Download Social Science Reasoning Using Statistics

Survey
yes no Was this document useful for you?
   Thank you for your participation!

* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project

Document related concepts

Foundations of statistics wikipedia , lookup

History of statistics wikipedia , lookup

Transcript
Statistics for the Social Sciences
Psychology 340
Spring 2010
Describing Distributions &
Locating scores & Transforming
distributions
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Announcements
• Homework #1: due today
• Quiz problems
– Quiz 1 is now posted, due date extended to Tu,
Jan 26th (by 11:00)
– Quiz 2 is now posted, due Th Jan 28th (1 week
from today)
• Don’t forget Homework 2 is due Tu (Jan 26)
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Outline (for week)
• Characteristics of Distributions
– Finishing up using graphs
– Using numbers (center and variability)
• Descriptive statistics decision tree
• Locating scores: z-scores and other transformations
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Standard deviation
• The standard deviation is the most commonly
used measure of variability.
– The standard deviation measures how far off all of the
scores in the distribution are from the mean of the
distribution.
– Essentially, the average of the deviations.
m
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Computing standard deviation (population)
• To review:
– Step 1: compute deviation scores
– Step 2: compute the SS
• SS = Σ (X - μ)2
– Step 3: determine the variance
• take the average of the squared deviations
• divide the SS by the N
– Step 4: determine the standard deviation
• take the square root of the variance
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Computing standard deviation (sample)
• The basic procedure is the same.
– Step 1: compute deviation scores
– Step 2: compute the SS
– Step 3: determine the variance
• This step is different
– Step 4: determine the standard deviation
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Computing standard deviation (sample)
• Step 1: Compute the deviation scores
– subtract the sample mean from every individual in our distribution.
Our sample
2, 4, 6, 8
 X 2  4  6  8 20
X

  5.0
n
4
4
X - X = deviation scores
2 - 5 = -3
4 - 5 = -1
6 - 5 = +1
8 - 5 = +3
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
X
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Computing standard deviation (sample)
• Step 2: Determine the sum of the squared deviations (SS).
X - X = deviation scores
2 - 5 = -3
4 - 5 = -1
6 - 5 = +1
8 - 5 = +3
SS = Σ (X - X)2
= (-3)2 + (-1)2 + (+1)2 + (+3)2
= 9 + 1 + 1 + 9 = 20
Apart from notational differences the procedure is
the same as before
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Computing standard deviation (sample)
• Step 3: Determine the variance
Recall:
Population variance = σ2 = SS/N
The variability of the samples is
typically smaller than the
population’s variability
X4
X1  X3
X2
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Computing standard deviation (sample)
• Step 3: Determine the variance
Recall:
Population variance = σ2 = SS/N
The variability of the samples is
typically smaller than the
population’s variability
To correct for this we divide by (n-1) instead of just n
Sample variance =
s2
SS

n 1
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Computing standard deviation (sample)
• Step 4: Determine the standard deviation
X  X 
2
standard deviation = s = s 
2

n 1
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
Standard deviation
changes
changes
– Changes the total and the number of scores, this will change the
mean and the standard deviation
X
m
N

2
X

m



N
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
– All of the scores change by the same constant.
Xold
Standard deviation
changes
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
– All of the scores change by the same constant.
Xold
Standard deviation
changes
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
– All of the scores change by the same constant.
Xold
Standard deviation
changes
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
– All of the scores change by the same constant.
Xold
Standard deviation
changes
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
– All of the scores change by the same constant.
– But so does the mean
Xnew
Standard deviation
changes
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
Standard deviation
changes
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
Standard deviation
changes
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
Standard deviation
changes
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
Standard deviation
changes
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
Standard deviation
changes
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
Standard deviation
changes
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
Standard deviation
changes
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
Standard deviation
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
changes
No change
– It is as if you just pick up the distribution and move it over, but the
spread (variability) stays the same
Xold Xnew
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
Standard deviation
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
• Multiply/divide a constant to
each score
changes
No change
21 - 22 = -1
23 - 22 = +1
20 21 22 23 24
(-1)2
(+1)2
X  X 
2
s=
X

