Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
Study of Coupling Coordinated Development Status between Urbanization and Economic Society Construction in the Central Region of China DING Gang XI Yongqin School of Public Administration, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou P. R. China, 350002 [email protected] Abstract This paper focuses on the evaluation of coupling coordinated development status between urbanization and economic society construction in the central region of China. On the basis of defining the concept of Coupling Coordinated Development Degree, the authors put forward its calculation method after reviewing the related previous studies. Moreover, Factor analysis is used in this paper for getting the assessment of the economic .society construction situation of the central region of China. The conclusion shows that the coupling coordinated development status between urbanization and economic society construction in the central region of China is medium in the whole country, and it may be a realistic choice to take a resource-saving urbanization road. Key words Coupling coordinated development Urbanization, Economic society, Central region , 1 Introduction The report at seventeen congress stressed that, we should vigorously promoted the rise of central region of china, and suggested that the rise of central region of china, the development of western region and the overall rejuvenation of northeast of china have the equally important position for the first time, so the development of central region faces the rare historical opportunity. It goes without saying that, the urbanization and the construction of economic society are two parallel themes in the process of implementing the strategy of the rise of central region of china. The report at seventeen congresses proposed that, enhancing the integrated carrying capacity as the focus, relying on the mega-cities, formatting the city groups which have major radiation effects, and cultivating the new economic growth pole. At the same time, the report suggested the new objectives and requirements for the future of urbanization in china: following the way of urbanization with Chinese characteristics, in accordance with the principles what are coordinating urban and rural, rational layout, land conservation, perfected functions, small to big hand, promoting the coordinated development among the cities and towns. The report also stressed the importance of constructing the economic society, and we should put constructing the society with economic and environment-friendly in the prominent position in the development strategy of industrialization and modernization, and implementing on each unit, each family. As the core content and one of important symbol of modernization, the urbanization has the extremely closely contact with the construction of economic society. On the one hand, the construction of economic society puts forward the new requirements for the construction of urbanization. On the other hand, the construction of urbanization would restrict undoubtedly the effectiveness of construction of economic society, both of them take mutual influence and interaction each other. Moreover, the degree of coupling coordinated development of the interaction effects is bound to influence the achievement of the strategic goal raising the central china. For example, Wang GuangTao, the Minister of Construction Sector, proposed that we should deal well with the relationship between the urbanization and resource-saving and environment-friendly society, taking efforts to promote the urbanization of integrated environment[1]. In this paper, the authors propose to establish a evaluation index system, attempts to analyze and discuss the degree of coupling coordinated development between the urbanization and construction of economic society on the basis of the evaluation to the construction of economic society of central region of china. 1385 2 The definition of the coupling coordinated development degree and its calculation method The so-called coupling is the phenomenon that two or more systems or the forms of movements influence each other mutually through various interactions[2]. There have some studies on the degree of coupling problem so far. For example, Liu Yao-Bin put forward the coupling model which was used to measure the coupling strength of two systems[3] . Moreover, Jin-Chuan Huang etc. ever made a research on the coupling mechanisms and regularity of the problem between the urbanization and the ecological environment[4].However, the coupling index doesn’t include obviously the information of the development level. In this paper, the coupling coordinated development degree is a comprehensive index which is used to reflect the coordinated status of two or more systems and movement forms. It is calculated by the following formula which is based on the coordinated development degree model proposed by Liao Zhong-Bing[5]: k f ( x) • f ( y) • [αf ( x) + β f ( y )] D= 2 f ( x) + f ( y ) 2 (2.1) 、 In this formula, D represents the degree of coupling coordinated development, f (x ) f ( y) represent respectively the indexes which are used to reflect the level