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Australian Tourism Export Council Matthew Hingerty Managing Director The value of international tourism to Australia - and the importance of sister city connections in building tourism relationships Inbound Tourism’s Value • • • • $24 billion exports 5 million visitors 500k employed directly Largest service sector exporter Sister Cities - why tourism needs them Global IVAs (in millions, source UNWTO) 898.0 842.0 766.0 636.7 652.3 1998 1999 687.3 684.1 702.6 694.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 Year 2004 802.0 2005 2006 2007 IVAs to Asia Pacific (in millions, source NTOs, compiled by PATA) 375.2 347.3 329.4 306.2 257.5 261.1 2000 2001 272.7 254.3 231.7 213.3 1998 1999 2002 2003 Year 2004 2005 2006 2007 Outlook for 2008 (Year-on-year % growth; source: UNWTO) 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% Africa Asia & Pacific Middle East World Europe Americas But Australia is missing out! • Predicted inbound growth 2008 – 0% (if we’re lucky) • Rising energy prices, inflation & interest rates will continue to affect the current economic landscape. • Global credit crunch and stock market slump is creating an growing sense of consumer unease and financial worry. • The dollar and its impact. • Government Policy – Tax, ETS, etc. • Oil…. Sister City Travel more “do-able” than ever Aviation The Low Cost Carriers Revenue Generation Nok Air - Thailand QANTAS response has been the creation of Jetstar and Jetstar Asia… Source: IATA, CAPA It’s not all about LCC’s The emergence of China & the Middle East as major aviation and tourism players is going to have an impact……. Emirates • Current Fleet 75 • Has 175 aircraft on order Including: • • • • 58 Airbus A380 47 Boeing 777 70 Airbus A350 Plan to launch an LCC using A380’s Dubai - DXB • Handling capacity 70 million pax • Runways - 6 • Has overtaken Singapore as the worlds 5th largest hub Gulf Carriers Airline Launched in 1995 Current Fleet 45 Has 112 Aircraft on order Annual growth of 35% in the past 7yrs Now Operates to 75 destinations Airline Launched in 2003 Current Fleet 24 Fleet will expand to 32 by 2008 Has 14 aircraft on order incl. 4 x A380’s Operate to 70 destinations by 2010 Airline Capacity Airline Capacity Currently 934 Aircraft on order Regional International Airports • • • • • • Cairns Gold Coast Avalon Darwin / Alice Springs Newcastle? Margaret River? Outbound flows (Source ABS) Australia 2005 2006 2007 Arrival 5497 5532 5644 Departure 4756 4941 5463 Index 0.87 0.893 0.968 In 2007 inbound arrivals grew by 2% whereas outbound grew at 10.6% New opportunities coupled with the strong AU$ is eroding domestic tourism. Challenges • Climate Change • Oil • The rise of the planned economies Climate Change Oil Jet Fuel Planned v Democratic Economies Asia Pacific Hotels: • 1,555 in the construction pipeline • Comprising 366,679 rooms (Source: Lodging Econometrics, October, 2007 & March 2008) Accommodation Greater China: • • • 728 hotel projects with 222,600 rooms Accounts for 50% of all planned projects and 60% of all new rooms 78% are currently under construction Additional Rooms Added 2007 - Top 5 22,950 19,326 15,180 7100 6000 Beijing Shanghai Bangkok Tokyo Hong Kong SAR Macau (Source Macau Government Tourist Office) Venetian Macao Resort • IVA’s Increase 22.7% 2007 to exceeded 27million • 55% from Mainland China • Infrastructure development exceeds US$25Bn • 22 hotels currently under construction • Asia’s largest conference venue with 15,000 fixed seat theatre Accommodation Greater China: • 728 hotel projects with 222,600 rooms • Accounts for 50% of all planned projects and 60% of all new rooms • 78% are currently under construction • Australia currently has 2676 rooms under construction. An increase of 32% since Nov07. (Source Jones Lang la Salle Hotels) An opportunity Thailand Hospitals Bangkok Thai Nakarin Hospital Thai Hospital, Bumrungrad International Working with the Travel Industry The role of ITOs in the distribution system PRODUCT SUPPLIER INBOUND TOUR OPERATOR TOUR WHOLESALER TRAVEL AGENT CONSUMER Inbound Tour Operators • Provide a vital link between the suppliers of Australian tourism product and the overseas travel companies that buy it. Australian Tourism Export Council Thank you www.atec.net.au