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THE NEED OF PREVENTION PROGRAMMES IN AFRICA SARALA NAICKER Division of Nephrology University of Witwatersrand Johannesburg, South Africa MAJOR PROBLEMS IN AFRICA Poverty Rapid urbanization Overcrowding Lack of clean water Inadequate sanitation Wars, crime, violence HEALTH PROBLEMS IN AFRICA •Infectious diseases 43% in Africa 1.2% in developed world • • • • • tuberculosis malaria acute respiratory infections diarrhoeal diseases HIV/AIDS •Trauma/ violence •Increase in non-communicable/ chronic disease Major causes of death Causes of death 1. Infections & parasitic diseases Developing World (%) Developed world (%) 43 1.2 2. Disease of the circulatory system 24.5 45.6 3. Cancers 9.5 21 4. Respiratory diseases 4.8 8.1 5. Perinatal & Neonatal causes 9.1 1 6. Maternal causes 1.5 0 7. Other/unknown 7.7 23.1 WHO,1997 THE GLOBAL BURDEN OF CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE MORTALITY (1990-2020) 5.7 3.9 4.1 2.0 2.1 37% 157% 0.6 0.6 3.6 0.8 1.3 130% 1.4 96% 1.6 119% 2.0 0.8 139% 144% 1990 2020 * In million subjects 1990 2020 World Developed Developing 10.6 m 20.2 m 4.1 m 5.6 m 6.5 m 14.5 m CHRONIC RENAL FAILURE High incidence in Afro-Americans (Easterling 1977; Mausner et al, 1978; Rostand et al, 1982) Impression : 3 - 4 x more prevalent in Africa (Barsoum et al, 1974; Abdulla, 1979; Abdullah 1981). Birth weight and Renal disease • 2000 Lackland et al. USA: – Black 30% of population but 69% of ESRD population – 70% of ESRD attributed to HT – Low birth weight associated with ESRD of all causes • 1998 Hoy et al. Australia: Aborigines – 21 x renal disease – High rate of low BW, HT, T2 DM, CVD, obesity People of African Origin • 1996 Forrester et al. Jamaica: 1610 kids 6-16y – SBP inversely related to BW – ↑ HbA1c in children shorter at birth • 1999 Levitt et al. Soweto: 849 5y olds – SBP ↓ by 3.4 mmHg for every 1Kg ↑ BW • 1999 Longo-Mbenza et al. DRC: 2648 school children – Odds ratio of 2 for ↑ BP with low birth weight People of African Origin • 1998 Woelk et al. Zimbabwe: 756 6-7y.o. – SBP ↑ by 1.73 mmHg for every 1Kg ↓ BW • 2000 Olatunbosun et al. Nigeria: 988 adults – Negative correlation with height and IGT but not BP • 2000 Steyn et al. Soweto (BTT): 964 5y.o. – SBP and DBP significantly higher in black children POVERTY, MATERNAL MALNUTRITION, MATERNAL HT OTHER “HITS” DM, HT, Pyelonephritis, obesity, environmental factors, diet, stress LOW BIRTH WEIGHT AND IMPAIRED RENAL DEVELOPMENT ACQUIRED GLOMERULOSCLEROSIS GLOMERULAR/SYSTEMIC HYPERTENSION REDUCED FILTRATION SURFACE AREA GN IN CHILDREN • 20 year review- 636 children with NS Indian: Total 286 minimal change 46.8% FSGS 20.6% (prev. 1.8%) Black: Total 306 minimal change 14.4% FSGS 28.4% (prev. 5%) Bhimma et al, Ped Nephrol,1997 CRF IN NIGERIA 10 year study 368 patients / 10% of medical admissions Aetiology : Undetermined 62% Rest- Hypertension 61% DM 11% Chronic GN 5.9% (Mabayoje et al,1992) CRF IN TROPICAL AND EAST AFRICA Aetiology Chronic GN Hypertension (Nseka and Tshiani, 1989 McLigeyo and Kaying,1993) PRIMARY RENAL DISEASE CAUSING ESRD IN S AFRICA Hereditary Other Cystic disease Drugs CIN Multisystem Unknown HPT GN 0 500 1000 1500 Number of Patients 2000 SADTR 1994 SADTR DATA • Causes of ESRD in 8576 patients – GN – Hypertension 23% 21% • 25% of adult population • Malignant hypertension: 16% of hospital admissions SADTR, 2000 THE FACTS 40 % of diabetics are at risk of overt nephropathy Diabetic patients with renal disease have a 5-6 fold increased mortality rate as compared to diabetic patients with no signs of renal disease or healthy subjects THE GLOBAL BURDEN OF DIABETES (2000-2025) 30.7 38.4 37.5 18.6 24.5 57.2 16.7 25% 102% 22.8 47% 21.8 150% 9.1 39.3 140% 18.2 0.4 0.7 64% 2000 116% 2025 * In million subjects 2000 2025 World Developed Developing 154 m 300 m 55 m 72 m 99 m 228 m DIABETIC NEPHROPATHY • • • • • South Africa 14-16% Zambia 23.8% Egypt 12.4% Sudan 9% Ethiopia 6.1% Amos et al (1997). Diabetic Medicine Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus 90.00% Blacks Indians Total (n=172) 80.00% 70.00% 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% Retinal Prot.-uria HPT Type 2 DM prevalence: 13.7% I 6.7% B GFR Creat. Amod, SEMDSA abstracts 1996 60% MICROVASCULAR COMPLICATIONS of DIABETES MELLITUS Blacks Indians Total (n=47) 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Retinal Prot.