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Cancer in Germany 2005/2006 Incidence and Trends Published jointly by the Robert Koch Institute and the Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany Seventh edition, 2010 Federal Health Reporting Contributions to Federal Health Reporting Cancer in Germany 2005/2006 Incidence and Trends Published jointly by the Robert Koch Institute and the Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany Seventh edition Robert Koch Institute, Berlin 2010 Bibliographic information from Deutsche Bibliothek Die Deutsche Bibliothek records this publication in the Deutsche Nationalbibliografie Published by Robert Koch-Institut Nordufer 20, 13353 Berlin Gesellschaft der epidemiologischen Krebsregister in Deutschland e.V. Ratzeburger Allee 160, Haus 50 23538 Lübeck Authors Gabriele Husmann (Rhineland-Palatinate Cancer Registry) Dr Peter Kaatsch (German Childhood Cancer Registry) Prof Dr Alexander Katalinic (GEKID) Dr Joachim Bertz, Dr Jörg Haberland, Dr Klaus Kraywinkel MSc, Dr Ute Wolf (RKI) Special thanks to the Cancer Information Service (Krebsinformationsdienst) and the German Cancer Research Centre (Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum) for checking through and updating the sections on cancer risk factors. Translation Bob Culverhouse, Berlin Sources www.rki.de/krebs Email: [email protected] www.gekid.de and the cancer registries of Germany‘s Länder (i.e. federal states, see address list in the appendix) How to quote the title Cancer in Germany 2005/2006. Incidence and Trends. Seventh edition. Robert Koch Institute (ed.) and Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany (ed.). Berlin, 2010 Graphics/typesetting Gisela Winter Robert Koch Institute Printed by Ruksal-Druck, Berlin ISBN 978-3-89606-209-3 Cancer in Germany Table of contents 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 Preface . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 About this booklet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Aims and tasks of population-based cancer registries . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Current development of cancer registration in Germany . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 Methodological aspects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Completeness of cancer registration . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 Estimate and results for Germany in 2006 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Indicators and presentation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 3 Results according to ICD-10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 3.1 All cancer sites . . . . . . . . . . . . C00 – 97 except C44 . . . . . . . . . . 19 3.2 Oral cavity and pharynx . . . . . . . . C00 – 14 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 3.3 Oesophagus . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C15 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 3.4 Stomach . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C16 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 3.5 Colon and rectum . . . . . . . . . . . C18 – 21 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 3.6 Pancreas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C25 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 3.7 Larynx . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C32 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 3.8 Lung . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C33, C34 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48 3.9 Malignant melanoma of the skin . . . C43 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52 3.10 Breast (female) . . . . . . . . . . . . C50 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56 3.11 Cervix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C53 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 3.12 Uterus (corpus uteri) . . . . . . . . . C54, C55 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64 3.13 Ovaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C56 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68 3.14 Prostate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C61 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 3.15 Testis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C62 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76 3.16 Kidney and efferent urinary tract . . . C64 – 66, C68 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 3.17 Bladder . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C67, D09.0, D41.4 . . . . . . . . . . . 84 3.18 Nervous system . . . . . . . . . . . . C70 – 72 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 3.19 Thyroid gland . . . . . . . . . . . . . C73 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 92 3.20 Hodgkin‘s lymphoma . . . . . . . . . C81 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 3.21 Non-Hodgkin lymphomas . . . . . . C82 – 85 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 3.22 Leukaemias . . . . . . . . . . . . . . C91 – 95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 4 Cancer in children . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 Appendix . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the Robert Koch Institute . . . 113 Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany . . . . . . . 114 Addresses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 Sources for comparing country-specific cancer incidence and mortality rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 Glossary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 3 4 Cancer in Germany Cancer in Germany 1 Preface 1.1 About booklet As in 2008 this edition of »Cancer in Germany« is published as a contribution to health reporting by the Robert Koch Institute (RKI). It is published jointly every two years by the Association of Population-based Cancer Registries (GEKID) and the RKI. This 7th edition covers cancer cases diagnosed in Germany between 1980 and 2006. As a rule, population-based cancer registries need about three years from the end of the year of diagnosis to the publication of the incidence figures. All cancer cases occurring in a year must be reported to the registry in full; all case reports must be matched against each other, and all deaths in the region against the data collected. Only in this way can reliable assessments on incidence and survival rates be derived from the available data. For over 20 years a working group at the RKI called the Federal Cancer Surveillance Unit has collected data every year from the registries of currently 13 of 16 federal states (Länder) and one administrative district (Münster, North Rhine-Westphalia), examined it for consistency and completeness, and pooled it for further analysis (see section 2.1). After the Federal Cancer Registry Data Act (BKRG) came into force on 18 August 2009, the Unit was succeeded by the newly formed German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the RKI (see appendix). The data from all the population-based cancer registries in Germany with diagnoses up to 2006 were transferred to the RKI in the spring of 2009 with the exception of Baden-Württemberg and Hesse. These data form the basis of the current edition of »Cancer in Germany«, with the estimates of new cancer cases up to 2006 and projections for 2010 (see section 2.2). The booklet contains texts, charts and tables with information on the incidence and mortality of cancers in Germany according to age and gender, their development over time, and other epidemiological statistics on all cancer sites together and 21 selected sites. Comparative data, e.g. from the countries bordering on Germany, make it easier to put the results into context. The text sections on the individual cancer sites (including cancers of the nervous system for the first time) describe the most important risk factors. Information on incidence and mortality risks and the prevalence of cancers has been included for the first time. Frequently used terms are explained in the glossary at the end of the booklet. In future editions, the range of cancer sites covered – as well as the evaluation methods and analyses used – will be extended as the quality of the data available improves further. 1.2 A ims and tasks of population-based cancer registries Population-based (epidemiological) cancer registries are institutions for the collection, storage, processing, analysis and interpretation of data on the occurrence and frequency of cancers within defined registration areas (e.g. the inhabitants of a German federal state). The data from the population-based cancer registries are also indispensable as a basis for further research into the causes of cancer and for efforts to improve the care of tumour patients. Examples of findings deduced from populationbased cancer registries include: ▶▶ The prostate, intestines and lungs are the most common cancer sites among men. The incidence of cancers (i.e. how frequently per annum they occur in a certain population) can be described with the data from population-based cancer registries. The incidence is broken down according to cancer type, the patient‘s age and gender, and other characteristics. Reliable information on incidence is indispensable for describing the extent and type of the burden that cancer places on a population. ▶▶ For some years now there have been just as many cases of lung cancer in Germany among women under the age of 40 as among men of the same age. 5 6 Cancer in Germany The development (trend) of incidence over time can only be observed with the data from population-based cancer registries. The registries have a key function for health reporting in this context. ▶▶ There are regional differences within Europe and Germany regarding the incidence of malignant melanoma of the skin. Population-based cancer registries can analyse the regional distribution of cancer sites. They also have the task of examining observed cancer clusters. More detailed analytical studies are usually required to determine the causes of these clusters. ▶▶ The survival expectations of men with testicular cancer have improved decisively over the last 25 years. Population-based cancer registries conduct survival analyses of all cancer patients in their registration region. Population-based survival rates are an important parameter for assessing the effectiveness of the diagnosis, therapy and aftercare of cancers. ▶▶ Predicting the future number of new cancer cases is an important aspect of requirements planning for the health service. The populationbased cancer registries provide the underlying data needed for this. The data from population-based cancer registries not only serve to describe the incidence of cancer in the population, they are also used for scientific research into the causes of cancer and for research on healthcare effectiveness. Such studies (casecontrol studies, cohort studies, etc.) investigate issues such as: ▶▶ What are the causes of childhood leukaemia? ▶▶ Do women who take hormone-replacement therapy for menopausal problems have a higher risk of developing breast cancer? ▶▶ Do people in certain occupational groups develop lung cancer more frequently than others? ▶▶ Are diagnosis, therapy and aftercare being carried out according to the latest standards? Population-based cancer registries make it possible for all cases of the disease that have occurred in a defined population to be taken into account in research projects. This ensures that the findings of such studies usually apply not only to a specific hospital group of patients, but also to the entire population. Population-based case-control studies and cohort studies use data from population-based cancer registries for research into the causes and risks of cancer. ▶▶ Does mammography screening lead to the discovery of tumours at more favourable stages, thus improving survival prospects? The data from population-based cancer registries with complete coverage make it possible to objectively assess the effectiveness of preventive and screening programmes. For example, a possible decline in the number of advanced cases of cancer in the population can be assessed on the basis of data from population-based registries. The aim is to show the desired reduction in mortality among the participants of such a measure by linking the registry data with the screening programme. The degree of completeness of data capture that has now been reached in many registries has also led to an increase in the use of the registry data. Here are some topical examples: ▶▶ a study of survival prospects after cancer, ▶▶ a study of the oncological care and long-term quality of life of cancer patients, ▶▶ an evaluation of pilot projects on mammography screening, quality-assured breast cancer diagnostics and skin-cancer screening, ▶▶ a study on the connection between social strata and cancer incidence and mortality, ▶▶ a collaboration with the cancer centres, e.g. in the assessment of the long-term survival of treated patients, ▶▶ a study on the effectiveness of colonoscopy screening. (For a detailed list see: www.gekid.de). Cancer in Germany The evaluation of the screening measures introduced in Germany will be a special challenge for the population-based cancer registries in the coming years. Among other things, the focus is on assessing mammography screening, which has been introduced nationwide in Germany. The population-based cancer registries have already provided detailed basic data for the first evaluation report on mammography screening (www. mammo-programm.de), and this is being used for quality assurance and an initial assessment of the programme. Skin cancer screening was introduced in 2008 by statutory health insurance as a new early-detection measure; its effect can now also be reviewed using the data from the cancer registries. A longer-term task of the population-based cancer registries is examining the effectiveness of the vaccination programme for girls aged between 12 and 17 against human papillomavirus (HPV) with the aim of significantly reducing the number of new cases of cervical cancer. In order to establish comprehensive health monitoring – i.e. an ongoing comparative analysis of cancer in the population – it is not enough to operate population-based cancer registries only in selected regions of Germany. Rather, to achieve this objective, comprehensive cancer registries must be up and running in all federal states. The first Federal Cancer Registry Act (1995 to 1999) initiated the development of a network of state cancer registries. It also created a uniform framework for the transfer of data to a central institution for nationwide evaluation: the Federal Cancer Surveillance Unit at the RKI. Although the states made full use of the broad freedoms provided by the law in organizing the regional registries, the comparability of the collected data is guaranteed by national and international rules, so that these data can be pooled and used for statistical and epidemiological analyses. In 2009 the opportunities for pooling and evaluating cancer-registry ¬data at a national level were further strengthened after the Federal Cancer Registry Data Act came into force with the newly formed German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the RKI. In order to be able to pool information about an individual‘s cancer condition from different sources, the data are collected in such a way that multiple reports on the same person are recog- nizable. For research purposes it should be possible to re-establish a link between the data and the person. In order to safeguard patients‘ privacy and their right to control what happens to their data, extensive precautions are required to protect and secure personal data; these are provided in all population- based registries by state laws. An undistorted evaluation of the data is only possible if over 90% of all new cancer cases are registered. The cooperation of all physicians and dentists involved in diagnosis, treatment and aftercare is therefore crucial to the informational value of data from a population-based cancer registry. Patients are also requested to actively take part in cancer registration. Ask your doctor to report your case to the cancer registry! This way you too can make a contribution to the assessment of cancer trends and to cancer research – and thus to improving cancer detection, treatment and aftercare. 1.3 C urrent development of cancer registration in Germany Population-based cancer registration has continued to develop positively in Germany over the last two years. In 2009, active efforts on population-based cancer registration were resumed in BadenWürttemberg. Here, a state-wide cancer registry is being built up step by step. The oncological networks and tumour centres are being linked with the cancer registry as a first step. In the state of Hesse, too, cancer registration has been extended to cover the whole state after the state cancer registry law was amended. An important milestone for population-based cancer registration has thus been reached in Germany – the registration of cancer cases has now been placed on a legal footing all over the country. Now the challenge is to quickly implement complete registration in the new regions. This objective was given a further boost at the national level in 2009 with the Federal Cancer Registry Data Act. The new law calls on all federal states to report complete data to the newly formed German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the Robert Koch Institute. In a few years the estimates on the number of incident cancer cases in Ger- 7 8 Cancer in Germany many, as made for this edition, can then be supplemented with the pooled data from all the state registries. As a result of the considerable improvement in cancer registration in Germany, the current edition of »Cancer Incidence in Five Continents« (volume IX), a series published by IARC (World Health Organization‘s International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France), has included six further German cancer registries with diagnostic data from 1998 to 2002 in addition to the data from the Saarland Cancer Registry. The completeness of the data collected by the cancer registries has further increased since the publication of the 6th edition of »Cancer in Germany« in 2008. Progress with registration has included, among other things, the introduction of an obligation to report cancer cases in several federal states, an increase in the exchange of data between the population-based registries, and the increased use of IT interfaces. The »Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany« (Gesellschaft der epidemiologischen Krebsregister in Deutschland e.V., abbreviated to GEKID), whose members include not only all German population-based cancer registries, but also scientists working in the field of cancer epidemiology, has been working intensively on harmonizing and standardizing cancer registration in Germany over the past two years. One result was the publication in 2008 of »The Manual of Population-based Cancer Registration«, which lays down the coordinated methodological principles of cancer registration in Germany. Various IT interfaces were defined and published for the transfer of data to the population-based cancer registries and the forwarding of data between the cancer registries to standardize the flow of data to the registries and the exchange of data between them. Further information on GEKID is available on the Internet at www.gekid.de. The public request for research proposals on »cancer epidemiology« funded by the organization German Cancer Aid in 2007 was especially important for population-based cancer registration in Germany and the scientific use of the collected data. The funding was made conditional on the inclusion of population-based cancer registries. About 40 applications were made to Ger- man Cancer Aid, and around half of these were granted. The first projects began at the end of 2008, and initial results have already been presented at scientific congresses. GEKID also represents the population-based cancer registries in the context of Germany‘s National Cancer Plan. GEKID is in charge of the subtarget called »Evaluation of cancer screening using the data of the state cancer registries« in the »field of action« entitled »Further development of cancer screening«. GEKID is also very much involved in the subtarget »Clinical cancer registration«. Coordination and cooperation between population-based and clinical cancer registries has also developed very positively. For example, the population-based cancer registries in Germany and the clinical registries recently defined their respective core competencies in two keynote papers; they reaffirmed their intention to cooperate on improving the quality and usefulness of the data from both forms of registry and avoiding unnecessary burdens on those reporting caused by their having to repeatedly report the same information. In order to further improve cancer registration, GEKID advocates reducing multiple documentations and raising efficiency by using electronic documentation systems. To achieve this, GEKID has agreed with the clinical cancer registries (German Tumour Centres Work Group) to use the same basic documentation (including an electronic format description) to avoid any duplication of data capture by population-based and clinical cancer registries. The association also intends to continue promoting the use of cancer registry data for quality assurance in oncology and for helping hospitals and treatment centres procure data for their quality reports. Overall, the current development of registration and use of cancer data is positive and offers good future prospects to the benefit of science, medicine and, ultimately, cancer patients. If the willingness of participating physicians and patients to report does not decline, and the financial and political support for the cancer registries continues, we will move one more step closer to the aim of achieving a comprehensive, informative and usable population-based system of cancer registration. Cancer in Germany 2 Methodological aspects 2.1 Completeness of cancer registration The usefulness of population-based data on cancer incidence depends primarily on how completely all new cases of cancer are registered. The Robert Koch Institute (RKI), therefore, regularly reviews the completeness and reliability of the populationbased cancer registries in Germany – currently in 13 states and one administrative district. According to international experience, the following have proved to be reliable indicators of the completeness of population-based cancer registries: (a) the DCO (death-certificate-only) percentage, (b) the percentage of diagnoses that are microscopically confirmed by examinations of tissue or cell/blood smears (histologically verified, HV), and (c) the incidence/mortality ratio. All cancer cases that are not reported to a cancer registry until the death certificate has been issued are initially listed as DCN (death-certificate-notification) cases. If the registry‘s inquiries produce no further information on such cases, they are referred to as DCO cases. Calculating the DCO percentage is therefore a simple and reliable way of determining how completely data on cases are reported to – or collected by – a cancer registry. It is done by the regular, case-by-case matching of registry records on cancer patients against the records of the people who have died in the region. People who have died of cancer, but were not covered by the registry, and where no further information on the disease is available, are added as DCO cases to the incidence figures. The ‚younger‘ a cancer registry is, the more likely it is that DCO cases could be a result of people dying who were diagnosed with cancer before the registry was created and who, therefore, could not be covered by the registry. Therefore, a high DCO percentage among case reports in a cancer registry that has not existed for long does not necessarily mean that the current incidence figures are incomplete. Older gaps in cancer registration can also increase the current DCO percentage, which would understate the completeness of cancer registration. The HV percentage is essentially a validity indicator. A particularly low percentage can, however, be the result of a high DCO percentage and therefore indicate a low level of completeness. On the other hand, a particularly high HV percentage can indicate underreporting in the cancer registry, since this can be a sign of an excessively high percentage of reports by pathologists. Ultimately, however, this indicator cannot quantify the degree of completeness; it can only point to possible underrepresentation. In cooperation with the German cancer registries, the RKI estimates the degree of completeness using an indicator that is commonly used internationally: the incidence/mortality ratio. In this method, the expected incidence in a cancer registry‘s catchment area is estimated on the basis of data from a cancer registry in which registration is known to be complete; this figure is then compared with the data actually collected there. The registry used as the „reference registry“ is initially the Saarland Cancer Registry, the only population-based cancer registry in Germany that has been working continuously for over 40 years. On the assumption that diagnosis and therapy – and hence the survival prospects – of cancer patients do not vary substantially from one federal state to another, and that different cancer risks can be shown in the official cause-of-death statistics, cancer incidence in the respective region can be estimated using the quotients of incidence divided by mortality in the reference registry and the regional mortality figures. The development of the age-specific quotients over time is modelled in a log-linear approach with polynomial trends. Further registries successively contribute to the data pool of the reference registry, once the completeness of these registries has been confirmed in a comparison with the Saarland. The resulting virtual reference registry is ultimately composed of the records of all cancer registries in Germany in which registration is complete. Unlike the customary completeness indicators – such as the DCO percentage or the histologically verified percentage – the RKI estimate directly expresses the completeness of cancer registration for each year since registration began. Completeness is estimated according to gender and cancer site. The percentage indicates the degree of completeness of the regional population-based cancer registries compared to the vir- 9 10 Cancer in Germany Figure 2.1.1 Development of the estimated completeness of the German population-based cancer registries, 2000 to 2002 and 2004 to 2006, by federal state and/or region (Mean value men and women) 2000 – 2002 2004 – 2006 Schleswig-Holstein (1998) Bremen (1998) Hamburg (1926) Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania (1953) Lower Saxony (2000) Berlin (1953/1995¹) Saxony-Anhalt (1953) North RhineWestphalia (1986/2005²) Hesse (2003/2007³) Thuringia (1953) Brandenburg (1953) Saxony (1953) RhinelandPalatinate (1997) no data <��% ��% – <��% ��% – <��% ≥��% Saarland (1967) Baden-Württemberg (2009) Bavaria (1998) 1 1953 East-Berlin, 1995 all of Berlin 2 1986 Münster administrative district, 2005 all of North Rhine-Westphalia 3 2003 Darmstadt administrative district, 2007 all of Hesse tual reference registry. Following general international practice, a registry is regarded as complete if at least 90% of all new cancer cases are registered. What counts here is the highest maximum degree of completeness reached during the last three years of observation, i.e. between 2004 and 2006 for the current analyses. The degree of completeness of case reporting to the cancer registries in Germany, as currently estimated by the RKI, has further improved compared to the 6th edition of this booklet published in 2008. More than half of the German cancer registries examined can be regarded as complete regarding all cancer sites combined for both sexes; indeed, most of the other registries are also close to reaching the desired level of 90%. Only Saxony-Anhalt has figures below 80% for all cancer sites combined (Figure 2.1.1). It should also be mentioned that, according to provisional estimates, the completeness of the cancer registry in North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) for 2007 exceeded 90% not only in the administrative district of Münster, but also in the entire WestphaliaLippe region (the eastern part of NRW). However, there are marked fluctuations in the site-specific degrees of completeness within the registries. Looking at the specific cancer sites studied, breast cancer, cancer of the oral cavity and pharynx, and cancer of the oesophagus are the most completely covered by the registries. The figures in Saxony-Anhalt are also above 90% in these cases. Despite the progress that Cancer in Germany has been made in cancer registration in Germany, there are still deficits in data acquisition on some cancer sites. According to the RKI estimate, reporting is not yet sufficiently complete in some cancer registries in the case of cancers of the stomach, the colon and rectum, the ovaries, the brain and the thyroid gland. As the degree of completeness rises in the population-based cancer registries, the RKI‘s data pool that forms the basis for the cancer-incidence figures published in this booklet becomes larger. As a result, the impact of regional peculiarities will decline and, ultimately, the estimate for Germany as a whole will become increasingly reliable. 