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Preparing for Tomorrow’s Knowledge Networked Society For Resilient Development Big Trends and Big Data ESCAP Colombo 5-6 September 2012 BUENOS AIRES - 1982 The Falklands/Malvinas War MEXICO CITY - 1985 Earthquake PHUKET - 2004 Tsunami My Three Personal, Scary Experiences of Disaster Key Technology Trends for Knowledge-Networked Societies and Resilience in Asia-Pacific • Internet of Things • Big Data • Open Data • Cloud Computing • Changing Role of Content / Telecoms Convergence • 3D Printing ICT Opportunities and Challenges ESCAP Sponsored Paper Policy Context • Social Progress, e.g. Health, Education, e-Government • Economic Sustainable Development • Environment • Resilience Uniqueness of Asia-Pacific 1. Internet of Things Sensor based Computing is Next Wave of Internet Evolution and Ecosystem Billions of Connected Devices 1. Internet of Things – Use Cases in Asia Pacific Improving Healthcare Services e.g. IP based medical devices in Thailand, Smart Workplace in Singapore Disaster Early Warning and Management e.g. Tsunami warning and Flood warning (dam monitoring) in Thailand Landslide warning (slope management) in Philippines Smart phone monitoring of radiation levels after Japan tsunami Environmental Control e.g. CO2 emission, pollution control in schools and during deforestation season 1. Internet of Things – Use Cases in Asia Pacific Smart (or Advanced) Agriculture e.g. Precision Agriculture in Malaysia, Green House Monitoring in Thailand Capacity Building in IoT e.g. initiating programmes to raise skills R&D partner for rest of world e.g. as a testbed 1. Internet of Things • Stimulates new value chains to achieve societal/ economic benefits • Facilitates better choices/more efficient decisions • Enables better connectivity • Opportunity to create new partnerships across all sectors and disciplines to achieve both technical and business model innovation • Importance of skills beyond engineering: Metadata, Web Analytics, People Centred Design Principles 1. Internet of Things – Approaches to Start • Focus on enablers and barriers to the ecosystem of applications and services of the Internet of Things • Heed natural textbook symptoms of early markets: fragmentation, lack of standards, bespoke solutions, etc • Evaluate different Government approaches. e.g. – Challenge Based, Industry led, Publicly Funded Competitions for Preparatory Studies, Demonstrators and R&D on Internet of Things Convergence (EU) – Hierarchical political leadership and funding, controlling channels to market through state directed enterprises, achieving value chain coordination, clarity and joined up thinking (China) – South Korea as one role model • Stimulate knowledge exchange to join the dots 1. Internet of Things – Some Personal Observations • IoT coming from scientific, commercial background – moving closer to People • Best Places to start are from Users/Customers and Business Models/Opportunities NOT technology • Prove Societal, Economic and Business Value and Demand • Define the Audience for Governance Discussions • Learning from the Lessons of the Evolution of Internet Governance to stimulate innovation and competition • Two Opposing Views: Big IT versus Bottom Up/ Decentralised • Investment drives new services and applications 2. Big Data Transformational for Business and Government ‘ 2. Big Data Changes Everything • More evidence based fast, informed, accurate decision making - access reliable, trustworthy, timely information and gain insight rather than ‘gut’ feel • Managing the data explosion to meet goals of: - enhancing competitiveness in private sector - driving efficiency and public sector accountability • Skills for Data Scientist (Amazon): - Maths, Engineering, Writing, Curiosity and Scepticism 2. Big Data and Green Future Harnessing Data for Sustainability and Behavioural Change e.g. cutting waste in food and supply chains, making it easy to move around cities, smarter homes for energy use Visualisation of Data as Form of Art: Hidden connections, Patterns and Stories. Worth a 1000 words on climate change Urban Planning: Cohesive, networked and sustainable communities based on transparent, co-produced data 2. Big Data - Policy Challenges Are Policy Makers Ready for the Era of Big Data? e.g. Security, Cultural Change to Link Data, Transparency Policy Drivers for Innovation, e.g. Data patterns for: eligibility for benefits spotting fraudulent activity M-Healthcare to check patient records on the go Managing the environment Big Data, Ethics and Regulatory Challenges, e.g. Data mining and Advertising, Privacy, Intellectual Property, Liability 2. Big Data Investing in e-Research Technologies • Increasingly powerful distributed and collaborative computer networks, tools and data systems are reshaping access to information and expertise across the Humanities and Sciences. • e-Research technologies analyse and model complex interactions spanning such global issues as the financial system, climate change, ageing, terrorism, infectious diseases and urban design. • Semantic Web, Embedded Sensor Networks, the Internet of Things, Virtual Worlds, Grids, Cloud Computing, Metadata, Web Analytics are key technologies across research, government, business. 2. Big Data and Disaster Management Case Study: Social Media Faster than Official Channels Social and News Media Enable Es2ma2on of Epidemiological Pa8erns Early in the 2010 Hai2an Cholera Outbreak Rumi Chunara , Jason R. Andrews and John S. Brownstein Am. J. Trop. Med. 86(1), 2012, pp. 39–45 http://healthmap.org/documents/Chunara_AJTMH_2012.pdf h8p://www.ushahidi.com/ A social media tracking plaWorm used by aid agencies, government workers and others during events as a way to track vic2ms and other incidents 3. Open Data Commercialisation of a State’s Data Resources 3. Open Data ‘The New Gold’ • Governments increasingly opening up access to core public datasets e.g. on transport, weather and health • Governments helping industry exploit the opportunities created through the release of this data, e.g. Open Data Institute in the UK • Governments around the world are increasingly recognising that making more of this information available will