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Kosovo and the International Community: A Comparative Study Maklen Misha, 9748415 Master Thesis English Language and Culture, University of Utrecht Supervisors: Dr. W. Philip and Dr. F.H. Baudet April, 2006 1 Acknowledgements: I would like to take this opportunity to express my gratitude to all the people who have helped and supported me during these months of writing. First and foremost I would like to thank my first supervisor, Dr. Floribert Baudet for the invaluable counsel and commentary he provided as well as for helping me move beyond the preconceptions and prejudices which are bound to play a role whenever an Albanian writes on the subject of Kosovo. I would also like to thank my other supervisor, Dr. William Philip not only for his help and counsel during the months it took me to finish my thesis, but also for turning what were some of my phobias (by which I mean syntax and grammar) into interesting and attractive subjects. A heartfelt thanks also goes to Madames Bernadette de Zeeuw and Ria van Laaren for all their help during these months. And last, but certainly not least I would like to thank my dear friend Diane ‘Pilives’ Eerdmans, my ‘companion in suffering’ during our years of studying, for all her support. Maklen Misha April, 2006 2 I ntroduction It is commonplace in Albania to hear people say that Albania is a bridge between the East and the West. The same metaphor, one could say, extends to the whole Balkan region situated as it is between Europe and Asia. The Balkans have been a meeting or clashing point for many of the great civilizations of these two continents long before the region got its present name and because of this strategic position the Balkans have always attracted the interest of the Great Powers of Europe and Asia. Needless to say all these powers exerted their cultural, religious, economic, and military influence on the people of the Balkans making the region into what it is today: a ‘melting pot’ of different cultures, and people who unfortunately have persistently refused to ‘melt’. It would seem, if history is anything to go by, that the only periods when the Balkan people have managed to live in peace alongside each other were those when the whole peninsula was under the control of an empire or power who managed to suppress the rivalries of the different ethnic, and religious groups inhabiting it; and whenever that empire’s power waned those rivalries raised their heads once again. Events following the decline (and eventual fall) of the Ottoman Empire in the 19th, and early 20th centuries, as well as the disintegration of Yugoslavia in the 1990s followed the same pattern. To make matters worse the decline of one power usually attracts the attention of the others eager for a share of the spoils. The decline of the Ottoman Empire from one of the major powers at the end of the 17th century into the ‘sick man of Europe’ by the 19th century, attracted the interest of its two traditional rivals the Austrian, and the Russian Empires who saw the Balkans as a potential area for territorial expansion or as an area where they could expand their influence. Each of these powers tried to achieve its objectives in part by buying the loyalties of one or more of the Balkan people and playing them off against one another. Thus Russia claimed and obtained the role of the defender of the Slavic, and Orthodox populations; Austria 3 advertised itself as the defender of the Catholic populations, and the Ottoman Empire could generally rely on the support of the Muslim populations. It goes without saying that the remaining Great Powers of the time were bound to take an interest in matters involving Russia, Austria – Hungary, and the declining Ottoman Empire, thus adding their weight behind any decision reached with regards to the Balkans. Such interference in the affairs of the Balkan people only served to worsen the relations between the different ethnic and religious groups, and to exacerbate the tensions that already existed due to the competing aspirations of the Balkan states, and people who were emerging from close to five centuries of Ottoman rule. One could safely say that many of the conflicts that have taken place in this region during the 20th century stem from the time of the dissolution of the Ottoman Empire, and from the decisions imposed by the Great Powers on the people of the Balkans. This holds true in the case of Kosovo as well, which despite its Albanian majority was recognized as Serbian by the Conference of Ambassadors in London for reasons which will be discussed in the course of this study. Kosovo seems like the perfect example of a decision by the Great Powers that came to haunt them later, almost a century after the Conference of Ambassadors in 1913 recognized the Serb claim to that land, forcing the International Community (the Great Powers were to all effects and purposes the International Community of their time) to an unprecedented intervention against the Serbs in 1999. This seeming reversal of Great Power policy is the main reason why I chose the analysis, and comparison of these two moments in the history of Kosovo, and the role played in them by the Great Powers as the subject of my thesis. The two key moments for Kosovo in the course of the previous century consisted in its liberation or conquest (depending on one’s point of view) by the Serbs during the First Balkan War, and the recognition thereof by the Great Powers; and the NATO intervention of 1999 (again one could call it a liberation or conquest although the positions have been reversed) which seems to have brought to an end the Serb domination of Kosovo, although formally, according to resolution 1244 of the UN Security Council, Kosovo is still part of Serbia. At a first glance such a comparison might look a rather strange, since the two moments in question are so far removed in time, but I think that there are enough grounds for making such a comparison viable. The aim of this analysis is to explain how the 4 international politics as related to the Kosovo case (and to the Balkans in general) have changed in the time span that divides the two moments in question, and to find out what changes can account for the different outcomes. In order to achieve this I have made use of the so-called parallel case-oriented strategy which involves cases that appear similar but experience different outcomes.1 As the definition of the strategy suggests the first thing one must do when beginning such an enterprise is to show that the cases in question are indeed similar and comparable. If I were to name the first case, case A and the second case B than the formula of the analysis would be: A is similar to B and yet A has X as an outcome, while B has Y as its outcome. What factors can explain the differences between X and Y? It must be said too that the cases are viewed as configurations or combinations of factors, and the elements of each case must first be analyzed, and then compared to those of the other enabling one to identify the elements responsible for the different outcomes, and to explain how those differences have made the differing outcomes possible. Just as the cases themselves are seen as the combinations of a number of factors so are the outcomes or rather the changes in the outcomes the result of differing combinations of conditions and elements. It is by identifying these changes that one can than provide an explanation. So let us proceed to the cases in question. In both moments there was a conflict between the Serbs, and Albanians about Kosovo where the nationalist ideologies of the two people clashed directly. As far as Kosovo’s role as a source of conflict goes nothing much has changed. Both people continue to see each other as sworn enemies. Kosovo itself continues to be at the heart of this enmity, and it is just as important to both Albanians and Serbs now as it was at the beginning of the 20th century. It must be stressed however that in 1912-13 the conflict about Kosovo took place within the broader context of the First Balkan War and the Albanian – Serb confrontation involved many of the Albanian inhabited areas of the Balkans, while in 1999 although the conflict once again took place within the broader context of another “Balkan War,” it was mostly confined to the Serbs and the Albanians of Kosovo. 1 For a detailed account of the methodology look at Charles C. Ragin, The Comparative Method (London: University of California Press, Ltd. 1987). 5 Both the Serb conquest/liberation of Kosovo in 1912 – 1913 and the counterinsurgency campaigns of the 1997-1999 conflict show remarkable similarities in the tactics used by the Serb army in order to subdue the Albanian population of the province. Both were characterized by large scale expulsions, massacres, rapes, plundering, and other such activities that have come to be known as ethnic cleansing, as described for instance in the report of the first commission on the Balkans founded by the Carnegie Endowment in 1913, and as reported by the media, and a host of NGOs, and human rights organizations in 1999. In both these moments the International Community took an interest in Kosovo and the Balkans, and played a very important role in determining the outcome of the conflict. And yet the ways in which the International Community reacted could not have been more different. In the Conference of Ambassadors in 1913 the crimes that had been committed and the Albanian claims hardly played a role in the considerations of the statesmen gathered to decide on the future of, among other things, Kosovo. Cold calculations based on their interests, ambitions, and the desire to preserve the balance of power and peace and security in Europe were all that mattered. In 1999 on the other hand the Serbs were broadly perceived as being a threat to the peace and security of Europe because of the wars in Croatia and Bosnia and because of the aggressive nationalist policies of the Milošević regime. This, combined with the crimes committed by the Serbs in all of these wars served to mobilize the International Community (or to be more precise the West), and led NATO to intervene in order to bring the conflict to an end. For all of NATO’s statements to the contrary, the intervention in Kosovo was perceived as being anti – Serb, and pro – Albanian. As far as most people in Kosovo and the Balkans are concerned that was indeed the case. Naturally, while looking at these two moments a question comes to mind: why? Why such a reversal and why such different outcomes? Has something changed in the relations between Serbs, and Albanians? Obviously not: the position of the Serbs and Albanians on Kosovo has not changed one iota. I suggest that in order to find an answer to these question, one must look at the changes that have taken place in international politics or to be more precise at the rules that govern international relations in the post-Cold War era; and at the changes that have taken place in the policy of the International Community vis-à-vis the Balkans in general. 6 I intend to do this by providing the reader with the necessary information on these two moments in the history of Kosovo, their historical background, and the international response to them in order to ascertain what brought about such a drastic change of policy. The first chapter in the study will be a short summary of the history of Kosovo up to, and including the First Balkan War in order to enable the reader to come to a better understanding of the issues which will be discussed as well as of the competing claims of the Albanians, and Serbs on Kosovo. It will also discuss the international situation of the time, and the reasons behind the decision of the Great Powers to recognize Kosovo as Serb as well as shed some light on the policy of the Great Powers with regard to the Balkans. The second chapter will provide a brief summary of the history of Kosovo as part of Serbia (and later Yugoslavia), and of the events that led to the conflict of 1997 – 1999. Once again the emphasis will be on the Albanian – Serb rivalry and on how this rivalry and the situation in the Balkans in general was perceived by the International Community (read: the West) which was finally forced to intervene. And finally, the third chapter will try to analyze and compare the Great Power politics (or international politics as they are called now days) in 1912 – 1913 and 1999, trying to shed some light on the changes that have taken place in the course of the 20th century which can explain the different outcomes of these two moments. 7 C hapter 1 If one were to believe Albanian and Serb claims, one would get the impression that they have been at each other’s throats for the best part of their history. This ancient enmity between the two people however is strangely enough a rather recent invention. Naturally as all neighboring people in the world the Albanians and Serbs have had their share of divergences and conflicts, but it was only in the 19th century that they came to see each other as natural born enemies. Indeed one can trace the roots of many of the problems that continue to plague the Balkans back to this historical period. The 19th century was a century of decline for the Ottoman Empire which had ruled the Balkans (Kosovo included) for almost five centuries. In the course of the 18th century this empire, once the greatest power in Europe, had been engaged in an endless series of wars against the Russian and Hapsburg empires which had gradually eroded the ability of the Sublime Porte (as the Ottoman administration was referred to) to effectively control its European possessions. To make matters worse these internal problems were accompanied by an increasing inability on the part of the Ottomans to confront the other European Great Powers on an equal footing. Thus internal weakness led to defeat on the field of battle and defeats led to ever greater internal problems, be they social or economical. The combination of these internal and external factors weakened the Ottoman Empire so much that by the 19th century it was derisively being dismissed by the European Great Powers as the “sick man of Europe”. In fact the once mighty empire had become so weak that it owed its very existence to the goodwill of the European Great Powers, who fortunately for the Ottomans were intent on maintaining the balance of power in Europe. The survival of the Ottoman state was deemed important enough to the maintenance of the equilibrium for the other Powers to continually thwart Russia’s (and to a lesser extent Austria’s) attempts at destroying it. But the 19th century marked the emergence of another threat to the Turkish state which the Great Powers could do nothing to stop, which was the spread of nationalist ideas amongst the Porte’s subject populations. 8 Nationalist ideology entailed quite a radical solution to the problems of these populations: freeing themselves from the Empire and creating independent nation states. And it was not by accident that these ideas spread first among the Christian populations of the Balkans such as the Serbs. Not only were the Christians more open to Western European ideas such as nationalism, but because of their religion they also enjoyed the support of several Great Powers, especially that of Russia and Austria. Furthermore the Christian populations of the Balkans had also managed to retain some rudimentary form of identity even after five centuries of Ottoman rule thanks mainly to the role of their churches. But in any case given the social organization of the Ottoman Empire, based on the so-called millet system in which religion and not ethnicity was the basis of identification, it would have been impossible for any Christian people to identify themselves fully with an Islamic empire that saw them as second class citizens. The guiding principle of nationalism however required that the political unit, the nation state, coincide with the ethnic one, something that was difficult to achieve in the Balkans given the demographic composition of the peninsula. The fastest way to achieve the ethnic purity which the nation state envisaged was by forcing other ethnic groups out of the territory of the state (in other words by ethnically cleansing the territory) when they could not be assimilated. Most Balkan states enforced similar policies especially visà-vis their Muslim populations (but not only) wherever they could. Unfortunately for Albanian – Serb relations both people claimed areas with mixed Albanian and Serb populations such as Kosovo – the Serbs also laid claim to purely Albanian areas – and the pursuit of the nationalist principle of ethnic homogeneity was bound to create conflict between the two people. In this conflict the Serbs enjoyed a number of advantages on the Albanians. They had been able to gain autonomy and independence much earlier than the Albanians and they enjoyed a far greater degree of Great Power support than the Albanians ever did. In fact with the exception of the Montenegrins who had traditionally enjoyed some form of autonomy, the Serbs were the first Balkan people to rebel against Ottoman rule and attain autonomy from the Turkish state. The rebellion began in the Pashalic of 9 Belgrade in 1804 and it was led by Djordje Petrović, also known as Karadjordje.2 At first the aim of the rebellion was not so much independence or autonomy as an end to the misrule of the dahi, a group of senior janissary officers who refused to obey the Porte and dealt with the territories under their control as if they were their personal fiefs. However, thanks to Russian influence and support the rebellion soon turned into a fight for independence.3 The Russians had long pursued a policy aimed at supporting the rebellions of the Orthodox and Slavic people of the Balkans. They had traditionally seen the Ottoman Empire as a sworn enemy and had projects on its possessions; projects in which the Balkans figured prominently. The enmity between these two powers dated back to the late 17th century when Russia and the Ottoman Empire begun a series of wars aimed at controlling the strategically important Black Sea littoral.4 Control of the Black Sea (which had long been an Ottoman lake) was important to the Russians, but the ultimate ambition of the Tsarist Empire was to secure an outlet in the Mediterranean Sea. The only way in which Russia could secure such an outlet was by dominating the Balkans which were part of the Ottoman Empire. This is one of the main reasons why Russia has historically shown an interest in the Balkans. The other reasons related to Russia’s position as the main Orthodox and Slavic power in the world. In 1774, by the terms of the Treaty of Kuchuk Kainarji Russia gained the right to speak on behalf of the entire Orthodox population of the Ottoman Empire thus setting the stage for the Russian policy vis-à-vis the Balkans in the 19th and early 20th centuries.5 The ideas of Pan-Slavism, which advocated solidarity among Slavic people were an additional motivation for the Russians to support the Serb rebellion. As many other Balkan people were to learn later however, for the Great Powers their own interests came first, naturally, and the people of the Balkans were simply pawns in a game they could not yet influence or control in any way. The Russian support for the national movements of the Balkan Orthodox populations was ultimately motivated by a 2 Barbara Jelavich, History of the Balkans: 18th and 19th centuries, vol.1 (Cambridge University Press, 1983) 195. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 3 Ibid. 195-197 4 Nicholas V. Riasnikovsky, The History of Russia, (Oxford University Press, 1993) 219. All subsequent quotations are to this edition. 5 Jelavich 69. 