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Week 12 – ECMC02 Externalities and Public Goods Adam Smith: Self-interest (i.e., greed) can be harnessed to serve the social interest - if markets are competitive - if goods are consumed by individuals - if consumers can weigh up all the benefits and the costs of consumption when they make their decisions - if producers can weigh up all the benefits and costs of production when they make their decisions 1 But, if not, there will be “market failure” Special role for government when markets fail 1. Natural monopoly – government role in regulating privately-owned monopoly to deliver greater GTS (electricity, telephone, natural gas pipelines) 2. Positive and negative externalities – spillover effects, not just consumers and producers (positive - education, raising bees, caring for your children; negative - industrial pollution, secondhand smoke, noisy activities) 3. Public goods – goods which are consumed collectively (lighthouse, national defence, mosquito control, public health) 2 Positive and Negative Externalities Positive: - education - beautiful garden - well-kept house - raising bees - raising well-behaved, well-educated children Negative: - pollution - second-hand smoke - noisy activities 3 Problem: When there are external effects (externalities), markets do not receive the right signals, and therefore make the wrong decisions. Market price does not correctly reflect social value Consumers and/or producers do not receive all the benefits and pay all the costs (some of the costs or benefits are received by others). Therefore, consumers and producers do not face the correct incentives. They will consume and/or produce too much or too little of the good. 4 Consider the production of wood pulp (an input to the production of paper). A toxic process using sulphur and other chemicals, producing air and water pollution. These are “external costs”. Two possible situations: Pigou Let us imagine that every extra ton of wood pulp produced also produces a fixed amount of air and water pollution – a fixedproportions production function (i.e., there is no technological fix for the pollution problem – therefore, firm must be encouraged to produce less output to reduce pollution). 5 Price ($/Q) MSC (marginal social cost) Supply or MC (marginal private cost) MEC (marginal external cost) Demand for Wood Pulp (marginal private benefit) 0 Qopt (optimum quantity) Q* (market quantity) Market for Wood Pulp (MPC + MEC = MSC) 6 Quantity (tons/year) What is the gain to society (GTS) from producing wood pulp? What is the efficiency loss from producing the market quantity (instead of the optimum quantity)? 7 Price ($/Q) MSC (marginal social cost) Supply or MC (marginal private cost) MEC (marginal external cost) Demand for Wood Pulp (marginal private benefit) Qopt (optimum quantity) Q* (market quantity) Market for Wood Pulp (MPC + MEC = MSC) 8 Quantity (tons/year) Problem can be viewed as incorrect pricing of the product, giving the wrong signals to producers and consumers. Can a tax provide the right signals? How much tax? Difficulty of calculating appropriate amount of tax. 9 Think of “carbon” tax – tax on fossil fuels Global warming CO2 emissions (fossil-fuel-burning power plants, cars and fossil fuels) Effects of global warming on U.S. Melting glaciers, early snowmelt and severe droughts will cause more dramatic water shortages in the American West. Rising sea levels will lead to coastal flooding on the Eastern seaboard, in Florida, and in other areas, such as the Gulf of Mexico. Warmer sea surface temperatures will fuel more intense hurricanes in the southeastern Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Forests, farms and cities will face troublesome new pests and more mosquito-borne diseases. Disruption of habitats such as coral reefs and alpine meadows could drive many plant and animal species to extinction. 10 But does production have to decline? Or are there substitutions for fossil fuels? Are there new technologies? Assume substitution possible (not fixedproportions production function) Focus attention on Marginal Cost of Abatement (MCA), which is a function of the level of pollution (of greenhouse gas emission). This is the marginal cost of cleaning up pollution Also focus on the Marginal Social Cost (MSC) of pollution, which is also a function of the level of pollution. This is the marginal benefit of cleaning up pollution. 