of construction of urbanization and status construction of economic society, k (≥ 2) represents the adjustment factor, the paper chooses the factor for two, α 、β are the right number to be determined, in this paper, the construction of 、β urbanization and the construction of economic society is seemed equally, so we assign α Then, we can classify D into 7 types according to the range of its value as shown in table 1. for 0.5. Table 1 The Coordination Classification of D Coordination grade Serious imbalance-e type I Moderate disorders type II Mild disorders type III Barely coordinati on type IV Medium coordinati on type V Well-coor dinated type VI Quality Coordinati on type VII The value of D 0≤D≤0.3 0.3<D≤0.4 0.4<D≤0.5 0.5<D≤0.6 0.6<D≤0.7 0.7<D≤0.8 0.8<D≤1 ( ) ( ) () ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 3 The evaluation of provincial economic society construction status in china To understand the situation of the coupling coordinated development between the construction of urbanization and the construction of economic society in china’s provinces (cities) level, we should know the construction status of economic society. The problem of evaluating the regional economic society construction refers many aspects, it is a very complicated systematic project, and we must establish the index system for reflecting comprehensively its connotation to analyze and evaluate it. 3.1 The design principles for comprehensive evaluation index system of economic society 1386 Designing a scientific and rational evaluation index system is the fundamental guarantee for the success of evaluation. Therefore, we should adhere to certain principles when establishing the indexes system, according to the objectives and requirements of establishing the economic society, basing on the diversity and complexity of saving-resource society, combining the general principles of constructing the index system. These principles are given as follow: 3.1.1 The overall scientific principles The evaluation index system must be able to reflect all the aspects of regional economic society comprehensively. Moreover, it can reflect the connotation of economic society scientifically and rationally. 3.1.2 Concise workable principles Evaluation index system should be designed to clear and simple, should select the indexes which have all-embracing strong, represented by the large amount of information, the desirability of more information, access to information on the feasibility of a higher target. 3.1.3 Dynamic and comparable principle Evaluation index system should be designed for reflecting the dynamic develop situation of the economic society construction, and the design should consider the comparability as well as facility. 3.2 The basic framework of evaluation index system of economic society While on the basis of fully understanding the connotation and the basic characteristics of the economic society, in the terms of designing principles of evaluation index system of economic society, especially considering the available and authority of data (all the numerical indicators can be adopted by countries Census and Statistics Department released the data or calculated), referencing some existing research results on economic society index systems, we achieve the evaluation of index system from four highly operative level which are composed of energy-saving, water saving, saving land resource and comprehensive utilization of resources. The index system covers these four dimensions. For the level of saving energy, we select three representative indicators: energy consumption for per-unit GDP , electric power consumption for per-unit GDP , energy consumption for per-unit industrial added value. For the level of saving water, we select two representative indicators: per capita water consumption , water consumption for per ten thousand GDP . For the level of saving land, we select one representative indicator owing to the difficulty of data acquirement: construction land area for per ten thousand GDP. For the level of comprehensive utilization of resources , we select the indicators from the angles of solid waste, waste water, emissions and waste disposal, which are composed of comprehensive utilization of industrial solid waste, Rate of living garbage harmless disposal, discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial wastewaters, discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial SO2 . 