Download Research on the Index System of New-type Industrialization of China

Research on the Index System of New-type Industrialization of China
LU Huali
College of Economics and Management Henan Polytechnic University 454000
[email protected]
，
，
Abstract A new-type development path of industrialization was brought forward in the 16th national
congress of Communist Party of China. It is an inevitable choice for our country to realize the leaping
development of economy. The researcher constructed an index system to reflect the current development
condition of new-type industrialization. After giving a thorough analysis of the index system, the
researcher employed to analyze the developmental levels of new-type industrialization of the eastern
and middle regions. Based on the analyses of the factors and the regional development level of new-type
industrialization, the researcher put forward some suggestions to promote the regional development of
new-type industrialization in our country.
Key words: industrialization, new-type industrialization, index system, factor analysis
1 Introduction
Our country is at the stage of vigorous development of industrialization. However, the traditional
extensive economic development pattern has caused some serious problems, such as: the backward
industrial structure, the low level of technology and the seriously-destructed ecology, etc. And these
problems have become a bottleneck which restricts our country’s economy development. Therefore, it is
imperative to reconsider the traditional development path of industrialization. Under such situation, a
new-type development path of industrialization which should be with high technology and high profit
but with low resource consumption and little environmental pollution as well as with human resources
being fully exerted was brought forward in the 16th national congress of Communist Party of China.
The choice of the new-type industrialization was made after the Party summarized the former domestic
and international experience and lessons and took the fundamental realities of our country into account
so as to comply with the main stream of technological economy development in the world. The
new-type industrialization is an inevitable choice for our country to realize a kind of harmonious
development of all of the three: economy, society and environment as well as to realize the leaping
development of economy. Many scholars have conducted research on the new-type industrialization, but
the research results focused on the theory of macro-level.
The thesis mainly analyzed our country’s development of new-type industrialization. then according
to those industrialization, new-type industrialization theories and corresponding evaluating principles
and criteria the researcher constructed an index system to reflect the current development condition of
new-type industrialization from the following seven perspectives which included 26 subordinate indexes:
the development degree of industrialization, the industrialization structure, the science and technology
content of industrialization, the economic benefit of industrialization, the informational development
condition, the coordination degree between industrialization development and resource environment and
the sustained development of both industrialization and society. After giving a thorough analysis of the
index system, the researcher employed to analyze the developmental levels of new-type industrialization
of the eastern and middle regions and found some problems existed in the development of new-type
industrialization in our country. Finally, the present study, based on the analyses of the factors and the
regional development level of new-type industrialization of individual cities, put forward some general
countermeasure and suggestions to promote the development of new-type industrialization in our
country.
2 Research on the Index System of New-type Industrialization
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In accordance with the new-type industrialization connotations and characteristics, reference to
domestic and international evaluation criteria on the stage of industrialization, the researcher constructed
an index system of new-type industrialization in three evaluation criteria, namely the development
degree of industrialization, the industrialization structure, the quality of industrialization, the
coordination and the sustained development of industrialization.
2.1 Evaluation indexes on industrialization process and structural change
There are two perspectives which included 7 subordinate indexes: (ⅰ) evaluation indexes on
industrialization process: per capita GDP, employment in agricultural industry accounted for the
proportion of total employment of three industries, The proportion of non-agricultural population.(ⅱ)
evaluation indexes on changes in the structure: added value of tertiary industry, the proportion of tertiary
industry workers, urban and rural Engel Coefficient.
ⅰ
2.2 Indexes reflect the quality of industrialization
There are there perspectives which included 12 subordinate indexes: ( ) evaluation indexes on
scientific and technological content: authorization of the patent application, research and development
(R & D) funding in the proportion of GDP, the share of high-tech industries in the added value of Above
Designated Size Industrial Enterprises, the output value of new products. ( ) evaluation indexes on
economic benefit: rate between cost and profit, rate of total funds contribution. ( ) indexes reflecting
the information development condition: the information industry investment accounted for the
proportion of all the infrastructure investment and investment for renovation and transformation, the
geographical distribution of the Internet, telephone subscribers at year-end, these indexes reflect the
information infrastructure, the index of business volume of post service in the proportion of GDP being
the indexes of information services, using the internet users as the indexes of information application,
the added value of information industry in the proportion of GDP working as the indexes of information
industries.
ⅱ
ⅲ
2.3 Indexes on industrialization coordination and sustainability
It is divided into two aspects which include seven indexes, the coordination degree between
industrialization development and resource environment and the sustained development of both
industrialization and society: ( ) indexes reflecting the coordination and the sustained development
between industrialization development and resource environment: discharge standard-meeting rate of
industrial wastewaters, comprehensive utilization rate of industrial solid wastes, output value of
products made from comprehensive utilization of waste gas, waste water and solid wastes, power
consumption. ( ) industrial development potential and sustainability indicators: unemployment rate,
personals engaged in scientific and technological in the number of scientists and engineers, overall labor
productivity.
