier to innovation in Chile is the insufficient level of advanced human capital and disarticulation between skill production and the needs of the productive sector. This is partially demonstrated by the low number of young researchers working in private companies, but pertains also to the nature and quality of the skills being produced. Despite a strong increase in the number of researchers in the last decade, the stock is still comparatively low (Figure 3). Furthermore, Chilean universities have a limited tradition of stimulating entrepreneurship or linkages with industry, and young researchers tend to stay in the public sector, working either for government research institutes or universities. An additional barrier to innovation in Chile is the lack of mobility of advanced human capital within the country and modest international linkages. The existent stock of advanced human capital is geographically concentrated in the Santiago area, which reflects the lack of a bridge between the regions and the metropolitan area. Researcher per million inhabitants Figure 3: Number of researchers per million inhabitants 9000 8000 7000 OECD Average 6000 Australia 5000 Finland 4000 Lac average 3000 Chile 2000 1000 0 1998 2000 2002 2004 Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics Low overall research and development, lack of investment focus, and poor articulation with private sector needs. Overall investment in research and development is increasing, but from a comparatively low baseline (Figure 4). This is only partially attributable to the structure of production. Even when R&D investment rates per sector are controlled, countries such as Australia continue to show much higher rates of R&D intensity (Maloney and Rodriguez Clare (2007). The effectiveness of public R&D has been hindered by a lack of policy focus and definition of strategic priorities connected to the needs of its production base coupled with adequate accountability measures. In this context, Chile has not been able to optimize the effectiveness of public investment. Expenditure in R & D in % GDP Figure 4: Expenditures in R&D as Percent of GDP 4.0 3.5 3.0 OECD Average 2.5 LAC average 2.0 Chile 1.5 Australia 1.0 Finland 0.5 0.0 1998 2000 2002 2004 Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics Business Enterprise investment is 45.8 percent of all R&D spending—a reasonable percentage by regional standards. Nonetheless, the existing evidence suggests that the private and public R&D efforts are mostly isolated and parallel rather than complementary, impeding the transformation of knowledge into productive innovation. There is a growing consensus that Chile is not close to deriving full commercial benefit from either the knowledge or the skills that its publicly-financed research efforts are producing. In recent years, successful pilot initiatives for public-private research partnerships have emerged in Chile. These initiatives are modest and fragmented among CORFO, CONICYT, and FIA. Inadequate mechanisms for transferring technology to SMEs. Small and medium size enterprises in Chile account for roughly 95 percent of the total employment. Hence, SME development is at the heart of enhancing Chile’s innovative potential and TFP growth. Besides increasing R&D, there is a large potential for non-R&D driven TFP growth by enhancing the capacity of SMEs to adopt existing technologies and improving organization and management. There is little experience of collaborative technology development in Chile that is led by the private sector and substantially funded by them. Through InnovaChile’s programs, CORFO has supported the formation of business networks for technology transfer but this initiative is not well articulated with other programs nor is it tailored to the specific needs of firms in priority sectors of the economy. Evidence from countries such as Spain and Ireland suggests that Chile would benefit from a broad vision of innovation which includes the development of a coherent framework for technology services targeting SMEs. Weak incentives and insufficient support for technology based start-up companies. There has been a wide range of initiatives implemented to foster the growth of new firms in sectors with high growth potential, including the development of university based incubators, and networks of angel investors. Yet, there are concerns that the impact of some of them has been weak (e.g., incubators and networks of angel investors) and that there are gaps within the value chain faced by start-up companies. 2. Government strategy Innovation is a top priority in Chile’s competitiveness agenda. In November 2005 the Lagos Government set up a high-level Commission to prepare the ground for the formulation of a national strategy for innovation and competitiveness. In its final report from March 2006 the Commission recommended the establishment of a permanent National Innovation Council responsible for strategy formulation and providing policy advice to the executive. In May 2006, President Michelle Bachelet formed such a Council with participation of high-level experts on STI and government representatives. The Council presented the first volume of a National Innovation Strategy in January 2007, which was endorsed by President Bachelet shortly thereafter. The strategy underscores that becoming a knowledge economy means adding value to sectors where Chile has demonstrated comparative advantages while supporting key emerging sectors. The Council presented the second volume of the National Innovation Strategy with more detailed recommendations in February 2008. The two volumes were prepared on the basis of consultations with relevant stakeholders and advice from international independent experts to incorporate best international practices. The first volume of the Innovation strategy defines strategic innovation goals for a 12-year horizon and general principles to guide innovation policy.1 Its key elements are to (i) build a strong platform for human capital that will substantially expand tertiary education, especially in technical areas, and will support the formation of highly specialized human