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Outbreak: A Study in Epidemiology Flinn Scientific Inc FB1794 By: George Azar Epidemiologists – disease detectives They use scientific methods to determine: ◦ Why some people get sick and others do not ◦ How and why people are sick ◦ How to control disease Background Pink Eye – irritation of the inner eyelid membrane and the membranes covering the whites of the eyes (conjunctiva). Infectious conjunctivitis is easily spread! These activities cause the spread more readily: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ Sharing towels or washcloths Touching eyes Eye make up sharing Swimming You must have a doctors note for re-admittance into school because of this infectious nature Conjunctivitis You are an epidemiologist and you are trying to determine the source of a pink eye outbreak at your high school. The population is 400 students, 100 students in each grade level (9 – 12). You will be provided with 25 students information from each grade level, totaling 100 students (25 – 9th, 25, 10th, 25 11th, and 25 12th). The other 75 students from each grade level or 300 students are non-exposed and non-ill. Your Task! Each group receives: ◦ ◦ ◦ ◦ 100 Student Demographic Cards Supplemental Demographic Information Sheet Conjunctivitis Information Sheet Outbreak Worksheet Materials Look through the cards and calculate : ◦ P = cases/population x 100 ◦ Population = 400 Formulate hypothesis of where the pink eye originated in the school. Create a 2 x 2 table as shown below: Pink Eye Investigation No Exposure C Exposure A No Pink Eye B d Test hypothesis by collecting data ◦ Calculate risk of infection for an exposed student Riexp = a/a+b x 100 ◦ Calculate the risk of infection for a non – exposed student Rinon = c/c+d x 100 ◦ Calculate the risk of infection for any student Rel Ri = Riexp/ Rinon Investigate What are your suggestions: Enhancements