ⅰ
ⅱ
Industrialization Process the Quality of
and Structural Change Industrialization
Table 1 The index system of new-type industrialization
per capita GDP
(yuan/person)
the proportion of employment in agricultural
industrialization process
industry
(%)
the proportion of non-agricultural population
(%)
added value of tertiary industry (%)
the proportion of tertiary industry workers %
industrialization structure
urban Engel Coefficient
(%)
rural Engel Coefficient
(%)
authorization of the patent application
(item)
R & D funding in the proportion of GDP (%)
scientific and technological content
the share of high-tech industries in the added
(%)
walue of industrial enterprises
the output value of new products (%)
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economic benefit
information development condition
Industrialization potential and Sustainability
resources and environmental
conditions
human resources condition
rate between cost and profit
(%)
rate of total funds contribution
(%)
the information industry investment accounted
for the proportion of all the infrastructure
investment and investment for renovation and
transformation
(%)
the geographical distribution of the Internet
(%)
telephone subscribers at year-end
(10000 subscribers)
internet users
(10000 subscribers)
the added walue of information industry in the
proportion of GDP
(%)
business volume of post service in the proportion
of GDP
(%)
discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial
wastewaters
(%)
comprehensive utilization rate of industrial solid
wastes
(%)
output value of products made from
comprehensive utilization of waste gas, waste
water and solid wastes
(million)
power consumption
(100 million kilowatt hours)
unemployment rate
(%)
personals engaged in scientific and technological
in the number of scientists and engineers
(10,000)
overall labor productivity (yuan/ person. year)
Now established: X1 = per capita GDP (yuan / person), X2 = the proportion of employment in
agricultural industry (%), X3 = the proportion of non-agricultural population (%), X4 = added walue of
tertiary industry (%), X5 = the proportion of tertiary industry workers (%), X6 = urban Engel coefficient
(%), X7 = rural Engel coefficient (%), X8 = authorization of the patent application (item), X9 = R & D
funding in the proportion of GDP (%), X10 = the share of high-tech industries in the added value of
industrial enterprises (%), X11 = the output value of new products (%), X12 = rate of total funds
contribution (%), X13 = rate between cost and profit (%), X14 = the information industry investment
accounted for the proportion of all the infrastructure investment and investment for renovation and
transformation (%), X15 = the geographical distribution of the Internet(%), X16 = telephone subscribers
at year-end (10,000 subscribers), X17 = internet users(10000 subscribers), X18 = business volume of
post service in the proportion of GDP (% ), X19 = the added value of information industry in the
proportion of GDP (%), X20 = discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial wastewaters (%), X21 =
comprehensive utilization rate of industrial solid wastes (%), X22 = output value of products made from
comprehensive utilization of waste gas, waste water and solid wastes (million yuan), X23 = power
consumption (100 million kilowatt hours), X24 = unemployment rate (%), X25 = personals engaged in
scientific and technological in the number of scientists and engineers(10,000), X26 = overall labor
productivity (yuan/ person. year).
3 Positive Analysis on the Course of New-type Industrialization
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According to the analysis of index system of new-type industrialization, the researcher applied the
factor analysis to analyze the developmental levels of new-type industrialization, so as to explore the
stage of China's new industrialization process and the existing problems.
3.1 Factor analysis
3.1.1 Standardization of the original data
There are two kinds of approaches to deal with the inverse indexes in the original data in order to
ensure the indexes of the evaluation system with the same trend. One kind as “the proportion of
employment in agricultural industry”, “Engel Coefficient”, “unemployment rate”, using fi =1-Xi; another
kind such as‘‘power consumption”, using this approach fi =
max ( xi ) − X i
. Then standardize
max ( xi ) − min ( xi )
the original data, in order to ensure its objective and scientific. The standardized calculated as follows:
'
X ij =
X ij − X j
Sj
，where:
X ij
′
X
X
ij
j
for the standardization of data,
for raw data,
for the
average of the j indexes, Sj for the standard deviation.
3.1.2 Factor analysis process
For further comprehensive understanding regarding to China's middle and eastern region in the
development of new-type industrialization, according to the established index system and collection of
the target data, to make the factor analysis of all regions’ status of new-type industrialization.
