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MIS CHAPTER 13 INTELLIGENT INFORMATION SYSTEMS Hossein BIDGOLI MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 1 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems learning outcomes LO1 Define artificial intelligence, and explain how AI technologies support decision making. LO2 Describe an expert system, its applications, and its components. LO3 LO4 Describe case-based reasoning. LO5 Describe fuzzy logic and its uses. MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning Summarize the types of intelligent agents and how they are used. 2 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems l e a r n i n g o u t c o m e s (cont’d.) LO6 LO7 LO8 Explain artificial neural networks. LO9 Summarize the advantages of integrating AI technologies into decision support systems. MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning Describe how genetic algorithms are used. Explain natural-language processing and its advantages and disadvantages. 3 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems What Is Artificial Intelligence? • Artificial intelligence (AI) – Consists of related technologies that try to simulate and reproduce human thought and behavior – Includes thinking, speaking, feeling, and reasoning • AI technologies – Concerned with generating and displaying knowledge and facts MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 4 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems What Is Artificial Intelligence? (cont’d.) • Knowledge engineers try to discover “rules of thumb” – Enable computers to perform tasks usually handled by humans • Capabilities of these systems have improved in an attempt to close the gap between artificial intelligence and human intelligence MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 5 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems AI Technologies Supporting Decision Making • Decision makers use information technologies in decision-making analyses: – What-is – What-if • Other questions: – – – – Why? What does it mean? What should be done? When should it be done? MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 6 Table 13.1 MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning Applications of AI Technologies 7 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Robotics • One of the most successful applications of AI • Perform well at simple, repetitive tasks • Currently used mainly on assembly lines in Japan and the United States • Cost of industrial robots • Some robots have limited vision MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 8 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Robotics (cont’d.) • Honda’s ASIMO – One of the most advanced and most popular robots – Works with other robots in coordination • Personal robots – Limited mobility/vision, and some speech capabilities • Robots have some unique advantages in the workplace compared with humans MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 9 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Expert Systems • One of the most successful AI-related technologies • Mimic human expertise in a field to solve a problem in a well-defined area • Consist of programs that mimic human thought behavior – In a specific area that human experts have solved successfully • Work with heuristic data MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 10 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Components of an Expert System • Knowledge acquisition facility • Knowledge base – Factual knowledge – Heuristic knowledge – Meta-knowledge • Knowledge base management system (KBMS) • User interface • Explanation facility • Inference engine MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 11 Exhibit 13.1 MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning An Expert System Configuration 12 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Components of an Expert System (cont’d.) • Forward chaining – Series of “if-then-else” – Condition pairs are performed • The “if” condition is evaluated first • Then the corresponding “then-else” action is carried out • Backward chaining – Starts with the goal—the “then” part – Backtracks to find the right solution MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 13 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Components of an Expert System (cont’d.) • Semantic (associative) networks – Represents information as links and nodes • Frames – Store conditions or objects in hierarchical order • Scripts – Describe a sequence of events MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 14 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Uses of Expert Systems • • • • • • • • • Airline industry Forensics lab work Banking and finance Education Food industry Personnel management Security US Government Agriculture MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 15 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Criteria for Using Expert Systems • Human expertise is needed but one expert can’t investigate all the dimensions of a problem • Knowledge can be represented as rules or heuristics • Decision or task has already been handled successfully by human experts • Decision or task requires consistency and standardization MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 16 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Criteria for Using Expert Systems (cont’d.) • Subject domain is limited • Decision or task involves many rules and complex logic • Scarcity of experts in the organization MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 17 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Criteria for Not Using Expert Systems • • • • Very few rules Too many rules Well-structured numerical problems are involved Problems are in areas that are too wide and shallow • Disagreement among experts • Problems require human experts MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 18 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Advantages of Expert Systems • Never become distracted, forgetful, or tired • Duplicate and preserve the expertise of scarce experts • Preserve the expertise of employees who are retiring or leaving an organization • Create consistency in decision making • Improve the decision-making skills of nonexperts MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 19 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Case-Based Reasoning • Problem-solving technique • Matches a new case (problem) with a previously solved case and its solution stored in a database • If there’s no exact match between the new case and cases stored in the database – System can query the user for clarification or more information • If no match is found after the above query – Human expert must solve the problem MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 20 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Intelligent Agents • Bots (short for robots) – Software capable of reasoning and following rulebased processes • Are becoming more popular – Especially in e-commerce MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 21 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Intelligent Agents (cont’d.) • Characteristics: – – – – – – Adaptability Autonomy Collaborative behavior Humanlike interface Mobility Reactivity MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 22 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Intelligent Agents (cont’d.) • Web marketing – Collect information about customers, such as items purchased, demographic information, and expressed and implied preferences • “Virtual catalogs” – Display product descriptions based on customers’ previous experiences and preferences MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 23 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Shopping and Information Agents • Help users navigate through the vast resources available on the Web • Provide better results in finding information • Examples – – – – Pricewatch BestBookBuys www.mysimon.com DogPile • Searches the Web by using several search engines • Removes duplicate results MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 24 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Personal Agents • Perform specific tasks for a user • Such as: – Remembering information for filling out Web forms – Completing e-mail addresses after the first few characters are typed MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 25 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Data-Mining Agents • Work with a data warehouse • Detect trend changes • Discover information and relationships among data items that were not readily apparent • Having this information early enables decision makers to come up with a solution that minimizes the negative effects of the problem MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 26 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Monitoring and Surveillance Agents • Track and report on computer equipment and network systems – To predict when a system crash or failure might occur • Example: NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 27 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Fuzzy Logic • Allows a smooth, gradual transition between human and computer vocabularies • Deals with variations in linguistic terms by using a degree of membership • Designed to help computers simulate vagueness and uncertainty in common situations • Works based on the degree of membership in a set MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 28 Exhibit 13.3 MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning Degree of Membership in a Fuzzy System 29 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Uses of Fuzzy Logic • Used in: – Search engines, chip design, database management systems, software development, and more • Examples: – – – – – Dryers Refrigerators Shower systems TVs Video camcorders MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 30 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Artificial Neural Networks • Networks that learn and are capable of performing tasks that are difficult with conventional computers • Examples: – Playing chess, recognizing patterns in faces and objects, and filtering spam e-mail • Used for poorly structured problems • Uses patterns – Not the if-then-else rules that expert systems use • Creates a model based on input and output MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 31 Exhibit 13.4 MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning Artificial Neural Network Configuration 32 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Artificial Neural Networks (cont’d.) • Used for many tasks, including: – – – – – Bankruptcy prediction Credit rating Investment analysis Oil and gas exploration Target marketing MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 33 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Genetic Algorithms • Used mostly in techniques to find solutions to optimization and search problems • Applications: – Jet engine design, portfolio development, and network design • Find the combination of inputs that generates the most desirable outputs • Techniques – Selection or survival of the fittest – Crossover – Mutation MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 34 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Natural Language Processing • Developed so that users can communicate with computers in human language • Provides question-and-answer setting that’s more natural and easier for people to use • Products aren’t capable of a dialogue that compares with conversations between humans – However, progress has been steady MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 35 Table 13.2 MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning NLP Systems 36 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Natural Language Processing (cont’d.) • Categories: – Interface to databases – Machine translation – Text scanning and intelligent indexing programs for summarizing large amounts of text – Generating text for automated production of standard documents – Speech systems for voice interaction with computers MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 37 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Natural Language Processing (cont’d.) • Interfacing: – Accepting human language as input – Carrying out the corresponding command – Generating the necessary output • Knowledge acquisition: – Using the computer to read large amounts of text and understand the information well enough to: • Summarize important points and store information so the system can respond to inquiries about the content MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 38 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Integrating AI Technologies into Decision Support Systems • I-related technologies can improve the quality of decision support systems (DSSs) – Including expert systems, natural language processing, and artificial neural networks • You can add AI technologies to a DSS’s model base component • Integrating expert system capabilities into the user interface component can improve the quality and user friendliness of a DSS MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 39 Chapter 13 Intelligent Information Systems Summary • Intelligent information systems – AI technologies are used to support decision-making processes • Expert systems – Components • • • • Case-based reasoning Intelligent agents Fuzzy logic and genetic algorithms Natural language processing MIS, Chapter 13 ©2014 Cengage Learning 40