2.2 E stimate and results for Germany in 2006 Since the beginning of 2010, the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the RKI has been continuing the many years of work done by the Federal Cancer Surveillance Unit with a broader remit. The Centre estimates the total number of new cancer cases per year in Germany on the basis of the data from the German populationbased cancer registries in which registration is complete. The current estimate covers the entire period from 1980 to 2006. Trends in morbidity rates from 1980 form part of this estimate. They are presented both for all cancer sites combined and for selected individual cancer sites (broken down by age and gender) in the corresponding chapters. In the case of all cancer sites combined and some of the individual sites shown, the current estimate for the last year covered (2006) is slightly lower than the figures for 2004 published in the 6th issue of Cancer in Germany (426,800 compared to 436,500). However, this does not mean that the number of cancer cases in Germany fell between 2004 and 2006; rather, it reflects an improved estimate based on a broader pool of data. The estimate of the number of new cases of cancer in Germany becomes more reliable as data from more regional cancer registries are included in the data pool. Since cancer registration in Germany is steadily improving, and more and more registries are contributing sufficiently complete data to the estimate, each new estimate is based on a broader data pool than the one before. The population-based cancer registries also contribute to this by conducting a subsequent ascertainment of cancer cases even for years in the more distant past. The current estimates through 1990 are based almost exclusively on data from the Saarland Population-based Cancer Registry.. For the period after 1990, data from other populationbased cancer registries in Germany are also used for estimating cancer incidence. The prerequisite for inclusion in the „data pool“ used for the estimates is proof of at least 95% completeness in the capture of cancer cases in three consecutive years. In the last estimate for 2004, three cancer registries contributed data to determine the total number of men newly diagnosed with cancer. The current estimate up to 2006, however, is based on data from five cancer registries with a population four times as large. In the case of the total number of women newly diagnosed with cancer, two different registries contributed to the estimate in 2004; in the current estimate it was three registries with a total population three times as large. The results of the new RKI estimate for the period from 1980 to 2006 can thus enable a much more accurate and reliable description to be made of the incidence of cancer in Germany. For the years 2005 and 2006 this estimate is on the one hand a continuation of the estimate beyond 2004; on the other hand, it improves the results of the old estimate for the preceding years. The number of registries contributing to the data pool for estimating the incidence of the different cancer sites varies considerably. Therefore, the reliability of the results of the present estimate of age-specific incidence is different for each of the 21 selected cancer sites. The more years of incidence data from the participating cancer registries are included in the estimate pool, the more reliable the estimates become. For example, the current estimates on cancer of the central nervous system, the stomach, the colon and rectum, the cervix and the bladder in women are based on data from no more than three cancer registries. By contrast, nine to thirteen cancer registries contribute data to estimating the incidence of malignant melanoma of the skin, breast cancer, and cancer of the larynx and oesophagus. 11 12 Cancer in Germany Table 2.2.1 Estimated number of new cancer cases in Germany in 2006 Source: RKI estimate for Germany in 2006 Site ICD-10 Men Women C00 – 14 7,930 2,930 Oesophagus C15 4,100 1,090 Stomach C16 10,620 7,230 C18 – 21 36,300 32,440 Pancreas C25 6,380 6,980 Larynx C32 3,430 460 C33, C34 32,500 14,600 Malignant melanoma of the skin C43 7,360 Breast (female) C50 Oral cavity and pharynx Colon and rectum Lung Cervix Uterus (corpus uteri) 8,470 57,970 C53 5,470 C54, C55 11,140 Ovaries C56 Prostate C61 Testis 9,670 60,120 C62 4,960 C64 – 66, C68 10,050 6,440 C67, D09.0, D41.4 19,360 8,090 C70 – 72 3,880 3,290 Thyroid gland C73 1,620 3,660 Hodgkin's lymphoma C81 1,130 890 C82 – 85 6,410 6,350 Kidney and efferent urinary tract Bladder* Nervous system Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Leukaemias All malignant neoplasms, not incl. non-melanoma skin cancer C91 – 95 5,080 4,220 C00 – 97 except C44 229,200 197,600 * including malignant neoplasms in situ and neoplasms of uncertain behaviour Figure 2.2.1 Selected tumour sites as a percentage of all new cancer cases excluding non-melanoma skin cancer in Germany in 2006 Source: estimate by Federal Cancer Surveillance Unit at the Robert Koch Institute Men Women ��,� ��,� ��,� ��,� ��,� �,� �,� �,� Stomach �,� �,� Kidney and efferent urinary tract �,� �,� Oral cavity and pharynx �,� �,� Malignant melanoma of the skin �,� �,� Non-Hodgkin lymphomas �,� �,� Pancreas Pancreas �,� �,� Kidney and efferent urinary tract Leukaemias �,� �,� Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Testis �,� �,� Cervix Prostate Colon and rectum Lung Bladder* Oesophagus �,� Nervous system �,� Larynx �,� Thyroid gland Breast (female) Colon and rectum Lung Uterus (corpus uteri) Ovaries Malignant melanoma of the skin Bladder* Stomach �,� Leukaemias �,� Thyroid gland �,� Nervous system �,� Oral cavity and pharynx Hodgkin's lymphoma Oesophagus Hodgkin's lymphoma Larynx 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 * includes malignant neoplasms in situ and neoplasms of uncertain behaviour 10 15 20 25 30 Cancer in Germany Table 2.2.2 Number of cancer-related deaths in Germany in 2006 Source: official cause-of-death statistics, Federal Statistical Office, Wiesbaden Site ICD-10 Men Women C00 – 14 3,623 1,111 Oesophagus C15 3,642 1,074 Stomach C16 5,986 4,937 C18 – 21 13,756 13,469 Pancreas C25 6,729 7,213 Larynx C32 1,351 226 C33, C34 28,898 11,873 Malignant melanoma of the skin C43 1,266 Breast (female) C50 17,286 C53 1,492 Oral cavity and pharynx Colon and rectum Lung Cervix Uterus (corpus uteri) 1,021 C54, C55 2,395 C56 5,636 Ovaries Prostate C61 Testis C62 154 C64 – 66, C68 4,086 C67 3,549 1,893 C70 – 72 2,955 2,600 Thyroid gland C73 258 502 Hodgkin's lymphoma C81 180 162 C82 – 85 2,732 2,734 Kidney and efferent urinary tract Bladder* Nervous system Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Leukaemias All malignant neoplasms, not incl. non-melanoma skin cancer 11,577 2,629 C91 – 95 3,720 3,387 C00 – 97 except C44 112,438 98,492 Figure 2.2.2 Selected tumour sites as a percentage of all cancer-related deaths in Germany in 2006 Source: official cause-of-death statistics, Federal Statistical Office, Wiesbaden Men Lung Colon and rectum Prostate Women ��,� ��,� ��,� ��,� ��,� ��,� �,� �,� Pancreas Breast (female) Colon and rectum Lung Pancreas �,� �,� Ovaries Kidney and efferent urinary tract �,� �,� Stomach Stomach Leukaemias �,� �,� Oesophagus �,� �,� Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Oral cavity and pharynx �,� �,� Kidney and efferent urinary tract Bladder �,� �,� Nervous system Nervous system �,� �,� Uterus (corpus uteri) Non-Hodgkin lymphomas �,� �,� Bladder �,� Cervix Larynx Malignant melanoma of the skin Leukaemias Oral cavity and pharynx Thyroid gland Oesophagus Hodgkin's lymphoma Malignant melanoma of the skin Testis Thyroid gland Larynx Hodgkin's lymphoma 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 13 14 Cancer in Germany Since the incidence of cancer is determined from the age- and gender-specific ratio of incidence to mortality, the size of this ratio is also connected with the reliability of the estimate results. For example, the tables on incidence and mortality in 2006 show that 30 times more men were diagnosed with testicular cancer in Germany in 2006 than died of this condition in the same year. The number of annual deaths caused by testicular cancer was less than three in some of the smaller federal states. The gratifying fact that very few men die of testicular cancer leads to less reliable incidence estimates. The incidence figures on Hodgkin lymphoma, malignant melanoma of the skin and thyroid cancer are affected in a similar way, but to a much lesser extent. Six to eight times more of these cancers are diagnosed every year than people die of them in the same year. However, the information gain from the RKI estimate, compared to simple mortality statistics alone, is particularly large if incidence and mortality vary in size and furthermore develop in different directions – as in the examples mentioned. As in 2004, prostate cancer was again the most common cancer in men in 2006, accounting for 26% of all diagnoses and 10% of cancerrelated deaths. However, lung cancer was still by far the most common cause of death due to cancer, accounting for almost 26%. In women, breast cancer accounted for 29% of all new cancer cases and caused nearly 18% of all cancer-related deaths. Figure 2.2.1 shows various forms of cancer as a percentage of all new cancer cases among men and women; Figure 2.2.2 shows a corresponding evaluation of cancer-related deaths. If we ignore non-invasive neoplasms of the bladder, which are included under bladder cancer, the individual cancer sites shown represent between 91% and 93% of all cancers that occurred, but caused only 83% to 84% of all cancer deaths. Most of the cancers that have not been mentioned separately in the estimate up to now (such as malignant tumours of the liver, bone or soft tissues) are therefore associated with considerably poorer survival prospects than those shown. For the first time, the current estimate of nationwide cancer incidence makes a projection of the number of new cases in the year of the report‘s publication – based on the last estimated number of new cases for 2006. In this forecast, higher incidence figures compared to 2006 are thus exclusively a result of demographic changes over the last four years. For example, according to the latest forecasts of the Federal Statistical Office, the number of 70-year-olds in Germany has risen by 21% among men and 10% among women during this period. This leads to an estimate that approximately 450,000 new cases of cancer can be expected in Germany in 2010: 246,000 in men and 204,000 in women. We can therefore expect an increase in the number of cases between 2006 and 2010 of 17,000 among men and 6,000 among women solely as a result of the demographic development. The projection of rates from 2006 to 2010 suggests that there will be 59,500 new cases of breast cancer among women in Germany. However, it should be taken into account that cancer registries in Germany are increasingly including early stages of breast-cancer development, so-called in situ carcinomas. Around 2005 these accounted for about 10% of all malignant neoplasms of the breast reported by the registries; however, they do not form part of the present estimate, which only included invasive cases. The number of new cases of breast cancer will be considerably influenced in the coming years by the now-established nationwide mammography screening programme. The aim of the programme is to detect cases of breast cancer at early – or at least less advanced – stages, in order to reduce the mortality rate from breast cancer by starting therapy earlier. In this context, some of the malignant neoplasms detected early will be classified under early stages, i.e. in situ carcinomas, while others are likely, at least temporarily, to lead to higher numbers of invasive breast cancer cases. In the present report, malignant neoplasms of the central nervous system – mainly brain tumours – have been added to the twenty cancers covered individually in the previous RKI estimate. According to the 2010 projection, 7,500 newly diagnosed malignant neoplasms of the nervous system can be expected in Germany. Estimating the total annual number of new cases of malignant neoplasms of the central nervous system in Germany has been causing difficulties for a long time. Too frequently, the statistics on the cause of death referred to brain tumours, which account for about 90% of these neoplasms, as neoplasms Cancer in Germany of uncertain behaviour or of unknown character, instead of as benign or malignant neoplasms. The percentage of cases and especially deaths reported as such unspecified neoplasms of the nervous system has recently fallen to about 10%. An estimate of the number of malignant neoplasms of the nervous system now seems reasonable, therefore. However, the present estimate of malignant neoplasms of the central nervous system is still exclusively based on data from the Saarland Cancer Registry, which up to now has been the most complete in its coverage of this cancer site. 2.3 Indicators and presentation This section explains frequently used terms and provides further methodological information. Age-specific rate The age-specific rate is determined by dividing the number of cancer cases and/or deaths in a certain age group by the corresponding number of men or women in this age group in the population. The age-specific incidence and mortality rates are usually given as annual rates per 100,000 resident members of the respective age group. Age-standardized rate Descriptive epidemiology compares the frequency (incidence or mortality) of cancer at a certain site either in different populations or within the same region during different time periods. As shown by the information provided in this booklet on the age-specific incidence of cancer in men and women, the incidence rate usually increases considerably with age. If, therefore, incidence or mortality is to be compared in different states and regions, or within the same population at different times, the possibility that these differences might be caused exclusively by different age structures of the populations being compared must first be excluded by means of age standardization. As a rule, age standardization is carried out by weighting the age-specific rates and subsequently adding them together. Since the sum of the weights used is one, the age-standardized rate can be regarded as a weighted average of age-specific rates. It indicates how frequently a disease is contracted, or causes death, in a total of 100,000 members of a defined age structure. The European Standard (old European standard population) and the World Standard (devised by Segi) are commonly used as standard populations in cancer epidemiology; both have been used in this booklet. As a rule, the rates based on the European Standard are higher, because the corresponding standard population includes a higher percentage of older people than the World Standard. The European standard was used to show trends over time in Germany and for international comparisons. DCO percentage Cancer cases which are not reported to a population-based cancer registry during a person‘s lifetime and only find their way into statistics via a death certificate are referred to as DCO (death certificate only) cases and are added to the cancer figures of the respective year of death. The DCO percentage is a useful completeness indicator for established cancer registries. However, in recently established cancer registries the degree of completeness of data as calculated using the DCO percentage is understated. The DCO percentage can be expected to be higher in ‚young‘ cancer registries, since it is possible that some of the people who have died of cancer were diagnosed before the registry was established, so that they could not be registered. The German Centre for Cancer Registry Data (formerly the Federal Cancer Surveillance Unit), therefore, also assesses the completeness of cancer reporting using a disease‘s incidence/mortality ratio (see section 2.1). Incidence rates and mortality rates Age- and gender-specific incidence and mortality rates can also be interpreted as measures of the risk of developing (and/or dying of) cancer or a particular malignant tumour within a year. To illustrate this form of risk communication more clearly, we calculated the risk of 40-, 50-, 60- and 70-yearold women and men developing for the first time (and/or dying of) a specific tumour over the next 10 years – as well as over the course of the expected remaining lifetime. The information is given both as the usual percentage and in natural variables, i.e. in the form of one per N persons of the same age and sex. So-called „competing risks“ were also incorporated, i.e. the fact that, for example, there is a certain probability that a 70-year-old man might 15 16 Cancer in Germany die of some other disease within the next 10 years was taken into consideration. The „lifetime risk“ – the risk of developing a tumour during one‘s lifetime – was also calculated in a similar way. However, only the respectively current rates (of incidence, mortality and general life expectancy) are included in the calculations. Thus no prediction was made regarding the future development of these values. Furthermore, these risks reflect population-level expectations (by age and gender); individual risks can differ considerably due to the presence or absence of various risk factors. ‚Devcan‘ – software developed by the US National Cancer Institute – was used for the calculations. Graphical presentation The age-specific incidence rates show the relation between age and cancer risk. They make it possible to compare cancer incidence in the two sexes and the development of the age-specific incidence rates since 1980 and/or 1990. The trend in age-standardized cancer mortality rates during the period from 1980 to 2006 is based on data from the Federal Statistical Office‘s official cause-of-death statistics, which were calculated retrospectively for a united Germany as far back as 1980. The incidence figures for Germany estimated by the RKI are presented as agestandardized rates for the same period. The currently (2005/2006) measured agestandardized incidence rates in 13 German states and one administrative district (Münster, NRW) are shown in comparison to the RKI estimate for Germany (2005/2006). The only states where population-based data on cancer cases are still not available are Baden-Württemberg and Hesse, whose cancer registries are under development (see section 1.3). The completeness of tumour registration by the population-based cancer registries is shown by different colours in the charts and figures. Registration of at least 90% of cancer cases between 2005 and 2006 is indicated by a darker colour on the incidence bars. The incidence bar is lighter in colour where the completeness of registration is below 90%. The DCO proportion of age-standardized incidence is also a good indicator of completeness. In the charts, the DCO proportion is shown at the end of each bar in a lighter colour and can be distinguished in this way from the incident cancer cases reported during the respective patient’s lifetime. ICD The ICD (International Classification of Diseases), which is occasionally revised, is used for coding diseases and causes of death. The 9th and 10th revisions of the ICD were used in the period from 1980 to 2004. Whereas recently established cancer registries in Germany were able to use the 10th revision for coding cancer sites from the outset, there was some delay in implementing it in the German cause-of-death statistics. For most of the cancer sites dealt with here, the continuity of mortality trends was hardly affected by the introduction (in 1998) of the 10th revision of the ICD for coding the German cause-of-death statistics. Compared to coding according to the 9th revision (ICD-9: 140–208), ICD-10 led to 0.1%-0.3% higher death figures for all cancer sites (ICD-10: C00–C97) and up to 2% lower death figures for ovarian cancer and non-Hodgkin lymphomas. Otherwise, the deviations were minimal. The 10th revision of the ICD was used in the present booklet to designate cancer sites. International comparison To be able to internationally classify the level of estimated cancer incidence and cancer mortality in Germany, current age-standardized incidence and mortality rates (European standard) from the countries bordering on Germany, as well as from the UK, the USA, Australia and Hong Kong, were taken from the websites of the corresponding cancer registries or national umbrella organizations, or else received from those institutions (see source references in the appendix). The statistics available as of the end of January 2010 largely referred to 2006; otherwise, the comparison included the most recent results (2005 for France and Australia, 2003 to 2006 for Switzerland, 2004 for mortality in Belgium). In the case of some cancers (e.g. bladder cancer, kidney cancer) some countries group the diagnoses according to ICD-10 differently from the RKI, which limits comparability in individual cases (see the corresponding notes). The results were used without verifying their completeness or plausibility. The possibility cannot, therefore, be excluded that incidence in indi- Cancer in Germany vidual countries is underestimated (by underreporting new cases). As a rule, a marked deviation in the incidence/mortality ratio from that of the countries bordering on Germany can be regarded as an indication of underestimation; similarly, an incidence rate that is below the mortality rate for certain types of cancer suggests underreporting. Mortality Cancer mortality is based on the number of cancer-related deaths in a year according to the official cause-of-death statistics. The deaths are assigned to the underlying cause of death according to age and gender. The mortality rate is the annual number of deaths relative to the size of the population. The rates are usually expressed per 100,000 people. This booklet reports both the absolute number of deaths in 2006 and the age-standardized mortality rates (European and World Standards). Relative survival rates Population-based relative survival rates are calculated to assess survival after a cancer is diagnosed. To do this, the patients‘ observed survival is related to the life expectancy of the general population. A relative survival rate of 100% means that the mortality of the cancer patients is just as high as that of the general population of the same age and the same sex. Relative survival is therefore an estimator of cancer-specific survival irrespective of whether the actual cause of death is known. The German Cancer Research Centre (DKFZ) and GEKID are currently working on a project funded by German Cancer Aid to estimate the current survival rates of cancer patients in Germany. Another GEKID project funded by the Federal Ministry of Health is examining the data quality of the German cancer registries in this respect. The relative 5-year survival rates from the current annual reports of the cancer registries in Bremen, Hamburg, NRW (for the administrative district of Münster), the Saarland and the Joint Cancer Registry or GKR (with pooled results from Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and Saxony) available at the beginning of 2010 were used for this booklet. No population-based survival rates from the other federal states had been published at that time. Although the above-mentioned registries used the same inclusion factors for their calculations (age > 15 years, exclusion of DCO cases), their methodological approaches and reference years differed slightly (the GKR used a cohort analysis from 1999 to 2001, the other registries a period analysis from 2002 to 2004 and from 2004 to 2006). The results are therefore not directly comparable, so that this booklet only reports value ranges quoting the lowest and highest published values respectively (usually by gender). The survival prospects of cancer patients are influenced not only by the cancer site, but also by the stage of the disease when diagnosed, the patient‘s age and a number of other factors. An individual prognosis cannot, therefore, be deduced from the data presented here. It can only serve as an orientation for patients, family members and the interested public. Crude rates A crude rate (of incidence or mortality) for a certain cancer site and population is calculated by dividing the number of new cancer cases in a given period (incidence), or the total number of deaths caused by a cancer (mortality), by the total number of people in the respective population (in this case the resident population of Germany). The result is usually given as a rate per 100,000 residents per year. Unlike the age-standardized rate, it is highly dependent on the population‘s age structure, particularly in the case of cancers. 