10 desire to achieve their own aims. In 1806 after the Russian annexation of Georgia, the Russian and Ottoman Empires started another war6 and because of this new development the Russians increased their support for the Serbs. In 1807 they offered the Serbs the ‘carrot’ of independence if they joined the Russians in their war effort.7 By 1812 however, faced with the danger of a French invasion and in need of a quick agreement with the Ottomans which would allow them to concentrate all their efforts on repelling the French, the Russians signed the Treaty of Bucharest which among other things provided for the full reoccupation of Serbia by the Ottomans. In 1813 three Ottoman armies converged on Serbia thus bringing to an end the first Serbian Revolution.8 Nevertheless by 1815 the Serbs begun another rebellion led by Miloš Obrenović who thanks to a more careful diplomatic and military strategy managed to gain some level of autonomy for the Serbs.9 In the course of the 19th century Serbia’s autonomy and power would gradually increase until 1878 when it became formally independent; by that time Serbia was also the most powerful of the Balkan states. Kosovo occupied an important place in the Serb nationalist discourse. The Serbs saw Kosovo as the heartland of their medieval empire, Serbia’s Golden Age. When reading the works of Serb historians one often gets the impression that Kosovo had always been Serbian. In fact it was only in 1216 that the Serbian King Stephan the First Crowned managed to conquer the whole of Kosovo.10 Until the 13th century Kosovo had been under Byzantine or Bulgarian control. Nevertheless Kosovo was quite important to medieval Serbia for its mineral wealth as well as for its strategic position. Another factor which amplified Kosovo’s importance to the Serbs relates to the Serbian Orthodox Church whose Archbishopric and Patriarchate were located in Kosovo. And finally there was the Battle of Kosovo of 1389 which sealed the destiny of the medieval Serb state thus making it a crucial and determining moment in the history of the Serbs. In truth the decisive battle between the medieval Serb kingdom and the Ottoman Empire had taken 6 Riasanovsky 308. Jelavich 197. 8 Ibid. 202. 9 Guido Franzinetti, I Balcani: 1878-2001, (Roma: Carocci editore, s.p.a, 2001) 16. 10 Noel Malcolm, Kosovo: A Short History, (London: Papermac, Macmillan Publishers, Ltd. 1998) 44. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 7 11 place some 28 years earlier in Maritsa.11 The Battle of Maritsa marked the last time the Serbs were able to offer a really strong and united resistance to the Ottoman advance into their territories. In the aftermath of this battle the Serbian Kingdom disintegrated and its possessions fell into the hands of several feudal lords. Parts of Kosovo itself fell under the control of an Albanian – Serbian family, the Balsha or Balsić, while the future hero of the Battle of Kosovo, Lazar Hrebljanović managed to retain control of northern Serbia and the east of Kosovo12. This was more or less the situation in the former Serb Kingdom at the time of the Battle of Kosovo which dealt the Serb state its death blow. Not much is known of the Battle itself. It took place on the 15th of June 1389 in Kosovo Polje (Albanian: Fushë Kosova) in the vicinity of Pristina, the present day capital of Kosovo. The strange fact about this battle is that although the Serbs have come to see it as a defeat, the outcome was more of a draw.13 What is known is that the opposing forces were not made up of just Orthodox Serbs and Muslim Turks. Albanians, Bosnians and Hungarians fought on the Serb side and many Christians, including Serbs, fought on the Ottoman side.14 The fighting continued all day with both sides suffering grievous losses. Both Lazar and Murad (the Ottoman sultan) were killed. After the battle Lazar’s son and heir, Stefan Lazarević was forced to become an Ottoman vassal. The Serbs managed to retain some sort of sovereignty through alliances and vassalage until 1459 (70 years after the Battle) when Smederevo, the last fortress held by the Serbs fell to Mehmed the Conqueror without a fight.15 As can be seen from even such a short description of the Battle of Kosovo, this event was neither the most significant battle the Serbs fought and lost against the Ottomans, nor did it immediately bring the existence of the Serb state (or what was left of it) to an end. And yet the Battle of Kosovo has gained mythical proportions in Serbian history and it has become the cornerstone of Serb nationalism. In order to achieve this the myth had to undergo quite a radical transformation from the folk epic of the middle ages singing of the participants in the Battle and their deeds, into the national myth of the 11 Tim Judah, Kosova: Luftë dhe Hakmarrje, trans. Majlinda Raxhimi-Nishku (Koha & ShLK, 2002) 5. All subsequent quotations are to this edition. 12 Judah 6. 13 Ibid. 9. 14 Malcolm 59-62. 15 Ibid. 90-92. 12 Serbs focusing on the destiny of the Serbs as a nation.16 The idea of returning to Kosovo was inherent in the myth; it was to be the reward for what the Serbs had suffered under Turkish rule and for the preservation of their religion in the face of an Islamic onslaught. Religion and the Serb Orthodox Church were to play a very important role in the Serb struggle for independence as well as in the Serbs’ emotional attachment to Kosovo; the fact that in the Serbian case religious affiliation and ethnicity coincided made religion central to the Serb’s national identity as the only element that distinguished the Serbs from their Slavic brethren who spoke the same language, but belonged to different religions. One could say that Serb nationalism is based on the assumption that there exists a great clash of civilizations manifested mainly in the conflict between Islam and Christianity in which the Serbs have been assigned a central role as defenders of Christendom (although in the Serb nationalist discourse the Catholics are also seen as enemies). Inherent in such an interpretation of history was the belief that all Muslims were enemies and those Balkan people who had renounced Christianity in favor of Islam were traitors as well.17 Involved in a struggle against the most powerful Islamic power as they were this interpretation of history was quite useful in mobilizing the Serb masses against the Turks. It was also to serve as the ideological justification for the further expansion of the Serb state. In 1844 Ilija Garašanin, who was Serbia’s prime minister at the time drew up the so called Nacertanije, a document which clearly elaborated the expansionist aims of the new state. These aims included the unification of all Serb inhabited lands into one state which was to consist of Serbia proper, Bosnia – Herzegovina, “Old Serbia” (i.e. Kosovo, Macedonia), Montenegro, Vojvodina and the north of Albania.18 These are the territories commonly referred to as Greater Serbia and this document was to become the blueprint of the Serb expansionist policy in the 19th and early 20th centuries. 16 Ger Duijzing, Religion and the Politics of Identity in Kosovo, (C. Hurst & Co. Publishers, Ltd. 2000). 184. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 17 Dimitrije Bogdanović, The Kosovo Quest-Past and Present, Spring 2005. <http://www.srpska-mreza.com/bookstore/kosovo/kosovo12htm>. 18 Jelavich 244-245. 13 As one might have expected the document was not well received in Albanian quarters. For Muslim Albanians the decline of the Ottoman Empire and the emergence of the new Christian Balkan states was bad news. The Albanians, the majority of whom converted to Islam during the centuries of Ottoman rule had enjoyed a privileged status within the Ottoman Empire and they identified with the Porte much more than any of the Christian people of the Balkans. The reasons for this are to be found in the social organization of the Ottoman state and the millet system which divided the population of the empire along religious lines. Thus there was a Muslim, an Orthodox and a Catholic millet. The Muslim millet held a privileged position in this arrangement. They paid much lower taxes than the Christian populations for which the fiscal burden was at times unbearable19 and the Muslims could also move up the social ladder in the Empire. As the Ottoman state started to decline however this privileged status of the Albanians and indeed the very survival of the Albanian people and the existence of their territories came under threat. Indeed one could say that if the rise of nationalism and the movement for self-determination amongst the Serbs had been a reaction to Ottoman misrule, the birth of the Albanian national movement was a direct consequence of the threat posed by the nationalist and expansionist policies of its neighbors. Initially however, the Albanians reacted to the threat posed by the aggressive foreign policies of the Christian states of the Balkans (such as Greece and Serbia who coveted Albanian inhabited territories) by moving closer to the Porte which guaranteed them the best protection. (Even if the Albanians had wanted to create an independent or autonomous entity, in order for it to succeed it would have needed the “sponsorship” of one or more of the Great Powers, which the Albanians did not have) However, as the Sublime Porte’s ability to offer protection waned so did the tensions between the Albanians and the Turkish authorities increase eventually leading to the Albanian national movement for independence. 19 Arben Puto and Stefanaq Pollo, The History of Albania, (London: Routledge & Kegan Paul, 1981) 90. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 14 The road to independence was particularly difficult for the Albanians. As has already been mentioned the privileged status the Albanians enjoyed in the Empire made them reluctant to turn against the Ottomans. Furthermore the Albanians were hopelessly divided. Although the majority of them were Muslims a considerable portion of the Albanians were still Christians, both Orthodox and Catholic. The Muslims themselves were divided into a Sunny majority and a quite significant Bektashi minority and as if these divisions had not been enough the Ottomans had also made sure that unification would be difficult by dividing the Albanian lands into four vilayets (administrative units in the Ottoman Empire) each with its own administration. Add to that the divisions imposed by the mountainous terrain they lived in and the very fractured structure of Albanian society and one begins to get the picture. But as history has often shown there is no better way of uniting a people than threats from the outside. The major threat the Albanians were faced with was the very real possibility that their lands were going to become bargaining chips in the dealings of the Great Powers and that their Balkan neighbors would be awarded Albanian territories. Kosovo and the north of Albania were some of the territories more at risk which might help explain why Kosovo became the military and political centre of the Albanian movement for autonomy and later for independence. And as it turned out, the Albanians’ fears were justified. In June 1876, in the aftermath of rebellions in Bosnia and Bulgaria, Serbia and Montenegro went to war against Turkey aiming to occupy the Sandžak of Novi Pazar (the region to the north of Kosovo which stood as a wedge between the two countries) and then to march into Kosovo.20 However, the rebellions were crushed and the Serb attempts proved unsuccessful, forcing them to sign an armistice in November. The Serb fortunes were to change a short time later when Russia went to war against the Turkish Empire in April 1877. At the Russian’s request the Serbs decided once again to wage war against the Ottomans.21 By this time the Ottoman army was tied down fighting the Russians in Bulgaria and was in no position to defend Kosovo. The Serbs were thus able to capture significant portions of Kosovo including Gjilane, and even Pristina, but had to 20 21 Malcolm 208-209. Ibid. 209. 15 stop short of invading the whole province when the Russians and the Ottomans signed an armistice on the 31st of January 1878. In March of 1878 Russia and Turkey went on to sign the San Stefano Treaty which foresaw the creation of an enormous Bulgarian state (which would have incorporated large swathes of land inhabited by Albanians) and would have also awarded Serbia and Montenegro with parts of Kosovo and northern Albania.22 The Russians had hoped to secure complete control of the Balkans through the influence they could exercise on these Slavic and Orthodox states and to counter in this way the Austrian threat in the Balkans. Such an outcome however was unacceptable to most other Great Powers.23 The future of the possessions of the Ottoman Empire had long been at the core of Great Power diplomacy – the so-called Eastern Question – and although Russia and Austria were the powers with more at stake in the Balkans the other Great Powers were bound to take an interest as well. For Austria the Treaty of San Stefano would have meant the end of its involvement in the Balkans.24 Given the fact that the Hapsburg Empire possessed no colonies, it had turned all its attention to the Balkans as the only area where it could expand in its Drang nach Osten. On the other hand the Austrians also saw the preservation of the Ottoman Empire as the best way of checking Russian power. Metternich for instance saw Turkey as “a natural frontier which never claims our attention or dissipates our energies. We look upon Turkey as the last bastion standing in the way of another power”25 and the Austrian position had not changed much since Metternich’s time. Strangely enough these very same reasons were valid for the Russians as well. In the event of the disintegration of the Ottoman Empire Russia might very well have found itself flanked by a much more powerful neighbor than the Ottomans. Great Britain also had no interest in allowing Russia to gain control over the Balkans; a move which would have ensured the fall of the Ottoman Empire. Much in the 22 Ibid. Misha Glenny, The Balkans: Nationalism, War and the Great Powers, (London: Granta Books, 2000) 143. All subsequent quotations are to this edition. 24 Glenny 143. 25 Norman Rich, Great Power Diplomacy 1814-1914, (McGrow Hill, 1992) 47. All subsequent quotations are to this edition. 23 16 same way as the Austrians, the British too had traditionally seen the Ottoman Empire as a kind of buffer between Russia and in the British case, the land and sea routes to India. Furthermore in November 1875 Britain had acquired the controlling shares in the Suez Canal26 which was another reason for the British opposition to the San Stefano Treaty. If Russia controlled the Balkans through its client states then who was to stop them from taking the rest of the Ottoman Empire as well or at the very least exercise complete control over it? And if the Russians managed that that would in turn have meant the encirclement of India, the jewel on the British crown. Russian control of the Balkans would also have endangered the balance of power on which peace in Europe depended. Indeed the very fact that the Russians managed to go to war against the Ottoman Empire in the first place, without encountering any serious opposition from the other Great Powers was strange. The same reasons that motivated the objections to the San Stefano Treaty had been valid before the Russo-Turkish War of 1877 as well. It was because of smart Russian diplomacy and propaganda that the Tsarist Empire managed to neutralize Britain and Austria–Hungary.27 In the case of Britain, reports of Turkish excesses during the suppression of the Balkan rebellions caused a public outcry that made it impossible for the British government to intervene in favor of Turkey. Austria on the other hand concluded a deal with the Russians which allowed them to occupy Bosnia and Herzegovina in return for their neutrality during the RussoTurkish War;28 this in turn secured German neutrality as well. The Russians however made a serious mistake with the San Stefano Treaty by infringing on the interests of almost all the other Powers. For these reasons the Treaty of San Stefano could not be implemented and the Russians had to agree to a revision since all the other Powers were in favor of it. In 1878 the Congress of Berlin was called in order to revise the Treaty and to deal with the Eastern Question once and for all.29 The Congress reduced the size of Bulgaria and recognized the independence of Serbia, Montenegro and Romania. It also decided to award Serbia and Montenegro with Albanian territories, but perhaps more importantly it 26 Rich 222. Ibid. 222-223. 28 Joseph Swire, Shqipëria: Ngritja e një Mbretërie, trans. (Tirana: Dituria 2005) 73-75. All subsequent quotations are to this edition. 27 17 recognized Austria’s right to occupy Bosnia and Herzegovina and to garrison the sandzak (an Ottoman administrative unit) of Novi Pazar, simply known as the Sandzak, which lies between Serbia and Montenegro.30 This was significant for two main reasons. In the first place it separated Serbia from Montenegro and secondly it thwarted Serbia’s ambitions of joining all the Serbs in one state. And the Serb claim on parts of Bosnia was much more valid than the one they had on Kosovo where the majority of the population was Albanian. In compensation, the Austrians allowed the Serbs to expand in a southerly direction as long as they did not attempt to secure an outlet on the Adriatic Sea.31 One can but wonder what the history of Kosovo would have been like had the Serbs been allowed to unite with their brethren in Bosnia and Montenegro. As it turned out, this Austrian action made sure that the Serbs put even more effort into securing Kosovo and access to the Adriatic through northern Albania. The terms of the San Stefano Treaty and the Congress of Berlin which (among other things) discussed the future of Albanian inhabited territories, were to serve as the spark which ignited the Albanian national movement, known in Albanian as Rilindja Kombëtare or the National Renaissance. However, it would be misleading to suggest that by this time the Albanians had reached such a level of national emancipation as to ask for autonomy or independence right away. The idea of an autonomous Albania had already been in circulation before the Congress of Berlin, but it had won little ground in Albania itself. The frequent rebellions of the Albanians were motivated more by an opposition to the centralizing reforms of the Ottomans than by a desire for autonomy or independence. The imposition of taxes, conscription and disarming were particularly bitterly opposed. But the nature of the Albanian opposition to the Turks was beginning to change. In 1876 there had already been revolts in the north of Albania, which had led the Russian consul in Shkodra to write that “it is difficult to foresee the result of the rebellion; but whatever it might be Europe will soon have a new question to consider: the Albanian question”32. The rebellion the consul was commenting on stopped when Serbia and Montenegro launched their invasion of Kosovo in 1878, but the relations between the 29 Glenny 144. Rich 227. 31 Swire 55. 32 Pollo and Puto 117. 30 18 Porte and the Albanians were not to remain peaceful for long. In order to counter the decisions of the San Stefano Treaty several defense committees were created of which the most important was the Central Committee for the Defense of the Rights of the Albanian People in Istanbul.33 This committee called an assembly of Albanian leaders in Prizren on the 10th of June 1878 which agreed to create the so-called Albanian League of Prizren.34 The main task of the League was to be the protection of Albanian territories.35 Initially the relations between the League and the Porte seem to have been friendly. After all, the League’s refusal to hand over any Albanian territories to either of Albania’s neighbors benefited the Turks, leading many to believe that it was nothing more than a tool of the Porte. The break came when the Ottoman Empire, under pressure from the Great Powers (who had threatened to occupy the port of Smyrrna (Izmir) in Asia Minor if the decisions of the Congress of Berlin were not implemented) tried to force the League into handing over the Albanian town of Ulqin to Montenegro.36 The Berlin Treaty agreed upon at the end of the Congress of Berlin had initially decided that Montenegro would receive the Albanian districts of Plav, Gucia, Kuç and Triepsh.37 The resistance of the League and Turkish objections forced the Powers to alter their plans several times until eventually they decided to award Montenegro the Albanian town of Ulqin which was just as Albanian as the previously mentioned districts.38 This time however, faced with the prospect of the occupation of Smyrna the Porte sent an army of 30,000 men against the Albanians.39 The League resisted for two months with an international naval squadron offshore who had orders to attack the Albanian forces if they did not hand over the town and Turkish troops attacking them on land. Eventually the resistance was broken and Ulqin was handed over to Montenegro. This was to be a watershed moment in Albanian history. Whereas up to this moment the League had been motivated by self- defense and not by a desire to upset the status quo in the Empire after the events in Ulqin the leaders of the movement came to the conclusion that the relations between Albania and the Porte 33 Ibid. Ibid. 118. 