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Climate Change: What Role for Parliamentarians? Dr Jan Wright Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment 1 2 Outline 1. The Problem 2. Fairness: Who is responsible? 3. Physical Impact of climate change in NZ, Australia, and the Pacific islands 4. International Organisations 5. What Parliamentarians can do 3 greenhouse gases trap heat 4 Greenhouse Earth in Action CO2 concentration temperature 5 Fairness: Who is responsible? Developed countries caused the problem World Resources Institute. 2000. 1950-1999: Historic cumulative carbon emissions, as a percentage of global output by nation …but small island countries are on the frontline of climate change impacts 6 Physical Impacts: Australia and NZ More heat waves More bushfires Temperature change 1980-1999 versus 2080-2099 …..and sea level rise 7 Physical Impacts: Australia and NZ More floods Rainfall change 1980-1999 versus 2080-2099 Water supply issues 8 More droughts Physical Impacts: Pacific Islands • Land loss • Coastal erosion • Increased damage from storm surges • Salt water contamination of fresh water and soils 9 Physical Impacts: Pacific Islands Water shortages and drought More floods Rainfall change 1980-1999 versus 2080-2099 …and also • increased risk of tropical cyclones • ocean acidification, coral bleaching • changing fish migration • biodiversity loss 10 Pacific Islands are particularly vulnerable because: • surrounded by large expanses of ocean • limited natural resources • proneness to natural disasters • extremely open economies • rapidly increasing populations and urbanisation • poorly developed infrastructure • and limited funds, human resources and skills Entire cultures at risk 11 International Organisations IPCC, science assessment Reports 1990, 1995, 2001, 2007. to assess on a comprehensive, objective, open and transparent basis the latest scientific, technical and socio-economic literature produced worldwide relevant to the understanding of the risk of human-induced climate change, its observed and projected impacts and options for adaptation and mitigation. United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (1994, 192 countries) • what can be done to reduce global warming • how to cope with temperature increases The 2007 IPCC report • 2,500 + scientific expert reviewers • 800+ contributing authors • 450+ lead authors from • 130+ different countries • 6 years of work • 4 volumes Kyoto Protocol (1997, 184 countries) far the largest, broadest, and most international scientific assessment – and –“by commitment to reduce emissions 2008-2012 consensus - in history. “ Highly Authoritative Commentator, DomPost 2008 Copenhagen (Dec 2009) The next agreement 12 Adaptation Programs for Pacific Island States - Pacific Island Framework for Action on Climate Change - Pacific Adaptation to Climate Change - National Adaptation Plan of Action (NAPAs) for Least Developed Countries 13 What NZ and Australia are doing • Domestically – greenhouse gas emissions reduction target – energy efficiency improvements etc • In support of Pacific Island countries Australia New Zealand • Much expertise • Supports various programmes • Aims to “secure a good outcome for Pacific Island Countries” at Copenhagen 14 Practical Suggestions • Be informed about the reality and help people understand • Provide tools to cope • Support policies to make a difference • Work together, build cooperation and partnerships 15