5-year prevalence The 5-year prevalence refers to the number of people living at a given time (in this case on 31 December 2006) who have been newly diagnosed with cancer within the previous five years, i.e. from 2002 through 2006. The prevalences of all the individual sites discussed here (except for CNS tumours) were calculated for a separate RKI publication for the period 1990 to 2004 (using the Pisani method) from the estimated incidence rates for Germany and the survival rates observed in the Saarland since 1980. The figures for 2006 reported here were extrapolated from the population development in 2005/2006, assuming unchanged incidence and survival rates since 2004. 17 18 Cancer in Germany All cancer sites | Cancer in Germany 3 Results according to ICD-10 3.1 All cancer sites Occurrence Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Risk factors and screening Men Women 229,200 197,600 246,200 204,000 Crude incidence rate* 568.6 469.9 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 432.9 318.3 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 300.6 230.7 112,438 98,492 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 210.3 131.6 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 136.9 87.4 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 The category ‚all cancer sites‘ is defined as all malignant neoplasms, including lymphomas and leukaemias. In line with international practice, non-melanoma skin cancer is not included. The median age at diagnosis is 68 years among women and 69 years among men. The median age of death as a result of cancer is 76 years among women and 72 years among men. The risk of a woman developing cancer in the course of her life is 38%, compared to 47% among men. The Robert Koch Institute‘s current estimate indicates a total of 426,800 new cases of cancer in Germany in 2006. This figure is slightly lower than the estimate for 2004 (approximately 436,500) published in the 6th edition of this booklet (2008). This change is not due to a decrease in the number of new cancer cases in Germany, but rather to the fact that far more registries (with a reference population that is three to four times larger) have contributed their data to the current estimate. The current RKI estimate therefore describes the cancer situation in Germany much more reliably than previous estimates (see also section 2.2). As in the previous estimates, the most common form of the disease among women was breast cancer with approx. 58,000 new cases in 2006 (2004: approx. 57,000) Prostate cancer remained the most common cancer among men with approx. 60,100 diagnoses (2004: approx. 58,100). The aetiology has not been conclusively established for all known cancers. Present knowledge therefore only provides a sufficiently reliable basis for prevention in a few of the more common types of tumour. The specific cause of a tumour can only rarely be unequivocally clarified in an individual case. Tobacco consumption, especially cigarette smoking, is by far the most significant of the avoidable cancer risk factors, causing between a quarter and a third of all cancer-related deaths. A less precisely quantifiable proportion of deaths can probably be attributed to obesity and lack of exercise. Other nutrition-related factors include too little fruit and vegetables in the diet and regular alcohol consumption; these seem to play a much more important role today than, say, harmful substances or contaminants in food. Chronic infections – e.g. with human papilloma virus (HPV) or Helicobacter pylori – are regarded as major risk factors for, respectively, cervical and stomach cancer, so that great hopes are being placed in preventive vaccinations and antibiotic therapy. The overall risk posed by natural or anthropogenic environmental influences – such as solar radiation, indoor pollution from radon or tobacco smoke – and by harmful ambient substances at the workplace is often overestimated. In individual cases, however, they can exert a major influence on the development of cancers. The same applies to iatrogenic (medically caused) risk factors. They include diagnostic-imaging procedures that involve exposure to radiation, many cancer-treatment methods themselves, and hormone-replacement therapy for menopausal women, which was only recently identified as a definite risk factor. The risk factors that are relevant for specific cancers are described in detail in the individual chapters. Early-detection or screening programmes have been developed and introduced to prevent the formation of invasive malignant neoplasms, or to prevent death from certain cancers. The aim is to detect tumour precursors and/or developing 19 20 Cancer in Germany | All cancer sites stages of cancers early enough for them to be successfully treated. The screening programme provided by statutory health insurance in Germany targets cancers of the skin, colon, uterus and breast among women and the prostate among men. These screening measures are described in the individual chapters. Incidence and mortality trends According to the current RKI estimate, the annual number of new cancer cases in Germany has risen by 35% among women and more than 80% among men since 1980; the age-standardized incidence rates have gone up 15% and 23% respectively. One cause can be found in the change in the population‘s age structure, especially among men (demographic change). Only the incidence rates of men between the ages of 55 and 80 years and women aged 45 to 70 years have increased since 1990, while the incidence rates among younger and older age groups have fallen. The increase among men is probably largely due to the fact that prostate-cancer cases are being diagnosed in higher numbers and at younger ages (with the increased use of PSA blood tests as a preliminary screening examination). In 1980, prostate cancer only accounted for 16% of all cancer cases; in 2006, it accounted for 26%. Breast cancer as a proportion of all cancers among women rose less markedly from 24% to 29%. In contrast to the incidence rates, agestandardized cancer mortality rates fell by more than 20% among women and men alike. Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year cancer survival rates vary greatly – from very favourable rates of 90% for lip cancer, malignant melanoma of the skin and testicular cancer (and, meanwhile, prostate cancer), to unfavourable rates of under 20% for lung and oesophageal cancer and below 10% for pancreatic cancer. The overall survival rates of cancer patients in Germany have improved considerably compared to the corresponding rates in the 1980s of between 50% and 53% for women and 38% to 40% for men in Saarland (a cancer registry with many years of good coverage). The most recent relative 5-year survival rates published by the state epidemiological cancer registries were 61% to 62% for women and 54% to 57% for men. By comparison, data from Finland points to survival rates of 67% for women and 61% for men. Shifts in the spectrum of sites – e.g. fewer cases of stomach cancer (which has a poor survival rate) and more cases of colorectal cancer and breast cancer among women and prostate cancer among men (with better survival rates) – have also contributed to the improved cancer-survival rates. Out of a population of about 82 million people in Germany in 2006, a total of nearly 1.4 million cancer patients were living who had been diagnosed no more than five years previously (5-year prevalence); they included 700,000 women and 680,000 men. 2.1 million people (of whom 1.1 million were women) had been diagnosed up to 10 years beforehand. Compared to 1990, this represents an increase of approximately 90% among men and almost 40% among women. Contributory factors here included higher incidence rates (of some cancers), improved survival prospects (for most types of cancer) and, especially among men, demographic changes. ICD-10 C00 – 97 except C44 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.1.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C00 – 97 except C44 per 100,000 3,500 Men 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 3,500 Women 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 21 22 Cancer in Germany | All cancer sites Figure 3.1.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C00 – 97 except C44 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.1.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks for all cancer sites (ICD-10 C00 – 97 except C44) in Germany, by age and gender Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged 40 in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 1.8% (1 in 57) 47.5% (1 in 2) 0.7% (1 in 150) 26.2% (1 in 4) 50 6.1% (1 in 16) 47.5% (1 in 2) 2.5% (1 in 40) 26.2% (1 in 4) 60 15.5% (1 in 6) 46.2% (1 in 2) 5.9% (1 in 17) 25.5% (1 in 4) 70 25.0% (1 in 4) 40.4% (1 in 2) 11.0% (1 in 9) 23.0% (1 in 4) 47.3% (1 in 2) 25.8% (1 in 4) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged 40 in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 2.9% (1 in 34) 37.3% (1 in 3) 0.7% (1 in 150) 20.3% (1 in 5) 50 6.1% (1 in 16) 35.7% (1 in 3) 1.8% (1 in 54) 19.9% (1 in 5) 60 10.0% (1 in 10) 32.1% (1 in 3) 3.7% (1 in 27) 18.7% (1 in 5) 70 13.5% (1 in 7) 25.6% (1 in 4) 6.6% (1 in 15) 16.3% (1 in 6) 38.2% (1 in 3) 20.3% (1 in 5) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C00 – 97 except C44 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.1.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C00 – 97 except C44 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Women Men Schleswig-Holstein Meckl.-Western Pom. Lower Saxony Brandenburg Lower Saxony Bremen Schleswig-Holstein Saarland NRW (Münster dist.) Saarland Bavaria Bremen Hamburg NRW (Münster dist.) Bavaria Rhineland-Palatinate Saxony Germany, estimated Germany, estimated Berlin Meckl.-Western Pom. Hamburg Brandenburg Saxony-Anhalt Saxony Rhineland-Palatinate Thuringia Thuringia Saxony-Anhalt Berlin 600 500 400 300 at least 90% registration: 200 100 cases 0 0 100 200 less than 90% registration rate: 300 400 cases 500 600 DCO cases Figure 3.1.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C00 – 97 except C44 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100.000 (European Standard), *incl. some other tumours, e.g. benign neoplasms of the brain Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Denmark* Australia USA France Belgium Norway* Czech Republic Australia Netherlands USA Belgium Denmark* England Norway* Czech Republic Switzerland France Netherlands Germany Sweden* Austria Finland* Finland* Switzerland Sweden* Germany Austria England Incidence Mortality 600 Hong Kong Hong Kong 500 400 Incidence Mortality Poland Poland 300 200 100 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 23 24 Cancer in Germany | Oral cavity and pharynx 3.2 Oral cavity and pharynx the pharynx, although their influence cannot be precisely quantified at present. Occurrence Men Women 7,930 2,930 Projection for 2010 8,360 3,040 Crude incidence rate* 19.7 7.0 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 16.4 5.2 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 12.0 3.8 Incidence in 2006 Deaths 2006 3,623 1,111 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 7.4 1.7 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 5.2 1.2 * per 100,000 Cancers of the oral cavity and the pharynx include malignant neoplasms that differ in terms of site, histology and prognosis. Men develop cancer of the lip, the tongue, the floor and roof of the mouth, the salivary glands and the pharynx more frequently than women. This category represents the seventh most common cancer among men (3.5%); among women (1.5%), it is 16th. On average, women develop cancer of the oral cavity and the pharynx at the age of about 64 years; among men, the onset age tends to be earlier at around 60 years. The risk of developing this cancer over the next ten years is highest among men and women aged between 50 and 70 years; the lifetime risk is 0.6% for women and 1.4% for men. Risk factors The main triggers for cancers of the oral cavity and the pharynx are tobacco and alcohol consumption, especially in combination. Not eating enough fruit and vegetables, insufficient oral hygiene, and mechanical irritation (e.g. from illfitting dentures) are regarded as further risk factors for malignant neoplasms of the oral cavity and the pharynx. Exposure to the sun contributes to the development of carcinomas of the lip. Contact with wood dust and certain chemicals (usually in an occupational context) can aggravate the risk of tumours, particularly those of the nasopharynx. There is also discussion on the involvement of viruses (especially the human papilloma virus and the Epstein-Barr virus) in the development of cancer of the oral cavity and Incidence and mortality trends Incidence and mortality among women with cancer of the oral cavity and the pharynx rose markedly up to the late 1990s and have remained almost unchanged since then. among men, the upward trend in incidence and mortality rates continued until the early 1990s; since then, incidence rates in western Germany have fallen by 25%, while both mortality and incidence rates among men in the east of the country have risen. The decline in mortality and incidence rates among men in western Germany since 1990 affected the same age groups (35- to 69-yearolds) as the increase prior to 1990. The increase in mortality and incidence rates among men in eastern Germany after 1990 particularly affected 40- to 64-year-old age group. Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year survival rates for people with cancer of the oral cavity and the pharynx are 36% to 45% for men and 50% to 63% for women. It is possible that differences in the composition of this group of cancers contribute to the more favourable rates among women. The most favourable 5-year survival rates are associated with lip cancer, followed by cancer of the salivary glands. Cancers of the floor of the mouth, the tongue and the pharynx have less favourable survival prospects. In 2006, 10,000 women and 25,000 men living in Germany had been diagnosed with a cancer of the oral cavity or the pharynx within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C00 – 14 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.2.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C00 – 14 per 100,000 70 Men 60 50 40 30 20 10 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 70 Women 60 50 40 30 20 10 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 25 Cancer in Germany 26 | Oral cavity and pharynx Figure 3.2.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C00 – 14 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) �� �� �� �� �� �� �� � � � 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.2.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C00 – 14 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 540) 1.4% 50 0.5% (1 in 220) 60 0.5% (1 in 210) 70 0.3% (1 in 300) Lifetime risk ever (1 in 69) 0.1% (1 in 1,700) 0.7% (1 in 140) 1.3% (1 in 77) 0.2% (1 in 520) 0.7% (1 in 150) 0.9% (1 in 110) 0.2% (1 in 420) 0.5% (1 in 200) 0.5% (1 in 210) 0.2% (1 in 520) 0.3% (1 in 320) 1.4% (1 in 69) 0.7% (1 in 140) Risk of developing the disease Women aged Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,800) 0.5% (1 in 190) <0.1% (1 in 7,500) 0.2% (1 in 450) 50 0.1% (1 in 720) 0.5% (1 in 200) <0.1% (1 in 2,700) 0.2% (1 in 470) 60 0.1% (1 in 670) 0.4% (1 in 270) 0.1% (1 in 1,900) 0.2% (1 in 550) 70 0.1% (1 in 800) 0.2% (1 in 420) 0.1% (1 in 1,800) 0.1% (1 in 710) 0.6% (1 in 180) 0.2% (1 in 450) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C00 – 14 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.2.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C00 – 14 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Hamburg .-Western Pom. Bremen Saarland Berlin Bremen NRW (Münster dist.) Hamburg Saarland Brandenburg Schleswig-Holstein Berlin Lower Saxony Saxony Bavaria Germany, estimated Schleswig-Holstein Rhineland-Palatinate Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony-Anhalt Bavaria Thuringia Saxony NRW (Münster dist.) Germany, estimated Saxony-Anhalt Brandenburg Lower Saxony Thuringia Rhineland-Palatinate 30 25 20 15 10 at least 90% registration: cases 5 0 0 5 10 less than 90% registration rate: 15 20 cases 25 30 DCO cases Figure 3.2.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C00 – 14 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Hong Kong France Denmark Hong Kong Netherlands Belgium France Australia Australia Switzerland Norway Denmark Switzerland Austria Belgium Czech Republic USA Germany USA Finland Poland Germany England Netherlands Sweden England Czech Republic Norway 30 Austria Finland Incidence Mortality 25 20 15 10 Incidence Mortality Poland Sweden 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 27 28 Cancer in Germany | Oesophagus 3.3 Oesophagus Occurrence Incidence and mortality trends Men Women 4,100 1,090 Projection for 2010 4,340 1,140 Crude incidence rate* 10.2 2.6 8.0 1.7 Incidence in 2006 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* Standardized incidence rate (World)* 5.7 1.2 3,642 1,074 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 7.0 1.5 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 4.8 1.0 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 About 4,100 men and 1,090 women are diagnosed with oesophageal cancer each year in Germany. This corresponds to 1.8% of all malignant neoplasms among men and 0.6% among women. Oesophageal cancer is responsible for a higher percentage of cancer-related deaths (3.1% among men, 1.1% among women) than diagnoses. Men in Germany currently develop oesophageal cancer about three times more frequently, and on average 4 years earlier (at 66 years), than women. Squamous cell carcinomas account for 50% to 60% of oesophageal cancer cases. Adenocarcinomas, which occur mainly in the lower third of the oesophagus, have considerably increased in number; they now make up 40% to 50% of cases. Risk factors Alcohol and tobacco consumption are among the most important risk factors in the development of squamous cell carcinomas in the oesophagus, and a combination of both factors further aggravates the effect. Adenocarcinomas tend to develop from a gastroesophageal reflux disease. Barrett’s oesophagus and Barrett’s ulcer, a lesion of the mucous membrane caused by frequent reflux with heartburn (due to the backing up of stomach contents into the oesophagus), are regarded as cancer precursors. Diet-related risk factors and overweight, therefore, also play a role, at least indirectly. Familial clustering of cases has been observed. The age-standardized incidence rates and mortality rates are almost identical due to the unfavourable prognosis for oesophageal cancer. among men, both incidence and mortality rates rose slightly up to the mid-1990s, primarily in the 55to 69-year-old age group; both rates have tended to fall slightly since then. Among women, both incidence and mortality rates have risen since the early 1980s. The increase in incidence rates has particularly affected 50- to 64-year-old women. Survival and prevalence The survival rates of patients with an oesophageal carcinoma are among the most unfavourable of all cancers. The relative 5-year survival rates in Germany are between 11% and 22% for men and 15% to 20% for women. The prospects of survival with oesophageal cancer have improved overall in recent years, especially for men: in the early 1980s these rates were still under 10%. At the end of 2006, about 6,000 men and 1,400 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with oesophageal cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C15 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.3.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C15 per 100,000 40 Men 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 40 Women 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 40–44 1980 1990 2006 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 29 Cancer in Germany 30 | Oesophagus Figure 3.3.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C15 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) �� � � � � � � � � � 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.3.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C15 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 2,100) 0.8% (1 in 130) <0.1% (1 in 2,800) 0.8% (1 in 130) 50 0.2% (1 in 570) 0.8% (1 in 130) 0.1% (1 in 750) 0.7% (1 in 140) 60 0.3% (1 in 330) 0.6% (1 in 160) 0.2% (1 in 410) 0.6% (1 in 160) 70 0.3% (1 in 360) 0.4% (1 in 260) 0.3% (1 in 360) 0.5% (1 in 210) 0.8% (1 in 130) 0.7% (1 in 140) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 11,000) 0.2% (1 in 460) <0.1% (1 in 15,000) 0.2% (1 in 450) 50 <0.1% (1 in 2,700) 0.2% (1 in 480) <0.1% (1 in 3,800) 0.2% (1 in 460) 60 0.1% (1 in 1,700) 0.2% (1 in 560) <0.1% (1 in 2,100) 0.2% (1 in 510) 70 0.1% (1 in 1,500) 0.1% (1 in 770) 0.1% (1 in 1,500) 0.2% (1 in 620) 0.2% (1 in 470) 0.2% (1 in 460) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C15 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.3.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C15 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Meckl.-Western Pom. Bremen Bremen Hamburg Hamburg Berlin Brandenburg Schleswig-Holstein Lower Saxony NRW (Münster dist.) NRW (Münster dist.) Lower Saxony Berlin Saarland Schleswig-Holstein Brandenburg Saxony-Anhalt Germany, estimated Bavaria Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony Rhineland-Palatinate Saarland Bavaria Germany, estimated Saxony-Anhalt Thuringia Saxony Rhineland-Palatinate 12 10 Thuringia 8 6 4 at least 90% registration: 2 cases 0 0 2 4 less than 90% registration rate: 6 8 cases 10 12 DCO cases Figure 3.3.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C00 – 15 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women England England Netherlands Netherlands Denmark Belgium Belgium France Australia Hong Kong Switzerland Hong Kong Denmark Switzerland France Germany USA Czech Republic Finland Australia USA Germany Austria Austria Sweden Norway Norway Poland Incidence Mortality 18 15 12 9 Finland Czech Republic Sweden Poland 6 3 0 0 3 6 Incidence Mortality 9 12 15 18 31 32 Cancer in Germany | Stomach 3.4 Stomach Occurrence Men Women 10,620 7,230 11,640 7,590 Crude incidence rate* 26.3 17.2 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 19.9 9.7 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 13.2 6.4 Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Deaths 2006 5,986 4,937 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 11.2 6.0 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 7.2 3.9 * per 100,000 Histologically, adenocarcinomas are the most common carcinomas in the stomach. The less common (mucosa-associated) MALT lymphomas, which originate in the stomach lining, are a special case; they are usually classified as low-grade malignant non-Hodgkin lymphomas. Stomach cancer is the eighth most common cancer among women and the fifth among men. It accounts for 4% to 5% of all cancer cases in Germany and causes 5% of all cancer-related deaths. The median age at which stomach cancer is diagnosed is 71 years among men and 75 years among women. The highest risk of developing stomach cancer in the next ten years is found among 70-year-old women (0.5%) and men (1%). Currently, one in 68 women and one in 43 men will develop stomach cancer in the course of their lives. More than 1% die of this disease. Risk factors Eating habits, especially a lack of fresh fruit and vegetables and frequent consumption of highly salted, grilled, pickled or smoked foods, appear to be of relevance to the development of stomach cancer. Smoking is considered a risk factor. Excessive consumption of alcohol also increases the risk of developing the disease by promoting chronic inflammations and lesions of the gastric mucosa. A bacterial infection of the stomach with Helicobacter pylori is the most important of the lifestyle-related risk factors. Hereditary genetic defects, pernicious anaemia, Ménétrier’s disease and other rare pre-existing diseases only lead to a small relative increase in the risk. Among stomach polyps, which are virtually always benign, only the rare adenomas are regarded as precancerous (i.e. the preliminary stage of a carcinoma). Incidence and mortality trends As in other industrialized nations, stomach cancer incidence and mortality rates in Germany have been falling continuously for over 30 years. The age-specific incidence and mortality rates in Germany declined by 20%-50% between 1980 and 2006, the annual mortality and incidence figures by as much as 45%-65%. Survival and prevalence Although the relative 5-year survival rates for people with stomach cancer have improved in recent years, they are still quite unfavourable (at around 30%) compared to other cancers. By comparison, slightly lower survival rates are reported from the USA (23%) and Finland (27%). In 2006, 22,000 men and 15,000 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with stomach cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C16 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.4.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C16 per 100,000 350 Men 300 250 200 150 100 50 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 350 Women 300 250 200 150 100 50 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 33 Cancer in Germany 34 | Stomach Figure 3.4.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C16 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.4.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C16 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 910) 2.4% (1 in 42) <0.1% (1 in 2,300) 1.4% (1 in 69) 50 0.3% (1 in 380) 2.3% (1 in 43) 0.1% (1 in 780) 1.4% (1 in 70) 60 0.5% (1 in 180) 2.2% (1 in 45) 0.3% (1 in 360) 1.4% (1 in 71) 70 1.0% (1 in 98) 2.0% (1 in 51) 0.6% (1 in 170) 1.3% (1 in 76) 2.3% (1 in 43) 1.4% (1 in 70) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 2,000) 1.5% (1 in 68) <0.1% (1 in 3,800) 1.1% (1 in 95) 50 0.1% (1 in 760) 1.4% (1 in 69) 0.1% (1 in 1,500) 1.0% (1 in 96) 60 0.3% (1 in 380) 1.4% (1 in 74) 0.1% (1 in 720) 1.0% (1 in 99) 70 0.5% (1 in 190) 1.2% (1 in 84) 0.3% (1 in 320) 0.9% (1 in 110) 1.5% (1 in 68) 1.1% (1 in 95) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C16 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.4.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C16 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Meckl.-Western Pom. Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony Saxony Brandenburg Bavaria Saxony-Anhalt Thuringia Germany, estimated Saxony-Anhalt Brandenburg Thuringia Germany, estimated Bavaria Schleswig-Holstein Saarland Rhineland-Palatinate NRW (Münster dist.) NRW (Münster dist.) Schleswig-Holstein Bremen Lower Saxony Saarland Bremen Lower Saxony Rhineland-Palatinate Berlin Berlin Hamburg Hamburg 30 25 20 15 at least 90% registration: 10 5 cases 0 0 5 10 less than 90% registration rate: 15 20 25 cases 30 DCO cases Figure 3.4.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C00 – 16 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Germany Germany Austria Poland Hong Kong Czech Republic Czech Republic Hong Kong Finland Austria Poland Netherlands Belgium Norway England Netherlands Belgium Finland Switzerland France Denmark Denmark Australia Australia England Switzerland USA Norway Incidence Mortality 30 Sweden USA 25 20 15 10 Incidence Mortality France Sweden 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 36 Cancer in Germany | Colon and rectum 3.5 Colon and rectum Occurrence Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Men Women 36,300 32,440 39,410 33,620 Crude incidence rate* 90.0 77.1 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 67.0 44.5 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 44.8 29.8 Deaths 2006 13,756 13,469 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 25.4 15.8 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 16.2 9.8 * per 100,000 Colorectal cancer is used here as a collective term to cover cancers of the colon, the rectum and rarer cancers of the anus. Histologically, most cases involve adenocarcinomas. Squamous cell carcinomas only occur in the anus. Making up 16% of cancer diagnoses, colorectal cancer is the second most common form of cancer among both men and women and the second most frequent cause of death from cancer. Risk factors and screening The risk of developing colorectal cancer is increased by overweight, lack of exercise and dietrelated factors such as low-fibre, high-fat foods, a high proportion of red (iron-containing) meat and processed sausages, and a low proportion of vegetables. Regular alcohol and tobacco consumption also contribute to increased risk. An above-average number of first-degree relatives of patients with colorectal cancer are themselves affected; this points to a link involving similar lifestyle and/or hereditary factors, but the connection has not yet been definitively clarified. To a lesser extent, pre-existing diseases such as chronic-inflammatory intestinal diseases, e.g. colitis ulcerosa, also increase the cancer risk. People aged between 50 and 54 years who are covered by statutory health insurance are entitled to an annual test for hidden blood in the faeces (stool guaiac test, faecal occult blood test) as part of cancer screening. The physician also palpates the rectum to check for changes. Everyone aged 55 years or above is entitled to a colonoscopy. If there are no pathological findings, they can have a repeat examination after ten years. Alternatively, insured people aged 55 years or over can have a stool test every two years. Incidence and mortality trends Between 1980 and 2006, the age-standardized incidence of colorectal cancer rose by 34% among men and 26% among women, while the agestandardized mortality rates fell by 38% among women and 24% among men. Among women, this development even led to a decrease in the absolute number of deaths; among men this was only prevented by an even larger increase in the number of people aged over 65 years in the population. Since 1990, the incidence rates have essentially increased among women over 75 years and men aged between 60 and 84 years. By contrast, the mortality rates of both women and men declined in all age groups. At present, up to twice as many cases of colorectal cancer are diagnosed per annum as in the early 1980s, while mortality rates are much lower. Survival and prevalence The 5-year relative survival rates for people with colon cancer were 50% in the 1980s. Currently, German population-based cancer registries report rates between 53% and 63%. In comparison, rates for Finnish and US patients lie between 60% and 65%. In 2006, about 235,000 people (115,000 women and 120,000 men) living in Germany had been diagnosed with colon cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C18 – 21 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.5.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C18 – 21 per 100,000 700 Men 600 500 400 300 200 100 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 700 Women 600 500 400 300 200 100 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 37 38 Cancer in Germany | Colon and rectum Figure 3.5.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C18 – 21 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.5.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C18 – 21 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 480) 7.8% (1 in 13) 0.1% (1 in 1,800) 3.3% (1 in 30) 50 0.9% (1 in 120) 7.8% (1 in 13) 0.3% (1 in 390) 3.4% (1 in 30) 60 2.3% (1 in 44) 7.5% (1 in 13) 0.7% (1 in 140) 3.3% (1 in 30) 70 3.7% (1 in 27) 6.3% (1 in 16) 1.4% (1 in 70) 3.1% (1 in 32) 7.7% (1 in 13) 3.3% (1 in 31) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 560) 6.5% (1 in 15) <0.1% (1 in 2,300) 2.9% (1 in 34) 50 0.6% (1 in 160) 6.4% (1 in 16) 0.2% (1 in 650) 2.9% (1 in 34) 60 1.5% (1 in 67) 6.0% (1 in 17) 0.4% (1 in 260) 2.9% (1 in 35) 70 2.4% (1 in 42) 5.0% (1 in 20) 0.9% (1 in 110) 2.7% (1 in 37) 6.5% (1 in 15) 2.9% (1 in 34) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C18 – 21 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.5.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C18 – 21 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Saarland Schleswig-Holstein NRW (Münster dist.) Bavaria Lower Saxony NRW (Münster dist.) Germany, estimated Lower Saxony Germany, estimated Saarland Rhineland-Palatinate Brandenburg Bremen Rhineland-Palatinate Bavaria Schleswig-Holstein Brandenburg Meckl.-Western Pom. Thuringia Thuringia Saxony Hamburg Saxony Bremen Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony-Anhalt Berlin Berlin Saxony-Anhalt Hamburg 120 100 80 60 at least 90% registration: 40 cases 20 0 0 20 40 60 less than 90% registration rate: 80 cases 100 120 DCO cases Figure 3.5.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C18 – 21 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Norway Czech Republic Denmark Australia Germany Australia Denmark Netherlands Germany Belgium Belgium Netherlands Czech Republic Norway Hong Kong Hong Kong Austria USA France France England Sweden England Switzerland Switzerland USA Austria Sweden 120 Finland Poland Incidence Mortality 100 80 60 40 Incidence Mortality Poland Finland 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 39 40 Cancer in Germany | Pancreas 3.6 Pancreas Occurrence Men Women 6,380 6,980 Projection for 2010 6,910 7,320 Crude incidence rate* 15.8 16.6 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 12.1 9.0 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 8.1 5.8 6,729 7,213 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 12.6 9.0 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 8.3 5.8 Incidence in 2006 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 In Germany, the annual number of new cases of pancreatic cancer is estimated at approx. 6,380 among men and 6,980 among women. Among men, pancreatic cancer accounts for 2.8% of all cancers; among women the figure is 3.5%. Due to the poor prognosis, the condition is responsible for 6% of all cancer-related deaths among men and 7.3% among women, making it the fourth most common cause of death from cancer in both men and women. The median age at onset is around 69 years for men and 76 years for women. The lifetime risk of developing pancreatic cancer is about 1.4% for both sexes. 95% of pancreatic tumours begin in the exocrine cells of the pancreas Histologically, ductal adenocarcinomas are the most common. Risk factors Tobacco consumption is regarded as a confirmed risk factor for pancreatic cancer. Overweight also has a disadvantageous effect. Alcohol consumption has long been controversially discussed as a contributory factor in tumour formation; its influence is now considered probable. However, the effects of other lifestyle-related risk factors in general – and a person’s choice of foods in particular – have not been unequivocally confirmed. The risk of developing pancreatic cancer is higher for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus, and first-degree relatives of a patient are slightly more likely to develop the disease than the rest of the population. Some of these patients seem to be affected by an inheritable increase in risk, although only some of the genes that might be involved are known. The risk of pancreatic cancer can also be considerable higher in families with certain rare, genetically determined cancer syndromes. The role of environmental or occupational stress factors has not been conclusively clarified. Incidence and mortality trends The age-standardized incidence rates and mortality rates are similarly high for men and women due to the unfavourable prognosis for pancreatic cancer. Both the estimated incidence rates and the mortality rates have remained approximately constant among men in Germany since the late 1980s. Among women, both the incidence rates and the mortality rates have risen slightly from the early 1980s to today. Survival and prevalence Malignant neoplasms of the pancreas belong to those cancers with rare and uncharacteristic early symptoms. Pancreatic carcinomas are therefore frequently not diagnosed until they are at an advanced stage. The chances of a cure are still very poor for the overwhelming majority of patients. The relative 5-year survival rate for people with pancreatic cancer is decidedly unfavourable. It lies between about 5% and 7% for men, and 3% to 8% for women. The 5-year prevalence at the end of 2006 was approx. 5,300 women and about 5,800 men. ICD-10 C25 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.6.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C25 per 100,000 140 Men 120 100 80 60 40 20 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 140 Women 120 100 80 60 40 20 35–39 1980 1990 40–44 2006 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 41 Cancer in Germany 42 | Pancreas Figure 3.6.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C25 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.6.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C25 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 2,400) 1.4% (1 in 72) <0.1% (1 in 2,600) 1.5% (1 in 66) 50 0.2% (1 in 530) 1.4% (1 in 72) 0.2% (1 in 600) 1.5% (1 in 66) 60 0.4% (1 in 250) 1.3% (1 in 78) 0.4% (1 in 250) 1.4% (1 in 70) 70 0.6% (1 in 180) 1.0% (1 in 97) 0.6% (1 in 160) 1.2% (1 in 83) 1.4% (1 in 73) 1.5% (1 in 68) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 3,400) 1.5% (1 in 69) <0.1% (1 in 4,200) 1.5% (1 in 66) 50 0.1% (1 in 970) 1.4% (1 in 69) 0.1% (1 in 990) 1.5% (1 in 66) 60 0.3% (1 in 360) 1.4% (1 in 72) 0.3% (1 in 380) 1.5% (1 in 68) 70 0.5% (1 in 190) 1.2% (1 in 83) 0.5% (1 in 180) 1.3% (1 in 77) 1.4% (1 in 70) 1.5% (1 in 67) Lifetime risk | Cancer in Germany ICD-10 C25 Figure 3.6.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C25 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Thuringia Schleswig-Holstein Brandenburg Saarland Meckl.-Western Pom. Hamburg Saxony Meckl.-Western Pom. Bavaria Bavaria Schleswig-Holstein Brandenburg Bremen Saxony Hamburg Bremen Saxony-Anhalt Lower Saxony Berlin Berlin Saarland Thuringia Germany, estimated Germany, estimated Lower Saxony Saxony-Anhalt Rhineland-Palatinate Rhineland-Palatinate NRW (Münster dist.) 18 15 12 NRW (Münster dist.) 9 at least 90% registration: 6 cases 3 0 0 3 6 less than 90% registration rate: 9 12 cases 15 18 DCO cases Figure 3.6.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C25 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Czech Republic Czech Republic Denmark Austria Finland Finland Norway Denmark Austria Germany USA USA Switzerland Norway Germany France England Switzerland Australia Australia Netherlands England Belgium Belgium Poland France Sweden Netherlands Incidence Mortality 18 Poland Sweden 15 12 9 Incidence Mortality Hong Kong Hong Kong 6 3 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 43 44 Cancer in Germany | Larynx 3.7 Larynx Occurrence Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Men Women 3,430 460 3,630 480 Crude incidence rate* 8.5 1.1 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 6.8 0.8 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 4.8 0.6 1,351 226 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 2.6 0.4 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 1.8 0.2 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 Men are diagnosed with laryngeal cancer much more frequently than women, as becomes apparent when laryngeal cancer cases are shown as a percentage of all cancer cases: they account for 1.5% of all cancers among men, compared to only 0.2% among women. One in 150 men will develop this form of cancer in Germany over a lifetime, compared to only one in 1,200 women. The median age at onset is about 64 years among both men and women, about five years earlier than the average of all cancer sites. Risk factors Tobacco smoking is the most important risk factor in the development of laryngeal cancer. Alcohol consumption definitely enhances risk, and the combination of both factors is particularly harmful. The influence of lifestyle, nutrition or the environment, beyond the major role played by tobacco and alcohol, has not been conclusively clarified. However, there are indications that vegetables and fruit have a protective effect. There is also a known association between tumours of the larynx and occupational exposure to e.g. asbestos, nickel or polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. Incidence and mortality trends Incidence and mortality rates vary considerably between women and men in terms of both magnitude and trends. The lower rates among women compared to men have risen overall by about 50% since 1980, while the much higher mortality rates among men have fallen by a quarter and incidence rates by a third over the same period. Although declining incidence rates among men were observed in all age groups, the fall was especially sharp among the under-50-year-olds. Overall, the number of deaths and new cases among men has remained almost unchanged, while the number of women developing – and dying of – laryngeal cancer has risen by about 70%. Survival and prevalence The current survival rates among men reported by the state cancer registries are between 58% and 76%, and these findings are approximately comparable to the figures from Finland and the USA. In 2006, about 1,100 men and 1,400 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with laryngeal cancer within the previous five years. ICD-10 C32 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.7.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C32 per 100,000 40 Men 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 35–39 1980 1990 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 40 Women 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 35–39 1980 1990 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 45 Cancer in Germany 46 | Larynx Figure 3.7.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C32 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) �� �� �� �� �� �� � � � � 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.7.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C32 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 2,100) 0.7% (1 in 150) <0.1% (1 in 8,400) 0.3% (1 in 350) 50 0.2% (1 in 610) 0.6% (1 in 160) 0.1% (1 in 2,000) 0.3% (1 in 350) 60 0.2% (1 in 430) 0.5% (1 in 200) 0.1% (1 in 1,200) 0.2% (1 in 400) 70 0.2% (1 in 460) 0.3% (1 in 320) 0.1% (1 in 960) 0.2% (1 in 520) 0.6% (1 in 150) 0.3% (1 in 360) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 12,000) 0.1% (1 in 1,200) <0.1% (1 in 36,000) <0.1% (1 in 2,200) 50 <0.1% (1 in 3,900) 0.1% (1 in 1,300) <0.1% (1 in 13,000) <0.1% (1 in 2,300) 60 <0.1% (1 in 3,900) 0.1% (1 in 1,800) <0.1% (1 in 9,000) <0.1% (1 in 2,800) 70 <0.1% (1 in 4,800) <0.1% (1 in 3,100) <0.1% (1 in 7,900) <0.1% (1 in 3,700) 0.1% (1 in 1,200) <0.1% (1 in 2,300) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C32 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.7.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C32 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Saarland Hamburg Bremen Bremen Meckl.-Western Pom. NRW (Münster dist.) NRW (Münster dist.) Saarland Berlin Meckl.-Western Pom. Rhineland-Palatinate Rhineland-Palatinate Schleswig-Holstein Berlin Germany, estimated Lower Saxony Brandenburg Saxony-Anhalt Germany, estimated Lower Saxony Hamburg Schleswig-Holstein Saxony-Anhalt Bavaria Bavaria Saxony Saxony Brandenburg Thuringia 12 10 8 Thuringia 6 4 at least 90% registration: cases 2 0 0 2 4 less than 90% registration rate: 6 8 cases 10 12 DCO cases Figure 3.7.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C32 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Denmark Poland France France USA Belgium Poland Czech Republic Belgium Germany Netherlands Netherlands England Denmark Germany Austria Austria USA Czech Republic Schwitzerland Schwitzerland Hong Kong Australia Australia Finland England Sweden Norway 12 Norway Finland Incidence Mortality 10 8 6 4 Incidence Mortality Hong Kong Sweden 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 47 48 Cancer in Germany | Lung 3.8 Lung Occurrence Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Men Women 32,500 14,600 35,150 15,180 Crude incidence rate* 80.6 34.7 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 60.8 23.7 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 41.1 16.6 Deaths 2006 28,898 11,873 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 53.7 18.1 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 35.6 12.4 * per 100,000 Lung cancer is now the third most common cancer site among both men and women in Germany. It accounts for about 14% of all new cancer cases among men and 7% of all malignant neoplasms among women. The unfavourable prognosis means that lung cancer causes 26% of all cancer-related deaths among men and 12% among women. The median age at onset is approx. 69 years. smoking. Environmental pollutants (fine particulate matter, other harmful substances) probably have an influence, although the extent is still the subject of research. The same applies to the influence of genetic factors. Incidence and mortality trends As in the case of laryngeal cancer, the trends of incidence and mortality rates among women run contrary to those among men. While overall incidence and mortality rates from lung cancer among men have fallen by about a quarter, since 1980 the mortality rates among women have risen by over 100%, the incidence rates by almost 200% in all age groups. The same trends can be observed in other European industrialized countries. The differences in incidence and mortality trends between men and women are attributed to changes in smoking habits. Survival and prevalence Risk factors Tobacco smoking has been recognized as the main risk factor for lung cancer for a long time. Nine out of ten lung-cancer cases among men and currently at least six out of ten cases of lung cancer among women can probably be attributed to active smoking – especially cigarette smoking. Exposure to second-hand smoke in enclosed spaces increases the risk of lung cancer. Other risk factors can be regarded as relatively unimportant. The risk of developing lung cancer is higher in areas where buildings are affected by high natural levels of radon (e.g. in poorly ventilated cellars). A small proportion of all lungcancer cases are attributable to occupational exposure to various carcinogenic substances (including asbestos, ionizing radiation/radon, types of quartz dust and the silicosis it causes). Cigarette smoking aggravates the effects of these harmful substances Eating a lot of vegetables and above all fruit possibly has a protective effect, although it certainly cannot offset the risk caused by cigarette Current survival rates reported by the state cancer registries are between 13% and 17% for men and between 13% and 19% for women, and are thus comparable to findings in the USA. In 2006, a total of 63,000 people (of whom 20,000 were women) living in Germany had been diagnosed with lung cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C33, C34 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.8.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C33, C34 per 100,000 ��� Men 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 400 Women 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 49 50 Cancer in Germany | Lung Figure 3.8.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C33, C34 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.8.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C33, C34 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 460) 6.8% (1 in 15) 0.2% (1 in 610) 6.3% (1 in 16) 50 1.0% (1 in 100) 6.8% (1 in 15) 0.8% (1 in 130) 6.3% (1 in 16) 60 2.1% (1 in 48) 6.2% (1 in 16) 1.8% (1 in 57) 5.9% (1 in 17) 70 3.1% (1 in 32) 4.9% (1 in 20) 2.9% (1 in 35) 4.9% (1 in 20) 6.7% (1 in 15) 6.2% (1 in 16) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 580) 2.8% (1 in 36) 0.1% (1 in 920) 2.3% (1 in 43) 50 0.5% (1 in 190) 2.7% (1 in 37) 0.4% (1 in 280) 2.3% (1 in 44) 60 0.8% (1 in 130) 2.2% (1 in 45) 0.6% (1 in 170) 2.0% (1 in 51) 70 0.9% (1 in 110) 1.6% (1 in 64) 0.8% (1 in 130) 1.5% (1 in 66) 2.8% (1 in 36) 2.3% (1 in 43) Lifetime risk | Cancer in Germany ICD-10 C33, C34 Figure 3.8.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C33, C34 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Bremen Hamburg Hamburg Bremen Saarland Berlin Saxony-Anhalt Schleswig-Holstein Saarland NRW (Münster dist.) Brandenburg NRW (Münster dist.) Berlin Lower Saxony Germany, estimated Meckl.-Western Pom. Schleswig-Holstein Rhineland-Palatinate Lower Saxony Brandenburg Thuringia Meckl.-Western Pom. Germany, estimated Saxony-Anhalt Saxony Bavaria Rhineland-Palatinate Thuringia Bavaria 90 75 60 Saxony 45 at least 90% registration: 30 15 cases 0 0 15 30 45 less than 90% registration rate: 60 cases 75 90 DCO cases Figure 3.8.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C33, C34 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Denmark Poland USA Belgium Netherlands Czech Republic England Hong Kong Norway Netherlands Hong Kong France Australia USA Switzerland Denmark Sweden Germany Belgium England Germany Switzerland Czech Republic Austria Austria Norway Poland Australia 120 France Finland Incidence Mortality 100 80 60 40 Incidence Mortality Finland Sweden 20 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 51 52 Cancer in Germany | Malignant melanoma of the skin 3.9 Malignant melanoma of the skin Occurrence Men Women 7,360 8,470 Projection for 2010 7,690 8,540 Crude incidence rate* 18.3 20.1 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 14.6 16.2 Incidence in 2006 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 10.8 13.1 1,266 1,021 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 2.4 1.5 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 1.7 1.0 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 In 2006, malignant melanomas of the skin accounted for 4.3% of all new cases of malignant neoplasms among women and 3.2% among men; they caused about 1% of all cancer-related deaths. The median age at onset was comparatively low among women at 58 years; it was 64 years among men. Especially striking is the relatively high risk of young women developing the disease. Most malignant melanomas of the skin develop as malignant neoplasms of the pigment cells (melanocytes). Although basal cell carcinomas and squamous epithelial carcinomas of the skin, which do not metastasize as a rule, are much more common, they cause considerably fewer cancer-related deaths than malignant melanomas of the skin; they are ignored here in line with international practice. Risk factors People with a large number of pigmentation marks (birth marks, moles, dysplastic naevi) and a light skin type are at higher risk of melanoma. Ultraviolet exposure from sun or solariums, especially during childhood and adolescence, is regarded as the most important exogenous risk factor. Exposure to ultraviolet radiation at the workplace, e.g. during welding work, is also considered a-cancer risk factor. In mid-2008, the statutory cancer screening programme in Germany began measures for the early detection of all forms of skin cancer. People of both sexes with state health insurance are now entitled to a medical examination of the skin every two years from the age of 35; they are referred to a dermatologist for clarification if there are any potentially pathological findings. It is not clear as yet what impact this screening programme will have on incidence and mortality rates relating to malignant melanoma of the skin. Incidence and mortality trends The age-standardized incidence rates of women and men have more than tripled since 1980. By contrast, the mortality rates among women have fallen by about 10% since then, while the mortality rates of men have increased by the same degree. Women as a whole, and especially younger women, have lower mortality rates and higher incidence rates than men. However, the incidence rates among men over the age of 60 years are higher than those of women of the same age. Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year survival rates for women with malignant melanoma of the skin in Germany are currently 90% and higher. The survival rates for men are somewhat less favourable, however, with figures around 85% in all registries. Due to the increase in incidence and much improved survival rates in Germany, 63,000 people (of whom 37,000 were women) living in 2006 had been diagnosed with a malignant melanoma of the skin within the previous 5 years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C43 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.9.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C43 per 100,000 70 Men 60 50 40 30 20 10 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 70 Women 60 50 40 30 20 10 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 53 Cancer in Germany 54 | Malignant melanoma of the skin Figure 3.9.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C43 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.9.