35 Glenny 153. 36 Pollo and Puto 123. 37 Swire 57. 38 Ibid. 57-61. 39 Ibid. 60. 34 19 had to change40 and that autonomy for a single Albanian entity comprising all four vilayets would be the solution to their problems. Such a decision was not easy to reach though. A considerable number of the Albanian Muslims in the movement saw themselves as faithful subjects of the sultan and resisted any move that might lead to the break up of the Empire. Furthermore the European powers of the time with the exception of Russia were also against upsetting the status quo. The more progressive leaders of the League however envisaged an autonomous Albania consisting of the four Albanian vilayets (what is also known as Greater Albania), governed by Albanians, but that would remain part of the Ottoman Empire. This more radical group did manage to gain the upper hand, thanks mainly to the actions of the Porte and by 1880 the League of Prizren had declared itself the provisional government of Albania.41 Their success however did not last long. By 1881 the Porte decided that the League had gone too far with its actions and that a military solution was needed. Several battles took place in Kosovo, but eventually the Turkish authorities managed to defeat the League. Nevertheless although the League did not last long, it had succeeded in sowing the seeds of the Albanian national movements. The demands of the League on the unification of the Albanian vilayets and autonomy would remain a constant Albanian demand until 1912 when Albania gained its independence. Another achievement of the League which was to remain a constant in Albanian nationalist ideology was the secular nature of the movement. Aware of the divisive potential the affiliation to four different religions entailed, the League made a point of stressing the ethnic factor as central to the Albanian national movement. In this aspect Albanian nationalism differed radically from that of, for instance, the Serbs. The League also showed clearly the importance of Kosovo to the Albanian struggle for national recognition. This importance was not the result of some romanticized and mythical reading of history as in the case of the Serbs. The Albanians of Kosovo had played a major role in the League and they were to play just as important a role in the future rebellions of the Albanians against the Turks. Although much of the more progressive 40 41 Glenny 153-154. Pollo and Puto 124-127. 20 intellectual impulse of the Albanian national movement came from intellectuals and leaders from the south of Albania or from the Albanian colonies abroad, Kosovo was the centre of the Albanian national movement and most of the military muscle was provided by the Albanians of Kosovo. The defeat of the League had dealt a serious blow to the Albanian national movement, but it did not mean the end of the Porte’s problems in the Albanian lands. The underlying reasons that had led to the beginning of the Albanian national movement were still present. The creation of the League after all had been a reaction to increased Great Power interference in the internal affairs of the Ottoman Empire (or to be more precise the internal affairs of the Albanians) and in the years after 1881 this interference intensified. These were also times of change for the Ottoman Empire itself. In 1908 a Young Turk regime was installed in Istanbul. The Young Turks represented a movement whose aim was to modernize the empire and unify it on the basis of an Ottoman nationality.42 Initially the Young Turks enjoyed the support of the Albanians, especially those of Kosovo who had been tricked into believing that the new regime would respect the sultan’s rights and would grant the Albanians their old privileges, such as the right to bear arms, exemption from conscription, etc.43 In fact the aims of the Young Turks were the exact opposite to those of the Albanians. As soon as they came to power the Young Turks showed a determination to implement the modernizing reforms, which the Albanians so resented. The annexation of Bosnia Herzegovina by Austria in 1908 diminished the confidence of the Albanians in the new regime even more; it was seen as a sign that the Young Turks were speeding up the break up of the empire,44 with all the consequences that such an event entailed for the Albanians. Several rebellions against the collection of taxes took place in Kosovo in 42 Malcolm 236. Ibid. 237-238. 44 Ibid. 240. 43 21 1909 and 1910 and were crushed by the Turkish army. The Turkish actions, however, achieved anything but peace. In the spring of 1912 the general revolt of the Albanian national movement finally started in Western Kosovo.45 By July the rebels had already taken over most of Kosovo and assembled thousands of troops there. The Albanian rebels then presented the Turkish authorities with a list of demands, known as the Fourteen Points of Hasan Prishtina, many of which closely resembled the demands of the League of Prizren, and after receiving no reply from Istanbul marched on Skopje, the capital of the vilayet which they took on the 14th of August,46 On the 18th of August the Turkish government which in the meantime had to deal with a revolt in Yemen and a war against Italy, afraid that the rebels might march on to Salonica to free and restore to power the sultan, finally agreed to the demands of the Albanians.47 After more than three decades of struggle the Albanians had finally obtained national recognition and autonomy within the Ottoman Empire. The success did not last long however. The Albanian rebellion had clearly shown the weakness of the Ottoman Empire, a fact that was not lost to the Albanians’ Balkan neighbors. All the newly independent Balkan states nurtured expansionist ambitions on the Ottoman Empire’s European territories, which included Kosovo. The Albanian rebellion provided these countries with the perfect opportunity to realize their plans although a war against the Ottomans went against the interests of all the Great Powers with the exception of Russia.48 The Ottomans were weakened and the Albanians were also exhausted. Serbia had at different times encouraged the Albanian rebellion in order to achieve precisely the aforementioned situation, while on the other hand Serbia and the other Balkan powers had gone as far as to threaten to go to war against the Ottomans if they granted the Albanians autonomy.49 A prolonged Albanian struggle against the Turks was favorable to the realization of these 45 Ferdinando Saleo, Shqipëria: gjashtë muaj mbretëri, trans. Virgjil Muçi (Tiranë: Shtëpia e Librit dhe Komunikimit, 2000) 32-33. All subsequent quotations are to this edition. 46 Ibid. 47 Ibid. 248. 48 Glenny 224. 49 Pollo and Puto 144. 22 countries’ expansionist plans. The international situation at this time also played into the hands of the Balkan states. After the Austrian – Hungarian annexation of Bosnia, Russia had become reluctant to preserve the status quo in the Balkans.50 Although worries of a possible war against Austria about the Balkans always played a role in their considerations, in the aftermath of the Italian – Turkish War of 1911, the Russians decided to actively help create and support an alliance of the Christian states of the Balkans against the Ottomans. This however was not so easy to achieve since the claims of Bulgaria, Serbia and Greece clashed in Macedonia.51 After some persuading though a treaty between Bulgaria and Serbia was signed in March 1912, while negotiations between Serbia, Montenegro, Greece and Bulgaria continued until two days before the commencement of hostilities (ibid). On the 8th of October 1912 Montenegro declared war on the Ottoman Empire and attacked the north of Albania.52 A week later the Balkan alliance launched an offensive on different parts of the Ottoman Balkans. The Serb Third Army was assigned the task of occupying Kosovo. On the 22nd of October it had reached Pristina, on the 31 Prizren was captured while the Montenegrin army had already occupied Peja/Peč on the 30th. The conquest of Kosovo was accompanied with large scale massacres and expulsions of Albanians. Reports in the European press estimated the number of Albanians killed in the six week war at 20,000.53 A Danish journalist in Skopje reported that 5000 Albanians had been executed in Pristina alone while the Commission on the Balkans of the Carnegie Endowment concluded that there had probably been a systematic policy at work: “Houses and whole villages reduced to ashes, unarmed and innocent populations massacred…such were the means that were employed and are still being employed by the Serb and Montenegrin soldiery, with a view to the entire transformation of the ethnic character of regions inhabited exclusively by Albanians.”54 And the list goes on and on. As in most other matters the Serbs and the Albanians disagree on the number of victims as well. The Albanians of course claim that the numbers of the victims were much higher. As for the 50 Swire 84-85. Glenny 226. 52 Ibid. 229. 53 Malcolm 253. 51 23 Serbs, well I did not manage to find a single source that so much as mentioned numbers of Albanian victims. Only in “The Kosovo Chronicles” by Dušan Bataković (one of the leading Serb historians) did I find something resembling an admission that atrocities were committed, but even in this case the author claims that the Albanians bear the responsibility for what happened to them because of their resistance to the Serb army and because of crimes committed by them in the past against Serb civilians.55 One notable exception is the denunciation of a Serb Social Democrat who was serving as a reservist during the war and described the advance of the Serb army into Macedonia. He noted that he came across: ”…entire Albanian villages had been turned into pillars of fire…” and further on he goes on to describe how in the centre of Skopje there lay “heaps of Albanian corpses with severed heads.”56 True, the author is describing the situation in Macedonia, but if the aforementioned reports are anything to go by, there is no reason to believe that the Serbs behaved any differently vis-à-vis the Albanians of Kosovo. When Kosovo had thus been ‘liberated’ the Serbs decided to ‘liberate’ the north of Albania as well and reach the Adriatic coast. Reaching the Adriatic and securing a sea port had long been one of the priorities of landlocked Serbia who was otherwise dependent on Austria – Hungary or the Ottoman Empire for its arms supplies (. At the same time preventing Serbia from securing this, had long been a priority of the Austrian – Hungarian Empire whose only outlets to the sea were also in the Adriatic.57 There had long existed a rivalry between Serbia and the Austrian – Hungarian Empire and both powers saw each others as a real threat. As mentioned earlier Austria – Hungary’s occupation and subsequent annexation of Bosnia – Herzegovina had thwarted the Serbia’s projects of uniting all the Serbs in one state and the Austrian – Hungarian garrisoning of the Sandzak region which separates Serbia from Montenegro was seen in much the same light. For the Austrian – Hungarian Empire Serbia was a threat because it served as a magnet for all sorts of Slavic nationalist movements which threatened the very existence of this multiethnic empire. Furthermore Serbia was seen as a Russian satellite which meant that a strong Serbia would only increase the Russians’ influence in 54 Ibid. 254. Dušan Bataković, The Kosovo Chronicles, 2005, <http://www/snd-us.com/history/dusan/index.htm>. 56 Glenny 234. 55 24 the Balkans to the detriment of Austria – Hungary’s plans. That is why the Austrian – Hungarian Empire tried to win over the support of the Albanians whom it intended to use as a buffer against a Slavic expansion in the Balkans. Another lesser power, Italy also considered Albania as strategically important. After all control over Albania would have secured Italy’s total control of the Adriatic Sea as well as serve as a springing board for further expansion into the Balkans.58 It was for these reasons that the Italians were also opposed to a Serb controlled northern Albania. Russia on the other hand had an interest in the successes of the Balkan allies. As has been mentioned previously the Eastern Question had already been one of the main concerns of Great Power diplomacy in the 19th century. The First Balkan War though had radically changed the political reality of the Balkan Peninsula by effectively removing the Ottoman Empire from Europe, but the interests of the Great Powers on the Balkans remained the same. The Balkan allies had indeed gone to war against the wishes of the Great Powers, but they did need the Great Powers’ approval if they were to keep what they had gained from the war. In order to address these issues the Conference of Ambassadors (of the Great Powers) was called in London on the 12th of December 1912 and it was presided by the British Foreign Secretary Sir Edward Gray.59 The Albanian question was at the centre of discussions since both Italy and Austria – Hungary were against the partition of Albania by the Balkan allies while Russia and France were in favor60. Three issues relating to the Albanian question were the focus of the discussion: the international position of Albania, the organization of the new entity and the establishment of its boarders.61 In the end the Conference decided to recognize Albania’s independence (although the Albanians had already proclaimed their independence on the 28th of November 1912) but the new state would have to be under international control for at least a year. The third issue relating to the boarders of the new state was the most sensitive one. For all the objections of Austria – Hungary the Conference decided that the establishment of the boarders of the new state could not be 57 Saleo 46. Ibid. 17-18. 59 Pollo and Puto 149. 60 Saleo 46. 61 Pollo and Puto 150. 58 25 handled separately from the consequences of the First Balkan War.62 The Balkan allies were to be rewarded at the expense of the Albanians. Thus the Serbs were forced to relinquish the north of Albania, but they did receive Kosovo and other Albanian lands to the east of the present day boarder between Albania and the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. The Great Powers did not take into account at all the crimes and ethnic cleansing that had taken place in Kosovo. Maybe because the Albanians were seen as a Muslim people, there was no outcry at the crimes committed against them, as there had been in the case of the Bulgarians some decades earlier (on the other hand, barely a decade later no European Great Power would lift a finger to stop the Armenian genocide, a fact that shows that considerations of human rights rarely played a role in the decision making of the Powers, unless doing so suited their interests as well, as in the case of the Bulgarian rebellion). Furthermore the ethnic composition of the territories granted to the Balkan powers was not taken into account either. That however was to be expected since the decisions of the Great Powers were not motivated by a quest for a right solution to the problems of the Balkans. At this time the majority of Kosovo’s population was Albanian and had the principle of ethnicity or nationality been followed, Kosovo should have become part of the Albanian state. It was partly because of this reason that Britain objected to Serbia’s annexation of north Albania.63 But instead, the Conference handled the Albanian question in much the same way as the Great Powers had dealt with Africa with all the consequences that that entailed. Thus, the Albanian state the Conference recognized comprised roughly half of the Albanian population and territory. Albanian nationalist circles still refer to the Republic of Albania as “London’s Albania” and just as the Serbs had dreamt of avenging Kosovo so did the Albanians start to nourish the same dream. 62 63 Ibid. 152. Malcolm 256. 26 C hapter 2 To the general public in the Western world the Kosovo war of the 1990s must have come as a surprise, but in fact, as most of the media and politicians were quick to point out, this latest Serbian – Albanian conflict had a long background. The decision of the London Conference of Ambassadors of 1913 to recognize Kosovo as a part of Serbia basically made sure that Kosovo would continue to be a source of friction and conflict between the Serbs and Albanians. One can simply sum up the history of Kosovo as a part of Serbia (and later Yugoslavia) as a long conflict of varying intensities, punctuated by periods of peace. Many people would not agree with such a definition, but many Albanians (including myself) and Serbs seem to believe in it. During the conflict of the 1990s both sides continually pointed out to injustices suffered at the hands of the other at several moments following 1913. This new set of grievances, be they real or simply perceived as such, did not replace the older complaints stemming from the centuries of Ottoman rule; they were simply added to one another thus reinforcing the view that the two people were eternal enemies. It is the purpose of this chapter to look into these issues and attempt to provide the reader with a clear understanding of the history of Kosovo from the moment it became a part of Serbia until the NATO intervention of 1999 and to shed some light on the policy of the International Community vis-à-vis Kosovo. One can say that the Albanians of Kosovo ended the 20th century much in the same way they started it: fighting for self-determination. The Ottoman Empire was simply substituted by the Serbian Kingdom and later by the Kingdom of the Serbs, Croats and Slovenes which later still became known as Yugoslavia. The status of the Albanians in the new “empire”, however, was that of second (or even third) class citizens, a drastic change from the privileged status many Albanians had enjoyed under the Ottomans. For the Muslim Albanians, the very religion that had guaranteed them first class status in the Turkish state became the basis for discrimination by the Serbs, although it must be said that Catholic Albanians did not fare much better. 27 In the previous chapter I have already described the way in which the Serbs dealt with the Albanians when they first conquered Kosovo with the aim of changing the demographic balance of the province and of subduing the Albanians. This Serb policy was to continue and intensify after the annexation of Kosovo. Thus several massacres took place after the fighting had ended, as for instance in Ferizaj (Serbian: Uroševać) where the Serb commander invited the population to return to their homes in peace and then proceeded to execute 300 – 400 men.64 Forced conversions of Muslims and Catholics into Orthodoxy also took place all over Kosovo, with the Albanians being offered a choice between death and torture or conversion. In December 1912 the Serb King placed the region under military rule and enforced a number of draconian measures in order to control the situation; measures which allowed for the deportation of whole villages and made “the decision of the police authorities …sufficient proof of the commission of crime.”65 Albanian resistance in the form of small rebel groups, known as kaçaks, however, did continue provoking a brutal reaction on the part of the Serbs. The conditions that reigned in Kosovo forced many Albanians to emigrate from Kosovo into Albania, Bosnia or Turkey. Had this situation continued the Serbs might well have achieved their goal of “Serbianizing” Kosovo, but the Albanians were saved by the start of the First World War. On the 29th of July 1914 Austria – Hungary begun its attack on Serbia,66 thus setting in motion a chain reaction that would ignite a pan–European conflagration. Although the Serbs put up a stiff resistance against the Austrians, once Germany and Bulgaria joined in the fighting the Serb position became hopeless and the Serb army was forced to retreat through the north of Albania leaving behind thousands of dead and prisoners of war. Austria – Hungary and Bulgaria then proceeded to conquer Kosovo where they were welcomed as liberators. Many Albanians did remember the Austrians with sympathy because of the Austrian support for their national movement. Furthermore, the Austrian and Bulgarian occupation gave the Albanians of Kosovo a breathing space in which they managed to reverse to some extent many of the anti – Albanian policies that the Serbs had tried to enforce in the region. 