-uria HPT Type 1 DM GFR Creat. NEPHROTIC SYNDROME greater frequency, compared to temperate regions hospital admissions Zimbabwe 0.5% Kwazulu Natal , S Africa 0.2% Uganda 2% Nigeria 2.4% Seedat,1996 RENAL DISEASE IN EAST AFRICA 2-3% of medical admissions poor response to treatment progression to renal failure Presentation: commonly – nephrotic syndrome; age of onset 5-8 years Infectious aetiology : p malariae, schistosomiosis, HBV, streptococcal infections, syphilis, leprosy, filariasis, hydatid disease Mc Ligeyo, 1990 GN • • • • Sudan Cote d’Ivoire Egypt Saudi Arabia 36.6% 49.1% 11% 28% Barsoum, 2002 RENAL DISEASE IN NORTH AFRICA • • • • GN Interstitial nephritis Diabetic nephropathy Nephrosclerosis 18-24% 14-32% 5-20% 5-18% Barsoum, 1998 PREVALENCE OF HbsAg in CHILDREN • Urban • Rural • Institutionalised 6.3% 18.5% 35.4% MEMBRANOUS GN • 306 Black children with NS • 43% with membranous GN • 86.2% HBV antigens HIV AND RENAL DISEASE • Asymptomatic patients screened: 76 – – – – Proteinuria > 1gm: 17 Proteinuria < 1gm: 6 Microalbuminuria: 27 Haematuria: 9 • Histology – HIVAN 48% Han et al, 2004 RRT IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA HD Namibia 7 Zimbabwe 59 Botswana CAPD IPD TP 20 38 4 4 3 Sudan 200 150 Congo 2 30 Kenya 80 20 300 6 Variable ± 2/week Table 2. Renal replacement therapy in Africa (1993 – 1996) Country Population (millions 28.0 GNP per capita (US dollars) 2170 Dialysis (pmp) 78.5 Egypt 60.0 1000 129.3 Libya 5.1 1800 30.0 Morocco 27.0 1010 55.6 Tunisia 8.7 1260 186.5 S Africa 34.4 2560 99.0 Algeria Frequency of HD 100 1 session/wk 2 sessions/wk 3 sessions/wk 90 80 Percent of patients 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Thailand Egypt Tunisia S. Africa India Pakistan Argentina Mexico Venzuala Barsoum, 2002 DIALYSIS PATIENTS WORLD-WIDE (1996) Europe: 317,000 China: 30,000 USA: 283,000 India: 20,000 Japan: 167,000 10,000 Latin Am: 82,000 AU/NZL: 11,000 World-ESRD (1996) Prevalence Incidence 1,000,000 220,000 South Africa 2560 (25%) Schena, Kidney Int (Suppl 74), 2000 United States 700 30 Dialysis 25 $ ( billions) Patients ( x 1,000) 600 Costs 500 20 400 15 300 10 2000 2005 2010 2000 2005 2010 Growth to year 2010 projected on the basis of historical data (19821997) by stepwise autoregression and exponential smoothing models Xue et al., J Am Soc Nephrol, 2001 Renal replacement therapy is so costly that there is minimal probability for the vast majority of the world’s population to take advantage from it Prevention: Tackling the problems Diabetes Hypertension Glomerular Disease LIFESTYLE MEASURES Public education and commitment to health Smoking hypertension hastens progression to kidney failure Dietary salt Obesity Prudent diet Exercise HIGH RISK GROUPS • Identified at early stage • Effective management at all levels Kidney Disease Renoprotection Programmes Chronic Kidney Disease Tx Dialysis ESRD Preparing people Prevent Progression KDRP Programmes Initiator / Injury Protein leakage, Proteinuria Locate People at risk Diabetes, Hypertension, Elderly, HIV Study before PPP was started Blood Pressure was poorly controlled 18.4% 81.6% Controlled Uncontrolled Percentage of controlled patients if 80% of the readings are = or < 140/90 Gauteng Health Department Report 2000 Kidney disease detection and renoprotection programme in Johannesburg • 11 intervention clinics • 4 “usual” care clinics 795 pts evaluated: 35% proteinuria 25% albuminuria 10% micro-albuminuria HBV VACCINE • Vaccine coverage rates – 1st dose – 2nd dose – 3rd dose 85.4% 78.2% 62% Impact of HBV vaccination on NS in children • 1984 – 2001 1984 – 1994 2000 – 2001 119 children with HBV MN aRR 0.25/ 105 0.22 0.03 pre-vaccine 0 – 4 years 5 – 10 years 0.16 0.46 post-vaccine 0.00 0.19 Bhimma et al, 2003 WHAT IS THE GLOBAL STRATEGY NEEDED IN LESS-DEVELOPED WORLD? Identify apparently healthy subjects at risk of developing renal and cardiovascular diseases later in life Build regional or national prevention strategies by developing therapeutic intervention programs PREVENTION STRATEGIES • Public education • Free antenatal care for pregnant women and children • Ban on smoking • Screening for hypertension and diabetes • Eradication of Schistosomiasis • HBV vaccine in EPI since 1995 • Effective intervention programmes A WORLD-WIDE STRATEGY REQUIRING INTERNATIONAL PARTNERSHIPS • Government ministries of health (and education) • International Agencies • Academic centers • Foundations