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C43 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 750) 1.3% (1 in 75) <0.1% (1 in 5,800) 0.3% (1 in 370) 50 0.2% (1 in 430) 1.2% (1 in 81) <0.1% (1 in 3,000) 0.3% (1 in 380) 60 0.4% (1 in 240) 1.1% (1 in 92) 0.1% (1 in 1,500) 0.2% (1 in 410) 70 0.5% (1 in 220) 0.8% (1 in 130) 0.1% (1 in 960) 0.2% (1 in 480) 1.5% (1 in 69) 0.3% (1 in 360) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 470) 1.3% 50 0.3% (1 in 380) 60 0.3% (1 in 330) 70 0.3% (1 in 320) Lifetime risk Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever (1 in 79) <0.1% (1 in 6,900) 0.2% (1 in 500) 1.1% (1 in 93) <0.1% (1 in 4,200) 0.2% (1 in 530) 0.8% (1 in 120) <0.1% (1 in 2,900) 0.2% (1 in 580) 0.6% (1 in 170) 0.1% (1 in 1,800) 0.1% (1 in 680) 1.6% (1 in 63) 0.2% (1 in 480) ICD-10 C43 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.9.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C43 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Rhineland-Palatinate Rhineland-Palatinate Schleswig-Holstein Lower Saxony Germany, estimated Lower Saxony Bavaria Schleswig-Holstein Germany, estimated Bavaria Bremen NRW (Münster dist.) Thuringia Hamburg NRW (Münster dist.) Saarland Hamburg Thuringia Berlin Meckl.-Western Pom. Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony-Anhalt Saxony-Anhalt Bremen Saxony Brandenburg Saarland Saxony Brandenburg 24 20 16 Berlin 12 8 at least 90% registration: 4 cases 0 0 4 8 12 less than 90% registration rate: 16 20 cases 24 DCO cases Figure 3.9.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C43 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Australia Australia Norway USA Switzerland Denmark Norway Netherlands Switzerland Denmark Sweden Sweden Germany Netherlands USA Czech Republic England Finland Belgium Germany Czech Republic England Finland Austria France Belgium Austria France Incidence Mortality 60 Poland Poland 50 40 30 20 10 Incidence Mortality Hong Kong Hong Kong 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 55 56 Cancer in Germany | Breast (female) 3.10 Breast (female) Occurrence Women Incidence in 2006 57,970 Projection for 2010 59,510 Crude incidence rate* 137.9 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 102.1 Standardized incidence rate (World)* Deaths 2006 75.3 17,286 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 25.5 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 17.5 * per 100,000 Approximately 58,000 women were diagnosed with breast cancer in Germany in 2006. Breast cancer is the most commonly diagnosed form of cancer among women, accounting for 29%; the median age at onset is 64 years. but is now recognized. The same applies to the unfavourable influence of alcohol. Female close relatives of women with breast cancer have a comparatively high risk. Breastcancer-related genes known today to significantly increase risk (e.g. (BRCA1 and BRCA2) can only be detected in a small percentage of affected patients; it is assumed that further genes might be involved in the development of breast cancer. Comprehensive mammography screening programmes were introduced all over Germany between 2005 and 2008. Since then, all women between the ages of 50 and 69 years are invited to attend mammography screening in specialized centres; participation up to now has been around 54% Incidence and mortality trends Risk factors and screening An early first menstruation (menarche), childlessness, a late first birth and a late menopause (climacteric) are associated with an increased risk of breast cancer. On the other hand, giving birth at a young age, several births and longer lactation periods seem to reduce breast cancer risk. Ovulation inhibitors containing oestrogen and progesterone (the “Pill”) slightly increase the risk of breast cancer, an effect that disappears ten years after the woman stops using the Pill. However, they have a favourable effect on the risk of ovarian cancer and cancer originating in the lining of the uterus (endometrial carcinoma). Hormone-replacement therapy with oestrogens during and after menopause – and especially with a combination of oestrogens and gestagens – increases the risk of developing breast cancer. Many studies have observed an increase in risk due to overweight and lack of exercise, especially after the menopause, whereas regular physical activity and sport have a favourable influence. The choice of foodstuffs, e.g. consumption of fruit or vegetables, does not seem to affect the risk. The risk-enhancing influence of tobacco consumption was controversial for a long time, Age-standardized breast-cancer incidence in Germany rose continuously from 1980 until about 2000; since then it has remained approximately stable. An increase in the number of new cases must be expected with the introduction of mammography screening; this effect can already be observed for 2006 in regions where screening began early (e.g. the administrative district of Münster). In countries such as the Netherlands and the UK, where screening programmes have been established since the 1990s, incidence is much higher than in Germany, even though mortality rates are comparable. The latter have been falling in Germany since the mid-1990s Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year survival rates of female breast cancer patients in Germany are currently between 83% and 87%. At the end of 2006, about 242,000 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with breast cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C50 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.10.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C50 per 100,000 350 Women 300 250 200 150 100 50 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 57 58 Cancer in Germany | Breast (female) Figure 3.10.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C50 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 150 135 120 105 90 75 60 45 30 15 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.10.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age, ICD-10 C50 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 1.3% (1 in 76) 10.4% (1 in 10) 0.2% (1 in 540) 3.4% (1 in 29) 50 2.3% (1 in 43) 9.3% (1 in 11) 0.5% (1 in 220) 3.3% (1 in 30) 60 3.0% (1 in 33) 7.4% (1 in 13) 0.8% (1 in 130) 2.9% (1 in 34) 70 2.8% (1 in 35) 4.9% (1 in 20) 1.0% (1 in 99) 2.4% (1 in 42) 10.9% (1 in 9) 3.5% (1 in 29) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C50 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.10.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C50 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Women Schleswig-Holstein NRW (Münster dist.) Lower Saxony Bavaria Bremen Hamburg Saarland Rhineland-Palatinate Germany, estimated Berlin Meckl.-Western Pom. Brandenburg Thuringia Saxony Saxony-Anhalt 0 at least 90% registration: cases 30 60 less than 90% registration rate: 90 120 150 cases 180 DCO cases Figure 3.10.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C50 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Women Belgium France Netherlands England USA Denmark Finland Switzerland Australia Sweden Germany Norway Austria Czech Republic Hong Kong Incidence Mortality Poland 0 30 60 90 120 150 180 59 60 Cancer in Germany | Cervix 3.11 Cervix Occurrence Women Incidence in 2006 5,470 Projection for 2010 5,500 Crude incidence rate* 13.0 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 11.0 Standardized incidence rate (World)* Deaths 2006 8.9 1,492 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 2.5 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 1.8 * per 100,000 About 5,470 women developed cervical cancer in 2006, continuing a trend of decreasing incidence. Currently, the highest incidence rates are in the 40to 59-year-old age group, which is much earlier than in 1980. The median age at onset of invasive cervical cancer is 52 years; for in situ carcinomas it is 36 years. Histologically, about 80% of invasive cervical tumours are squamous cell carcinomas; adenocarcinomas make up approx. 11%. Risk factors and screening Cervical cancer develops from an infection with human papillomavirus (HPV). The HPV infection, not the cancer, can be sexually transmitted. Most women are infected with HPV in the course of their lives; however, the infection only persists in a small percentage of those affected. Several concomitant factors are known to be associated with an enhanced risk of developing the disease: – smoking and passive smoking; – additional genital infections with other sexually transmitted pathogens such as herpes simplex viruses or chlamydia; – a large number of births; – a greatly weakened immune system; and – the use of oral contraceptives (the “Pill”). Since the 1970s, women above the age of 20 years in Germany have been offered an annual cervical examination (Pap smear) as part of statutory cancer screening. Since then, a decrease in cervical carcinoma incidence and mortality has been observed. Since March 2007, the Standing Vacci- nation Commission (STIKO) in Germany has recommended inoculating girls aged between 12 and 17 years against two high-risk types of HPV which are responsible for about 70 percent of all cases of cervical carcinomas. Based on pilot studies, it is hoped that such measures will reduce not only the number of infections, but also the rate of preliminary stages of cancer and, in the long term, also the rate of invasive cervical carcinomas. However, at the present time regular screening by Pap smears cannot be replaced either by vaccinations or by tests for human papillomavirus. Incidence and mortality trends The incidence rate of cervical cancer in Germany fell markedly up to the 1990s. Since then, the number of new cases has been falling less rapidly. The mortality rate from cervical cancer has been decreasing continuously since the 1980s. The general view is that much of this decline has been due to the statutory cancer screening programme, since preliminary stages of cervical cancer can now be diagnosed and the development of the invasive carcinoma prevented by timely treatment. In 2006, the incidence rates of in situ carcinomas were up to four times higher than those of invasive carcinomas. Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year survival rate for invasive cancers of the cervix in Germany is between 63% and 71%. At the end of 2006, about 23,700 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with cervical cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C53 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.11.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C53 per 100,000 70 Women 60 50 40 30 20 10 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 61 Cancer in Germany 62 | Cervix Figure 3.11.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C53 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.11.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age, ICD-10 C53 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 460) 0.8% (1 in 130) <0.1% (1 in 2,800) 0.3% (1 in 370) 50 0.2% (1 in 460) 0.6% (1 in 170) <0.1% (1 in 2,100) 0.2% (1 in 410) 60 0.1% (1 in 700) 0.4% (1 in 260) 0.1% (1 in 2,000) 0.2% (1 in 500) 70 0.1% (1 in 720) 0.3% (1 in 390) 0.1% (1 in 1,300) 0.2% (1 in 620) 1.0% (1 in 100) 0.3% (1 in 350) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C53 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.11.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C53 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Women Thuringia Berlin Meckl.-Western Pom. Germany, estimated Saarland Saxony Brandenburg Schleswig-Holstein Bremen Saxony-Anhalt NRW (Münster dist.) Rhineland-Palatinate Hamburg Bavaria Lower Saxony 0 at least 90% registration: cases 3 6 9 less than 90% registration rate: 12 cases 15 18 DCO cases Figure 3.11.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C53 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Women Czech Republic Poland Denmark Norway Hong Kong Germany Belgium Austria France Sweden England USA Netherlands Australia Switzerland Incidence Mortality Finland 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 63 64 Cancer in Germany | Uterus (corpus uteri) 3.12 Uterus (corpus uteri) Occurrence Women Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 11,140 11,460 Crude incidence rate* 26.5 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 17.9 Standardized incidence rate (World)* Deaths 2006 oestrogen/gestagen combinations are used; however, they increase the breast cancer risk at least slightly. Women with confirmed genetic defects leading to hereditary nonpolyposis colorectal carcinoma (HNPCC syndrome) are affected by a high risk not only of colorectal cancer, but also of cancer of the corpus uteri. 12.6 2,395 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 3.0 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 2.0 * per 100,000 With about 11,140 new cases per year, cancer of the corpus uteri represents the fourth most common cancer among women and the most common cancer of the female genital organs. It accounts for 5.6% of all malignant neoplasms among women. Thanks to a good prognosis, it causes a much lower percentage of all cancerrelated deaths: 2.6%. The median age at onset is 69 years. These days, the highest incidence rates are in the 75- to 79-year-old age group, i.e. significantly later than in the 1980s. One in 47 women will develop uterine cancer in the course of their lives; one in 200 dies of this disease. Most cancers of the corpus uteri are endometrial carcinomas, i.e. they develop in the lining of the uterus. Risk factors Hormonal influences over many years are regarded as the primary risk factor for endometrial corpus uteri carcinomas. These influences can be caused by an early first menstruation (menarche), a late onset of menopause, childlessness or diseases of the ovaries. As far as lifestyle factors are concerned, overweight and lack of exercise have an effect, possibly also by influencing hormone levels. The administration of oestrogens as a monotherapy for climacteric complaints increases the risk not only of breast cancer, but also of endometrial carcinoma, which can be prevented by the additional administration of progesterone. On the other hand, oral contraceptives (the “Pill”) provide protection against the development of corpus uteri carcinomas, especially when Incidence and mortality trends The age-standardized incidence rates in Germany have been falling again following a slight increase up to the late 1980s; only in the higher (70- to 84-year-old) age groups have the incidence rates risen again. As in the case of cervical cancer, mortality due to cancer of the corpus uteri is also decreasing. Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year survival rates are between 75% and 83% in Germany. Corpus uteri carcinomas can be ranked among the cancer sites with a favourable prognosis. At the end of 2006, about 48,000 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with a cancer of the corpus uteri within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C54, C55 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.12.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C54, C55 per 100,000 ��� Women 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 65 Cancer in Germany 66 | Uterus (corpus uteri) Figure 3.12.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C54, C55 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.12.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age, ICD-10 C54, C55 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,200) 2.1% (1 in 48) <0.1% (1 in 11,000) 0.5% (1 in 200) 50 0.4% (1 in 280) 2.0% (1 in 49) <0.1% (1 in 2,600) 0.5% (1 in 200) 60 0.6% (1 in 160) 1.7% (1 in 57) 0.1% (1 in 1,100) 0.5% (1 in 210) 70 0.8% (1 in 130) 1.2% (1 in 83) 0.2% (1 in 620) 0.4% (1 in 240) 2.1% (1 in 47) 0.5% (1 in 200) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C54, C55 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.12.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C54, C55 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Women Bremen Saxony Saarland Bavaria Thuringia Lower Saxony Schleswig-Holstein Germany, estimated Brandenburg Saxony-Anhalt Meckl.-Western Pom. Rhineland-Palatinate NRW (Münster dist.) Hamburg Berlin 0 at least 90% registration: cases 5 10 less than 90% registration rate: 15 20 25 cases 30 DCO cases Figure 3.12.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C54, C55 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Women Czech Republic USA Norway Sweden Finland Poland Denmark Belgium England Switzerland Germany Austria Netherlands Australia Hong Kong Incidence Mortality France 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 67 68 Cancer in Germany | Ovaries 3.13 Ovaries Occurrence Incidence and mortality trends Women Incidence in 2006 9,670 Projection for 2010 9,960 Crude incidence rate* 23.0 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 15.8 Standardized incidence rate (World)* Deaths 2006 11.4 5,636 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 8.0 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 5.3 * per 100,000 Most malignant tumours of the ovaries (ovarian cancer) are carcinomas. Otherwise, cancers of the ovaries can also be tumours of the connective tissue, mixed tumours or tumours composed of immature germ cells or embryonic cells. Ovarian cancer accounts for 4.9% of all malignant neoplasms among women and causes 5.7% of all cancer-related deaths. About 5% to 10% of all ovarian cancer cases affect women under the age of 45 years. These are mostly germ-cell tumours. The median age at diagnosis is 68 years. Risk factors The risk of developing epithelial ovarian cancer seems to be associated with hormonal influences over many years. An early first menstruation (menarche) and a late onset of menopause, childlessness or no lactation periods have an unfavourable effect. Hormone-replacement therapy – of any type or duration – represents a risk factor. On the other hand, hormonal ovulation inhibitors (the “Pill”) provide protection against ovarian cancer. Women whose first-degree relatives have developed breast or ovarian cancer, or who have themselves already had breast, corpus uteri, or colorectal cancer, are at greater risk of developing ovarian cancer. Genetic defects in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes are known today to raise the risk of developing the disease, but are only relevant to a small percentage of women affected. Other genetic factors are the subject of research. The incidence rates of ovarian cancer gradually increased from 1980 until the mid-1990s, since when they have been declining. Overall, ageadjusted rates rose by 10% between 1980 and 2006; the number of new cases rose by 40%. Incidence rates have increased almost exclusively among 70-year-old women since 1990. Mortality rates have declined by 30% overall, the largest decrease being among women under 60 years old. Survival and prevalence The survival prospects of patients with ovarian cancer are poorer compared to female patients with other cancers of the genital organs. Population-based cancer registries in Germany put the relative 5-year survival rates at between 35% and 49%. These rates are comparable with those in Finland and the USA (49% and 46% respectively). Calculations carried out in the USA show that the survival rates vary with age (70% among the under-45-year-olds, approx. 30% among women over 65 years old). Approximately 26,000 women living in Germany in 2006 had been diagnosed with ovarian cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C56 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.13.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C56 per 100,000 90 Women 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 69 Cancer in Germany 70 | Ovaries Figure 3.13.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C56 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.13.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age, ICD-10 C56 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.2% (1 in 640) 1.8% (1 in 56) <0.1% (1 in 2,400) 1.1% (1 in 87) 50 0.3% (1 in 340) 1.6% (1 in 61) 0.1% (1 in 880) 1.1% (1 in 89) 60 0.5% (1 in 220) 1.4% (1 in 72) 0.3% (1 in 380) 1.0% (1 in 96) 70 0.6% (1 in 180) 1.0% (1 in 98) 0.4% (1 in 240) 0.8% (1 in 120) 1.8% (1 in 54) 1.1% (1 in 88) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C56 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.13.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C56 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Women Germany, estimated Bremen Schleswig-Holstein NRW (Münster dist.) Lower Saxony Bavaria Rhineland-Palatinate Hamburg Saarland Berlin Brandenburg Saxony Meckl.-Western Pom. Thuringia Saxony-Anhalt 0 at least 90% registration: cases 5 10 less than 90% registration rate: 15 20 25 cases 30 DCO cases Figure 3.13.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C56 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Women England Denmark Czech Republic Norway Germany Poland Finland Belgium Sweden Austria USA Switzerland France Hong Kong Netherlands Australia 0 3 6 9 12 15 Incidence Mortality 18 71 72 Cancer in Germany | Prostate 3.14 Prostate Occurrence Men Incidence in 2006 60,120 Projection for 2010 64,370 Crude incidence rate* 149.1 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 110.1 Standardized incidence rate (World)* Deaths 2006 over are asked once a year if they have any symptoms or have noticed any other changes in their health; screening also includes an examination of the sexual organs and the lymph nodes, as well as a palpation examination of the prostate via the rectum. Up to now, the PSA blood test has not been made part of the statutory screening. 74.4 11,577 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 21.2 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 12.3 * per 100,000 Prostate cancer is now the most common cancer among men (26%) and causes 10% of cancer-related deaths among men. The median age at onset is approx. 69 years, which corresponds roughly to the figure for all cancer sites. Very few people are diagnosed before the age of 50 years. The risk of a 40-year-old man developing the disease in the following ten years is only 0.1%. The risk of a 70-year-old man developing the disease in the following ten years is 60 times higher at 6%. The development in prostate cancer is characterized by decreasing mortality rates and a considerable increase in age-standardized incidence rates, which can be largely attributed to the use of prostate specific antigen (PSA) in prostate-cancer screening. Incidence and mortality trends The annual number of new prostate cancer cases in Germany has risen by 200%, the age-standardized incidence rate by 110% since 1980. This increase can be largely attributed to the use of new diagnostic methods, e.g. testing for prostate-specific antigen (PSA). Earlier diagnosis – in terms of both the cancer’s stage of development and the patient’s age – has led to significantly higher incidence rates in the 50- to 69-year-old age group, lower incidence rates among over-75year-olds, and a falling median age at onset from 73 years in 1980 to 69 years in 2006. Although the number of deaths has increased by 30% since 1980 as a result of demographic trends (i.e. the increase in the number of older men in the population), the age-standardized mortality rate has fallen by 20%. Survival and prevalence Risk factors and screening Up to now, the causes of prostate carcinoma and the factors affecting the progression of the disease are essentially unknown. There is no doubt that a role is played by male sex hormones, without which prostate cancer would not develop. The connection with a positive family history (clustering of the disease among close relatives) has also been shown, although there is as yet no conclusive evidence as to which inheritable genetic defects are involved. Despite extensive research, there is little in the way of reliable findings on risk factors relating to lifestyle, diet or the environment. Under the current statutory screening programme in Germany, men aged 45 years and The relative 5-year survival rates of men with prostate cancer in Germany are between 83% and 94%. Survival has improved considerably in the last few years, particularly as a result of earlier diagnosis due to screening. In 2006, about 238,500 men living in Germany had been diagnosed with prostate cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C61 | Cancer in Germany 70–74 80–84 Figure 3.14.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C61 per 100,000 800 Men 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 45–49 1980 1990 2006 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 75–79 85+ Age group 73 74 Cancer in Germany | Prostate Figure 3.14.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C61 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 150 135 120 105 90 75 60 45 30 15 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men Table 3.14.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age, ICD-10 C61 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,000) 12.6% (1 in 8) <0.1% (1 in 14,000) 3.3% (1 in 30) 50 1.4% (1 in 71) 12.8% (1 in 8) 0.1% (1 in 1,300) 3.4% (1 in 29) 60 4.8% (1 in 21) 12.4% (1 in 8) 0.4% (1 in 260) 3.6% (1 in 28) 70 6.3% (1 in 16) 9.5% (1 in 11) 1.3% (1 in 77) 3.8% (1 in 27) 12.3% (1 in 8) 3.3% (1 in 31) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C61 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.14.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C61 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Lower Saxony Schleswig-Holstein Meckl.-Western Pom. Brandenburg NRW (Münster dist.) Bavaria Rhineland-Palatinate Germany, estimated Saarland Hamburg Saxony Saxony-Anhalt Bremen Thuringia Berlin 180 150 120 90 at least 90% registration: 60 cases 30 0 less than 90% registration rate: cases DCO cases Figure 3.14.