64 65 Malcolm 254. Ibid. 257. 28 Unfortunately for the Albanians the fortunes of the war soon turned against the Central Powers and by October 1918 the Austrian troops were forced to retreat from Kosovo. By the end of October a combined French – Serbian army had occupied the whole of Kosovo thus bringing it back under Serb rule. Once again the Serb Army engaged in massacres of the Albanians, as for instance in Gjakova (Serbian: Djakovica) where 800 men and women were massacred.67 Although the Serbs had once more emerged victorious in Kosovo this whole episode should have taught them a lesson. Their policies in Kosovo had worsened the Serb – Albanian relations to such an extent that in the future the Albanians would be willing to support any foreign power which offered them the prospect of liberation from Serb rule (the guiding principle of the Kosovo Albanians seems to have been “my enemy’s enemy is my friend”). The same pattern would indeed be repeated during the Second World War as well as during the conflict of the 1990s. The end of the First World War meant also the end of the Serb Kingdom as a separate entity. On the 1st of December 1918 the South Slavs were united in the Kingdom of the Serbs, Croats and Slovenes (henceforth Yugoslavia for simplicity’s sake).68 Kosovo itself remained a part of Serbia. The creation of Yugoslavia fulfilled the Serb dream of uniting all the Serbs in one state. Initially the Croats and Slovenes also supported the new kingdom which they saw as the best way of guaranteeing their security. For the Albanians though, the Yugoslav Kingdom was nothing more than an euphemism for Greater Serbia. The fact that up to four fifths of the state administration was controlled by the Serbs69 and the fact that Kosovo itself remained under direct Serbian rule gave credence to this Albanian belief. The situation of the Albanians in the new kingdom did not improve much. Indeed it would not be too far fetched to say that they were the most discriminated of all the 66 Glenny 312. Judah 43. 68 Glenny 367. 69 Branka Prpa-Jovanovic, Krijimi i Jugosllavisë: 1830-1945, Makthi Etnik i Jugosllavisë, ed. Jasminka Udovicki and James Ridgeway, trans. Arben Kallamata, (Tirana: Albin 1998) 48. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 67 29 people of Yugoslavia. First of all they were not recognized as a minority on the grounds that the Albanians of Kosovo were really Albanian speaking Serbs.70 This denial of minority status made it easier for the Yugoslav authorities to neglect fulfilling the obligations provided for in the “Treaty for the Protection of Minorities” which Yugoslavia had signed in 191971. Under the terms of the treaty Yugoslavia was obliged to provide education in the local languages if the population spoke a language other than Serbian–Croat and to guarantee “full and complete protection of life and liberty to all the inhabitants of the kingdom without distinction of birth, nationality, language, race or religion.”72 The treaty however, was completely disregarded when it came to the Albanians. Education for instance was only in Serbian or Turkish while even the Albanian schools that had been set up during the Austrian occupation were closed down73. Furthermore, the authorities undertook a host of measures aimed at making life difficult for the Albanians, with the final aim of changing the demographic composition of Kosovo. For instance, the Albanians were constantly harassed in order to force them to emigrate from Kosovo. The confiscation of land under the guise of an agrarian reform was one such form of harassment. On the other hand the Yugoslav authorities began implementing plans for the colonization of Kosovo by Serbs and Montenegrins. The Albanians replied to these measures in their traditional way, by fighting. Resistance to the Serb occupation had never ceased altogether, but the measures the Yugoslav authorities were trying to impose gave the resistance (the so-called kaçak movement) a new impetus. The centre of the resistance was the Drenica region, in the heart of Kosovo, although much of the support came from Albanian Kosovan leaders based in Albania. The demands of the kaçaks included self-government, an end to the confiscation of land and the colonization program, an end to the killing of Albanians, the opening of Albanian schools and that Albanian be made an official language.74 The Yugoslav authorities responded by brutally cracking down on the rebels and on the Albanians in general. One tactic the authorities used consisted in arming the local Serbs 70 Malcolm 268-269. Ibid. 72 Ibid. 73 Ibid. 71 30 and creating armed bands in order to assist the army in its counterinsurgency operations; a tactic which served to worsen the already tense interethnic relation in Kosovo even further (these same tactics would also be used during the war of the 1990s with much the same result). The kaçak movement lasted until the mid 1920s, (although sporadic incidents continued during the whole interwar period) but it eventually proved unsuccessful. Not only were the Albanian insurgents no match for the well armed Yugoslav Army, but the political changes that took place in Albania proper with the coming to power of Ahmet Zogu (the future, self-proclaimed king of Albania who counted the leaders of the kaçaks among his sworn enemies) were also detrimental to the struggle of the Albanians of Kosovo. As for the Powers, they were conspicuous by their absence. The kaçak insurgency provided the Yugoslav authorities with the perfect justification for enforcing ever more dramatic measures in Kosovo. These included for instance, the internment of the families of the rebels, including the families of rebel leaders who had been urging restraint on their followers. This move seems to have been designed to achieve anything but a peaceful end to the insurgency. In fact this might have been the real aim of the Serb authorities. As the British envoy in Durrës Albania, reported: “This passive attitude does not suit Serbia as it gives no excuse for harsh measures. Consequently they have now laid hands on women, which they know no Albanian mountaineer will endure.”75 For all its failures however, the kaçak movement had at least made clear that the Albanians had not accepted Serbian rule; it had also to some extent obstructed the colonization program.76 In any case after the end of the insurgency the Serb authorities renewed their effort aimed at addressing the demographics of Kosovo more vigorously. They took a two pronged approach. On the one hand the authorities tried to increase the Serbian population of Kosovo, (through the colonization program) on the other they did everything to force the Albanians to emigrate. The colonization program was justified as part of the general agrarian reform,77 but it was clear that in Kosovo the effort was 74 Ibid. 274. Ibid. 275. 76 Ibid. 278. 77 Ibid. 278-280. 75 31 directed mainly against the Albanians. The lands granted to the Serb and Montenegrin colonists were often confiscated from the Albanians and it was official policy to allow Albanians who had thus been dispossessed only 0,4 hectares of land per family member. The aim of this policy is illustrated by a Serbian document which states that: “This is below the minimum for subsistence. But this is and has been our aim: to make their life impossible and in that way to force them to emigrate.”78 As this document shows, serious attempts were being made to force the Albanians to leave Kosovo. Many distinguished Serb scholars and academics contributed their ideas on how to achieve this. Vasa Ĉubrilović, a respected history professor at Belgrade University suggested the mass expulsion of all the Albanians, arguing that “at a time when Germany can expel tens of thousands of Jews…the shifting of a few hundred thousand Albanians will not lead to the outbreak of a world war.” The way in which he proposed to achieve this was as follows: The law must be enforced to the letter, to make staying intolerable for the Albanians…such as punishment for smuggling, for cutting the forest, for damaging agriculture, for leaving dogs unchained…any other measure that an experienced police force can contrive. From the economic aspect: the refusal to recognize the old land deeds…the requisitioning of all state and communal pastures…dismissal from state, private and communal offices…When it comes to religion, the Albanians are very touchy. Therefore they must be harassed on this score too. This can be achieved through the ill-treatment of their clergy, the destruction of their cemeteries…There remains one more means, which Serbia had employed very successfully after 1878: secretly burning down Albanian villages and city quarters.79 Many of these measures were indeed carried out at the time. In fact the plans for removing the Albanians from Kosovo went even further. Starting from 1933 the Yugoslav and Turkish governments started discussing the possibility of deporting huge 78 79 Ibid. 283. Ibid. 283-284. 32 numbers of Albanians to Turkey. In an agreement reached in 1938 the Turks agreed to take in 40,000 families. No one knows the exact number of the Albanians that fled Kosovo in the interwar period, but the figures provided by Noel Malcolm, of between 90,000 and 150,000 seem credible.80 Had the Serbs been given the opportunity to continue with these policies they might have achieved a Serb majority in Kosovo, but the Albanians were saved by the start of the Second World War and the occupation of Yugoslavia by the Axis Powers. The tables had once again turned. The Second World War was a particularly bloody period in Yugoslav history. The memories of this war and the emotions these memories brought with them were one of the main instruments the nationalist leaders of the Yugoslav people used in order to mobilize their respective nations during the wars of the 1990s. From 1941 when Yugoslavia capitulated, until the end of 1944 the people of Yugoslavia were engaged in a war of resistance against the Axis Powers as well as in a civil war that pitted the different ethnic groups against each other. For the Albanians of Kosovo, though, the arrival of the Axis armies was good news. On April 1941 all Yugoslav resistance in Kosovo had ceased81 and the Axis Powers proceeded to partition Kosovo among themselves. Germany kept the mineral rich area of Mitrovica, the Bulgarians took part of eastern Kosovo, while the rest was joined to Albania, thus creating for the first and only time in history a Greater Albania (Albania proper had been conquered by Italy in 1939, but it was still in theory a separate kingdom ruled by the King of Italy). As the Axis Powers had expected, the creation of Greater Albania effectively prevented any resistance on the part of the Kosovo Albanians against the new occupiers; it also provided the Albanians with an opportunity to reverse some of the policies that the Serbs had enforced during the interwar period. One of the main aims of the Albanians was the removal of the Serb and Montenegrin colonists (the Serbs and Montenegrins are viewed by the Albanians as one and the same people) from Kosovo. Attacks on Serbs and Montenegrin villages had 80 81 Ibid. 285. Glenny 484. 33 already been taking place before the cessation of hostilities between the Axis Powers and the Yugoslav Army, but the situation for the colonists only worsened in the following period. Thus an Italian officer noted that most Montenegrin colonists from the area of Peja (Serbian: Peć) had been expelled within days of Yugoslavia’s surrender albeit with the consent of the German authorities. Estimates place the number of people expelled within the first three months of occupation at 20,000.82 Estimates of the total number of people expelled range from 30,000 to 100,000 while the number of Serbs and Montenegrins killed ranges from 3,000 to 10,000.83 What these numbers tell us is that the Albanians behaved in just as disgusting and abhorrent a manner as the Serbs had when they had the chance; this should also have been a lesson for the NATO forces who took control of the province in 1999. This numbers also tell us that the military activities of the Albanians of Kosovo were mainly directed against the Serbs and not the Germans and Italians. This was in striking contrast to Albania proper where the Communist partisans and several nationalist groups had resisted the occupation of their country by the Italians and the Germans from the very beginning. That does not mean however that the Kosovan Albanians sympathized with Nazism or Italian Fascism as the Serbs were to claim in the late 1980s and the 1990s. I have met former members of the Kosovan Albanian SS “Scanderbeg Division” during my travels to Kosovo and they had only words of praise for the Germans and even Hitler which several of them called a “great man”. None of them however had any knowledge whatsoever of the Holocaust or any other crimes committed by the Nazis throughout occupied Europe. These were simple, illiterate peasants whose only motivation for collaborating with the Nazis was a desire to get rid of Serb rule as well as avenge wrongs suffered in the past. The Axis occupation was perceived as a liberation of sorts by them much in the same way the Austrian occupation was perceived during the First World War (and in the same way NATO’s occupation was to be perceived in 1999). And after all compared with the decades of Serb rule the situation for the Albanians of Kosovo had greatly improved. The Italians for instance, who controlled most of Kosovo allowed the establishment of Albanian schools, the use of Albanian in 82 83 Malcolm 293-294. Judah 50. 34 the administration and the raising of Albanian flags.84 They also allowed the Albanians to bear arms; a wise move if one considers the problems the disarmament campaigns had caused to the Turkish and Serb authorities. In any case, it would have been almost impossible for the Albanians of Kosovo to cooperate with any of the Yugoslav resistance movements. In the first place the Albanians did not feel as if they belonged in Yugoslavia so it would have made no sense for them to strive for its liberation and restitution. Secondly, the main resistance movements, both the Communists led by Tito, and the Serb nationalist Četnik movement, were perceived as Slav (read: Serb) dominated. As far as the Četniks were concerned the Albanians’ assessment of the movement’s character was right. The leaders of this movement were diehard Serb nationalists who advocated the restitution of the prewar Yugoslav Kingdom, dominated by the Serbs or the creation of a Greater Serbia and the cleansing of all the Muslims from it.85 And in any case the Četniks were not above collaboration with the Germans either. The Communists on the other hand seem to have suffered from bad publicity in Kosovo although their program seemed designed to attract the Kosovo Albanians. They envisaged a federal Yugoslavia and equality between its nations, criticized the colonization program and advocated greater rights for the Albanians of Yugoslavia.86 Nevertheless the Communists were also viewed as simply a Slavic movement whose ultimate goals were incompatible with those of the Albanians. Nevertheless, the Communists did persist in their efforts to win the support of the Albanians. They realized that Albanian nationalism was the main obstacle they were facing in Kosovo and for that reason they did make some concessions to the Albanians. Thus in the Conference of Bujan (in the north – east of Albania) of 1943 – 1944, they issued a declaration offering the Albanians of Kosovo the prospect of secession from Yugoslavia after the war.87 As it turned out after the war, the Communists never intended 84 Jasminka Udovicki, Shkëlqimi dhe Rënia e Idesë Ballkanike, Makthi Etnik i Jugosllavisë, ed. Jasminka Udovicki and James Ridgeway, trans. Arben Kallamata, (Tirana: Albin 1998) 31. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 85 Malcolm 298. 86 Ibid. 300. 87 Judah 53. 35 to keep this promise, and in any case doing so would have alienated the Serbs from whom the Communists drew much of their support. In any case, even though the Communists never enjoyed any widespread support in Kosovo some Albanians did join their ranks, believing that they were ultimately fighting for a united Albania. And as was to be expected, once it became clear that the new rulers of Yugoslavia had no intention to keep their promise, these Albanians turned against them. The most significant clashes took part in Drenica, where 8,000 Kosovan Albanians under the command of the Partisan commander Shaban Polluzha, who were joined by a further 20,000 Albanians fought against Yugoslav Partisan units. The rebellion was eventually suppressed, but sporadic incidents continued until the 1950s.88 Estimates of the number of Albanians killed during the war, most of whom were killed in 1944-45 when the Communists brought Kosovo once more under Yugoslav rule, range from 3,000 to 25,00089 (and as these figures suggest the figures are highly disputed). The end of this rebellion marked the beginning of a new phase in Kosovo’s history, as part of Tito’s Yugoslavia. Many Albanians have come to see Tito with real sympathy as a benevolent leader who gave them more rights then at any other time in Yugoslavia’s history. In fact during the first decades of his rule Tito was nothing more than a typical Stalinist leader who employed many of the same policies that have made Stalin notorious in order to stay in power. Mock trials, arrests, beatings, executions, concentration camps, these were some of the methods Tito employed in order to consolidate his power and the Albanians were for a long time amongst the people at whom these methods were aimed. The shape of Communists Yugoslavia or Tito’s Yugoslavia was established in the Jalce Conference of November 1943, in a meeting of the so-called Second Anti-Fascist Council for the National Liberation of Yugoslavia. In this meeting the Communist leadership decided that the new Yugoslavia would be a federation based on the slogan “Brotherhood and Unity”; a federation which at least in theory recognized the right to self-determination 88 89 Malcolm 312. Judah 50. 36 and secession to all its people.90 This right however, did not extend to the Albanians in the federation. In 1945 Kosovo and Vojvodina (the region inhabited by Yugoslavia’s Hungarian minority) were granted the status of autonomous regions within the Republic of Serbia, but this new status did not mean much in reality. The overwhelming majority of the positions in the state and security apparatus continued to be controlled by Serbs and Montenegrins which meant that the Albanians continued to be second class citizens. The Albanians of Kosovo did feel betrayed, but there was not much they could do since even Albania proper was at the time contemplating joining Yugoslavia and Bulgaria in a Balkan Federation. Kosovo and Albania would then have been united in one republic within the framework of the federation (however correct or incorrect it might be, this is the view held by most Albanians). On the other hand Tito also took some measures aimed at placating the grievances of the Albanians of Kosovo. In 1945 he issued a provisional decree banning the return of Slav colonists to Kosovo.91 The Serbs have often criticized Tito for this decision, but in reality most of the colonists were eventually allowed to return to Kosovo. Another measure aimed at satisfying Albanian demands related to the use of the Albanian language. The opening of Albanian schools was allowed and Albanian was given an equal status with Serbian-Croat in official and legal matters.92 In this way Tito satisfied what had been a constant demand of the Albanians since the times of the League of Prizren. Due to a lack of teachers in Kosovo where the absolute majority of the population was still illiterate, some 50 teachers were recruited from Albania.93 This emphasized the good relations that existed between Yugoslavia and Albania at the time. In fact the Communist Party of Albania had largely been a product of the Yugoslav Communist Party and the Albanian Communists continued to be subservient to the Yugoslavs for a few years after the end of the war. The good relations between the two countries however 90 Judah 54. Malcolm 317. 92 Ibid. 318. 