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Chapter 7 Epidemiology in Community Health Care 1 Objectives: Upon mastery of this chapter, you should be able to: Explore the historical roots of epidemiology. Explain the host, agent, and environment model. Describe theories of causality in health and illness. Explain a “web of causation” matrix that assists you with recognition of multicausal factors in disease or injury occurrences. 2 Objectives: Define immunity and compare passive immunity, active immunity, cross-immunity, and herd immunity. Explain how epidemiologists determine populations at risk. Identify the four stages of a disease or health condition. List the major sources of epidemiologic information. 3 Introduction In this unit, the focus is on epidemiology, communicable disease control, and environmental health and safety. These are cornerstone areas of public health practice and are just as important at the local level as at the regional, national, and international levels. 4 Definition of health The World Health Organization (WHO) defines the health as “ a state of complete well-being, physical, social, and mental, and not the absence of diseases …. 1988 5 Definition of Epidemiology Epidemiology :is the study of distribution and determine of healthrelated states or events in specific populations, and the application of this study to control of health problems 6 What is Epidemiology? Science of Public Health that studies: Distribution of disease Determinants of health/disease Specific populations Look for patterns of disease Time, place, personal characteristics Interventions Prevention is key 7 What does Epidemiology study? Health-related Infectious disease Chronic disease 8 Historical Roots of Epidemiology Ancient Times: Hippocrates, Greek physician 460 to 375 BC Middle Ages: 1348: Plague (Black Death) 18th century: Florence Nightingale (1820–1910) 19th century: modern epidemiology sanitary statistics infectious-disease epidemiology chronic-disease epidemiology 9 Epidemiologic Information 1) Case definition 2) Person 3) Place 4) Time 10 1) Case Definition Standard set of criteria Clinical and lab Allows for comparison 11 Case Definition example : Smallpox Clinical Description • An illness with acute onset of fever >101 °F followed by a rash characterized by vesicles or firm pustules in the same stage of development without other apparent cause. Laboratory Criteria for Confirmation • Isolation of smallpox (variola) virus from a clinical specimen, or 12 Case Definition Gradient Low Specificity Suspected Probable High Confirmed Specificity 13 2) Person Age Sex Race/Ethnicity Socio-Economic Status Behaviors 14 3) Place Geographic Distribution Natural Clustering vs. uniform Home Work School Hospital room 15 Regional HIV and AIDS statistics and features, 2006 Adults & children living with HIV Sub-Saharan Africa Middle East & North Africa South and South-East Asia East Asia Latin America Caribbean Eastern Europe & Central Asia Western & Central Europe North America Oceania TOTAL 24.7 million [21.8 – 27.7 million] Adults & children newly infected with HIV 2.8 million [2.4 – 3.2 million] 460 000 68 000 [270 000 – 760 000] [41 000 – 220 000] 7.8 million 860 000 [5.2 – 12.0 million] [550 000 – 2.3 million] Adult (15‒49) prevalence [%] 5.9% [5.2% – 6.7%] 0.2% Adult & child deaths due to AIDS 2.1 million [1.8 – 2.4 million] 36 000 [0.1% – 0.3%] [20 000 – 60 000] [0.4% – 1.0%] [390 000 – 850 000] 0.6% 590 000 750 000 100 000 0.1% 43 000 [460 000 – 1.2 million] [56 000 – 300 000] [<0.2%] [26 000 – 64 000] 1.7 million 140 000 [1.3 – 2.5 million] [100 000 – 410 000] 250 000 27 000 [190 000 – 320 000] [20 000 – 41 000] 1.7 million 270 000 [1.2 – 2.6 million] [170 000 – 820 000] 740 000 22 000 [580 000 – 970 000] [18 000 – 33 000] 1.4 million 43 000 [880 000 – 2.2 million] [34 000 – 65 000] 81 000 7100 [50 000 – 170 000] [ 3400 – 54 000] 39.5 million 4.3 million [34.1 – 47.1 million] [3.6 – 6.6 million] 0.5% 65 000 [0.4% – 1.2%] [51 000 – 84 000] [0.9% – 1.7%] [14 000 – 25 000] [0.6% – 1.4%] [58 000 – 120 000] [0.2% – 0.4%] [ <15 000] [0.6% – 1.1%] [11 000 – 26 000] [0.2% – 0.9%] [2300 – 6600] 1.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.8% 0.4% 1.0% [0.9% 1.2%] 19 000 84 000 12 000 18 000 4000 2.9 million [2.5 – 3.5 million] 16 Geographic Distribution 17 4) Time Onset of symptoms Incubation Period Infectious Period Seasonality Baseline vs. epidemic Interval • Long-term trends • Shorter for environmental exposure 18 Mortality versus Morbidity rate • Mortality rate : is a measure of the number of deaths (in general, or due to a specific cause) in some population, scaled to the size of that population, per unit time. * Morbidity rate : refers to the number of individuals who have contracted a disease during a given time period 19 Examples : *Mortality rate : Ex. Number of deaths from TB is 39 per 10 100000 population in KSA. *Morbidity rate : Ex.: the number of HIV cases is 432 per 100000 population in South Africa. 20 Epidemiologic Triangular: Host, Agent, & Environment 1)Host susceptible human or animal who harbors and nourishes a disease-causing agent 2)Agent a factor that causes or contributes to a health problem or condition 3)Environment all the external factors surrounding the host that might influence vulnerability or resistance 21 Epidemiologic Triangular Agent Host Environment 22 Epidemiologic Triangular Agent Host Environment 23 Theories of Causality in Health and Illness Relationship between a cause and its effect 1) Chain of Causation: 24 Chain of Infection 25 Web of Causation: Infant Mortality 2) Multiple Causation: 26 Transmission a) Direct Contact Droplet b) Indirect Airborne Vehicle Vector • Mechanical vs. biologic Portal of Entry Portal of Exit 27 Definition & Types of Immunity A host’s ability to resist a particular infectious disease–causing agent. Acquired immunity: is the resistance acquired by a host as a result of previous natural exposure to infectious agent Ex. : having a measles once protects against future infection * Acquired immunity may be induced by active or passive immunity 28 Types of immunization : 1- Active immunity: refers to immunization of an individual by administration of an antigen (infectious agent or vaccine ) and usually characterized by the presence of an antibody produced by the individual host *long-term immunization Ex.: vaccination of the children against measles . 29 Types of immunization : 2- Passive immunity: refers to immunization through the transfer of specific antibody from an immunized individual to no immunized individual . * short-term immunization. Ex .: used of immunoglobulin to hepatitis patient . 30 Populations at Risk The risk of developing a health problem is directly influenced by their biology, environment, lifestyle, and system of health care. 31 Four Stages of a Disease or Health Condition 32 Major Sources of Epidemiologic Information Existing Data Vital Statistics Census Data Reportable Diseases Disease Registries Environmental Monitoring Informal Observational Studies Scientific Studies 33 Incidence rate Incidence rate: Number of new disease cases per population at risk • High incidence implies high disease occurrence • Low incidence implies low disease occurrence Measured over a given time interval Usage: 1-Determine probability of developing a specific disease 2-Used to detect etiologic factors refers to all new cases of a disease or health condition appearing during a given time. 34 Incidence rate formula : Incidence rate = Number of persons developing a disease Total number x100% Ex.: the number of people age 30-39 at risk at 10,000, since all the time new people are entering the population at risk ( 100 cases ) 35 Summary Case definition, person, time, place Know disease/agent Triangular epidemiology Passive and active immunization Incidence rate calculation 36