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C61 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men France Australia Sweden USA Belgium Finland Norway Switzerland Austria Germany Netherlands Denmark England Czech Republic Poland Incidence Mortality 180 Hong Kong 150 120 90 60 30 0 75 76 Cancer in Germany | Testis 3.15 Testis Occurrence Men Incidence in 2006 4,960 Projection for 2010 4,700 Crude incidence rate* 12.3 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 11.7 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 11.2 Deaths 2006 154 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 0.3 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 0.3 * per 100.000 According to the RKI estimate, about 4,960 men were diagnosed with testicular cancer in Germany in 2006. This corresponds to 2% of all malignant cancers among men, making testicular cancer one of the rarer cancer sites. Because of this disease’s low mortality rate, the assessment of completeness and, therefore, the projection of the nationwide incidence rate involves a certain amount of uncertainty. The most recent evaluations of DRG (diagnosis-related group) statistics and results in the countries bordering on Germany suggest slightly lower figures. Unlike virtually all other cancers, most cases of testicular cancer occur between the ages of 25 and 45 years. In this age group, testicular cancer is the most common malignant tumour among men. Accordingly, the median age at onset is 38 years. Assuming constant incidence rates, the demographic development in Germany would lead to a reduction in the annual number of testicular cancer cases up to 2010. Risk factors Undescended testis (cryptorchism) is regarded as a confirmed risk factor for testicular cancer, even if it has been properly treated. Men who have already developed testicular cancer on one side are at increased risk of also developing a testicular tumour on the side that was initially healthy. A small proportion of the people affected evidently have a genetic predisposition, since the sons and brothers of patients with testicular cancer have a markedly increased risk of developing the dis- ease. However, at present there is little reliable information on which inheritable genetic defects are involved. One hypothesis suggests that a predisposition for germ-cell tumours, which are the most common form in the testes, possibly already develops during the embryonic period from scattered cells that go through a malignant development during puberty. Up to now little is known about what has caused the observed increase in incidence in recent decades. Research is currently concentrating on prenatal risk factors, among others. Several postnatal characteristics (early onset of puberty, gigantism and subfertility) have also been discussed as possible risk factors. Incidence and mortality trends A rise in the age-adjusted incidence of testicular cancer and falling mortality rates have been observed for decades both in Germany and in the rest of Europe. Both trends continue. The falling mortality rates are explained by the successful use of cis-platinum in the cytostatic treatment of testicular cancer. Survival and prevalence With a relative 5-year survival rate of over 95%, testicular cancer is one of the malignant neoplasms with the most favourable prognoses. At the end of 2006, about 22,800 men living in Germany had been diagnosed with this disease within the previous five years. ICD-10 C62 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.15.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C62 per 100,000 35 Men 30 25 20 15 10 5 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 77 Cancer in Germany 78 | Testis Figure 3.15.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C62 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men Table 3.15.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age, ICD-10 C62 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 20 0.2% (1 in 520) 0.8% (1 in 130) <0.1% (1 in 31,000) <0.1% (1 in 3,700) 30 0.3% (1 in 360) 0.6% (1 in 170) <0.1% (1 in 24,000) <0.1% (1 in 4,200) 40 0.2% (1 in 490) 0.3% (1 in 320) <0.1% (1 in 18,000) <0.1% (1 in 5,000) 50 0.1% (1 in 1,600) 0.1% (1 in 930) <0.1% (1 in 25,000) <0.1% (1 in 6,700) 0.9% (1 in 120) <0.1% (1 in 3,500) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C62 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.15.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C62 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Germany, estimated NRW (Münster dist.) Lower Saxony Brandenburg Schleswig-Holstein Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony Bremen Saarland Thuringia Hamburg Bavaria Saxony-Anhalt Berlin Rhineland-Palatinate 18 15 12 9 at least 90% registration: 6 cases 3 0 less than 90% registration rate: cases DCO cases Figure 3.15.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C62 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Germany Denmark Norway Switzerland Austria Czech Republic Netherlands Sweden France England Australia Belgium USA Poland Finland Incidence Mortality 18 Hong Kong 15 12 9 6 3 0 79 80 Cancer in Germany | Kidney and efferent urinary tract 3.16 Kidney and efferent urinary tract younger ages than kidney cancers not associated with genetic predisposition. Occurrence Men Women 10,050 6,440 10,750 6,650 Crude incidence rate* 24.9 15.3 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 19.2 9.9 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 13.5 6.9 Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Deaths 2006 4,086 2,629 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 7.5 3.2 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 4.8 2.1 * per 100,000 Categorizing these diseases together makes it possible to show trends in incidence rates over time after 1998. 85% of malignant neoplasms of the kidney in adults are renal cell carcinomas (hypernephromas), whereas nephroblastomas (Wilms’ tumours), sarcomas and lymphomas of the kidney are more common among children. Kidney cancer accounts for 4.4% of all cancers among men and 3.3% among women; it causes 3.6% and 2.7% respectively of all cancer-related deaths. Risk factors Smoking and passive smoking are regarded as the most important risk factors. There appears to be a connection between overweight and the incidence of kidney cancer, primarily among women. In men, the type of fat distribution seems to be a crucial determinant. The uncontrolled intake of phenacetin-containing painkillers (which are no longer used today) and the resultant damage to the kidneys have been confirmed as risk factors for kidney cancer. Chronic renal insufficiency, irrespective of the cause, favours carcinogenesis in the kidney. Occupational exposure to kidney-damaging substances (e.g. halogenated hydrocarbons, cadmium, etc.) can increase cancer risk by causing renal insufficiency. A family predisposition is probably only a factor in relatively few cases. Renal cell carcinomas, which occur in the context of the rare, hereditary Hippel-Lindau syndrome, are often multifocal and occur more frequently at Incidence and mortality trends The age-standardized incidence rates of kidney cancer rose for both sexes until the mid-1990s and have remained virtually unchanged since then. The overall increase in rates since 1980 was between 50% and 70%; by contrast, the number of cases has more than doubled during this period. The age-standardized mortality rate, too, developed similarly for women and men; after rates initially rose, a downward trend has been observed since the early 1990s. Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year survival rates of patients with kidney cancer were around 50% in the Saarland in the 1980s; the state cancer registries currently put the 5-year survival rates between 65% and 75%. A growing number of new kidney-cancer cases per annum and generally more favourable survival rates have meant that in 2006 about 60,000 people living in Germany, including more than 37,000 men, had been diagnosed with kidney cancer within the past five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C64 – 66, C68 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.16.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C64 – 66, C68 per 100,000 140 Men 120 100 80 60 40 20 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 140 Women 120 100 80 60 40 20 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 2006 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 81 Cancer in Germany 82 | Kidney and efferent urinary tract Figure 3.16.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C64 – 66, C68 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 30 27 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.16.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C64 – 66, C68 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 860) 2.0% (1 in 51) <0.1% (1 in 4,900) 1.0% (1 in 100) 50 0.3% (1 in 310) 1.9% (1 in 52) 0.1% (1 in 1,200) 1.0% (1 in 100) 60 0.6% (1 in 160) 1.7% (1 in 59) 0.2% (1 in 470) 1.0% (1 in 110) 70 0.9% (1 in 110) 1.3% (1 in 79) 0.4% (1 in 240) 0.9% (1 in 120) 2.0% (1 in 50) 0.9% (1 in 110) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,500) 1.2% (1 in 82) <0.1% (1 in 10,000) 0.6% (1 in 180) 50 0.2% (1 in 620) 1.2% (1 in 86) <0.1% (1 in 3,100) 0.6% (1 in 180) 60 0.3% (1 in 290) 1.0% (1 in 96) 0.1% (1 in 1,100) 0.5% (1 in 190) 70 0.5% (1 in 200) 0.8% (1 in 130) 0.2% (1 in 500) 0.5% (1 in 210) 1.2% (1 in 81) 0.6% (1 in 180) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C64 – 66, C68 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.16.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C64 – 66, C68 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Brandenburg Meckl.-Western Pom. Meckl.-Western Pom. Brandenburg Thuringia Saxony Saxony Thuringia Germany, estimated Saxony-Anhalt Saarland Saxony-Anhalt Germany, estimated Bavaria Rhineland-Palatinate Lower Saxony Bavaria Bremen Lower Saxony Berlin Bremen Hamburg Hamburg Rhineland-Palatinate Berlin Schleswig-Holstein NRW (Münster dist.) Saarland Schleswig-Holstein 30 25 NRW (Münster dist.) 20 15 at least 90% registration: 10 5 cases 0 0 5 10 less than 90% registration rate: 15 20 cases 25 30 DCO cases Figure 3.16.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C64 – 66, C68 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Czech Republic Czech Republic USA USA Germany Germany Austria Austria Belgium Finland Belgium Australia Netherlands France Australia Netherlands Norway Norway England Poland Poland England Sweden Schwitzerland France Finland Denmark Denmark Incidence Mortality 42 Schwitzerland Sweden 35 28 21 14 7 Incidence Mortality Hong Kong Hong Kong 0 0 7 14 21 28 35 42 83 84 Cancer in Germany | Bladder 3.17 Bladder Occurrence Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Men Women 19,360 8,090 21,420 8,480 Crude incidence rate* 48.0 19.2 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 35.7 11.1 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 23.0 7.4 3,549 1,893 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 6.5 2.0 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 3.9 1.2 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 Invasive and surface-growing malignant neoplasms of the bladder are counted together with tumours of uncertain or unknown behaviour, because the criteria for categorizing the malignancy of a tumour of the bladder have changed repeatedly over time. This makes it impossible to map a trend over time of exclusively malignant neoplasms. As a result, the value of international comparisons is restricted, because many cancer registries only count invasive tumours of the bladder. Virtually all malignant neoplasms of the bladder are carcinomas of the urothelium, which are also called transitional-cell carcinomas and are frequently multifocal (i.e. occurring in different places in the same organ at the same time). Squamous cell carcinomas and adenocarcinomas of the bladder are much rarer. A distinction is made between flat and papillary (wart-shaped) growth forms. One in 23 men and one in 62 women develop bladder cancer in the course of their lives, albeit usually late in life: the median age at onset is comparatively high at 72 years among men and 74 years among women. Risk factors Tobacco consumption is the main risk factor in the development of bladder cancer. Passive smoking also increases the risk. Apart from tobacco consumption, exposure to certain chemicals (e.g. aromatic amines) is regarded as a risk. The known, most hazardous substances have been largely removed from the working processes of the chemical industry as well as from rubber, textile and leather processing, and protective measures have been introduced in Europe over the years. Despite these measures, bladder carcinomas caused by occupational exposure still occur today because of the disease’s long latency. Cytostatic drugs used in cancer therapy and chronic-inflammatory damage to the bladder mucosa also increase the risk of developing bladder cancer. Familial clustering is sometimes observed, although no link to a corresponding genetic defect has yet been confirmed. Incidence and mortality trends After a marked increase in the 1990s, which was probably related to some extent to the abovementioned changes in malignancy criteria, the age-standardized incidence rates have been falling markedly among men since the mid-1990s, whereas the figures for women have tended to stagnate. The age-standardized mortality rates, however, have fallen by 20% among women and 40% among men since 1980. Survival and prevalence The prognosis in the case of bladder cancer varies considerably, depending on how far the disease has spread at the time of diagnosis. Many bladder tumours with a favourable prognosis have been added as a result of the above-mentioned aggregation of tumours, leading to 5-year survival rates of 70% among women and 75% among men. In 2006, a total of 105,000 people (of whom 80,000 were men) living in Germany had developed bladder cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C67, D09.0, D41.4 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.17.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C67, D09.0, D41.4 per 100,000 400 Men 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 40–44 1980 1990 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 400 Women 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 40–44 1980 1990 2006 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 85 Cancer in Germany 86 | Bladder Figure 3.17.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C67, D09.0, D41.4 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.17.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C67, D09.0, D41.4 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 930) 4.5% (1 in 22) <0.1% (1 in 13,000) 1.0% (1 in 100) 50 0.4% (1 in 230) 4.5% (1 in 22) <0.1% (1 in 2,600) 1.0% (1 in 100) 60 1.0% (1 in 97) 4.4% (1 in 23) 0.1% (1 in 750) 1.0% (1 in 98) 70 2.0% (1 in 49) 4.0% (1 in 25) 0.4% (1 in 260) 1.0% (1 in 95) 4.4% (1 in 23) 1.0% (1 in 110) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,500) 1.6% (1 in 61) <0.1% (1 in 23,000) 0.4% (1 in 240) 50 0.2% (1 in 610) 1.6% (1 in 62) <0.1% (1 in 6,600) 0.4% (1 in 230) 60 0.3% (1 in 300) 1.5% (1 in 67) <0.1% (1 in 2,600) 0.4% (1 in 230) 70 0.6% (1 in 170) 1.3% (1 in 79) 0.1% (1 in 830) 0.4% (1 in 240) 1.6% (1 in 62) 0.4% (1 in 240) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C67, D09.0, D41.4 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.17.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C67, D09.0, D41.4 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Schleswig-Holstein Lower Saxony Germany, estimated NRW (Münster dist.) Saarland Schleswig-Holstein Lower Saxony Saarland Brandenburg Bremen Bremen Brandenburg NRW (Münster dist.) Hamburg Germany, estimated Berlin Meckl.-Western Pom. Rhineland-Palatinate Rhineland-Palatinate Hamburg Berlin Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony Bavaria Thuringia Saxony Bavaria Thuringia Saxony-Anhalt 60 50 40 Saxony-Anhalt 30 at least 90% registration: 20 cases 10 0 0 10 20 less than 90% registration rate: 30 40 cases 50 60 DCO cases Figure 3.17.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C67, D09.0, D41.4 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100.000 (European Standard), *excl. in situ tumours and neoplasms of uncertain or unknown behaviour (D 09.0, D41.4) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Denmark Denmark Germany Germany Norway Norway Czech Republic* Czech Republic* Sweden USA USA Austria* Austria* Sweden England* Belgium* Netherlands* Poland* Finland France* Switzerland* Netherlands* Finland Belgium* Switzerland* Poland* Australia* England* Incidence Mortality 60 France* Australia* 50 40 30 20 10 Incidence Mortality Hong Kong* Hong Kong* 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 87 88 Cancer in Germany | Nervous system 3.18 Nervous system izing radiation in diagnostic imaging procedures or from exposure to radiation in other contexts. Occurrence Men Women 3,880 3,290 4,060 3,340 Crude incidence rate* 9.6 7.8 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 8.2 6.3 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 6.7 5.2 Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Deaths 2006 2,955 2,600 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 5.9 4.1 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 4.4 3.0 * per 100,000 Most cancers of the central nervous system (CNS) are brain tumours, although the latter do not develop from nerve cells, but (for example) from nerve sheaths and meninges. They are the source of 1.7% of all cancer cases among women and men and cause 2.6% of cancer-related deaths. The median age at onset is 63 years among women and 60 years among men. Tumours of the central nervous system account for over 20% of all new cancer cases among children. The risk of developing cancer of the central nervous system in the following ten years is about the same for 60-year-old as for 70-year-old women and men: 0.2%. The lifetime risk is 0.6% for women and 0.7% for men. In this publication, the RKI estimate has determined the incidence of cancers of the central nervous system in Germany for the first time. The results of this initial estimate are still uncertain, however, because up to now it has only been possible to use data from the Saarland cancer registry. Risk factors The causes of the various brain tumours are largely unclear to date. According to the information currently available, neither environmental factors nor electromagnetic radiation (e.g. from mobile phones) contribute to an increase in risk. Although the therapeutic irradiation of the head in children increases risk after a long latency period, according to data available up to now there is no measurable risk from the use of ion- Incidence and mortality trends From the 1980s to the mid-1990s, the age-standardized mortality rate from cancer of the central nervous system among women and men rose by 50% and the number of cancer deaths by more than 100%. The increase in mortality rates from malignant neoplasms of the central nervous system affected almost exclusively people over the age of 65 years and was recorded against the background of a falling number of deaths due to neoplasms of uncertain and unknown behaviour. The increase in incidence figures (+50%) and rates (+25% among women, +30% among men) was less steep than the rise in deaths and mortality rates. As already observed in the case of mortality rates, only the incidence rates among older women and men (70 years old and over) kept rising. By contrast, the incidence rates among women and men under 60 years old have declined since the 1990s. Survival and prevalence The state population-based cancer registries have not yet reported survival rates for patients with cancer of the brain and the central nervous system. Current overall survival rates in the USA are between 34% and 38%. Older patients have a much poorer prognosis: women and men over 65 years old in the USA have very unfavourable 5-year survival rates of only 5% to 7%. There is currently no reliable information on the prevalence of cancers of the CNS in Germany. ICD-10 C70–72 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.18.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C70 – 72 per 100,000 40 Men 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 40 Women 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 89 Cancer in Germany 90 | Nervous system Figure 3.18.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C70 – 72 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.18.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C70 – 72 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,300) 0.6% (1 in 160) <0.1% (1 in 2,100) 0.5% (1 in 190) 50 0.1% (1 in 700) 0.6% (1 in 180) 0.1% (1 in 1,000) 0.5% (1 in 200) 60 0.2% (1 in 540) 0.5% (1 in 220) 0.2% (1 in 610) 0.4% (1 in 230) 70 0.2% (1 in 460) 0.3% (1 in 320) 0.2% (1 in 490) 0.3% (1 in 310) 0.7% (1 in 140) 0.6% (1 in 170) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,800) 0.5% (1 in 190) <0.1% (1 in 3,400) 0.5% (1 in 210) 50 0.1% (1 in 1,000) 0.5% (1 in 210) 0.1% (1 in 1,700) 0.5% (1 in 220) 60 0.2% (1 in 640) 0.4% (1 in 260) 0.1% (1 in 840) 0.4% (1 in 240) 70 0.2% (1 in 630) 0.2% (1 in 410) 0.2% (1 in 580) 0.3% (1 in 310) 0.6% (1 in 160) 0.5% (1 in 200) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C70–72 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.18.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C70–72 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Germany, estimated Saarland Germany, estimated Schleswig-Holstein Saxony Saxony Thuringia Berlin Berlin Saarland Brandenburg Bavaria Bavaria Brandenburg Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony-Anhalt Bremen Bremen Schleswig-Holstein Thuringia NRW (Münster dist.) Lower Saxony Hamburg Hamburg Saxony-Anhalt Meckl.-Western Pom. Lower Saxony NRW (Münster dist.) Rhineland-Palatinate 12 10 8 Rhineland-Palatinate 6 at least 90% registration: 4 cases 2 0 0 2 4 less than 90% registration rate: 6 8 cases 10 12 DCO cases Figure 3.18.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C70 – 72 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100.000 (European Standard), *incl. benign tumours and neoplasms of uncertain or unknown behaviour (D32, D33, D42, D43) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Norway* Denmark* Denmark* Norway* Finland* Finland* Sweden* Sweden* Poland Poland Germany Germany Australia Australia Czech Republic England England Czech Republic Belgium Belgium Netherlands France Switzerland Austria Switzerland USA Incidence Mortality 30 France USA Austria Netherlands 25 20 15 10 5 Incidence Mortality Hong Kong Hong Kong 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 91 92 Cancer in Germany | Thyroid gland 3.19 Thyroid gland Occurrence Incidence in 2006 Projection for 2010 Men Women 1,620 3,660 1,670 3,680 Crude incidence rate* 4.0 8.7 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 3.4 7.5 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 2.7 6.1 Deaths 2006 258 502 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 0.5 0.6 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 0.3 0.4 * per 100,000 There are four types of thyroid cancer with different clinical progressions and prognoses: ▶▶ papillary carcinomas (approx. 50%, typically affecting young adults), ▶▶ follicular carcinomas (20-30%, for which frequency peaks in the 50- to 60-year-old age group), ▶▶ anaplastic carcinomas (10%, predominantly affecting the elderly) and ▶▶ medullary or C-cell carcinomas. The latter develop from special cells in the thyroid gland which regulate calcium metabolism. Thyroid cancer makes up 1.9% of all malignant neoplasms among women and 0.7% among men; it causes 0.5% and 0.2% of cancer-related deaths respectively. The highest risk of developing this cancer in the following ten years is among 50-year-old women. Risk factors One confirmed (albeit comparatively rare) risk factor is exposure to ionizing radiation, above all in childhood. Goitre diseases, which are common in regions of iodine deficiency, increase the risk, especially among people under the age of 50 years. Furthermore, the proportion of papillary and anaplastic carcinomas is regularly higher in such regions. Benign adenomas also increase thyroid cancer risk. About a quarter of patients with rare medullary thyroid carcinomas have inheritable genetic defects (multiple endocrine neoplasia type 2, or MEN 2) with an autosomal dominant inheritance pattern. A genetic component is also regarded as a probable risk factor in the case of non-medullary forms of the disease. Apart from iodine deficiency, no risk factors related to diet or lifestyle have yet been reliably substantiated. Incidence and mortality trends Thyroid cancer mortality rates for women and men in Germany have fallen by more than 40%, while the number of new cases and the age-standardized incidence rates have risen considerably. Incidence rates among women have risen sharply among under-60-year-olds since 1990; rates have increased slightly among 60- to 75-year-olds and remained constant among older women. Incidence rates have also risen among younger and fallen among older men. Cancers of the thyroid are being detected earlier and at a more easily treatable stage, especially among women. This has led to higher incidence rates among younger people, lower incidence rates among older people, and declining mortality rates. Survival and prevalence The best survival prospects are associated with papillary carcinoma, the typical thyroid carcinoma in young people, while the chances of survival with an anaplastic thyroid carcinoma are slim. The state cancer registries report relative 5-year survival rates of 90% for women. Survival rates for men are currently between 77% and 87%. In Finland and the USA, too, the survival rates for women (93% and 98% respectively) are better than for men (85% and 94%). The 5-year survival rates of patients with thyroid cancer in the Saarland before 1990 were 77% among women and 67% among men. In 2006, 15,300 women and 6,000 men living in Germany had been diagnosed with thyroid cancer within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C73 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.19.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C73 per 100,000 21 Men 18 15 12 9 6 3 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 21 Women 18 15 12 9 6 3 15–34 1980 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 93 Cancer in Germany 94 | Thyroid gland Figure 3.19.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C73 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.19.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C73 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 2,200) 0.2% (1 in 400) <0.1% (1 in 56,000) 0.1% (1 in 1,600) 50 0.1% (1 in 1,400) 0.2% (1 in 480) <0.1% (1 in 13,000) 0.1% (1 in 1,600) 60 0.1% (1 in 1,300) 0.1% (1 in 690) <0.1% (1 in 8,300) 0.1% (1 in 1,700) 70 0.1% (1 in 1,600) 0.1% (1 in 1,300) <0.1% (1 in 4,600) 0.1% (1 in 1,900) 0.3% (1 in 350) 0.1% (1 in 1,600) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 820) 0.5% (1 in 190) <0.1% (1 in 58,000) 0.1% (1 in 950) 50 0.1% (1 in 690) 0.4% (1 in 250) <0.1% (1 in 18,000) 0.1% (1 in 950) 60 0.1% (1 in 770) 0.3% (1 in 370) <0.1% (1 in 6,700) 0.1% (1 in 970) 70 0.1% (1 in 970) 0.2% (1 in 650) <0.1% (1 in 2,600) 0.1% (1 in 1,000) 0.7% (1 in 150) 0.1% (1 in 950) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C73 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.19.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C73 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Bavaria Bavaria Germany, estimated Berlin Brandenburg Brandenburg Germany, estimated Berlin NRW (Münster dist.) Meckl.-Western Pom. Saxony NRW (Münster dist.) Saxony-Anhalt Lower Saxony Saarland Bremen Lower Saxony Saxony-Anhalt Saxony Rhineland-Palatinate Rhineland-Palatinate Schleswig-Holstein Schleswig-Holstein Thuringia Saarland Meckl.-Western Pom. Thuringia Bremen Hamburg Hamburg 12 10 8 6 at least 90% registration: 4 2 cases 0 0 2 4 6 less than 90% registration rate: 8 10 cases 12 DCO cases Figure 3.19.