93 Ibid. 91 37 were not to continue for long and the fluctuations in these relations would often influence the way in which the Yugoslav authorities treated their Albanian population. In 1948 the Cominform, the successor to the Communist International expelled Yugoslavia from its ranks94. The plans for a Balkan Federation which would have turned Tito into a regional leader, thus challenging the position of Stalin were one of the main reasons for this break. Enver Hoxha the leader of the Albanian Communists saw his chance for breaking his dependency from Tito, whom he criticized among other things, for his policies in Kosovo.95 It was ironic that Yugoslavia should break with its traditional ally, the Russians, and that the Russians should now support Albania, whose creation they had tried so hard to prevent. Yugoslavia’s break with the Soviet Union meant that Yugoslavia achieved a privileged position with the Western Powers. For much of the duration of the Cold War Yugoslavia was actively supported by the West, especially the USA. The Albanians of Kosovo were simply not important enough for the West to intervene in their favor. On the other hand, at this time relations between Albania and Yugoslavia turned sour and the Kosovan Albanians were to suffer because of this. Thus the collectivization program which was bound to be unpopular in a mainly rural area such as Kosovo was speeded up. Furthermore the Yugoslav Communists now begun to view the Albanians of Kosovo with suspicion and started a campaign of oppression aimed at neutralizing any nationalist activity among them. These campaigns were conducted by the Yugoslav Secret Police, the ”Udba” led at the time by Aleksander Ranković who was also the Minister of Interior. Ranković was a Serb who viewed the Albanians as a people not to be trusted. It was he who initiated some of the worst campaigns of oppression in Kosovo,96 which entailed police raids, the cordoning off of whole villages, the beating of Albanian men under interrogation, trials of Albanians accused of spying and so forth. Only Milošević enjoys more notoriety among the Albanians of Kosovo than Ranković. The conditions that reigned in Kosovo forced many Albanians to emigrate. The authorities also did their part in encouraging the Albanians to leave. The Serb ideas of 94 95 Ibid. 320. Ibid. 38 changing the demographic composition of Kosovo by forcing the Albanians out had not simply vanished. Čubrilović for instance, the same Čubrilović who had proposed the mass expulsion of the Albanians in the interwar period, continued to be an influential person in Serbia, and he continued to advocate the same policies.97 The Yugoslav authorities in the 1950s also seem to have resolved to enforce the same policy. Of course, in the aftermath of the Holocaust, this could not be done in the same brutal fashion as before. A more subtle approach was needed. As in most other Communist countries, the Yugoslav authorities had also imposed restrictions on religion. While this was taking place the authorities also started to encourage the Muslims to identify themselves as Turks by nationality.98 The Kosovo authorities came under pressure from Serbia to encourage this process. The aim of all these became clear in 1953 when Yugoslavia signed a treaty with Turkey and Greece, which permitted the emigration of Yugoslav “Turks” to Turkey.99 The number of Albanians who left Kosovo in this manner has been estimated at 100,000 although exact numbers are hard to come by since many of those who left Yugoslavia were indeed Turks or Muslim Slavs. For the Albanians these were probably the hardest times they had to go through in Tito’s Yugoslavia. Not only had they to suffer under the heavy handed actions of the security forces, but their economic situation at the time was also very difficult. The Albanians of Kosovo were very much a rural population (and still are) and the collectivization program had left many of them without their traditional means of subsistence. The Serbs and Montenegrins continued to dominate the administration and the public sector. Although a mere 27 per cent of the population they occupied 68 per cent of the administrative positions in Kosovo.100 The rapid growth of the Albanian population of Kosovo, which still has the fastest growth rate in Europe, meant that ever greater numbers of people could not find employment. This in turn meant that the population of Kosovo became relatively poorer when compared to the other parts of Yugoslavia. For instance incomes in Slovenia were three times higher than in Kosovo in 96 Judah 34-36. Malcolm 322-323. 98 Ibid. 322. 99 Ibid. 97 39 1946 and five times higher in 1964.101 Most of the industry of Kosovo consisted in mining and exporting of minerals to other areas of Yugoslavia, whose finished products would then be sold in Kosovo. Most observers have the habit of referring to an ancient enmity between the Serbs and Albanians as the cause of the Kosovo tensions, but economical factors played just as important a role in alienating Kosovan Albanians from the Serbs. In 1963 Kosovan Albanians had to suffer another blow, this time a constitutional one. As if to add insult to injury the Constitution of 1963, which granted Kosovo the status of autonomous province, completely eliminated the status of Kosovo at the federal level and made it a function of the internal arrangements of the Republic of Serbia.102 But, although at the time it must have seemed impossible, things were about to take a turn for the better for the Albanians. The Albanians were not the only people in Yugoslavia who were not satisfied with the federal arrangements. The richest republics, Slovenia and Croatia had long been asking for a more decentralized system especially when it came to decisions on the economy. Tito seemed to be in favor of a more decentralized Yugoslavia as well and the principle of decentralization was to extend to the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina as well. During high level meetings in 1968 the Constitution of 1963 was amended and the provinces were granted all the prerogatives of the republics, apart from those tasks which were the concern of Serbia as a whole. These changes were preceded by the dismissal of Ranković, the much feared head of the Udba, and concessions to the Albanians.103 It was to be the beginning of the “honeymoon” between the Kosovan Albanians and Yugoslavia. The international situation at the time also helped the Albanians of Kosovo. In the aftermath of the Soviet invasion of Czechoslovakia, Tito, worried about a possible Soviet intervention in Yugoslavia, needed all the friends he could get. Enver Hoxha had also 100 Ibid. Ibid. 102 Ibid. 324. 103 Ibid. 101 40 broken away from the Soviet block and was also afraid of a possible Soviet invasion of his country. Thus the perfect conditions existed for a rapprochement between the two countries.104 The Albanians of Kosovo benefited the most from this thaw in relations while it lasted. In 1968, following the November demonstrations in Pristina, the authorities authorized the opening of the University of Pristina. This was to be a very important development for the Albanians of Kosovo. The nationalist elite of Kosovo which would lead the Albanians during the 1990s were mostly educated at this university. During the demonstrations of 1968 there were also calls for Kosovo to be made a republic. As one Albanian Communist leader pointed out, 370,000 Montenegrins had their Republic, while 1.2 million Albanians were denied it.105 There were two main reasons however behind the Yugoslav authorities’ refusal to grant Kosovo such a status. One of the reasons related to the Yugoslav constitution which regarded the Albanians as a nationality, defined as part of a nation separated from its own motherland, in this case Albania. Only nations had the right to form republics in Yugoslavia. A more relevant reason however related to Serbia. Granting Kosovo republic status would have been seen by them as the first step towards Kosovo’s secession from the federation, something that was simply unacceptable to most Serbs. But in any case even though Kosovo was not made a republic the Albanians’ status within the federation continued to improve. A new constitution in 1974 gave the two autonomous provinces, Kosovo and Vojvodina, a status almost equivalent to that of the republics (but not the right of secession). The two provinces were to enjoy direct representation at the federal level and they also won the right to make their own decisions on the economy as well as in some areas of foreign policy.106 But, although under this constitution Albanians of Kosovo won more rights then at any other time in Yugoslavia’s history, this new arrangement did not fully satisfy their demands. The new nationalist elite of Kosovo could not be satisfied with the status of autonomous province. There were ever increasing calls for Kosovo to be made a republic (although part of this elite, especially the Albanian Communist 104 105 Ibid. 325. Ibid. 41 leadership of Kosovo seems to have been satisfied with autonomy). The economical situation in Kosovo also contributed a further list of Albanian complaints. The opening of the University of Pristina meant that ever greater numbers of Albanian professionals were now competing with the Serbs for a limited job market. Although the imbalance in the public sector was to some extent corrected in favor of the Albanians, there were simply not enough jobs in order to satisfy the demands of both communities thus leading to a further polarization of Kosovo. As was to be expected the Serbs also had their own complaints concerning these new developments. The Albanians were not the only ones forced to leave Kosovo in search of a better future. Many Serbs were also forced to emigrate, mainly for economical reasons, but not only. There was also some evidence of the Serbs leaving Kosovo because of harassment by the Albanian authorities. Other Serb complaints related to the status of Kosovo as an autonomous province. The Serbs were not enthusiastic about the decentralization of the federation to begin with and they viewed the autonomy of Kosovo and Vojvodina as an attempt to curtail the power of Serbia within Yugoslavia. I can only speculate on Tito’s intentions for taking such a step, but granting Kosovo and Vojvodina autonomy and not doing the same for the Serb inhabited areas of Bosnia – Herzegovina or Croatia, makes this Serb complaint seem credible and in time the Constitution of 1974 came to be seen as another injustice suffered by the Serbs. However, as long as Tito lived nothing could be done about these Serb grievances, but in the 1980s, after Tito’s death, a new generation of nationalist leaders would come to the fore in Serbia (and the other federal units) which would harp on these complaints thus setting the stage for the carnage of the 1990s. The Constitution of 1974 was at the time viewed by most observers as an excellent example of how a multiethnic state should be organized. But in fact, this constitution had more or less sealed the destiny of Yugoslavia and made sure that the federation would not survive the death of Tito. The decentralization process had basically paralyzed the federal system. All eight federal units were now led by leaders that cared 106 Ibid. 327. 42 more about the entities they represented than the federation as a whole. In time, as one observer as noted, Tito was transformed into the only functioning institution in the federation.107 And as was to be expected when Tito died in 1980, he left behind a power vacuum. The main decision-making institution at the federal level was the federal presidency, made up of representatives from all eight federal units (the six republics plus the two provinces) who found it increasingly hard to agree on anything at all. This institutional crisis coincided with a deteriorating economical situation. As has been mentioned before, Yugoslavia had enjoyed good relations with the West and it had been able to borrow from Western countries in order to maintain the high living standards that set it apart from the rest of the Communist countries. Bad investments combined with an ever increasing fiscal burden due to the rocketing foreign debt which reached 23 billion dollars in 1980 (compared to 17 billion in 1979 and 6 billion in 1975)108 led to an increase in inflation and in the cost of living which meant that the dissatisfaction with the federation became ever greater in the 1980s.109 In this situation the leaders of the federal units resorted to using a radical nationalist propaganda as the most effective way for mobilizing their populations and achieving their goals thus setting the federation on the road to disintegration. Kosovo remained the least developed part of Yugoslavia although the federation had pumped billions of dollars into its economy. Most of the money had been invested in mining which was Kosovo’s main industry. These products however would then be sold at artificially established low prices to the other more developed regions thus leading to Albanian complaints that Kosovo was being exploited in order to keep the economy of the rich republics going. These were also times of an increasing political awareness for the Albanians of Kosovo. The elite of the Albanians had to some extent started to integrate in Yugoslavia, but as has already been mentioned, they were not satisfied with the status of Kosovo, which these elites saw as confirmation that the Albanians remained very much second-class citizens. As for the rest of the population, it would be hard to 107 Mirko Tepavac, Jugosllavia e Titos, Makthi Etnik i Jugosllavisë, ed. Jasminka Udovicki and James Ridgeway, trans. Arben Kallamata, (Tirana: Albin 1998) 69. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 108 Tepavac 73. 43 judge what they felt about the federation at the time, but the fact remains that there were almost no mixed Slav – Albanian marriages, which are always a good indicator of the inter-ethnic relations in any country. And as events were to show the Albanians had their grievances and these grievances were coming to a boiling point. In March of 1981 the student of the University of Pristina begun to demonstrate against the poor living conditions in the University. Initially the students were demanding better conditions, but not long afterwards the protests assumed a political dimension as well when the students started shouting slogans such as “Kosovo – Republic!” and even “Unification with Albania!” The police intervened, but did not manage to stop the demonstrations. In no time the protests spread all over Kosovo forcing the authorities to bring in the tanks and special police forces from Serbia, as well as enforce a curfew and a general state of emergency. Thousands of Albanians were detained and many had been killed although there is disagreement on the figures. The authorities claimed that 9 demonstrators had been killed, while Albanian sources insisted that up to 1000 people had lost their lives.110 The protests did not achieve much besides a change in the Communists leadership of Kosovo, but their long term effect was much greater. In the first place the demonstrations had shown that the Albanians had not given up on their demand for more power within the federation. The actions of the police contributed to a further alienation of the Albanian populations, although it must be said that most of the authorities and police forces that suppressed the demonstrations were themselves Albanians. Many of the future nationalist leaders of the Albanians of Kosovo participated in these demonstrations and many of them were imprisoned and received jail terms. But the demonstrations and their suppression had a much greater effect on the relations between the Serbs and Albanians. For the Serbs these protests only confirmed their fears that the Albanians were bent on secession; as for the Albanians, the Serbs were once again seen as the main obstacle on the road to republic status. Both parties started a series of publications 109 Slavko Curuvia and Ivan Torov, Marshimi drejt Luftës, Makthi Etnik i Jugosllavisë, ed. Jasminka Udovicki and James Ridgeway, trans. Arben Kallamata, (Tirana: Albin 1998) 74. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 110 Malcolm 335. 44 dealing with the history of Kosovo, usually seen in a nationalistic light and what Noel Malcolm has called a “culture of war” started to emerge. Serb complaints about alleged Albanian crimes against and harassment of the Kosovo Serbs during the 1970s and 80s (as well as during the Second World War) received ever more media coverage and support by distinguished Serb scholars and politicians. The best known example of this is probably the Memorandum of the Serb Academy of Arts and Sciences, known by its acronym SANU, which claimed that a strong Yugoslavia had been built at the expense of Serbia. This document also alleged that the Albanians had engaged in a “physical, political, juridical and cultural genocide” in Kosovo and echoed other Serb complaints, such as the claim that 200,000 Serbs had left Kosovo in the preceding two decades, although these figure was exaggerated and many Serbs had left because of the poor economical conditions and not because of Albanian harassment. The Memorandum concluded that the “integrity of the Serbian people must be the overriding concern of future (read: Serb) policy.111 References to the ancient enmity between the two people became common and the myth of Kosovo became active once more. It was in this situation of accusations and counter-accusations, of claims of victimization and national martyrdom that Milošević came to power in Serbia. Milošević’s rise to power begun quite accidentally. On the 24th of April 1987 Milošević went to speak to a crowd of angry Serbs in Kosovo Polje (Albanian: Fushë Kosovë) who were protesting about the situation of the Serbs in Kosovo. The crowd had asked to speak to the Serbian Party President, Stambolić, but afraid of the reception he might receive, Stambolić sent Milošević instead.112 During the meeting between Milošević and the spokesmen of the Serb crowd there were clashes between the Serb protesters and the police who used batons to disperse the protesters. Milošević broke off the meeting and addressed the crowd, uttering the phrase that made him a hero to the Serbs: “No one should dare to beat you!” Afterwards he went on to hold an eloquent speech in defense of the rights of the Serbs which was received with enthusiasm by the 111 112 Malcolm 340. Judah 52-53. 45 crowd. It was on that day that Milošević understood the power of nationalism; and it was also on that day that he understood that Kosovo offered him the best chance of coming to power. In the aftermath of the meeting of Kosovo Polje, Milošević by playing the nationalist card and by harping on the emotional attachment of the Serbs to Kosovo managed to overthrow his former boss and mentor Stambolić and assume power in Serbia by becoming president of the Serbian League of Communists.113 Milošević had thus exploited the grievances of the Serbs in order to come to power and he was widely seen by the Serb public as the person who could solve their problems. The two main complaints of the Serbs related to the position of Serbia in the federation and the alleged discrimination of the Serbs who did not live within Serbia, especially in Kosovo. In order to address these complaints, a sin non qua if Milošević wanted to increase his power, he needed to change the relations between Serbia and the federation. Milošević started doing this by removing the autonomy of Vojvodina. In order to achieve this he instigated protests by the Serbs of Vojvodina, who demanded the resignation of the Communist Party leadership in the province. This was relatively easy to do since the majority of Vojvodina’s inhabitants were Serbs. Furthermore these staged protests were widely perceived in the West as anti-Communist, thus making sure that there were no international complications for Milošević. The next step for Milošević was to install his supporters in Montenegro’s leadership, which was achieved in a very similar way as in Vojvodina and without many difficulties. Next on his list was Kosovo. Taking away the autonomy of Kosovo which was overwhelmingly Albanian was much harder to achieve. The way in which Milošević went about doing this however was very similar to what he had already done in Vojvodina. The first step was to remove the leadership of the Party in Kosovo and replace them with more compliant figures.114 This move caused mass protests by the Albanians, but Milošević countered this by holding mass rallies in Belgrade which gave legitimacy to this move. He then proceeded to amend Serbia’s constitution and limit Kosovo’s autonomy. Thus Serbia got control over Kosovo’s police, courts, civil defense, economic and educational policy, as well the 113 114 Malcolm 342. Ibid. 343. 