11 $ per unit of emissions MSC MB, MC MCA 0 “optimal” level of emissions CO2 emissions per year Fossil fuels for electricity production and cars 12 Public policy objective is to find the amount of emissions such that the marginal benefit from pollution reduction just equals the marginal cost of pollution reduction. Of course, many things affect both the marginal benefit and the marginal cost. 3 possible public policy solutions 1. Emissions standard 2. Emissions fee or tax for each unit of pollution emitted 3. Transferable emissions permits 13 Emissions standard sets a legal limit on the amount of emissions. Emissions must be observable and measurable. Must be fine or jail term imposed if standard is not met. Will provide incentives to produce emissions at optimal level. Will force all firms to obey the same standard – is this efficient? Standard can be set on “scientific” grounds 14 $ per unit of emissions MSC MB, MC MCA 0 “optimal” level of emissions CO2 emissions per year Fossil fuels for electricity production and cars 15 Emissions fee (tax on emissions) will force firms/individuals to pay for emissions. Emissions must be observable and measurable. Fee must be set at the right level, but this is difficult given uncertainty about the MCA and MSC. Firms will have incentive to avoid paying fee on all units of emissions for which the fine is cheaper. If different firms have different costs of abatement, this encourages firms with cheap costs of abatement to reduce emissions by greater amount. Fees give strong incentives to find and install new technology. However, amount of emissions allowed is uncertain. If MCA is flat and MSC is steep, a small error in fee-setting (too low) will be very costly. 16 $ per unit of emissions MSC MB, MC MCA 0 “optimal” level of emissions CO2 emissions per year Fossil fuels for electricity production and cars 17 Transferable emissions permits Each firm is allocated certain number of emission permits each year. These permits may be used or traded. Firms who have the highest costs of abatement will seek to buy extra permits. Firms who have low costs of abatement will seek to sell permits. Demand and supply for permits will establish equilibrium price of fixed amount of pollution permits. Has some benefits of both other systems. Public authority will determine amount of emissions that are allowed. Since the market sets the price of the emissions permits, there is, in effect, a fee for polluting (which allows different firms to make different decisions). Therefore, more efficient distribution of adjusting emissions to new level. 18 Creates a “market” for externalities. Internalizes the external cost. 1990 U.S. Congress Clean Air Act established tradeable permits for acid rain. Sulphur dioxide emissions now cost about $150 per ton. 19 $ per unit of emissions MSC MB, MC MCA 0 “optimal” level of emissions CO2 emissions per year Fossil fuels for electricity production and cars 20 Many external cost situations arise when there is a “common property” resource. Resource is owned in common and can be used without payment. Leads to overutilization of the free resource. Examples: overfishing in a common pond, too much extraction of oil from a common pool of oil. With fishers (formerly, fishermen), fishing continues until MR = MC, ignoring the social costs of depleting the stock of fish. 21 Example: Island of Pago-Pago 2 lakes, 20 fishers Fishers get to keep average amount of fish taken from that lake. “Production” functions for fishing are: On Lake X: FX = 10LX – ½ LX2 On Lake Y: FY = 5LY In each case, L refers to number of fishers on lake. Sketch these production functions to get a sense of what is driving this problem. 22 If fishers can fish where they like (individual choice), what will happen? Fishers will fish where the average product is highest, since they get to keep average amount. Average product on Lake X is: FX/LX = (10LX – ½ LX2)/LX Average product on Lake Y is: FY/LY = (5LY)/LY = 5 Fishers will fish on each lake until FX/LX = FY/LY Or (10LX – ½ LX2)/LX = 5 Therefore, in equilibrium, LX = 10 And LY = 10 23 What is the optimum number of fishers on each lake? What distribution of fishers will maximize fish output (fully taking into account the diminishing marginal returns)? Should equalize the marginal product on each lake, rather than average product. FX = 10LX – ½ LX2 So dFX/dLX = 10 - LX And FY = 5LY So dFY/dLY = 5 Equating marginal products: 10 - LX = 5 or LX = 5 Therefore, LY = 15 24 Compare the total number of fish caught, using the production functions With individual decision making about which lake to fish on, we have: (10 x 10) – ½ (10 x 10) + (5 x 10) = 100 At the optimum distribution, we have: (10 x 5) – ½ (5 x 5) + (5 x 15) = 112.5 25 Public Goods - non-rival (marginal cost of extra consumer = 0) - non-excludable (free rider problem – consumers cannot be excluded) - therefore, market failure Chocolate Bar Movie Highway Mosquito control System of justice 26 How much of a public good? John’s MU 100 Frank’s MU 100 100 100 Quantity of Public Good Quantity of Public Good Overall MU 100 Quantity of Public 27Good 100 If Frank has MUF = 100 - QF And John has MUJ = 100 – QJ And MC = 2Q What is the optimum value of Q This is a public good Overall demand for public good 28 Marginal benefit = marginal cost How would government determine MU’s? 29 Non-excludability is what causes market to fail. Many goods are not “pure” public goods but it is difficult or inconvenient or costly to exclude consumers. - police fire fighting bridges highways clean air parks Questions: How will the public good be financed? Who will provide the public good? 30