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C73 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women USA USA France Austria Austria France Australia Australia Hong Kong Germany Czech Republic Switzerland Norway Belgium Belgium Finland Switzerland Hong Kong Germany Czech Republic Poland Finland Norway Poland England Denmark Sweden Sweden 18 Denmark England Incidence Mortality 15 12 9 6 3 Incidence Mortality Netherlands Netherlands 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 95 96 Cancer in Germany | Hodgkin‘s lymphoma 3.20 Hodgkin‘s lymphoma Occurrence Men Women 1,130 890 Projection for 2010 970 870 Crude incidence rate* 2.8 2.1 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 2.7 2.0 Incidence in 2006 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 2.5 2.0 Deaths 2006 180 162 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 0.3 0.2 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 0.2 0.2 * per 100,000 Hodgkin’s lymphoma, formerly known as Hodgkin’s disease, is distinguished from non-Hodgkin lymphomas by the histologically confirmed presence of microscopic Reed-Sternberg giant cells in the bone marrow and the lymph nodes. About 2,020 people were diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma in Germany in 2006. The disease can occur at all ages; the median age at diagnosis is about 46 years among men and 41 years among women. Risk factors The risk factors for Hodgkin’s lymphoma have only been partly clarified up to now. According to the data currently available, lifestyle-related risk factors or environmental risks cannot be held responsible for the development of Hodgkin’s lymphoma. As in the case of non-Hodgkin lymphomas, congenital and acquired characteristics of the immune system as well as viral infections are under discussion. However, up to now their respective influence has not been quantified, and certainly no proven cause has been identified for any individual case. Epstein-Barr viruses, the pathogens of Pfeiffer’s glandular fever (infectious mononucleosis), and retroviruses (e.g. HTLV and HIV) have been under discussion as possible contributory factors for a long time. New study findings have confirmed the role of the Epstein-Barr virus: the proportion of Hodgkin patients was nine times higher among study participants who had developed mononucleosis before their sixth birthday than in the control group. The hepatitis B virus also seems to play a role, according to recent studies. Children and siblings of patients with Hodgkin’s lymphoma have a markedly enhanced risk of developing the disease themselves. Scientific interest is therefore increasingly focusing on hereditary factors, although up to now research has not identified unequivocally risk-enhancing or inheritable genetic defects. Incidence and mortality trends Age-standardized incidence rates estimated for Germany reveal a consistently decreasing trend among men; the same trend was not recorded among women until the 1990s. This estimate involves uncertainties, however, because the number of cases is small. Mortality fell markedly in both sexes during the observation period. Survival and prevalence The prognosis for patients with Hodgkin’s lymphoma is favourable. The relative 5-year survival rates lie between approx. 75% and 90%. At the end of 2006, about 4,500 men and 4,300 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C81 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.20.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C81 per 100,000 8 Men 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 8 Women 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 97 98 Cancer in Germany | Hodgkin‘s lymphoma Figure 3.20.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C81 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.20.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C81 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 20 <0.1% (1 in 3,700) 0.2% (1 in 580) <0.1% (1 in 88,000) <0.1% (1 in 2,600) 30 <0.1% (1 in 3,800) 0.2% (1 in 680) <0.1% (1 in 40,000) <0.1% (1 in 2,700) 40 <0.1% (1 in 3,900) 0.1% (1 in 810) <0.1% (1 in 40,000) <0.1% (1 in 2,900) 50 <0.1% (1 in 3,300) 0.1% (1 in 1,000) <0.1% (1 in 27,000) <0.1% (1 in 3,000) 0.2% (1 in 480) <0.1% (1 in 2,600) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever 20 <0.1% (1 in 3,400) 0.1% 30 <0.1% (1 in 3,800) 40 <0.1% (1 in 6,200) 50 <0.1% (1 in 7,100) Lifetime risk Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever (1 in 720) <0.1% (1 in 180,000) <0.1% (1 in 3,000) 0.1% (1 in 920) <0.1% (1 in 90,000) <0.1% (1 in 3,100) 0.1% (1 in 1,200) <0.1% (1 in 61,000) <0.1% (1 in 3,200) 0.1% (1 in 1,470) <0.1% (1 in 40,000) <0.1% (1 in 3,300) 0.2% (1 in 610) <0.1% (1 in 3,000) ICD-10 C81 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.20.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C81 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Saarland Brandenburg Schleswig-Holstein Berlin Saxony Schleswig-Holstein Germany, estimated Hamburg Lower Saxony Meckl.-Western Pom. Germany, estimated Bavaria Thuringia Lower Saxony Saarland Brandenburg Hamburg NRW (Münster dist.) Saxony-Anhalt Bavaria NRW (Münster dist.) Rhineland-Palatinate Berlin Bremen Rhineland-Palatinate Saxony Bremen Saxony-Anhalt Meckl.-Western Pom. Thuringia 6 5 4 3 2 at least 90% registration: cases 1 0 0 1 2 3 less than 90% registration rate: 4 cases 5 6 DCO cases Figure 3.20.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C81 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women France Belgium USA Finland Denmark Switzerland Switzerland Denmark Australia USA Netherlands England Czech Republic Norway Czech Republic England Australia Belgium Germany Germany Finland Austria Norway France Poland Netherlands Sweden Sweden Incidence Mortality 6 Austria Poland 5 4 3 2 1 Incidence Mortality Hong Kong Hong Kong 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 99 100 Cancer in Germany | Non-Hodgkin lymphomas 3.21 Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Occurrence Men Women 6,410 6,350 Projection for 2010 6,820 6,580 Crude incidence rate* 15.9 15.1 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 12.6 9.9 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 9.2 7.2 2,732 2,734 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 5.2 3.4 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 3.3 2.2 Incidence in 2006 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 Several different malignant diseases of the lymphatic system are subsumed under the term “non-Hodgkin lymphomas”. There were about 12,800 new cases in Germany in 2006, divided approximately equally between men and women. The median age at onset is higher among women (70 years) than among men (67 years). Risk factors In the group of non-Hodgkin lymphomas, little can be said about risk factors that is valid for all forms. A weakening of the immune system (e.g. as a result of an HIV infection or immunosuppressive treatment) involves an increased risk of developing the disease. Viral infections also contribute to the development of these diseases, although the extent of their influence is difficult to assess. There is a confirmed causal association between an infection with the Epstein-Barr virus (EBV, the pathogen of Pfeiffer’s glandular fever, also known as infectious mononucleosis) and Burkitt’s lymphoma, which occurs predominantly in Africa. Clusters of T-cell lymphomas are observed in association with human T-cell leukaemia virus HTLV-1 infections. Recent studies also suggest that certain types of lymphoma are more likely to develop in the context of chronic infections with hepatitis viruses (type B or C). A chronic inflammation of the gastric mucosa (stomach lining) with the bacterium Helicobacter pylori (which also causes stomach ulcers) seems to increase the risk of developing a local lymphoma of the gastric mucosa (MALT lymphoma). Furthermore, occupational and industrial exposure to heavy metals, certain organic solvents, herbicides, organophosphate insecticides and fungicides are under discussion as causal factors. However, it is very rare that a specific cause can be identified in an individual patient’s case history. Radioactive radiation can trigger malignant lymphomas. In addition, smoking seems to play a role in the case of highly aggressive forms. New studies suggest that certain congenital genetic defects might influence the risk of developing the disease without themselves being the direct trigger of lymphomas. These include variations in genes that regulate programmed cell death, become active in inflammation processes or in the context of an immune reaction, or are relevant for the stability of the genetic code. Incidence and mortality trends The age-standardized incidence rates rose for both sexes between 1980 and 1995. There are signs of a slight decrease since the turn of the millennium. The mortality rates have developed in a similar way. Survival and prevalence The 5-year survival rate among people with nonHodgkin lymphomas is 45% to 62% among men and 56% to 69% among women. At the end of 2006, about 22,000 women and about 20,700 men living in Germany had been diagnosed with a non-Hodgkin lymphoma within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C82 – 85 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.21.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C82 – 85 per 100,000 80 Men 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 80 Women 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 101 Cancer in Germany 102 | Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Figure 3.21.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C82 – 85 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.21.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C82 – 85 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,100) 1.2% (1 in 82) <0.1% (1 in 5,200) 0.6% (1 in 160) 50 0.2% (1 in 500) 1.2% (1 in 86) 0.1% (1 in 2,000) 0.6% (1 in 160) 60 0.3% (1 in 300) 1.0% (1 in 96) 0.1% (1 in 760) 0.6% (1 in 160) 70 0.5% (1 in 200) 0.8% (1 in 120) 0.3% (1 in 340) 0.6% (1 in 170) 1.3% (1 in 77) 0.6% (1 in 160) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever 40 0.1% (1 in 1,400) 1.2% 50 0.2% (1 in 600) 60 0.3% (1 in 360) 70 0.4% (1 in 240) Lifetime risk Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever (1 in 84) <0.1% (1 in 9,300) 0.6% (1 in 180) 1.1% (1 in 88) <0.1% (1 in 3,400) 0.6% (1 in 180) 1.0% (1 in 100) 0.1% (1 in 1,100) 0.6% (1 in 180) 0.8% (1 in 130) 0.2% (1 in 460) 0.5% (1 in 200) 1.2% (1 in 81) 0.6% (1 in 170) ICD-10 C82 – 85 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.21.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C82 – 85 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Schleswig-Holstein Schleswig-Holstein Meckl.-Western Pom. Lower Saxony Lower Saxony Bremen Meckl.-Western Pom. Bremen NRW (Münster dist.) Germany, estimated Berlin NRW (Münster dist.) Saarland Saarland Brandenburg Hamburg Germany, estimated Berlin Saxony-Anhalt Bavaria Rhineland-Palatinate Thuringia Hamburg Saxony Saxony Brandenburg Thuringia Rhineland-Palatinate Bavaria Saxony-Anhalt 24 20 16 12 at least 90% registration: 8 4 cases 0 0 4 8 less than 90% registration rate: 12 16 cases 20 24 DCO cases Figure 3.21.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C82 – 85 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women USA USA Australia Netherlands Netherlands Australia Finland Finland Switzerland Norway Belgium Norway Switzerland Belgium England England France Denmark France Denmark Germany Sweden Sweden Germany Austria Austria Hong Kong Czech Republic Incidence Mortality 24 Czech Republic Hong Kong Poland 20 16 12 8 Incidence Mortality Poland 4 0 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 103 104 Cancer in Germany | Leukaemias 3.22 Leukaemias Occurrence Men Women 5,080 4,220 Projection for 2010 5,440 4,350 Crude incidence rate* 12.6 10.0 Standardized incidence rate (Europe)* 10.3 7.2 Standardized incidence rate (World)* 8.0 5.8 3,720 3,387 Standardized mortality rate (Europe)* 7.0 4.3 Standardized mortality rate (World)* 4.7 2.9 Incidence in 2006 Deaths 2006 * per 100,000 Leukaemias originate in the bone marrow and are classified according to acute and chronic forms and the different cell types affected. The main groups – acute lymphatic leukaemia (ALL), acute myeloid leukaemia (AML), chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) and chronic lymphatic leukaemia (CLL) – differ substantially in terms of epidemiology, disease biology and prognosis. While chronic forms of leukaemia only occur in adults, ALL is the most common cancer among children. AML occurs at all ages, but reaches its frequency peak at an older age. It should be noted in particular that, depending on molecular biological findings, chronic lymphatic leukaemias can also be classified as low-risk lymphomas with a leukemic progression. This blurs the distinction between leukaemias and non-Hodgkin lymphomas. About 9,300 people were diagnosed with a form of leukaemia in Germany in 2006. The median age at diagnosis of the disease is 68 years among men and 69 years among women. Risk factors Although there are known risk factors that can trigger acute leukaemias (e.g. ionizing radiation, cytostatic drugs used in cancer therapy, and probably certain chemicals), these are not documented in the medical history of most patients Several comparatively rare genetic defects can increase the risk of leukaemia. The influence of viruses is under discussion but has not been unequivocally verified. There is also discussion on whether insufficient training of the immune system in childhood might contribute to an increase in the risk, although this discussion has been inconclusive up to now. An association with exposure to electromagnetic fields of various origins has not been proven so far. The causes of chronic leukaemias, the most common leukemic diseases in adults, are largely unknown. Research is currently being carried out on genetic defects, which might possibly contribute to an increased risk. No evidence exists to link people’s eating habits or lifestyle to risk of either acute or chronic leukaemias. Incidence and mortality trends Following an upward trend through the early 1990s, age-standardized incidence rates of leukaemias have been falling. The mortality rates have already been declining since 1980. The classification problems vis-à-vis non-Hodgkin lymphomas make it more difficult to interpret these results, although incidence rates of the latter are also falling. Survival and prevalence The relative 5-year survival rates for all forms of leukaemia in Germany are between 35% and 50%; acute leukaemias in adults have the worst prognosis. In turn, the survival prospects of children are much better than those of adults (see section 4). In 2006, about 12,800 men and 10,700 women living in Germany had been diagnosed with a leukaemia within the previous five years (5-year prevalence). ICD-10 C91 – 95 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.22.1 Age-standardized incidence rates in Germany by gender for 1980, 1990 and 2006, ICD-10 C91 – 95 per 100,000 140 Men 120 100 80 60 40 20 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 2006 140 Women 120 100 80 60 40 20 0–14 1980 15–34 1990 35–39 2006 40–44 45–49 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85+ Age group 105 106 Cancer in Germany | Leukaemias Figure 3.22.2 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany, 1980 – 2006, ICD-10 C91 – 95 Incidence per 100,000 (European Standard) 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1980 1982 1984 1986 Incidence rate among men Mortality rate among men 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 Incidence rate among women Mortality rate among women Table 3.22.1 Cancer incidence and mortality risks in Germany by age and gender, ICD-10 C91 – 95 Data basis 2006 Risk of developing the disease Men aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 2,200) 1.0% (1 in 100) <0.1% (1 in 5,200) 0.9% (1 in 120) 50 0.1% (1 in 870) 1.0% (1 in 100) 0.1% (1 in 1,900) 0.9% (1 in 120) 60 0.3% (1 in 400) 0.9% (1 in 110) 0.2% (1 in 610) 0.9% (1 in 120) 70 0.4% (1 in 240) 0.8% (1 in 130) 0.4% (1 in 250) 0.8% (1 in 120) 1.1% (1 in 90) 0.9% (1 in 120) Lifetime risk Risk of developing the disease Women aged in the next 10 years ever Risk of dying of the disease in the next 10 years ever 40 <0.1% (1 in 2,300) 0.7% (1 in 140) <0.1% (1 in 6,700) 0.7% (1 in 150) 50 0.1% (1 in 1,000) 0.7% (1 in 140) <0.1% (1 in 2,800) 0.7% (1 in 150) 60 0.2% (1 in 580) 0.6% (1 in 160) 0.1% (1 in 950) 0.7% (1 in 150) 70 0.2% (1 in 420) 0.5% (1 in 200) 0.2% (1 in 420) 0.6% (1 in 160) 0.8% (1 in 120) 0.7% (1 in 140) Lifetime risk ICD-10 C91 – 95 | Cancer in Germany Figure 3.22.3 Registered age-standardized incidence rates in the regions of Germany, 2005 – 2006, ICD-10 C91 – 95 New cases per 100,000 (European Standard) Men Women Lower Saxony Schleswig-Holstein Schleswig-Holstein Lower Saxony Meckl.-Western Pom. Saarland Saxony Saxony-Anhalt Berlin Brandenburg Brandenburg Meckl.-Western Pom. Hamburg Hamburg Bavaria Thuringia Saxony-Anhalt Saxony Rhineland-Palatinate Berlin Thuringia NRW (Münster dist.) Germany, estimated NRW (Münster dist.) Saarland Bavaria Germany, estimated Rhineland-Palatinate Bremen 18 15 12 9 at least 90% registration: Bremen 6 cases 3 0 0 3 6 9 less than 90% registration rate: 12 cases 15 18 DCO cases Figure 3.22.4 Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates in Germany in 2006 compared internationally, ICD-10 C91 – 95 (except France, Australia in 2005, Switzerland in 2003–2006, Belgium [mortality rates] in 2004) Fälle per 100,000 (Europastandard) Data sources, see appendix, page 117 Men Women Netherlands Australia USA USA Australia Denmark Norway Netherlands Sweden Switzerland England Austria Norway Denmark Switzerland Czech Republic Finland Sweden Germany Austria Finland Czech Republic Belgium England Belgium Germany France France 18 Hong Kong Poland Incidence Mortality 15 12 9 Incidence Mortality Poland Hong Kong 6 3 0 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 107 108 Cancer in Germany | Cancer in children 4 Cancer in children The German Childhood Cancer Registry (GCCR) has been based at the Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics at the University Medical Centere of the Johannes Gutenberg University, Mainz, since beginning its work in 1980. Close cooperation with the Society for Paediatric Oncology and Haematology (GPOH) and its associated hospitals was part of the GCCR‘s original conception. This is a characteristic feature of the registry which cannot be easily applied to adult oncology. This nationwide, population-based childhood cancer registry with a high level of data quality and a degree of completeness of over 95% (since about 1987) has been built up covering the whole of Germany. The GCCR thus meets international standards for populationbased cancer registries. Tumours of the central nervous system (CNS tumours) are an exception here; completeness in this field is slightly lower. A further characteristic of the GCCR is that it has implemented an active, open-end, long-term follow-up observation system which continues long into adulthood. In this way, the registry also provides the basis for research into long-term effects and secondary tumours, and for studies with long-term survivors in general. The registry population comprises children who are diagnosed with a malignant disease or a histologically benign brain tumour before their 15th birthday and are part of the resident popula- tion of the Federal Republic of Germany when diagnosed. Cancer cases in eastern Germany have also been registered since 1991. The current data pool consists of over 44,000 cancer cases. Since 1 January 2009, the GCCR has been registering all children and adolescents up to the age of 18 years (i.e. who are diagnosed before their 18th birthday) on the basis of the „Agreement of the Joint Federal Committee on Quality-Assurance Measures for the In-Patient Care of Children and Adolescents with Haemato-Oncological Diseases (GBA)“. This will make it possible to better consider the needs of the collaborating hospitals which have been combining paediatric and adolescent medicine for several years now and thus also treat cancer patients aged 15 years and over. Incidence of childhood cancers About 1,800 cases of childhood cancer are newly diagnosed every year in Germany. With an overall population of approx. 12.5 million children under the age of 15 years, this means an annual incidence of about 159 per 1,000,000 children in this age group. The likelihood that a newborn child will develop a malignant disease within the first 15 years of his/her life is 0.2%. In other words, a malignant cancer is diagnosed in approx. one in 500 children up to their 15th birthday. Figure 4.1 Cancer in children (determined for the period 1999 – 2008) Germ-cell tumours 2,9 % Bone tumours 4,5 % Other diagnoses 5,2 % Kidney tumours 5,6 % Leukaemias 34,1 % Soft-tissue sarcomas 5,9 % Peripheral neural-cell tumours 7,5 % Lymphomas 11,4 % CNS tumours 22,9 % Cancer in children | Cancer in Germany Figure 4.2 New cases by age and gender, all childhood malignancies Number of cases per 100,000 by age group, determined for the period 1999 – 2008 ��� ��� ��� ��� ��� �� <1 1 2 Males 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Age Females Range of diagnoses The pattern of cancer diagnoses in children is completely different from that of adults. For example, children are mostly affected by embryonal tumours (neuroblastomas, retinoblastomas, nephroblastomas, medulloblastomas, embryonic rhabdomyosarcomas or germ-cell tumours); carcinomas, by contrast, are very rare in childhood (making up about 2% of all malignant diseases). The largest diagnostic groups are leukaemias (34.1%), CNS tumours (22.9%) and lymphomas (11.4%). Overall cancer incidence among children under the age of five is about twice as high as in the 5- to 14-year-old age group. The median age at onset among the under-15-year-olds is five years, ten months. Boys are diagnosed with cancer 1.2 times more frequently than girls. Leukaemias Leukaemias make up more than a third of all cancers among the under-15-year-olds. The most Figure 4.3 New cases by age and gender, childhood acute lymphatic leukaemia (ALL) Number of cases per 100,000 by age group, determined for the period 1999 – 2008 ��� ��� �� �� �� �� <1 Males 1 2 Females 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Age 109 Cancer in Germany 110 | Cancer in children Figure 4.4 Trends in the incidence of selected diagnostic groups and for all childhood malignancies Number of cases per 1,000,000 (age-standardized), including eastern Germany since 1991 180 150 120 90 60 30 1988 1990 1992 1994 leukaemias all malignancies 1996 1998 CNS tumours 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Year lymphomas Figure 4.5 Trends in the incidence of childhood leukaemias, myeloproliferative and myelodysplastic disorders Number of cases per 1,000,000 (age-standardized), including eastern Germany since 1991 50 40 30 20 10 1988 1990 1992 1994 acute lymphatic leukaemia (ALL) 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 Year acute myeloid leukaemia (AML) common single diagnosis overall (27.0%) is acute lymphatic leukaemia (ALL). It occurs more than twice as frequently among children under the age of four as in the other age groups. 4.6% of all childhood malignancies are acute myeloid leukaemias (AML). AML is most common among children under the age of two. The survival prospects for AML are markedly lower than for ALL. The causes of leukaemias in childhood remain largely uncertain, even today. For a long time, environmental influences were suspected of causing childhood leukaemias. Since then it has been shown that the number of cases caused by most environmental factors (low-dose ionizing radiation, non-ionizing radiation and pesticides) is quite small after all, even if an association with leukaemias in childhood cannot be ruled out. A number of clues have meanwhile strengthened hypotheses that assign a key role to infectious pathogens in the development of childhood leukaemias. Especially children with an insufficiently modulated immune system in infancy can have a higher risk of developing leukaemia. Cancer in children CNS tumours The most common single diagnoses among CNS tumours are astrocytomas (total: 10.6%), intracranial and intraspinal embryonal tumours (5.0%) and ependymomas (2.3%). The increase in the incidence of CNS tumours observed in a number of western countries over the past decades may be connected with general changes in environmental factors and related exposures. For example, a number of epidemiological studies are looking into the possible influence of ionizing radiation, electromagnetic fields, pesticides, the mother‘s diet and genetic aspects. Lymphomas The most common lymphomas are Non-Hodgkin lymphomas (NHL), including Burkitt‘s lymphoma (total: 6.5%), and Hodgkin’s lymphoma (4.8%). The chances of survival with Hodgkin’s lymphoma are among the best in paediatric oncology. Children with congenital or acquired immunodeficiency and those who have had | Cancer in Germany immunosuppressive therapy are at increased risk of developing NHL. An association is suspected between lymphomas and ionizing radiation; this has not, however, been substantiated. Other common malignant diseases Other common malignant diseases in childhood include neuroblastomas (nerve-cell tumours), nephroblastomas (kidney tumours), germ-cell tumours, bone tumours and rhabdomyosarcomas (tumours of the skeletal musculature). Among these malignancies, the prognosis for children with nephroblastoma or a germ-cell tumour is much more favourable than for the others. Survival Children with cancer make up fewer than 1% of all cancer patients. However, malignant neoplasms are the second most common cause of death among children. Fortunately, the survival Table 4.1 Cancer in children Percentage incidence and survival rates for the most common diagnoses, determined for the period 1999 – 2008 Cancer sites Incidence* Survival rate in percent ** after 3 years after 5 years after 10 years Retinoblastomas 4 99 98 98 Hodgkin's lymphomas 6 98 98 97 Germ-cell tumours 5 97 95 94 Nephroblastomas 10 94 93 92 Acute lymphatic leukaemias 44 92 90 87 6 90 89 88 14 84 79 77 3 84 76 72 16 81 79 76 Ewing's tumours & related bone sarcomas 3 76 72 68 Rhabdomyosarcomas 5 76 71 69 Intracranial & intraspinal embryonal tumours 8 71 65 57 Acute myeloid leukaemias 7 69 66 64 159 86 83 81 Non-Hodgkin lymphomas Neuroblastomas and ganglioneuroblastomas Osteosarcomas Astrocytomas All malignancies * related to 1,000,000 children under the age of 15, age-standardized (standard: Segi world population) ** Brenner, Spix (2003) 111 112 Cancer in Germany | Cancer in children rates have improved dramatically over the last 30 years thanks to significantly more differentiated diagnostics and the use of multimodal therapy concepts. In the early 1980s the chances of children with cancer being still alive five years after diagnosis were 67%; this figure has risen to 83% since then. Looking at all patients of the registry population who were diagnosed between 1999 and 2008 and followed up, the overall chance of survival is 83% after five years, 81% after ten years, and 79% after 15 years. The encouraging increase in the number of long-term survivors is increasingly focusing attention on the long-term observation of former paediatric cancer patients. The GCCR provides an ideal data basis for carrying out studies with long-term survivors. As the above figures show, it is already possible to provide information on long-term survival (after 10 or 15 years) and to estimate the risk of developing a second malignancy after cancer in childhood. Examples of further research possibilities include the incidence of other long-term effects, such as the possible effects of therapy on fertility, and studies examining the health risks of the descendants of fathers and mothers who had childhood cancer. About 17,000 of the more than 33,000 patients currently known to be alive have been under observation by the registry for at least ten years. About half of these patients are at least 18 years old in the meantime and are thus, in principle, available for studies with long-term survivors. Literature on childhood cancer Brenner H, Spix C (2003) Combining cohort and period methods for retrospective time trend analyses of long-term cancer patient survival rates. Br J Cancer 89: 1260–1265 Creutzig U, Hentze G, Bielack S et al. (2003) Krebserkrankungen bei Kindern – Erfolg durch einheitliche Therapiekonzepte seit 25. Dt. Ärzteblatt 100: A842–A852 Debling D, Spix C, Blettner M et al. (2008) The cohort of long-term survivors at the German Childhood Cancer Registry. Klin Padiatr 220: 371–377 Kaatsch P (2004) Das Deutsche Kinderkrebsregister im Umfeld günstiger Rahmenbedingungen. Bundesgesundheitsblatt 47: 437–443 Kaatsch P, Steliarova-Foucher E, Crocetti E et al. (2006) Time trends of cancer incidence in European children (1978–1997): report from the ACCIS project. Eur J Cancer 42: 1961–1971 Kaatsch P, Mergenthaler A (2008) Incidence, time trends and regional variation of childhood leukaemia in Germany and Europe. Radiat Prot Dosimetry 132: 107–113 Kaatsch P, Debling D, Blettner M et al. (2009) Second malignant neoplasms after childhood cancer in Germany: Results from the long-term follow-up at the German Childhood Cancer Registry. Strahlenther Onkol 185 (Sondernr. 