46 power to choose an official language. The Albanians protested vehemently, but the Serbs responded by sending in troops, enforcing a state of emergency and arresting hundreds of people who had taken part in the protests. Then on the 23rd of March 1989 the constitution was amended, thus reducing Kosovo’s autonomy to a mere token.115 This move caused mass protests by the Albanians, but as usual the police reacted in a heavy handed way, by killing tens and arresting thousands. Milošević had triumphed, at least in the short term. By getting control of the two provinces and Montenegro Milošević controlled four of the eight votes in the federal presidency, a situation which the other republics could not accept. Furthermore there were fears that Milošević was planning to follow the same policy in Croatia and Bosnia as well. Events were to prove these fears true and it is for this reason that one can safely say that the wars of the disintegration of Yugoslavia begun in Kosovo. These wars, first in Slovenia and then in Croatia and Bosnia, brought Yugoslavia once more to the attention of the International Community. The international situation though had changed dramatically since the times when the West was ready to forgive Yugoslavia anything as long as it remained out of the Soviet sphere of influence. With the end of the Cold War Yugoslavia had ceased to be a factor of strategic importance for the West. The cheap loans that had kept the Yugoslav economy going had dried up and the failed transition to democracy meant that the West was ever less supportive of the country. But at the same time, although in 1990 the CIA had already warned of the possible disintegration of Yugoslavia,116 the Western powers were caught unprepared by the wars and simply reacted to the events, rather than trying to prevent or influence them in any way. Initially the West was adamant that Yugoslavia should remain intact. Soon afterwards however, because of the situation on the ground the West decided to recognize the independence of the breakaway republics. One thing that had changed in the meanwhile was that the Serbs were by then widely perceived as the aggressors. Slovenia was the first of the republics to break away: then came Croatia. The images of Dubrovnik in flames and of the carnage in Vukovar led the West to recognize Croatia’s 115 Ibid. 343-344. 47 independence, but if this was meant to stop the war in Yugoslavia, the West was in for a surprise. Croatia’s independence put Bosnia before an impossible choice: independence (which entailed war with the Serbs) or remaining part of the Yugoslav Federation (which entailed submission to the Serbs), or as the former Bosnian president Aliya Izetbegović put it, “a choice between leukemia and brain tumor.”117 Bosnia chose independence and we all know the consequences of that. 200,000 plus killed or murdered, concentration camps, rapes, tortures, ethnic cleansing and so forth. The International Community proved unable to stop the wars, although they imposed sanctions on Serbia and even intervened militarily. It was only in 1995, when the Bosnian Serbs were starting to lose ground to the Muslim-Croat forces and after NATO had started to attack the Bosnian Serb forces from the air that the three parties were forced to come to the negotiating table. Milošević played an important in the war, as well as in ending it. He had done much to incite the violence, support the Bosnian Serbs and he also represented the Serbian interests in the Dayton peace talks which brought the war to an end. The irony was that Milošević emerged as a factor of peace in the Balkans while he was probably more responsible than anyone else for starting the war. While the rest of Yugoslavia was in flames, the situation in Kosovo remained relatively quiet. There had been demonstrations until the spring of 1990, but after these had stopped the province seemed strangely peaceful. It seemed as if the Albanians had accepted the new situation which had turned Kosovo into nothing less than a Serbian colony. Many people found this hard to understand, given the martial record of the Albanians. The Serbs enforced a whole range of measures aimed at consolidating their control of the province and making life hard for the Albanians. The police, the health system and the media were put under Serb control, the University of Pristina was also completely controlled by the Serbs and the Albanian pupils had to study under the same education program as in Serbia. Most Albanians who held jobs in the public sector where fired (up to 100,000) and there was continual police harassment. Albanians would be 116 Makthi Etnik i Jugosllavisë, ed. Jasminka Udovicki and James Ridgeway, trans. Arben Kallamata, (Tirana: Albin 1998) 4. All subsequent quotations are to this edition. 48 called to appear for “informative talks” by the police and would then be beaten and tortured, sometimes resulting in death.118 The authorities also took some measures aimed at changing the demographic composition of Kosovo, such as banning the sale of Serbian houses and land to the Albanians and as the wars in Croatia and Bosnia went on the authorities also started to settle Serb refugees in Kosovo. To make a long story short, the Albanians had lost everything they had gained in the previous five decades and the Serbs had effectively enforced a colonial system in the province. So how can one explain this Albanian passivity in the face of a brutal discrimination by the Serbs? Well, there were practical reasons for this. The Albanians were simply not prepared for a war. They did not have any weapons and in any case before the war begun in Croatia, any war they might have started would have been a war against the mighty Yugoslavia and would have not been supported by the International Community. But there was also another more important reason: the Albanians had chosen peaceful resistance as the way to achieve their aims. This was the merit of the Democratic League of Kosovo and its leader, Ibrahim Rugova who is also known as the Gandhi of the Balkans. The League, known by its Albanian acronym LDK, was founded on December 1989.119 From the beginning the LDK decided that any armed resistance would have been suicidal and that they stood a better chance of success if they presented the situation to the world as one of aggression by a Communist regime and mainly a problem of human rights violations. The LDK judged that Kosovo’s demography and Western support would eventually force the Serbs out of Kosovo. They also realized that for as long as the Belgrade regime treated Kosovo as a colony, the future of Serbia itself would remain inextricably linked to the Kosovo issue: Serbia would never become a proper democracy and it would never be fully accepted by the International Community as long as the human rights violations in Kosovo continued. That is not to say that Rugova did 117 Ejub Stitkovac and Jasminka Udovicki, Bosnja dhe Herecegovina: Lufta e Dytë, Makthi Etnik i Jugosllavisë, ed. Jasminka Udovicki and James Ridgeway, trans. Arben Kallamata, (Tirana: Albin 1998) All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 170 118 Judah 84. 119 Ibid. 84. 49 not believe in peaceful resistance, because he did, but these were the arguments used to convince the ordinary Albanians that starting a war would not have been in their interest. At the same time the LDK needed to show the world that the Albanians had not accepted the authority of the Serb regime and that the Albanians were ready for independence. That is why the LDK begun setting up a parallel system of governance in Kosovo. This system, financed by a voluntary tax on the earnings of Kosovo Albanians, consisted of a parallel parliament, a government in exile, an education and health system. The education and health systems were probably the most important achievements of the LDK since both the public health and educational systems were completely controlled by the Serbs. On the other hand, the LDK also tried to show to the world what was going on in Kosovo and attract Western support. However, given the circumstances the LDK’s experiment was bound to fail. The West never offered them anything more than moral support. The position of the International Community on Kosovo was that it was an integral part of Serbia, which meant that there was no support for the Albanians’ (and the LDK’s) demand for independence. In any case, in the first half of the 1990s the International Community had its hands full in Bosnia and Croatia. They wrongly assumed that Kosovo would remain peaceful indefinitely and that they could deal with any problems when they presented themselves. It was partly for this reasons that the West completely ignored Kosovo during the Dayton peace talks in 1995. This was a severe blow to the LDK and its policy of peaceful resistance. Although Dayton was meant to bring to an end the war in Bosnia and Croatia, the Albanians had hoped that there would have been some discussions on the future of Kosovo as well. In the meantime the LDK had to face an ever growing opposition from more radical groups in Kosovo who were calling for armed resistance. The message these groups and most Kosovo Albanians got from Dayton was that only brute force could achieve the Albanians’ aims and that as long as they remained peaceful the world would do nothing to help them.120 Starting from 1996 an organization known as the Kosovo Liberation Army or simply the KLA (known in Albanian by its acronym UÇK) started organizing small scale attacks on the Serb authorities and police and Albanian collaborators. The news of the 120 Ibid. 125-126. 50 emergence of this organization caused confusion among the Albanians, Serbs as well as the International Community, but in any case it was thought that the KLA could not do more than organize a few terrorist type attacks. No one expected the situation to escalate as quickly as it did. Neither did the KLA. The KLA however was helped by the events that took place in 1997 in Albania however, where the country fell into anarchy following the collapse of the financial schemes where most Albanians had invested their savings. Beginning from March of 1997 the Albanian Army disintegrated and angry crowds looted hundreds of thousands of weapons and tons of ammunition from the army depots. Large quantities of these found their way to Kosovo, thus solving the KLA’s biggest problem: securing weapons in order to carry out their war. By the spring of 1998 thanks in part to the heavy handed response of the Serb police and armed forces to the KLA provocations the situation in Kosovo had flared up into a fully fledged war thus finally drawing the attention of the International Community on the situation in Kosovo. The irony of it all is that without the KLA (which was in many respects a modern kaçak movement) and its use of violence instead of politics, the situation in Kosovo would have probably remained the same as in the early 1990s. Part of the KLA strategy from the beginning seems to have been to draw NATO into the conflict. Most Western politicians and statesmen insisted that they would not support the KLA’s goal of an independent Kosovo (let alone creating a Greater Albania, which initially was the stated goal of the KLA). But the KLA had learned its lesson from the wars in Croatia and Bosnia. When the war in Croatia broke out the Western countries had insisted that the integrity of Yugoslavia had to be preserved, but they had eventually changed their mind. Most of the KLA leadership believed that the West would probably come to the same conclusion on Kosovo as well and if they did not, well, the KLA would have to fight out to the end. The KLA had plans for a long drawn out war as well, but 51 they hoped that the brutal actions of the Serb forces would force the West to intervene in order to stop the war.121 And the Serbs duly obliged the KLA. A string of massacres which received a lot of publicity and media coverage in the West forced the USA and the European Union countries to get ever more deeply involved in the Kosovo conflict. With the experience of Bosnia in mind none of these countries could afford to turn a blind eye to Kosovo. Furthermore, the Kosovo conflict carried with it the potential of destabilizing Macedonia as well, which was the nightmare scenario for the West. A conflict in Macedonia, which also has a large Albanian minority, could potentially have drawn other Balkan countries and more significantly Greece and Turkey, into the conflict. Negotiations and sanctions failed to find a solution. In the meantime the KLA kept on provoking the Serb forces and the Serb forces kept on killing innocent Albanian civilians, burning whole villages and expelling people from their houses. The turning point came in January 1999 when 45 Albanian civilians were killed in the village of Raçak. The Kosovo Verification Mission of the OSCE, whose competence it was to observe and report on the human rights violations in Kosovo blamed the Serb Army for the massacre.122 One month later, under intense international pressure, both the Serbs and Albanians were forced to come to the negotiating table in Rambouille, in the vicinity of Paris. The Conference of Rambouillet itself is beyond the scope of this paper, but suffice it here to say that the Albanian delegation signed the agreement on the table, while the Serb delegation refused. The Serb refusal then opened the way for NATO to intervene and 78 days later the Albanians of Kosovo found themselves once more free of Serbian rule and closer to realizing their goal of independence than at any other time in their history. For a detailed account of the rise of the KLA and its strategy look at Tim Judah’s Kosovo: War and Revenge, (Yale Nota Bene, 2002). 122 Ibid. 193-194. 121 52 C hapter 3 The previous chapters dealt with two decisive moments in the modern history of Kosovo which, although similar in many respects, had very different outcomes. The first moment was that of the conquest/liberation of Kosovo by the Serbs during the First Balkan War, which sealed its destiny for the best part of the 20th century. The second dealt with another important moment in 1999, some 87 years later, at the end of what has sometimes been called the Third Balkan War, when Kosovo was once more liberated, this time from Serb rule or as the Serbs probably see it, conquered from them. In both cases there was a conflict between the Serbs and Albanians and intervention or interference from the International Community. In both cases the conflict between the Serbs and Albanians was characterized by gross violations of human rights, massacres, expulsions, torture, rape and so forth, as reported by the First Commission on the Balkans founded by the Carnegie Endowment in the first moment, and by the UN, the OSCE and the media in the second. In both cases these crimes were mainly perpetrated by the Serb authorities and army who were in a much stronger position than the Albanians (the differences were quantitative rather than qualitative in nature) and yet the International Community responded in very different ways to these conflicts. In the aftermath of the First Balkan War the crimes committed by the Serbs hardly played a role in the decision - making of the Great Powers who recognized the Serb claim on Kosovo while in 1999 the International Community intervened in favor of the Albanians in order (among other things) to stop the Serbs from committing any more crimes. So how can one account for these very different responses and outcome to what is basically the same conflict? Not much has changed in the relations between the Serbs and the Albanians that much is clear. That is why in order to find the answer to that question one must look at the International Community, to their perceptions of the conflict and the Balkans in both cases and to the rules or rather to the changes in the rules of international politics that have taken place between 1912 and 1999. The logical starting point for any analysis attempting to provide an explanation for this must be the rivalry between the Serbs and Albanians in Kosovo. After all it was due to their conflict that the International Community became involved in Kosovo, which 53 otherwise would in all probability have remained a quiet backwater in a corner of the Balkans. As shown in the previous chapters the rivalry between these two neighboring people goes back a long way. Both Albanians and Serbs have claimed Kosovo as their own since the late 19th century and the passage of time has not brought about a great change to these claims. The Albanians claim it because, as the argument goes, they are and have always been the majority in Kosovo and the Serbs claim it because of historical and spiritual reasons. Kosovo was the heart of the medieval Serb Empire, it was the centre of the Serb Orthodox Church and most importantly of all for the Serb nationalist discourse it was the scene of the Battle of Kosovo. In their eyes the Albanians were latecomers who profited from the misfortunes of the Serbs during the centuries of Ottoman rule in order to gain the majority in Kosovo. Both people believe in their respective claims and in the name of these beliefs, as well as for economical and social reasons, they have time and again fought each other. The dynamics of their conflict since 1912 have also been the same. The Albanians would rebel against Serb rule and the Serbs would crack down on them heavy handedly. The tactics used by the Serb Army in 1912 and those used by Slobodan Milošević in the 1990s were basically the same. The perception the Serbs and the Albanians of Kosovo have of each other have also remained the same. Ethnic and religious differences have reinforced the view that history has meant them to be enemies. There is a lot of hatred between the two people and if there have been periods of peaceful coexistence these have been imposed on them, as for instance during Tito’s rule when nationalism was harshly suppressed. Nevertheless there are some changes as well. During the conflict of 1998-99 the Albanians were dealing with a very different Serbia than in 1912, when the Serb Kingdom had enjoyed the full support of Russia and France, two of the Great Powers of the time. In 1998-99 on the other hand Serbia had been weakened economically by years of fighting and sanctions imposed on it and more importantly of all by that time Serbia had already become a pariah in the eyes of the International Community because of the crimes committed in Croatia and Bosnia and also because of these wars it was perceived as the main threat to the stability of the Balkans. Even the Russians, Serbia’s traditional allies, were no longer able or willing to offer Belgrade their unreserved support. It would have also been hard for the ordinary 54 Serbs in the 1990s to support Serb rule in Kosovo with the same zeal and enthusiasm they had greeted Kosovo’s incorporation in Serbia in 1912 and the abrogation of its autonomy in the late 1980s. By 1998 due to a number of factors, the Serbs although still very much emotionally attached to Kosovo, had started to realize that the price they had to pay for keeping Kosovo was probably too high. The demographic balance had radically shifted in favor of the Albanians who made up some ninety percent of the population in the province and try as they might the Serbs had proved powerless to change that in their favor. Indeed there were fears, in my view unfounded that within a few decades there would have been more Albanians than Serbs in the rump Yugoslavia. During the 1990s it had also become clear that the future of Serbia itself was inextricably linked to the Kosovo question. It just seemed impossible for Serbia to become a proper democratic country and to be integrated in Europe for as long as the problem of Kosovo had not been solved. It was because of these considerations that the Serbs’ attitude on Kosovo begun to change by the late 1990s. Slowly the idea that something had to change in Kosovo, for the better or the worst, started to win some ground in Serbia. That is not to say that the Serbs supported the Albanians’ aim of independence however, far from it. In fact so strong was the Serb attachment to Kosovo that many ordinary Serbs