3.2 Introduction on the process of evaluation 3.2.1 Introduction on the evaluation method and data resources In this paper, Factor analysis is used to fulfill the purpose of evaluation. As we know, Factor analysis is often used in data reduction to identify a small number of factors that explain most of the variance observed in a much larger number of manifest variables. This method attempts to identify underlying variables or factors that explain the pattern of correlations within a set of observed variables. The data used in practical evaluation are all drawn from the China Statistical Yearbook 2006 and Environmental Statistical Data issued by National Bureau of Statistics of China. Owing to the absence of data, the sample regions selected for this evaluation are only composed of 30 provinces of China, not including Xizang etc. 3.2.2 Introduction on the evaluation process The data are normalized and standardized according to the accustomed procedure of Factor analysis beforehand, and the SPSS 15.0 is used for the data analysis. The outcome of KMO and Bartlett's Test as depicted in table 2 shows that the application of Factor analysis is appropriate. Outcomes of the following analyses as shown in table 3 and 4 show that, the 10 indicators are divided into five common factors by factor analysis and cumulative variance contribution of the five factors reaches 93.956%. The indicators of energy-saving which are composed of energy consumption 1387 for per-unit GDP, electric power consumption for per-unit GDP and energy consumption for per-unit industrial added value, play important roles in the first factor. The indicators of saving water which are composed of per capita water consumption, water consumption own higher factor loading values in the second factor. The indicators including construction land area for per ten thousand, discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial wastewaters and discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial SO2, play important roles in the third factor. Only the indicator of Rate of living garbage harmless disposal plays primary roles in the fourth factor. The fifth factor is mainly dominated by the indicator of ' comprehensive utilization of industrial solid waste. Hence, the composite factor Z which can be used to represent the evaluation outcome is expressed in: m Z ' = ∑ (vi / p)Z i = 0.2824Z1 + 0.23464Z 2 + 0.19576Z 3 + 0.11505Z 4 + 0.11071Z 5 (2.2) ' The scores of five factors and the composite factor Z obtained by practical factor analysis are shown in table 5. Table 2 KMO and Bartlett's Test Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy. .622 Approx. Chi-Square 273.479 df 45 Sig. .000 Bartlett's Test of Sphericity Table 3 Total Variance Explained Initial Eigenvalues Rotation Sums of Squared Loadings Component Total % of Variance Cumulative % Total % of Variance Cumulative % 1 5.016 50.161 50.161 2.834 28.340 28.340 2 1.676 16.758 66.919 2.346 23.464 51.804 3 1.198 11.976 78.895 1.958 19.576 71.381 4 .885 8.849 87.745 1.150 11.505 82.885 5 .621 6.212 93.956 1.107 11.071 93.956 6 .291 2.912 96.868 7 .192 1.921 98.789 8 .056 .565 99.354 9 .042 .423 99.777 10 .022 .223 100.000 Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis. Table 4 Rotated Component Matrix(a) Component energy consumption for per-unit GDP electric power onsumption for per-unit GDP 1 2 3 4 5 .870 .200 .296 .112 .257 .914 .158 .261 -.161 -.010 1388 energy consumption for per-unit industrial added value .864 .099 .153 .328 .174 per capita water consumption .053 .986 -.015 .040 .011 .245 .914 .211 .093 .001 .369 .453 .683 .129 .047 .200 .014 .238 -.086 .943 .096 .087 .075 .972 -.081 .446 .496 .643 -.130 .251 .214 -.068 .889 .092 .224 water consumption for per ten thousand GDP construction land area for per ten thousand GDP comprehensive utilization of industrial solid waste Rate of living garbage harmless disposal discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial waste waters discharge standard-meeting rate of industrial SO2 Table 5 The factor Scores of Regions in China Factor scores Regions Z1 Z2 Z3 Z4 Z5 Z' Beijing 0.627 0.484 1.260 1.553 -0.922 0.614 Tianjin 0.284 0.539 0.875 1.095 0.786 0.591 Zhejiang 0.397 0.222 0.830 1.238 0.576 0.533 Fujian 0.445 -0.037 0.925 1.334 0.490 0.506 Jiangsu 0.451 -0.272 1.074 1.188 0.215 0.434 Shandong 0.248 0.552 0.647 0.113 0.586 0.404 Shanghai 0.729 -0.048 1.149 -0.577 0.414 0.399 Guangdong 0.949 0.168 -0.239 0.163 0.465 0.331 Hainan 0.360 -0.257 0.065 0.302 0.793 0.177 Hebei -0.685 0.582 0.812 -0.552 0.454 0.089 Liaoning -0.196 0.418 1.001 -0.281 -0.739 0.124 Jilin 0.435 0.461 -1.425 -0.637 1.065 -0.003 Heilongjiang 0.667 -0.442 0.303 -0.982 -0.440 -0.018 Jiangxi 0.568 -0.110 -0.070 -0.407 0.347 0.113 Hubei -0.029 -0.010 0.420 0.167 0.165 0.109 Henan 0.031 0.646 0.168 -0.131 -0.684 0.102 Anhui 0.334 0.150 0.076 -1.609 0.978 0.068 Hunan 0.450 -0.134 0.030 -0.681 0.278 0.054 Eastern region Northeastern region Central region 1389 Western region Shanxi -1.509 1.063 0.852 -1.973 -1.945 -0.452 Chongqing 0.328 0.471 0.247 -0.129 -0.504 0.181 Shaanxi 0.506 0.900 -1.279 -0.641 0.617 0.098 Sichuan 0.263 0.763 -1.202 -0.273 0.866 0.082 Guangxi 0.510 -0.591 -0.340 0.207 0.036 -0.033 Yunnan 0.393 0.524 -1.224 0.914 -1.884 -0.109 Gansu 0.393 0.524 -1.224 0.914 -1.884 -0.109 Guizhou -1.072 0.625 -1.217 0.124 -1.576 -0.555 Inner Mongolia -0.515 -0.408 -0.069 -0.648 -2.311 -0.585 Qinghai -1.229 -0.320 -2.517 2.707 -0.338 -0.641 Xinjiang 1.094 -4.515 -0.374 -0.628 -0.793 -0.984 Ningxia -4.098 -1.468 1.090 0.325 1.422 -1.094 ' As shown in Table 5, the scores of the composite factor Z of the six provinces in central region of China are in the middle level of whole country. It is worth noting that, in the process of computing the standardized sample data, some negative ' value of Z are occurred. In order to making the value of D to range from 0 to 1, the authors refer to the literature[6] , using a standardized scoring method of transformation to achieve it, namely: the standardized value = (raw data –the minimum of the original data) / (the maximum of raw data - the ' minimum of raw data). After that, the standardized value of Z would be in the range from 0 to 1. 