2): 8–10 Kaatsch P, Spix C (2009) Jahresbericht 2008/2009 (1980–2008) des Deutschen Kinderkrebsregisters. Institut für Medizinische Biometrie, Epidemiologie und Informatik, Universität Mainz www.kinderkrebsregister.de Paulides M, Mergenthaler A, Peeters J et al. (2008) Bedeutende organbezogene Langzeitfolgen von Chemotherapie und Sekundärmalignome. Med Welt 59: 105–109 Pommerening K, Debling D, Kaatsch P et al. (2008) Register zu seltenen Krankheiten: Patientencompliance und Datenschutz. BundesgesundheitsblGesundheitsforsch-Gesundheitsschutz 51, 491– 499 Schüz J (2008) Leukämien im Kindesalter und die Rolle von Umwelteinflüssen bei deren Entstehung. Umweltmed Forsch Prax 13: 342–357 Spix C, Eletr D, Blettner M et al. (2008) Temporal trends in the incidence rate of childhood cancer in Germany 1987–2004. Int J Cancer 122: 1859–1867 Spix C, Spallek J, Kaatsch P et al. (2008) Cancer survival among children of Turkish descent in Germany 1980–2005: a registry-based analysis. BMC Cancer 8: 355 Cancer in Germany Appendix German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the Robert Koch Institute After the Federal Cancer Registry Data Act (Bundeskrebsregisterdatengesetz – BKRG) came into force in August 2009, the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data was set up as an independent division within the Robert Koch Institute’s Department of Epidemiology and Health Reporting to perform the tasks laid down in the Act. The Centre for Cancer Registry Data is continuing the work of the former “Federal Cancer Surveillance Unit” at the Robert Koch Institute, but with a broader remit: ▶▶ to conduct analyses and studies on all aspects Remit of the former Federal Cancer Surveillance Unit: ▶▶ to check the completeness of case finding and of the variables included in the anonymized data submitted by the epidemiological (population-based) state cancer registries; ▶▶ to analyse these data; ▶▶ to publish the findings on cancer incidence in Germany and its development over time together with the Association of Populationbased Cancer Registries in Germany (GEKID). The work of the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data is supported by a scientific advisory board with an office at the RKI. This advisory board can also give permission for the dataset at the Centre for Cancer Registry Data to be made available to third parties on application – i.e. in addition to the state cancer registries – if a justified and, in particular, scientific interest can be substantiated. Further information on the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data is available on the Internet at www.rki.de/krebs. Additional tasks of the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data: ▶▶ to conduct a nationwide record linkage with the data from the different state cancer registries to discover any duplicate notifications and to inform the cancer registries accordingly; ▶▶ to compile, update and extrapolate a dataset from the reviewed data from the state cancer registries; ▶▶ to regularly estimate and analyse survival rates, stage distribution at diagnosis of the respective cancer, and other indicators, particularly on prevalence, the risk of developing and dying of the disease, and how these indicators develop over time; ▶▶ to examine data from various states to determine any regional differences in selected cancer sites; ▶▶ to provide a dataset for evaluating health-policy measures of cancer prevention, cancer screening, cancer treatment and healthcare; of cancer; ▶▶ to write a comprehensive report on cancer in Germany every five years; ▶▶ to further enhance methods and standardization rules on data collection and data transfer, and to analyse the data together with the state cancer registries; ▶▶ to collaborate in scientific bodies as well as European and international organizations on cancer registration and cancer epidemiology. Staff of the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data: Dr Klaus Kraywinkel (temporary head) Dr Benjamin Barnes Dr Joachim Bertz Dr Jörg Haberland Ms Ruth Krüger Ms Katrin Schünke Dr Ute Wolf 113 114 Cancer in Germany Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany (Gesellschaft der epidemiologischen Krebsregister in Deutschland e.V., GEKID) The Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany (GEKID) was formed in 2004 as a registered, non-profit-making association. GEKID’s members include not only all Germany’s population-based cancer registries, but also a tumour centre and interested scientists working in the field of cancer epidemiology. In the field of cancer control, GEKID cooperates closely with the Federal Ministry of Health, particularly in the context of the National Cancer Plan, and the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data based at the Robert Koch Institute (RKI). GEKID also participates actively in a wide range of scientific committees. The association’s primary task is to standardize as far as possible the content and methodology of cancer registration, despite the differences in legislation between the federal states. The comparability of results from the cancer registries can only be assured by nationwide cooperation. To promote such cooperation, GEKID published “The Manual of Population-based Cancer Registration” in 2008. Furthermore, GEKID is a joint point of contact for the population-based cancer registries on all issues of common interest and represents the registries at the European level, e.g. in the European Network of Cancer Registries (ENCR). In its charter, GEKID has set itself the following tasks: ▶▶ to be the point of contact both for national and international cooperation partners and for the interested public, ▶▶ to provide information on the status of cancer registration in Germany and explain the aims of population-based cancer registration, ▶▶ to engage in joint information activities and thus help the individual cancer registries achieve and maintain complete registration, ▶▶ to define standards on content as a basis for the comparability of population-based cancer registries, ▶▶ to coordinate tasks involving all the registries and foster contacts with clinical tumour documentation, ▶▶ to initiate joint research activities, ▶▶ to promote the scientific use of the populationbased cancer registries, and ▶▶ to use the data to advance quality assurance in oncological care. Information on GEKID can be obtained on the Internet at www.gekid.de, from the respective regional member registries, and from the Board of Directors (see address section). Contacts for the Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany (Gesellschaft der epidemiologischen Krebsregister in Deutschland e.V., GEKID) (see address section): Prof Dr Alexander Katalinic (Chair of GEKID, Schleswig-Holstein Cancer Registry) Dr Stefan Hentschel (1st Vice-chair, Hamburg Cancer Registry) Dr Bettina Eisinger (2nd Vice-chair, Joint Cancer Registry) Cancer in Germany Addresses Krebsregister Baden-Württemberg (Baden-Württemberg Cancer Registry) Epidemiologisches Krebsregister (Population-based Cancer Registry) Deutsches Krebsforschungszentrum (German Cancer Research Centre) Im Neuenheimer Feld 581 69120 Heidelberg Telephone: 06221/42 42 20 Telefax: 06221/42 22 03 Email: [email protected] Internet: www.krebsregister-bw.de Vertrauensstelle* Baden-Württemberg (Baden-Württemberg Confidentiality Unit) Deutsche Rentenversicherung (German Pension Insurance) Baden-Württemberg Gartenstr. 105 76135 Karlsruhe Telephone: 0721/82 57 90 00 Telefax: 0721/82 57 90 00 Email: [email protected] Klinische Landesregisterstelle* (Clinical State Registration Unit) Baden-Württembergische Krankenhausgesellschaft e.V. (Baden-Württemberg Hospital Association) Birkenwaldstr. 151 70191 Stuttgart Telephone: 0711/257 77 42/48 Telefax: 0711/257 77 39 Email: [email protected] Bevölkerungsbezogenes Krebsregister Bayern (Bavaria Population-based Cancer Registry) Östliche Stadtmauerstr. 30 91054 Erlangen Telephone: 09131/853 60 35 (R) Telefax: 09131/853 60 40 (R) 0911/378 67 38 (V) 0911/378 76 19 (V) Email: [email protected] Internet: www.krebsregister-bayern.de Gemeinsames Krebsregister der Länder Berlin, Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Sachsen-Anhalt und der Freistaaten Sachsen und Thüringen (Joint Cancer Registry of Berlin, Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, Saxony-Anhalt, Saxony and Thuringia), GKR Brodauer Str. 16 – 22 12621 Berlin Telephone: 030/56 58 14 01 (R) Telefax: 030/56 58 14 44 (R) 030/56 58 13 15 (V) 030/56 58 13 33 (V) Email: [email protected] (R) [email protected] (V) Internet: www.krebsregister-berlin.de Krebsregister des Landes Bremen (Bremen Cancer Registry) Bremer Institut für Präventionsforschung und Sozialmedizin (Bremen Institute for Prevention Research and Social Medicine), BIPS Linzer Str. 8 – 10 28359 Bremen Telephone: 0421/595 96 49 (R) Telefax: 0421/595 96 68 (R) 0421/595 96 44 (V) Email: [email protected] (R) [email protected] (V) Internet: www.krebsregister.bremen.de Hamburgisches Krebsregister (Hamburg Cancer Registry) Behörde für Soziales, Familie, Gesundheit und Verbraucherschutz (State Ministry of Social Affairs, Family, Health and Consumer Protection) Billstr. 80 20539 Hamburg Telephone: 040/428 37 22 11 Telefax: 040/428 37 26 55 Email: [email protected] Internet: www.hamburg.de/krebsregister 115 116 Cancer in Germany Krebsregister Hessen (Hesse Cancer Registry) Registerstelle* des Hessischen Krebsregisters (Registration Unit of the Hesse Cancer Registry) Hessischen Landesprüfungs- und Untersuchungsamt im Gesundheitswesen (Hesse State Health Office, HLPUG) Wolframstr. 33 35683 Dillenburg Telephone: 02771/32 06 39 (R) Telefax: 02771/366 71 (R) Email: [email protected] (R) Internet: www.hlpug.de Vertrauensstelle des Krebsregisters bei der Landesärztekammer Hessen (Confidentiality Unit of the Cancer Registry at the Hesse State Medical Council) Im Vogelsgesang 3 60488 Frankfurt/Main Telephone: 069/789 04 50 (V) Telefax: 069/78 90 45 29 (V) Email: [email protected] (V) Internet: www.laekh.de Epidemiologisches Krebsregister Niedersachsen (Lower Saxony Population-based Cancer Registry) OFFIS CARE GmbH Industriestr. 9 26121 Oldenburg Telephone: 0441/361 05 60 (R) Telefax: 0441/36 10 56 10 (R) 0511/450 53 56 (V) 0511/450 51 32 (V) Email: [email protected] (R) [email protected] (V) Internet: www.krebsregister-niedersachsen.de Epidemiologisches Krebsregister NRW gGmbH (North Rhine-Westphalia Population-based Cancer Registry) Robert-Koch-Str. 40 48149 Münster Telephone: 0251/835 85 71 Telefax: 0251/835 85 77 Email: [email protected] Internet: www.krebsregister.nrw.de Krebsregister Rheinland-Pfalz (Rhineland-Palatinate Cancer Registry) Institut für Medizinische Biometrie, Epidemiologie und Informatik (Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics), IMBEI 55101 Mainz Telephone: 06131/17 67 10 (R) Telefax: 06131/17 47 51 86 (R) 06131/17 30 02 (V) 06131/17 34 29 (V) Email: [email protected] Internet: www.krebsregister-rheinland-pfalz.de Epidemiologisches Krebsregister Saarland (Saarland Population-based Cancer Registry) Ministerium für Gesundheit und Verbraucherschutz (Ministry of Health and Consumer Protection) Präsident-Baltz-Str. 5 66119 Saarbrücken Telephone: 0681/501 59 82 (R) Telefax: 0681/501 59 98 (R) 0681/501 58 05 (V) Email: [email protected] Internet: www.krebsregister.saarland.de Krebsregister Schleswig-Holstein (Schleswig-Holstein Cancer Registry) Institut für Krebsepidemiologie e.V. (Institute of Cancer Epidemiology) Ratzeburger Allee 160, Haus 50 23538 Lübeck Telephone: 0451/500 54 40 (R) Telefax: 0451/500 54 55 (R) 04551/80 31 04 (V) Email: [email protected] Internet: www.krebsregister-sh.de * To protect patients’ confidentiality, responsibility for cancer registration in Germany is often divided between Confidentiality Units (Vertrauensstellen) and Registration Units (Registerstellen). Cancer morbidity and mortality notifications are sent to the Confidentiality Units, where personal information is anonymized. Along with the corresponding medical data, these anonymized data are then sent to the Registration Units, which are responsible for maintaining and analysing the registry database. Cancer in Germany Deutsches Kinderkrebsregister (German Childhood Cancer Registry) Institut für Medizinische Biometrie, Epidemiologie und Informatik (Institute of Medical Biostatistics, Epidemiology and Informatics), IMBEI Telephone: 06131/17 31 11 Telefax: 06131/17 44 62 55101 Mainz Email: [email protected] Internet: www.kinderkrebsregister.de Futher contacts: Zentrum für Krebsregisterdaten im RKI (German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the Robert Koch Institute) General-Pape-Str. 62 – 66 12101 Berlin Telephone: 030/18 754 33 42 Telefax: 030/18 754 33 54 Email: [email protected] Internet: www.rki.de/krebs Bundesministerium für Gesundheit (Federal Ministry of Health) 53107 Bonn Referat 311 Referat 315 Telephone: 0228/99 441 15 10 Telefax: 0228/99 441 49 31 Telephone: 0228/99 441 31 08 Telefax: 0228/99 441 49 38 Email: [email protected] Internet:www.bmg.bund.de Sources for comparing country-specific cancer incidence and mortality rates Hong Kong: Hong Kong Cancer Registry, Hospital Authority http://www3.ha.org.hk/cancereg/e_stat.asp Australia: Australian Institute of Health and Welfare http://www.aihw.gov.au/cancer/data/index.cfm Netherlands: Netherlands Cancer Registry http://www.ikcnet.nl/page.php?id=237&nav_id=97 Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark: Association of the Nordic Cancer Registries http://www-dep iarc.fr/NORDCAN/english/frame.asp France: Institut de veille sanitaire http://www.invs.sante.fr/surveillance/cancers/default.htm Poland: National Cancer Registry http://85.128.14.124/krn/english/index.asp Czech Republic: Institute of Health Informationd and Statistics of the Czech Republic http://www.uzis.cz/cz/dps/english/index.html United Kingdom: OfficeforNationalStatistics:Inzidenz http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=8843 Mortality http://www.statistics.gov.uk/statbase/Product.asp?vlnk=618 USA: National Cancer Institute Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (17 Regionen) http://seer.cancer.gov/can ques/incidence.html Switzerland: National Institute for Cancer Epidemiology and Registration http://www.nicer-swiss.ch/ Belgium: Incidence: Belgian Cancer registry http://www.kankerregister.org Mortality: Vlaams Agentschap Zorg en Gezondheid. Vlaamse gezondheidsindicatoren. Statistiek van de doodsoorzaken www.zorg-en-gezondheid.be/cijfers.aspx Observatoire de la Santé et du Social de Bruxelles (2008) Bulletins statistiques de décès Ministère de la Communauté française-Direction générale de la Santé-Cellule des statistiques des naissances et des décè (2008) Bulletins statistiques de décès Austria: STATISTIK AUSTRIA, Österreichisches Krebsregister (Austrian Cancer Registry) (last revised: 27 August 2009) 117 118 Cancer in Germany Glossary adenocarcinoma malignant neoplasm (cancer) of the glandular epithelium (e.g. of the digestive tract) adenoma benign neoplasm of the glandular epithelium (e.g. of the digestive tract) aetiology study of the causes or origins of diseases anaplastic undifferentiated, so that the original tissue is no longer recognizable autosomal dominant inheritance pattern sex-independent inheritance pattern in which a characteristic is expressed if one of the two existing genes is affected Barrett's oesophagus persistent defect after healing of a reflux disease (see below) in which the surface is transformed (from a squamous epithelium into a columnar epithelium) case-control study epidemiological study comparing certain characteristics in patients ("cases") and nonpatients ("controls") climacteric disorder disorder during the menopause in women (e.g. hot flushes) climacteric (concerning) the menopause in women, phase of hormonal transition until menstruation stops cluster accumulation of events (e.g. of cancer cases) in a certain place or period cohort study epidemiological study in which a certain group of people is observed over a longer period of time colonoscopy internal examination of the large intestine using an inserted endoscope colorectal carcinoma malignant epithelial neoplasm (cancer) of the colon and rectum congenital naevus mole (birthmark) present from birth corpus carcinoma malignant neoplasm (cancer) of the uterus (corpus) crude rate not age-standardized rate DCO 'death-certificate-only', i.e. based solely on information from the death certificate diabetes mellitus chronic disorder of carbohydrate metabolism disposition congenital or acquired susceptibility to diseases DRG statistics hospital statistics based on a flat rate per case (Diagnosis Related Groups) dysplastic naevus deformed, irregularly outlined and pigmented malformation of the skin with an uneven surface embryonic period 16th to 60th day of pregnancy endometrial cancer malignant neoplasm of the uterus lining endometrial relating to the endometrium (lining of the uterus) ependymoma brain tumour of the glial cells which line cavities in the brain and spinal cord epidemiological/popula tion-based cancer registry population-based cancer registry that collects data on all the cancer cases that occur in a certain population epidemiology science dealing with the description and analysis of diseases in a population epithelium cell layers covering internal (e.g. lungs or intestines) and external (e.g. skin) body surfaces evaluation analysis and assessment of processes, e.g. in the field of health exposure being subjected to damaging influences (e.g. air pollution) genetic predisposition inherited tendency or susceptibility to certain diseases HIV human immunodeficiency virus ("AIDS virus") HPV human papilloma virus Cancer in Germany incidence frequency of cases, morbidity, how often a disease is contracted (usually expressed as the annual number of new cases per 100,000 of the population) indicator a factor that makes it possible to measure a certain condition or event intracranial situated in the skull intraspinal situated in the spinal cord canal invasive proliferating into the surrounding tissue; a criterion of a malignant neoplasm log-linear model statistical method of analysis long-term follow-up long-term observation of a certain group of people malignant melanoma malignant tumour of the pigment-forming cells (melanocytes) usually in the skin, the mucous membranes, the choroid of the inner eye or the meninges, which cover the brain MALT lymphoma mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue: lymphoma that develops in lymphocyte-rich tissue (e.g. in the mucous membranes of the gastrointestinal tract) mammography X-ray examination of the female breast (mamma) used in screening for breast cancer (mastocarcinoma) medullary thyroid carcinoma carcinoma of the C-cells in the thyroid gland which produce excessive amounts of calcitonin (which regulate calcium levels in the blood) Ménétrier's disease disorder in which the gastric mucosal folds (gastric lining) are enlarged metastasizing intermittent propagation of tumours to distant tissues mortality death rate (usually expressed as the annual number of deaths per 100,000 of the population) oncological concerning cancer PAP smear microscopic examination of a smear taken from the mouth of the uterus used in cancer screening, named after Dr George PAPanicolaou papillary wart-shaped pernicious anaemia anaemia caused by a deficiency of cobalamin (vitamin B12) polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) group of organic compounds consisting of at least two interconnected benzene rings polycystic ovaries enlarged ovaries containing several cavities filled with liquid (cysts) polynomial an algebraic expression consisting of one or more summed terms, each term consisting of a constant multiplier and one or more variables raised to integral powers postmenopause time after the last menstruation (menopause) postnatal after birth precancerous defined potential preliminary stage of a carcinoma prevalence epidemiological measure of frequency, number of people in a population living with a certain disease at a certain time PSA prostate-specific antigen; a test for PSA in the blood is used in screening for prostate cancer radon radioactive inert gas formed by the radioactive decay of radium; can accumulate in badly ventilated rooms reflux disease/reflux oesophagitis backing up of the stomach contents into the oesophagus, leading to an inflammation of the mucous membrane screening mass examination of a population group to detect diseases using simple, non-stressful diagnostic methods squamous-cell carcinoma malignant neoplasm of the squamous epithelium (e.g. of the lung or the skin) stomach polyps protuberances (usually stalk-like swelling) of the stomach lining (gastric mucosa) subfertility reduced fertility or ability to conceive 119 120 Cancer in Germany References Adami HO, Hunter D, Trichopoulos D (Hrsg) (2002) Textbook of Cancer Epidemiology. Oxford, Oxford University Press Becker N (2004) Erfahrungen bei der wissenschaft lichen Nutzung von Krebsregisterdaten. Bundesgesundheitsbl-Gesundheitsforsch-Gesundheitsschutz 47(5): 444–450 Bundesgesetzblatt (2009) Begleitgesetz zur zweiten Förderalismusreform. Art. 5 Bundeskrebsregister datengesetz (BKRG), BGBl. I S: 2702, 2707; Geltung ab 18.08.2009 Berrino F, De Angelis R, Sant M et al. (2007) EUROCARE Working group. Survival for eight major cancers and all cancers combined for European adults diagnosed in 1995–99: results of the EUROCARE-4 study. Lancet Oncol 8(9): 773–783 Brenner H, Stegmaier C, Ziegler H (2005) Long-term survival of cancer patients in Germany achieved by the beginning of the third millennium. Ann Oncol 16(6): 981–986 Curado MP, Edwards B, Shin HR et al. (2007) Cancer Incidence in Five Continents. Vol. IX., IARC Scientific Publications No. 160. 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(2007) Subtype specific incidence of testicular cancer in Germany. A pooled analysis of nine population-based cancer registries. Int J Androl 30: 1–11 Ständige Impfkommission (STIKO) am RKI (2009) Impfung gegen HPV-Aktuelle Bewertung der STIKO. Epid Bull 32: 319–328 Urbschat I, Kieschke J, Schlanstedt-Jahn U et al. (2005) Beiträge bevölkerungsbezogener Krebsregister zur Evaluation des bundesweiten Mammographie-Screenings. Gesundheitswesen 67(7): 448–544 Verdecchia A, Francisci S, Brenner H et al. (2007) EUROCARE-4 Working Group. Recent cancer survival in Europe: a 2000 – 02 period analysis of EUROCARE-4 data. Lancet Oncol 8(9): 784–796 ISBN 978-3-89606-209-3 The booklet »Cancer in Germany« is published jointly every two years by the Association of Population-based Cancer Registries in Germany (Gesellschaft der epidemiologischen Krebsregister in Deutschland e.V., GEKID) and the Robert Koch Institute (RKI). This seventh edition was compiled for the first time by the newly formed German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the RKI, again with the support of authors from the cancer registries. It contains the most important population-based statistics on the incidence of cancers in Germany in 2006, as well as observations on trends between 1980 and 2006 for all cancer sites together and for 21 selected individual sites. Tumours of the central nervous system have been newly included. Changes have also been introduced to the analyses: incidence and mortality rates, prevalence estimates and the expected number of cases in 2010 are given for the first time. Topical population-based data, primarily from the countries bordering on Germany, make it easier to put the findings into an international context. As in previous years, information on cancer in children is provided by the German Childhood Cancer Registry in a separate section of the booklet. The RKI‘s current estimates are based on the data from the German population-based cancer registries in which registration is complete; the data pool has been significantly improved in the meantime and can be regarded as much more precise than in earlier issues of this booklet. The estimate for 2006 is approximately 427,000 new cancer cases (229,000 men and 198,000 women). The number of new cases can be expected to rise to 450.000 (including 204,000 women) by 2010 as a result of demographic developments alone. The most common cancer types in 2006 were again breast cancer among women with 58,000 new cases and prostate cancer among men (60,000). The launch of population-based cancer registration in BadenWürttemberg means that population-based cancer registries are now up and running in all of Germany‘s federal states. The entry into force of the Federal Cancer Registry Data Act in August 2009 and the recent creation of the German Centre for Cancer Registry Data at the RKI have created a basis for using the data from the registries even more intensively in the future both by scientists and by the interested public.