seemed to have no qualms with Milošević’s policy of cracking down on the KLA by killing civilians and burning whole villages and even his policy of expelling the Albanians from Kosovo. In any case if the Belgrade regime and those who supported such policies had hoped to solve the Kosovo problem in this way, they were gravely mistaken. The conflict in Kosovo came after years of war in Croatia and Bosnia which had shocked the public opinion especially in the West with their brutality. The West still nourished feelings of guilt for not being able to prevent or stop in time the wars in Croatia and especially in Bosnia. That is why, by trying to solve the Kosovo problem by force instead of negotiation, the Serb regime that had already been perceived as the aggressor in the aforementioned wars, further undermined its own position and basically turned Serbia into an outcast. This was exactly what the leadership of the Albanians of Kosovo had hoped for. 55 It should be said that by 1998-99 important changes had taken place among the Albanians of Kosovo as well. In 1912 the Albanians of Kosovo had suffered from the lack of a political leadership. The leaders of the resistance to the Serb occupation during the First Balkan War as well as in the period between the two world wars had been military men or local lords who had never been able to present a united front to the Serbs in Kosovo. Furthermore they had never been able to gain any significant support from any of the Great Powers, whether because of their religion or because of they were perceived as supporters of the Turks. In 1998-99 the situation was very different. During the period when Kosovo had been autonomous, the Albanians had been able to create their own national elite. The role of the University of Pristina in this development has already been noted. It was this elite that was able to clearly formulate the aims of the Albanians of Kosovo and provide them with an adequate political leadership after Milošević took away Kosovo’s autonomy and reduced Kosovo to a mere Serbian colony. This new leadership was mature enough to realize that the Albanians would not stand a chance in an armed confrontation with the Serbs. They realized that the only way for the Albanians to gain self-rule was by winning the support of the International Community. The way in which they went about achieving this showed very clearly how politically sophisticated the Albanians of Kosovo had become. The mere fact that the LDK was led by Ibrahim Rugova, a Sorbonne educated professor of literature, was enough to show how far the Albanians had come from the times when only the guns did the talking. It was Rugova who formulated the policy that would bring the Kosovan Albanians’ problem to the attention of the International Community. He correctly understood the international situation at the time and realized that the best way to gain support for the Albanian cause was by presenting the situation as one of human rights violations by a chauvinistic, Communist regime. His policy of peaceful resistance, the product of idealistic and pragmatic considerations, did indeed achieve much in this respect. In the absence of a violent Albanian resistance the actions of the Belgrade regime in the province appeared to be simply malicious and gave many political leaders in the West the impression that Milošević had imposed an apartheid regime in Europe, which was to some extent the case. As many Serbs have since complained, by falling into this trap, the Milošević regime made sure that any complaints the Serbs had had about 56 discrimination and abuse at the hands of the Albanian authorities of the Autonomous Province of Kosovo in the 1970s and 80s were completely forgotten. In any case, for all the actions and claims of the Serbs and Albanians their success or failure in Kosovo remained to a large degree dependent on the support or lack of support by the International Community. In 1912 the Serb Kingdom had been able to conquer/liberate Kosovo, but they still needed the support of Russia and France and the approval of the other Great Powers in order for the conquest to be recognized. In the same way, in 1998-99 the Albanians needed the support of the International Community if they were to have any hope of success in Kosovo. That is why one must concentrate on the International Community in order to explain the different outcomes to these two moments in the history of Kosovo. And, as anyone who has even some basic knowledge of history and of the Balkans knows the international politics and the importance of the Balkans and Kosovo to the International Community have changed radically in the course of the 20th century. The question is how these changes have affected Kosovo. The recognition of the Serb conquest of Kosovo during the First Balkan War by the Great Powers was one of the last episodes in a period of international relations which stretched back to the beginning of the post-Napoleonic era in the early 19th century and which would come to an end with the First World War in 1914. In the aftermath of the Napoleonic Wars the Great Powers set up the so-called Concert of Europe whose main aim was to maintain peace and security in Europe through the co-operation of the powers. Any decisions or disagreements between the Great Powers were to be solved in concert through negotiations and consultations. This would also be the way in which decisions on possible territorial rearrangements would be made, by agreement between the powers and not by applying the principle of nationality or ethnicity.123 When dealing with the Balkans, and the Ottoman Empire in general for that matter (the so-called Eastern Question) the Great Powers found it hard to come to terms with each other because of the strategic importance of the region and also because the Balkans were the area in which the interests of Russia and Austria-Hungary clashed directly. 123 Rich 31-38. 57 Russia, because of the sympathy it enjoyed among the Orthodox and Slavic populations of the Balkans and because of its geographical location, was the country better placed to take advantage of the weakness of the “Sick Man of Europe” but doing so would undoubtedly have taken Russia into a collision course with the other Great Powers. The Austrian-Hungarian Empire also saw the Balkans as a potential area for expansion, but due to its internal weakness, the actions of the Dual Monarchy were confined mostly to thwarting Russia’s attempts at increasing its dominance and influence in the Balkans. In this the Austrians were for quite some time supported by Great Britain and France who had gone to war against Russia in Crimea in order to prevent the destruction of the Ottoman Empire, and by Germany who saw in Austria its only reliable ally. Faced with such strong opposition to their expansionist plans the Russians resorted to controlling the Balkans by proxy. In this the Russians were greatly helped by the situation that reigned in the Balkans. During the 19th and early 20th centuries the Balkans had witnessed the emergence of independent states with radical expansionist nationalist ideologies who also entertained their own ambitions of expanding at the expense of the Ottoman Empire. Both Russia and to a lesser extent Austria resorted to supporting these emerging Balkan powers in order to further their own influence. By the end of the 19th century the Serbs were probably Russia’s main ally in the region and the Serb expansion in the Balkans was viewed by the Tsarist Empire as a way of increasing its own influence in the area, to the detriment of the Austrians. Seen in this light the recognition of the Serb claim to Kosovo and its subsequent annexation does not seem as strange any more. The Serb Kingdom was a much greater and consolidated power than the Albanians and, also because of this they enjoyed more Great Power support than the Albanians did. Another factor that helped the Serbs was the recognition by the Powers of the right of conquest which was one of the main pillars of the international system of the time. The Serb had emerged victorious from the First Balkan War and this fact had to be taken into account by the Great Powers. Furthermore, by 1912-13 even Great Britain had come to see the Central Powers (Germany and Austria) and not Russia as the greatest threat to European security.124 The 124 Ibid. 446-448. 58 creation of a strong Serbian state on the southern boarders of the Central Powers, as the argument went, was just a way of checking their power. But even Austria and Italy, the two powers that had more to lose from a Slavic expansion in the Balkans were mainly concerned with the littoral of the Adriatic Sea and not so much with the hinterland of the Balkans. The Austrians and Italians were able to obtain an independent Albania (Albania was at the time referred to as the child of Austrian diplomacy with Italy acting as the midwife) and thus prevent Serbia from securing an outlet in the Adriatic. As for Kosovo, well you win some and you lose some. It was in this way that Kosovo came to be a part of Serbia. The Albanians have long seen the decision of the London Conference of Ambassadors as one of the greatest injustices ever done to any people. This was also the reason why most ordinary Albanians saw the NATO intervention of 1999 as nothing more than the rectification of an historical injustice suffered by them in 1912-1913. Had they paid any attention to the dynamic of the events that resulted in the intervention however, they would have realized that the rectification of historical injustices was the last thing on the minds of the Western statesmen responsible for the intervention, far from it. If there was one thing the West tried to prevent in the Balkans, it was the change of the boarders established in the aftermath of the First Balkan War and the First World War. This, they feared, given the situation in the Balkans, where every country and ethnic group nourishes dreams of being “greater” would open a Pandora’s box and greatly threaten the security of the whole region. But intervene they did and although none of the powers of the International Community supported the Albanians’ aim of an independent Kosovo, they must have realized that if the Serb army and police left Kosovo as a result of the intervention, there would probably be no going back, at least not as far as the Albanians were concerned. So how can one explain this apparent contradiction between the insistence of the West to prevent the change of boarders in the Balkans on the one hand and the intervention which basically made sure that there would be a change of boarders on the other? Once again one must look at the overall situation in the international relations in the 1990s and the general situation in the Balkans. The conflict in Kosovo came after years of wars in the former Yugoslavia that the International Community, or to be more precise the West, had proved unable to prevent. As has previously been mentioned, 59 because of the wars in Croatia and Bosnia, the Serbs had already been stigmatized as the aggressors, thus making it easier for the West to identify more with the Albanians who, also because of the leadership of Rugova and his pacifist resistance, were seen as a people suffering under the oppression of what was perceived as the last Communist bastion in Europe (besides Byelorussia). On the one hand, because of the Communist character of the Serb regime and because of Serbia’s traditional ties to Russia, one can say that the actions of the West (led by the USA) were motivated by geo-political considerations. The Cold War might have been over, but it was not so easily forgotten. The USA and the West in general, as the victors of that war were simply trying to press home their advantage and remove the last vestiges of Communism from Europe. Furthermore, by weakening Milošević and Serbia the West was also diminishing Russian influence as such in the Balkans. Milošević’s relations with Boris Yeltsin (the president of the Russian Federation at the time of the intervention) might not have been good, but Russia did nevertheless see what was left of Yugoslavia as its only remaining partner in a region that had traditionally occupied an important place in Russia’s geo-political considerations. With the benefit of hindsight, given the role of the West, especially the USA in the revolutions in Georgia and Ukraine, one can safely assume that the aforementioned geo-political considerations did play a role in the decision-making of the Western statesmen. In other words, what had happened was that the positions of the Serbs and Albanians of Kosovo vis-à-vis the Great Powers had been reversed. If in 1912-1919 as well as during the Second World War, the Albanians had chosen their allies on the loosing side (Turkey, Germany, Austria), in the 1990s it was the Serbs who chose the wrong allies (although if one were to judge the worth of one’s allies by the help they provide, especially in times of war, one can say that Milošević and Serbia had no allies at all). Another consideration that weighed heavily in the minds of Western leaders and that undoubtedly did play a part in bringing about the air-strikes, related to Western fears that if the conflict in Kosovo was allowed to escalate, it had the potential to destabilize the whole region. First of all Albania proper was just emerging from a long period of total chaos following the rebellion of 1997. In September of 1998 there was a coup attempt in Tirana led by the ousted Albanian president which was also supported by 60 Kosovan Albanians, which as rumors in Tirana had it at the time, were loyal to the Kosovan Albanian prime minister in exile. This was probably seen as the first signal that Western fears of a much larger conflagration in the Balkans were being proven true. Furthermore if the war in Kosovo dragged on, the considerable Albanian minority in Macedonia (a quarter to a third of the population) who nourished its own grievances would sooner or later join their Kosovan brethren in their fight. KLA statements, claiming that the KLA was fighting for the unification of all Albanian lands did nothing to diminish these fears. The threat emanating from Macedonia was taken very seriously indeed. Parts of Macedonia had long been claimed by Serbia, Albania, Greece and Bulgaria and it was thought that all these countries would in one form or another intervene if there was a war in Macedonia, but more importantly there were fears that Turkey would not have simply stood by in case of a Greek intervention in Macedonia. Thus the Kosovo conflict could conceivably have caused a Balkan war on a much greater scale than the wars in the former Yugoslavia as well as a war between two NATO member countries125. These fears and the aforementioned geo-political considerations did undoubtedly influence the West into taking a more active role in Kosovo. For all the fears and geo-political considerations of the West however it would have been hard for NATO to go to war only on these grounds. Such an action would simply have been unacceptable and illegal. After all the UN Charter guarantees the inviolability of boarders of the UN’s member states as long as these states do not engage in an aggressive war or as long as they do not directly threaten the security of other countries. Kosovo, for all its destabilizing potential was simply an internal matter of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia and according to the UN Charter as long as Yugoslavia did not attack another country no one had the right to intervene, at least not without receiving the blessing of the UN Security Council. The sanctity of the sovereignty of states has been the main organizing principle of the international law system since the times of the Peace of Westphalia in 1648, but in the 1990s this doctrine was being challenged by what has sometimes been called the “internationalization of Human Rights.” James A. Baker, “Flashpoint in the Balkans: Drawing the Line in Macedonia”, Los Angeles Times, 30/04/1995. <http://www.hri.org/news/forpapers/95-04-30.frp>. 125 61 The doctrine of human rights has played a significant role in the course of the 19 th and 20th centuries. Many of the struggles and wars fought during these centuries were fought in the name of such rights (one has but to remember the anti-colonialism wars of the 1950, 70s and 80s) and they have steadily gained in importance as illustrated by the Universal Declaration of Human Rights of the UN in 1948 and a host of other declarations and conventions.126 For most of this time (before and after the foundation of the UN) however the way in which a government treated its subject populations was considered a matter of sovereign domestic jurisdiction and the International Community and individual states were considered to be under international legal obligations not to intervene in such matters. The role of the UN for instance consisted in setting the standards for the member countries to follow.127 Human rights were not considered as a subject of legitimate international concern. Seen in this light it becomes clearer why the Great Powers of 1912-13 did not even take into account the crimes of the Serbs in Kosovo when they made the decision on the future of the province. In the aftermath of the Second World War however human rights gradually became more important at an international level (because of the crimes committed by the Nazis it became clear that something had to change) and from then on there has been a gradual shift in focus from standard setting toward implementation, but unfortunately the International Community still does not have the legal instruments for enforcing these rights, with the exception of those cases when a government in engaged in genocide. The main obstacle standing in the way of universal implementation was of course sovereignty, and the rights which flow forth from this concept. In the post-Cold War international system however, there has been a more determined effort aimed at limiting the power of sovereign states in cases of severe human rights abuses. In other words there should be limits to what a government can do to the population or populations living within their territory without facing the risk of international intervention or interference. The increasing importance of human rights in international politics was clearly shown by the efforts to create an International Criminal Court, for instance. The creation of the court clearly illustrates another important aspect 126 Jack Donnelly, What Are Human Rights, 21 March, 2006. <http://usinfo.state.gov/products/pubs/hrintro/donnelly>. 