produce value in the wider economy, through: – Building data and analytics markets with new products and services – Driving up standards and transparency in public services European Commission Reckons Huge Poten5al for Open Data: €40 Billion To Its Economy 4. Cloud Computing • Product-based to Service-based Computing • Stimulating new value chains, innovation and connectedness • Business, Consumers and Governments as users • Opportunities for SMEs • Research Challenges Internet of Things, Big Data, Open Data, Cloud Governance Challenges – Who is the Audience to Engage? Security, Privacy, Trust, Liability • Policies and Regulations, e.g. Intellectual Property, • Government, Research Community and Industry working together • Architecture /Network, e.g. Scale, Resilience, Performance, Bandwidth, Spectrum • Data brokerage, openness and integration • Services and Applications with associated robust processes (across the Cloud) • Service Level Agreements between Parties across the Value Chain(s) • Business Models, Monetisation and Billing Mechanisms • Data Visualisation - suitable for all • Crossing organisation and sectoral boundaries, overcoming inter Departmental/Agency rivalries • Emergency Response (e.g. prioritisation over other applications) • • Standards, Interoperability, Protocols Awareness, Education and Training 5. Changing Role of Content/Media • Technology usage is mainstream across demographics • Need for intuitive interfaces and seamless technology integration into devices becomes more important than ever before • Need for simple, attractive design to make technology invisible to the user • Create products and applications that will appeal to this expanded target audience • Technology “creation” now multidisciplinary • Technologists now aided by sociologists, psychologists, anthropologists and domain experts in every field (from media to fashion to art to architecture) • Universities are also creating more interdisciplinary programs in order to encourage this collaboration 5. New Forms of User Interaction with Technology Enhance Performance • Exploiting advances in Simulation, Visualisation, Interactivity and Immersive applications stimulate user involvement • Growing role of games and social networks to promote group collaboration • Creating engaging experiences with new forms of learning, e.g. education, business, health, cultural heritage, e-govt • Enhance education: life long learning, skills, productivity, inclusion, emergency response • Increasing evidence of measurable results for individuals and organisations in private/public sectors 5. Changing Role of Media Accelerate Modernisation of Public Services • Learn more from the private sector, NGOs in use of Digital Media E.g. social networking, micro blogging, location based services, crowd sourcing inputs (Twitter, email, SMS and Web), mapping, business continuity of data networks for disaster management • Enhances transparency, accountability, inclusion, participation and dialogue between government and citizens • Diversify from / replace traditional channels to save money • Move to self-service experiences – ‘digital by default’ Open Governance, Cost Savings, Crisis Management, Save Lives 5. New Forms of Interaction - Triage Training UK Collaborative R&D 4 year project, USD 3m 5. New Forms of User Interaction with Technology Enhance Performance in Disaster Management • Bringing together diverse communities in risk, resilience and response to save lives • Games and simulation technologies can help create better, more realistic training exercises for modern search and rescue scenarios • Substantial opportunities for international emergency response community, relevant policy-makers in government and ICT sector to work together 6. 3D Printing 6. 3D Printing Linking Digital and Physical Worlds • Factories of Future: on Desktop, Fab(ricator) Labs • Industrial (R)evolution, e.g. supply chain, sustainability impacts • Linking diverse areas: Commodities, Nano, Design, Software, Electronics, Materials Engineering • Major disruption and opportunity across all sectors • Substantial Intellectual Property challenges • Governments accelerating intensive knowledge exchange TEDx – Chiang Mai 21st January 2012 6. 3D Printing Contour Crafting - House Building Prototype Robot http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOlRI_Hm1Po&feature=player_embedded Center for Rapid Automated Fabrication Technologies (CRAFT) University of Southern California • Developing countries eradicating slums • Emergency shelter construction where war and natural disaster uproot thousands of people • Building much cheaper and much faster • Producing dignified housing rather than tents and boxes Summary • Digital technologies e.g. Internet of Things, Big Data, Open Data addressing ever more complex societal challenges • New generation of user interfaces/interaction paradigms driving change • Acceleration of new value chains • Bridging digital and physical environments • Inseparability of policy, new technology and business models • Championing intensive knowledge exchange and transfer • Aggressively raising skills levels • Imperative for Government, Research and Business to work more closely together cross-sector and cross-disciplinary Knowledge Networked Societies for Resilient Development • Societal challenges such as Climate Change, Professional Disaster Response and Ageing Society are more complex and interconnected with ever increasing data sets. • These challenges can only be resolved through cross - disciplinary collaboration, leveraging diverse technological and sectoral expertise. • These challenges will transform sectors such as transport, healthcare, agri-food, construction and digital systems, requiring the development of new business models, technologies and manufacturing techniques. ESCAP Paper Highlighting Potential Roles for Government in Asia Pacific • ICT for a Seamless Regional Information Space • Environment • Technology Transfer and Innovation Infrastructure • Education • International Governance and Good Practices Feedback invited Contact Mervyn Levin Founding Director, Levering Ltd E-‐mail [email protected] LinkedIn h8p://www.linkedin.com/in/mervynlevin