4 Results After getting the evaluation ends, the formula (1) can be used to calculate and measure the degree of coupling coordinated development in the central regions of China. Generally, the level of urbanization could be directly reflected by the proportion of urban population. For the sake of simplicity, the proportion of urban population is used to reflect the level of urbanization construction. The data used in practical calculation are all drawn from the China Statistical Yearbook 2006. The final calculation results are shown in Table 6, and in order to facilitate comparative analysis, we use the Arcview software to expatiate comprehensively and intuitively the results of the various regions of China, as shown in Figure 1. Table 6 The Calculation Results of D of Central Region in China Central region The value of D Type Hubei 0.71 VI Jiangxi 0.66 V Hunan 0.66 V Anhui 0.65 V Shanxi 0.63 V Henan 0.60 V 1390 Figure 1 The Calculation Results of D of Various Regions in China Note: 0 indicates the region without calculation. Table 7 Some Descriptive Statistics Results of D of Various Regions in China Coefficient of Region Mean Std. deviation divergence Eastern region Northeastern region Central region Western region 0.81 0.10 0.12 0.77 0.02 0.03 0.65 0.04 0.06 0.52 0.21 0.41 The results show that, in the central region of China, with the exception that Hubei province is in a good level of coordination, the remaining provinces’ coordinated development of the coupling between the urbanization and building a saving society is in the middle levels of coordination. Table 7 lists some statistical analysis results of D value in the central region and other regions, from which it is not difficult to find that, the central region’s inner development gap is smaller than the eastern region and western region, although it is bigger than the northeastern region. On the average, the D value of the central region is higher than the western region, but when compared with the Northeast and the eastern regions there does a large development distance exist. 5 Conclusion Through the analyses above, it is not difficult to find that, on the nationwide speaking, the coupling coordinated development status between urbanization and economic society construction in the central region of China is medium, and there is still a long run to go from the goals of excellence. We can see that, to the central region, it may be a realistic choice to take a resource-saving urbanization road. Therefore, more policies or measures and countermeasures are needed to achieve it. Specifically as the followings: First of all, we should grasp the concept of scientific development and vigorously promote the building of the central city groups, form new urban agglomerations in a relatively short time. At the same time, we should eliminate the low-level blind competition, and enhance the city's overall competitiveness. Secondly, in the process of promoting the urbanization, we should further correct the guiding ideology of the town planning. Moreover, we should enhance the scientific and authority of planning, 1391 implement the compact principles and strengthen the guidance and control of the urban land, energy, water use, etc. Finally, in the process of promoting urbanization, it is better to precede a new type of industrialization to promote urbanization comprehensively following the principle of the economic cycle. In order to build an ecological civilization, we should strive to achieve the multiple closed-loop feedback cycle as the form as "Resources-product-renewable resources", to achieve a reasonable economical use of resources, and to promote harmony between man and nature. References [1] XieDengke, Wang Mian. Ministry of Construction: Urbanization is not only comprehensive concept, couldn’t one-sided pursuit of the population of cities and towns: Homeland .2006(3): 17(In Chinese). [2] Wu Wenheng, Niu Shuwen. The analysis of the coupling process of population and resources and environments in Gansu Province: China's population science. 2006(2):81-86 In Chinese [3] Liu Yao-Bin, Lee East, Song Xuefeng. The associated analysis of coupling between the urbanization of regional in china and ecological environment: Geographical Journal, 2005, 60(2):237-247 In Chinese [4] Jin-Chuan Huang, Chuang-Lin Fang. The analysis of coupling interaction mechanism and the regularity between the urbanization and the ecological environment: Geographic research, 2003, 22(2): 211-220 In Chinese [5] Liao Zhong-bin. The quantitative evaluation and classification system on the environment and coordinated economic development [J]: Tropical Geography, 1999(2): 171-177 In Chinese [6] Liu Yao-Bin, Li Dong, Zhang Shouzhong. The study of the coordination of standards and evaluation model between urbanization and the ecological environment: China's Soft Science. 2005 (5):140-148 In Chinese ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) 1392 ) (