62 of the human rights doctrine: governments can be held accountable for abusing the human rights of their subjects. The two doctrines, sovereignty and human rights, were bound to clash. After all sovereignty can provide oppressive regimes of all sorts with a guarantee that they will be allowed to carry on massacres and ethnic cleansing with impunity as long as they do not attack another country. All that the International Community can legally do is negotiate and try to convince such regimes through economic incentives or the threat and imposition of sanctions to change their ways. I cannot, however, think of many instances when this has happened. And in any case, as far as Kosovo was concerned, by 1999 it had become sufficiently clear that Milošević had turned the negotiations into a parody and that he had never really respected any agreement on Kosovo. Intervention was the only choice left to the West. Critics of the intervention have long argued that such action on the part of NATO was bound to destabilize the entire foundation of the international system. After all if NATO reserved itself the right to intervene, who was to stop China, Russia or any other alliance from undertaking interventions of their own? There is validity to these arguments of course, but at the same time this criticism begs the question: what was then to be done? The Security Council would certainly have vetoed any attempts at bombing Yugoslavia. For two of the permanent members of the Council, Russia and China, such action would have been unthinkable. Human rights and humanitarian intervention in their eyes were but a new Western ploy aimed at expanding Western influence and furthermore both countries, because of internal reasons of their own (Chechnya, Tibet, Taiwan) were bound to oppose an intervention (which could result in secession) that could set a dangerous precedent for them. According to some scholars the West should have done nothing, and supposedly this would have been much better than intervening.128 I agree that when one judges things from the comfortable detachment of his office, this might 127 Ibid. 63 indeed seem like the best solution, but I do not think that the victims (in this case the Albanians of Kosovo) whom the intervention was trying to save see things in this light. And in any case, for the West though the intervention was perfectly legitimate, although it was not sanctioned by the Security Council. It derived its legitimacy from the West’s “common post-modern moral values.”129 As Fisher, the German foreign minister at the time put it, “in this case history and morality trumped traditional principles of state sovereignty and nonintervention.130 Two words in Fisher’s statement provide the key to understanding what were in my view, the most significant reasons for the intervention: history and morality. Both allude to the Second World War and the Europe that rose from its ashes. It was a Europe that had repudiated wars of territorial expansion and ethnic cleansing. Europe was badly discredited by its inability to stop the Bosnian War which was a war of expansion and ethnic cleansing. It could simply not afford to do the same in Kosovo. With the end of the Cold War the USA had also become much more active in the promotion of human rights throughout the world. Indeed one could say that the promotion of human rights had become one of the pillars of American foreign policy. True, the Americans had often supported undemocratic and criminal regimes (and unfortunately they still do, as for instance in Saudi Arabia, Egypt, etc) during the Cold War when the USA’s main preoccupation was to contain the Soviet Union. It was because of this legacy that the American claims that the intervention in Kosovo was aimed at bringing to an end the human rights abuses of the Belgrade regime sounded hypocritical to many. But with the end of the Cold War, the sole remaining superpower, could allow itself the luxury of promoting human rights for the sake of human rights. As one author put it: the tradeoffs between security and ethics became less stark, and a moral foreign policy seemed more affordable.”131 Western claims that the war against Yugoslavia was being fought in the name of human rights were in fact hard to believe for many people. Instead many have pointed out For a detailed account of this view look at Noam Comsky’s “Nato Master of the World”, Le Monde Diplomatique, 02 May 1999. <http://mondediplo.com/1999/05/02chomsky>. 129 Robert Kagan, “Renewing US Legitimacy”, Foreign Affairs, March/APRIL 2004. 75. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 130 Kagan 74. 128 64 to the geo-political interests of the West as the main casus belli. The Western claims of intervening on humanitarian grounds, the argument went, were simply a façade behind which hid the real, geo-political interests the Western powers had in the region. This is a view shared by many in Serbia as well as in the rest of the world. After all wars have traditionally been fought for territorial expansion or the expansion of influence, for geopolitical interests, for the domination of trade routes, markets and resources and as the argument goes the attack on Yugoslavia was no different. I do agree that this was indeed the case in the first moment in the history of Kosovo this paper deals with, but when it comes to the intervention of 1999 I have reason to believe that such arguments belong to the realm of conspiracy theories. By the end of the 20th century and especially with the end of the Cold War Yugoslavia lost most of its value to the West. Furthermore Kosovo does not have oil, it does not control any important trade routes and it was not an important market by any standards. As for diminishing Russian influence in the Balkans, even if the West had not moved a finger the Milošević regime could not have survived much longer and the Serbs now days are more EU than Russian oriented. In fact it can be said that NATO’s intervention granted the Milošević regime a new lease on life. Of all the consideration and alleged motivations for going to war against Yugoslavia, besides the humanitarian ones, only the fears of the Kosovo conflict expanding beyond the boarders of Yugoslavia seem credible. Critics have often pointed out to Chechnya or Rwanda or a host of other conflicts and the West’s failure to intervene as proof that the West had some hidden agenda fore intervening in Kosovo. I respectfully disagree. Intervening in Chechnya would have been simply too costly and carried with it the risk of a Third World War. Rwanda on the other hand, was of no strategic importance whatsoever, but furthermore it would have been hard for the West to intervene in any case. NATO had something to bomb in Yugoslavia and the Serbs had a lot to lose. Not so in Rwanda. Furthermore an intervention in Rwanda would have required ground forces something neither the Europeans nor the Americans were willing to do. The war against Yugoslavia was fought from 5000 meters high in the air hence the risks, and the costs, were minimal. Leslie Gelb and Justine Rosenthal, “Morality and Foreign Policy”, Foreign Affairs, May/June 2003. 4. All subsequent quotations are from this edition. 131 65 And one must always keep in mind that the credibility of the West and NATO, as well as NATO’s future, were at stake. Had Milošević been allowed to stick to his policies, in defiance of Western pressure (and in light of repeated threats of NATO intervention), the West’s and especially NATO’s reputation and standing would have received a blow from which it would have been hard to recover. The combination of all these factors provided the West with enough reasons for intervening; indeed it made intervention a must. And last, but not least one must not forget the media and the public opinion which played a greater role in this war then ever before in history. Public opinion had had some limited influence in the foreign policy of the Great Powers as well, as for instance in Russia (to support the Slavic and Orthodox people under Ottoman rule). But in these cases the demands of the public mostly coincided with the ambitions of the Great Powers as well. In 1999 the Western public pressured the politicians to intervene simply because it was the right thing to do. The images of burning towns and villages, of crowds of refugees and dead people lying in the streets were brought directly into the houses of ordinary people in the West who thought of wars of this kind as something of the past. Nothing illustrates better the increasing political dimension the media had assumed, than this change of heart in the Western public, which had traditionally, as a rule, been opposed to wars of any kind. And it was due to this, the so-called “CNN effect” that the public in most Western countries increased pressure on their respective governments to stop the bloodshed, if necessary by going to war. 66 C onclusion In the course of this paper I have looked at what are probably the two most significant moments in the modern history of Kosovo and the role played by the International Community in them. My goal was to analyze and compare these two moments and find out the reason or reasons for their different outcomes. The first was the conquest and annexation of Kosovo by Serbia which marked the beginning of a troubled historical period for the Albanians and determined Kosovo’s history for the best part of the 20th century. The second moment, following the intervention of NATO, brought that period to an end and most probably marked the realization of the dream of the Kosovan Albanians for an independent Kosovo to the detriment of the Serb cause. I say probably, because even now days Kosovo continues to face a host of problems which make the achievement of independence and the success of Kosovo as an independent country far from certain. The dynamics of the inter-ethnic relations in the province have not changed much. In fact the enmity between the Albanians and the Serbs continues unabated, as shown during the March 2004 riots and the dire economic and social situation that reigns in the province has only served to heighten the tensions. The politicians on both sides have not helped improve the situation either. In many ways the relations between the two people continue to be characterized by the same tensions as during most of the 20th century and it is the presence of the International Community that has kept the region from reverting to a crisis once more. But the UN and KFOR, with whom the real power rests in Kosovo have also proved unable to significantly improve the situation in the province. In fact there is a feeling among the Albanians that the international administration has outstayed its welcome and it has become the main obstacle the Albanians face on their road to independence. The Serbs, who never welcomed the “Internationals” as they are called in Kosovo, have by now come to see them as the best guarantee of a safe life. To cut a long story short, things in Kosovo have not turned out the way many people expected. In any case, for all the criticism that can be leveled at the International Community, their intervention in Kosovo in 1999 has also greatly improved the situation in the region. In fact this (and Bosnia) was probably the first instance in the history of the 67 Balkans when the International Community has through its actions helped the people of the region improve their lives and leave behind the legacy of ethnic hatreds and wars. This becomes even more apparent if we compare the two moments in question. In the 19th and early 20th century the involvement of the Great Powers in Kosovo and in the Balkans in general was a reflection of the rivalries and ambitions of these powers. The Balkan countries and people and their rivalries were simply used, in true Realpolitik fashion, to further the projects of the Great Powers themselves without any consideration for the fate of the people of the region who were in any case dismissed as barbarians. The involvement of the Great Powers at the time only aggravated the already tense situation which existed in the Balkans and Kosovo because of the rise of nationalism and the disintegration of empires thus turning the Balkans into the proverbial powder keg. The intervention of 1999 also took place in a similar context as far as the Balkans or at least the so-called Western Balkans, were concerned. Once again nationalism had emerged as the main mobilizing power and once again there was an empire, Yugoslavia, in the process of disintegration. Had the US, the only Great Power after the Cold War, and the West reacted to the situation in the same way as the Powers had done in the 19th and early 20th centuries the wars would in all probability have continued and spread throughout the region. But the intervention of 1999 in Kosovo (as well as the intervention in Bosnia in 1995) was motivated more by what I would call Moralpolitik than Realpolitik and the different outcomes are there for all to see. The Balkans are now much more stable than they had been in years and one can say that the process of statebuilding and of the disintegration of empires that have caused so much suffering in the region during the last two centuries is finally coming to an end. The countries of the Western Balkans have started the slow process of rebuilding their economies and with the prospect of EU membership within reach, these countries are now devoting most of their energies to matters other than claims of boarder change and wars of expansion. The human rights situation, although much remains to be done, has also greatly improved. In this respect the intervention achieved its goals. And yet, unfortunately, it seems that the Kosovo intervention, the first war fought in the name of human rights and morality, is likely to remain an isolated case rather than set a precedent in international politics. 68 As has previously been mentioned the intervention in Kosovo was made possible because of a very specific combination of factors. First of all there was the end of the Cold War and the changes that that entailed. One of the most important changes relates to the post Cold War balance of power or rather to the lack of it. In 1913 as well as in the 19th century, the balance of power had been at the heart of European peace and security. The decision on Kosovo as well as on any other matters involving the interests of the Great Powers was taken in concert. Thus in 1913 Austria and to some extent Italy supported the Albanian claim, but in the end had to compromise with the other Great Powers. Unilateral actions against Serbia would have had unforeseeable consequences. And indeed the Austrian declaration of war on Serbia marked the beginning of the First World War. In 1999 however, with the decline and partial disintegration of Russia and its dependence on Western aid for its economical survival, there was no balance of power to speak of. The Russians were simply in no position to offer any effective support to Serbia or intervene in the Balkans, let alone threaten the USA and the West with war. For the first time in history there was an unipolar system with the US at the top which meant that the US and by extension the West had much more freedom of action than in 1913. Furthermore, during the intervention in Kosovo, the West was united which is not the case today. By providing most of the military muscle and leadership during the bombardments the US was doing the EU a favor, so to speak, as well as affirming its role as the leader of the free world and the morality of its foreign policy. It would be hard for the Western countries to show the same degree of cohesion and unity now days. The divergences between the USA, Britain and some of the new NATO member countries on the one hand and France and Germany on the other became clear for all to see in the prelude to the Second Gulf War. Many European and NATO countries resent what they see as American arrogance and would like the EU to have a more independent foreign policy, whose aims, goals and instruments might not always agree with those of the US. This has been emphasized even more strongly in the EU and USA’s dealings with Iran, where the EU prefers the use of the so-called soft power while the US is taking the hard line. Without at least the support of the EU, the USA would find it exceedingly difficult to intervene however just the cause and such an intervention would lack even the limited 69 moral legitimacy of a concerted Western intervention. The EU on the other hand is simply not able to intervene without US support and if the two main democratic powers in the world are not able or willing to intervene, than who? Well, certainly not Russia or China. The Iraq War and the US War on Terrorism has harmed the cause of humanitarian interventions in other ways too. First of all there is the loss of credibility of the USA and certain EU and NATO countries, especially Britain. The fact that there were no weapons of mass destruction to be found in Iraq led many to believe that the US and its Coalition of the Willing was engaged in a war of aggression, motivated mainly by the desire to secure Iraq’s oil. It would be easier for any governments guilty of ethnic cleansing or crimes against humanity under threat of Western intervention to present their case as that of a small country being bullied by the superpower. Furthermore the issues of prisoner of war rights (Guantanamo, Abu Ghraib) and alleged torture of terrorist suspects by US personnel have undermined the position of the US as a “beacon of democracy” and make its claims of supporting intervention as an instrument for the promotion of human rights seem more as a pretext for aggression. In other words, in case of an unilateral intervention the West or NATO or the US would be accused of behaving much in the same way as the Great Powers of pre-World War One Europe. Such criticism was leveled at the West even during the intervention Kosovo where the interests at stake were minimal. One can only wonder how an intervention in Sudan would be perceived for instance; oil and anti-Islamic are but two of the words that spring to mind. In any case even without such a loss of credibility, given the US’s failure at nation-building in Iraq and the high human and material costs of that ongoing operation, it is doubtful whether any Western power would be willing to undertake such an enterprise again. After all, once the bombs stop falling, the rebuilding must start and that is where things start to go wrong. The West has proved successful in winning the war, but not in the nationbuilding which must follow, as shown in Kosovo as well. Even without the Iraq war however, the US and the EU would find it hard to intervene now days. First of all the War on Terrorism has diverted their priorities (this is especially true in the case of the US) from humanitarian interventions. Supporting regimes whose survival depends on the oppression of Islamic radicalism, such as Egypt, 70 overrides any concerns the US might have for human rights. In other words the US can no longer afford the luxury of a moral foreign policy to the extent it was able to do in Kosovo. Furthermore there are clear signs that a new balance of power is emerging and that the international system of the 21st century will in all probability be similar to that of the 19th and early 20th centuries. The US remains the sole superpower, economically and militarily, but its relative power is declining. Countries such as China cannot simply be ignored any longer and any unilateral actions on the part of the West (if one can still see the West as one block) are bound to have a much higher political cost than in 1999. The emergence of other Great Powers, such as China, India or Brazil and the re-emergence of Russia which was also in a process of disintegration during the wars in Yugoslavia, would basically make such actions impossible because of the risks they carry. The future Great Powers would probably once again see the balance of power as the best way of guaranteeing their security and would be forced to revert to the same old Realpolitik considerations. Maintaining the balance would once again become the main concern, overriding all others. And given Russia’s and China’s record on human rights and their own problems with oppressed minorities it is doubtful whether any of them would ever agree to a humanitarian intervention. It is for all of the reasons mentioned above that I believe the intervention in Kosovo was an exception, a freak of history so to say. But in any case, even if military intervention is ruled out, human rights will still occupy a much more important place in international relations than before. The international system is now days still in a period of transition and the rules governing the future system have not yet been established, but although military intervention is probably to be ruled out there are other ways of pressuring or inducing governments into respecting the rights and guaranteeing the well being of all their citizens, such as sanctions for instance. These may not be as effective as military interventions, but they have thus far been successful in bringing down authoritarian regimes in a number of countries such as Georgia and Ukraine and their peaceful revolutions and in Turkey where the situation of the Kurds has greatly improved as a result of pressure from the EU. Furthermore the arrests of several political and military leaders in the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda, as well as the arrest of General 71 Pinochet in the UK some years ago and his ongoing trials in Chile, have clearly shown that leaders who commit severe abuses of human rights can no longer do so with absolute impunity. True that may seem like a distant prospect to someone in power, but the threat is there. The important thing in any case is that because of the public opinion and the pressure it exercises on the politicians, because of the UN and the hundreds of NGOs who monitor human rights all over the world, human rights will continue to play an important role in international relations, basically ruling out a return to the system of the 19th and early 20th centuries where the Great Powers dealt with territories and populations as if they were currency without any regard for the human costs of their actions. 72 List of Works Cited Books: Duijzing, Ger. 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