capital in STI; (ii) enhance research capacity, with an emphasis on applied research; (iii) foster innovation within enterprises inter alia through the development of stronger interfaces with research groups and new models to promote technology transfer; (iv) generate a pro-active culture of innovation within Chile’s society; (v) set in place a robust governance structure for the innovation system; and (vi) build regional STI capacity in areas linked to their economic specialization. A second complementary volume of the National Innovation Strategy will be issued shortly providing more detailed guidance on innovation policies and the supporting institutional framework. The Inter-ministerial Committee on Innovation will be responsible for the strategy’s implementation under the leadership of the MoE. A second volume with more detailed recommendations for implementing the proposed National Innovation strategy was presented to President Bachelet in February 2008. The Government presented in mid-2007 a draft law to Congress to formalize the establishment of the National Innovation Council and the Inter-Ministerial Committee on Innovation. The latter will be chaired by the Ministry of Economy. Thus, the government recognizes the importance of strengthening the Ministry of Economy (MoE) so that it can effectively play a leadership role on innovation policy and the closely related competitiveness agenda. 3. Rationale for Bank involvement Over the last few years, the World Bank has assisted the Government of Chile in the innovation area through policy advice (e.g., the preparation of a Strategy to Promote Innovative SMEs (2004), an Investment Climate Assessment (2006), and the Development Policy Review (2006)) and support for two investment projects – the Millennium Science Initiative followed by the Science for the Knowledge Economy Project. The latter, implemented by CONICYT, was conceived as a two-stage APL since testing new instruments in the innovation system involves a learning and incubation process before they can be consolidated. The APL1 was satisfactorily implemented and closed at the end of March 2007 as originally envisaged (see Annex 2.4 for a summary of key results). The Government of Chile has requested a new investment project to foster Innovation. The project would build on the aforementioned APL1 but would have a wider set of objectives to accommodate Chile’s more ambitious new policy vision. It would support key elements of the national innovation strategy with a strong emphasis on building robust institutional foundations. The Government regards the World Bank as a strategic partner due to its expertise in the innovation area, knowledge of a wide range of international experiences such as OECD and The strategy’s key benchmarks by the end of the 12-year period are to reduce the weight of Chile’s top 25 exports to no more than 50 percent of total exports; to increase the participation of young adults (ages 18-24) in tertiary education from the current 43 percent to 80 percent in 12 years; to raise R&D as percentage of GDP from the current 0.68 percent to 2.32 percent with the private sector leading the way by the end of the period; and improve Chile’s World Competitiveness ranking in the areas of innovation, technology sophistication of enterprises, and education and skills. 1 Asia, and the capacity to help adapt international practices and instruments to Chile’s reality and needs. The proposed project is fully aligned with the goals of the Country Partnership Strategy (CPS). In particular, it will support the objective of converging with OECD income levels and living standards by accelerating sustainable growth through increases in total factor productivity. The proposed project would have strong synergies with other Bank interventions aimed at increasing Chile’s innovation capacity, in particular the Tertiary Education Finance for Results APL1. 4. Objectives and Description The project’s overall development objective would be to enhance Chile’s policy and institutional innovation framework for competitiveness and improve the impact of priority innovation programs. More specifically, the project’s objective is: (i) to strengthen the Ministry of Economy’s capacity on innovation and ensure its coherence with other policies for competitiveness; (ii) strengthen CONICYT and improve the coherence, quality and relevance of research funding policy in Chile; and (iii) stimulate technology transfer and the creation of new technology based enterprises through CORFO. Description The project would contribute to the aforementioned development objective through three components: (i) strengthening the MoE’s capacity on innovation and ensuring its coherence with other competitiveness policies; (ii) enhancing Chile’s science base; and (iii) fostering technology transfer and new ventures through InnovaChile’s programs managed by CORFO. Component one: Strengthening the MoE capacity on innovation and related competitiveness policies. This component would enhance the MoE’s institutional capacity to formulate, monitor, and evaluate innovation policies in accordance with the guidelines of the National Innovation Strategy. In addition, it would support selected elements of the broader Strategic Plan to strengthen the MoE, which is under advanced preparation, in order to foster consistency between innovation policies and other policies seeking to enhance Chile’s competitiveness. This would also ensure that the innovation related units of the MoE operate within a solid and adequate institutional framework promoting sustainability of reforms. The design of this component benefited from an extensive consultation process with internal and external stakeholders, a process that would continue during project implementation. In addition, this component would support the Project Coordination Unit within the MoE. Component two: Strengthening Chile’s Science Base. This component would strengthen CONICYT by helping the institution formulate a strategic plan with clear medium-term goals aligned with the national innovation strategy, develop and implement a coherent research support policy, and