n 1
 2  1.41
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of means and standard deviations
Mean
Standard deviation
• Change/add/delete a given score
changes
changes
• Add/subtract a constant to each
score
• Multiply/divide a constant to
each score
– Multiply scores by 2
changes
No change
changes
changes
42 - 44 = -2
46 - 44 = +2
40 42 44 46 48
(-2)2
(+2)2
X  X 
2
s=
X

n 1
 8  2.82
Sold=1.41
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Locating a score
• Where is our raw score within the distribution?
– The natural choice of reference is the mean (since it is usually easy
to find).
• So we’ll subtract the mean from the score (find the deviation score).
X m
– The direction will be given to us by the negative or
positive sign on the deviation score
– Thedistance is the value of the deviation score
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Locating a score
Reference
point

m  100
X1 = 162
X2 = 57

X m
X
1 - 100 = +62
X2 - 100 = -43
Direction
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Locating a score
Reference
point
Below
X1 = 162
X2 = 57


m  100
X m
X
1 - 100 = +62
X2 - 100 = -43
Above
PSY 340
Transforming a score
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
– The distance is the value of the deviation score
• However, this distance is measured with the units of
measurement of the score.
• Convert the score to a standard (neutral) score. In this case a
z-score.
Raw score
z

X m

Population mean
Population standard deviation
PSY 340
Transforming scores
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
m  100
  50

z
X  m 


X1 = 162
X1 - 100 = +1.20
50
X2 = 57
X2 - 100 = -0.86
50
A z-score specifies the precise location
of each X value within a distribution.
• Direction: The sign of the z-score (+
or -) signifies whether the score is
above the mean or below the mean.
• Distance: The numerical value of the
z-score specifies the distance from the
mean by counting the number of
standard deviations between X and σ.
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Transforming a distribution
• We can transform all of the scores in a distribution
– We can transform any & all observations to z-scores if
we know either the distribution mean and standard
deviation.
– We call this transformed distribution a standardized
distribution.
• Standardized distributions are used to make dissimilar
distributions comparable.
– e.g., your height and weight
• One of the most common standardized distributions is the Zdistribution.
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of the z-score distribution
m  100
  50
m0
z
X m

transformation
50
150
 

zmean 
Xmean = 100


100 100
50
=0
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of the z-score distribution
m  100
  50
m0
z
X m

transformation
50
150
 


100 100
50
150 100

50
Xmean = 100
zmean 
=0
X+1std = 150
z1std
= +1


+1
PSY 340
Properties of the z-score distribution
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
m  100
  50
z
m0
 1
X m



transformation
50
150
 
100 100
50
150 100
z1std 
50
50 100
z1std 
50
zmean 
Xmean = 100
X+1std = 150
X-1std = 50
-1



=0
= +1
= -1
+1
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Properties of the z-score distribution
• Shape - the shape of the z-score distribution will be exactly
the same as the original distribution of raw scores. Every
score stays in the exact same position relative to every other
score in the distribution.
• Mean - when raw scores are transformed into z-scores, the
mean will always = 0.
• The standard deviation - when any distribution of raw
scores is transformed into z-scores the standard deviation
will always = 1.
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
From z to raw score
• We can also transform a z-score back into a raw score if we know the
mean and standard deviation information of the original distribution.
Z
X  m 

m  100
  50
Z    X  m 
X  Z    m
m0
 1
X  Z  m
transformation
50
m
X = 70

150
-1
X = (-0.60)( 50) + 100


m +1
Z = -0.60
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
Why transform distributions?
• Known properties
– Shape - the shape of the z-score distribution will be exactly the
same as the original distribution of raw scores. Every score stays in
the exact same position relative to every other score in the
distribution.
– Mean - when raw scores are transformed into z-scores, the mean
will always = 0.
– The standard deviation - when any distribution of raw scores is
transformed into z-scores the standard deviation will always = 1.
• Can use these known properties to locate scores relative to
the entire distribution
– Area under the curve corresponds to proportions (or probabilities)
PSY 340
Statistics for the
Social Sciences
SPSS
• There are lots of ways to get SPSS to compute
measures of center and variability
– Descriptive statistics menu
– Compare means menu
– Also typically under various ‘options’ parts of the
different analyses
• Can also get z-score transformation of entire
distribution using the descriptives option under the
descriptive statistics menu