Applying statistical analysis software SPSS11.0, firstly, to make descriptive statistics and KMO
and Bartlett's test respecting the variables participated in the factor analysis. Next use a wide range of
principal component analysis to identify variable factors, communalities, total variance explained,
component matrix and rotated component matrix. And then using component score coefficient matrix to
calculate the component score, finally according to the component score and variance contribution rate
to calculate the total score of the new-type industrialization development level of each province. As in
Table 2:
Table 2 the total score of the new-type industrialization development level of each province
Area
F
Area
F
Beijing
1.5502
1
Hubei
-0.0623
11
Shanghai
1.251
2
Jilin
-0.1355
12
Tianjin
0.8741
3
Hebei
-0.1468
13
Guangdong
0.7963
4
Hunan
-0.2251
14
Jiangsu
0.4461
5
Anhui
-0.2711
15
Heilongjiang
0.3313
6
Henan
-0.2724
16
Zhejiang
0.238
7
Shanxi
-0.296
17
Shandong
0.189
8
Hunan
-0.2976
18
Fujian
0.1291
9
Jiangxi
-0.4291
19
Liaoning
0.0936
10
3.2 Factor analysis results
Form the total score table, in the first category are Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Guangdong, ranking
relatively higher; in the second category are Jiangsu, Heilongjiang, Zhejiang, Shandong, Fujian,
Liaoning; by comparison after are Hubei, Jilin, Hebei, Hainan, Anhui, Henan, Shanxi, Hunan, Jiangxi.
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The top 10 areas are basically in the eastern or coastal. The central region ranks comparatively back.
This shows that in the aspect of the level of development of new-type industrialization, there is the
relatively large gap between the east and the central.
With the original data analysis, in Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Guangdong the development of
new-type industrialization is relatively high. The largest common point in these four areas is that the
score in Compoent1 (F1) is higher than that of other regions. F1 score is far higher than the average
level. F1 mainly reflects these indicators: the development degree of industrialization, the
industrialization structure, the science and technology content of industrialization, the informational
development condition. These indexes can be used as a simple judgment in the development of
new-type industrialization standards. So overall, Beijing, Shanghai, Tianjin, Guangdong's new-type
industrialization development level is higher than that of other parts. The original data also show that
these four areas are in the country's leading position regarding new-type industrialization development.
In Jiangsu, Heilongjiang, Zhejiang, Shandong, Fujian, Liaoning the level of development of new
industrialization is in center position. These provinces’ main features: the score of the first factor is in
the middle level, but still higher than the average level; they are one group with the second factor (F2)
scored the highest. The second factor major represents these several aspects: the informational
development condition, the coordination degree between industrialization development and resource
environment and personals engaged in scientific and technological in the number of scientists and
engineers. It is a new type of industrialization on the development potential and sustainability indexes.
In Component2, Jiangsu, Heilongjiang, Zhejiang, Shandong, Fujian, Liaoning are stably together,
mainly because these areas in this respect the proportion is relatively high.
The remaining provinces in several factors behind are in relatively higher ranking, but because the
variance contribution rate of them is relatively small compared to the previous two factors, these
provinces rank in the third category.
Through positive analysis, we find that the degree of development of new-type industrialization is
consistent with the overall level of economic development; the level of development of new-type
industrialization is affected by the overall level of economic development. Combination of historical
data analysis, the results showed that our country’s regional comprehensive development level of
new-type industrialization is higher in the east Overall, the development of eastern and coastal regions is
best and the rest regions which lie in the middle of China is at the low lever.
，
4 Policy recommendations
4.1 In the policy system
It is necessary to pay attention to the role of market mechanisms, establishing a fair, just and open
competition market environment, The Government should fully discharge its responsibilities, To
improve the laws and regulations in favor of the development of new-type industrialization, Maintaining
a fair and reasonable market environment, to promote and facilitate the rapid and healthy development
of new-type industrialization.
4.2 In science-technology and education
On the one hand, develop energetically developed high and new-tech industries, we need to utilize
new and high technologies and advanced applied technologies to transform and upgrade traditional
industries, to optimize the industrial structure and raise the products' competitiveness in international
market. Achieve a leap in the development of the productive forces. On the other hand, develop
education and science, to improve the quality of human resources, to provide human resources support
to the new-type industrialization.
4.3 In information industry
We should energetically promote IT application and use IT to propel and accelerate industrialization,
and promote the sound development of the industrialization. Our country must give stronger support to
the development of the information industry, and use IT to propel and accelerate industrialization,
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transform the defense-related science and technology into actual productivity
4.4 In recycling economy
To developing the recycling economy and promote sustained development of economy. Recycling
economy follows 3R principles: reducing, reusing, and reproducing, which is consistent with
development models of new-type industrialization. The new-type industrialization also stresses low
resource consumption, and little environmental pollution. From the raw data we can easily find, in
China's eastern and coastal areas energy consumption is compared high, therefore, we should vigorously
develop recycling economy, and strive to achieve a coordinated development of population, economy,
society, resources and environment.
References
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Chinese)
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Reform, 4(2004),p30~38(in Chinese)
[3]Wang Xiaoyun,Wu Jining. Study on New Comprehensive Evaluation Index System of
Industrialization. The Theory and Practice of Finance and Economics,6(2006),P122~124(in Chinese)
[4]Li Bin,Chen Jun. Research on the Survey of New-typed Industrialized in China. Special Zone
Economy,8(2007),p276~278(in Chinese)
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