increase its capacity to design and evaluate programs. At the end of the project, CONICYT would have increased capacity to design, oversee, and learn from the implementation of its programs. The Inter-ministerial Committee on Innovation and the Ministry of Education would guide CONICYT in the implementation of this component. Component three: Fostering Technology Transfer and New Technology-Based Ventures. The component would strengthen CORFO-led programs that seek to stimulate the start-up of knowledge intensive businesses and the adoption of higher value technologies by SMEs, and its monitoring and evaluation capacity. It would achieve the above through three subcomponents: (i) upgrading new technology based enterprise development, (ii) strengthening technology extension and transfer services for SMEs, and (iii) strengthening CORFO’s monitoring and evaluation capacity of InnovaChile’s programs. The Government of Chile has requested a Specific Investment Loan (SIL) for US$30 million to promote innovation and competitiveness by strengthening the institutional capacity of the Ministry of Economy, by improving the quality of research in Chile, and by stimulating technology transfer institutions and practices. The SIL would provide a framework for constant interaction between the Bank’s technical team and Chile’s relevant stakeholders inside the Ministry of Economy and inside front-line institutions such as CONICYT and InnovaChile/CORFO. The Bank has acquired extensive expertise over the years on building institutional capacity and would be able to share its experience with similar institutional reforms in Chile and in the region. The project would be implemented over a four year period (mid-2008 to mid-2012). This would allow adequate time to consolidate the changes in the institutional framework for innovation supporting the long-term innovation strategy. 5. Financing The Government of Chile has requested a Specific Investment Loan (SIL) for US$30 million to support the project. Project costs are detailed below. Total Project Costs Project Cost By Component/Sub-component 1. Strengthening the MoE’s capacity on innovation and its coherence with other competitiveness policies 1.1 Strengthening the capacity to formulate and implement innovation and related competitiveness policies 1.2 Establishment of a Monitoring and Evaluation Unit 1.3 Project Coordination Unit Counterpart US$ million Loan US$ million Total US$ million 7.0 7.3 14.3 3.3 2.9 0.8 2.7 2.3 2.3 6.0 5.2 3.1 2. Strengthening Chile’s science base 2.1 Sharpening CONICYT’s role within the NIS 2.2 Reformulating group research support and promoting mobility of advanced human capital 2.3 Enhancing CONICYT’s M&E capacity 17.3 3.0 13.4 1.9 30.8 4.9 13.5 0.8 9.5 2.0 23.0 2.8 3. Fostering technology transfer and new ventures 3.1 Start up of knowledge enterprises 3.2 Promoting technology transfer 3.3 Strengthening CORFO’s M&E capacity of InnovaChile’s programs 11.4 0.3 9.9 8.2 4.1 2.6 19.6 4.4 12.5 1.2 1.5 2.7 1.0 1.0 4.3 0.075 0.075 30.0 70.0 Unallocated Financial expenditures 4.3 Front end fee Total Project Costs 40.0 6. Implementation The Ministry of Economy would assume responsibility for overall project coordination and would be responsible for implementing component 1. Components 2 and 3 would be implemented by CONICYT and CORFO, respectively. The project would be implemented over a 5 year period (January 15, 2009-January 15, 2014). 7. Sustainability Innovation is a top priority in Chile’s competitiveness agenda. Government ownership of the project is strong, which is reflected in the establishment of the National Innovation Council responsible for the formulation of the National Innovation Strategy whose first volume (White Book) was presented in January 2007. The latter reflects a move towards the construction of a broad national consensus on the importance of establishing a more integrated and effective national innovation system to enhance Chile’s productivity and competitiveness. Thus, the risks of policy or program reversal are minimal. Also, the MoE through the Inter-Ministerial Committee on Innovation will reduce fragmentation, foster cross-collaboration and contribute to consensus building within the national innovation system, enhancing its sustainability. At the same time, the modernization of the MoE is based on a consultative process with the participation of internal and external stakeholders, which ensures both ownership and promotes sustainability. 8. Lessons Learned from Past Operations in the Country/Sector The project design is appropriate to the borrower’s needs and targets some of the key constraints to innovation identified in the National Innovation Strategy (volume 1 and volume 2). Project design has drawn from international best practices, lessons from OECD innovation practices, and lessons learned from relevant Bank projects (including the APL I on Science for the Knowledge Economy), which have been adapted to the realities and priorities of Chile. 9. Safeguard Policies (including public consultation) Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Environmental Assessment (OP/BP/GP 4.01) Natural Habitats (OP/BP 4.04) Pest Management (OP 4.09) Cultural Property (OPN 11.03, being revised as OP 4.11) Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12) Indigenous Peoples (OD 4.20, being revised as OP 4.10) Forests (OP/BP 4.36) Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37) Projects in Disputed Areas (OP/BP/GP 7.60)* Projects on International Waterways (OP/BP/GP 7.50) 10. Yes [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] [] No [x] [x] [x] [x] [x] [x] [x] [x] [x] [x] Contact point Contact: Esperanza Lasagabaster Title: Sr Financial Economist Tel: (202) 473-2880 Fax: (202) 522-2106 Email: [email protected] 11. For more information contact: The InfoShop The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, D.C. 20433 Telephone: (202) 458-4500 Fax: (202) 522-1500 Email: [email protected] Web: http://www.worldbank.org/infoshop * By supporting the proposed project, the Bank does not intend to prejudice the final determination of the parties' claims on the disputed areas