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Prognostic Indicators and Cardiac Remodeling After CRT Saverio Iacopino, FACC, FESC Sant’Anna Hospital Catanzaro Indications of CRT CRT using BIV pacing can be considered in patients with reduced EF and ventricular dyssynchrony (QRS widht > 120 msec), who remain symptomatic (NYHA III-IV) despite optimal medical therapy to improve: Symptoms (Class I, level A) Hospitalizations (Class I, level A) Mortality (Class I, level B) ESC Guidelines Prevalence and Prognosis of Ventricular Dysynchrony Increased All-Cause Mortality with Wide QRS at 45 Months (3) LBBB More Prevalent with Impaired LV Systolic Function Preserved LVSF (1) Impaired LVSF (1) Mod/Sev HF (2) P < 0.001 8% 49% 34% 24% QRS < 120 ms 38% 1. Masoudi, et al. JACC 2003;41:217-23 2. Aaronson, et al. Circ 1997;95:2660-7 QRS > 120 ms 3. Iuliano et al. AHJ 2002;143:1085-91 Ventricular dysynchrony impairs diastolic and systolic function 4-6: Reduced LV filling time; Increased mitral regurgitation; Depressed dP/dt 4. Grines, et al. Circulation 1989;79:845-53 5. Xiao, et al. Br Heart J 1991;66:443-7 6. Xiao et al. Br Heart J 1992;68:403-7 The only reliable predictive criterion of positive response to CRT is the degree of QRS shortening Limitations of ECG in the Evaluation of Asynchrony It does not have enough sensitivity to detect the presence of electromechanical delay in each region of the left ventricle Some patients have mechanical asynchrony without delay electric (hypertrophy, fibrosis, collagen-ultrastructural changes of myocytes) CRT: how many can benefit? Clinical response (NYHA, QoL) : 60%-75% of patients Objective response (e.g., ventricular reverse remodeling): 50%-60% of patients Birnie et al. Curr Opin Cardiol 2006 Responders: Why Not ? DCM Etiology Variability of Dissinchrony Available contractility reserve How the Current Predictors Are Reliable? QRS width remains the selectium criterium of dyssynchrony to identify patients suitable for CRT Reduction of LVESV in Defining “Prognostic Responder” to CRT All-cause mortality Survival ESV≥10% Reduction in LVESV ≥10% at 3-6 months post-implantation predicts all cause mortality (p = 0.0003) ESV<10% Discriminatory ability was quite modest: sensitivity and specificity 70% Yu CM et al. – Circulation 2005;112:1580-6 Reverse Remodeling After CRT Relates Linearly to Prognosis Death, heart transplantation and hospitalization for HF 37% 22% 12% More extensive reverse remodeling resulted in lower mortality and hospitalization 3% Ypenburg C et al. – JACC 2009;53:483-90 New Criteria for Patient Selection? Is contractility assessment the key for success? A model of impulse conduction in impaired tissue ... extent of scar area and quantity of the interstizial fibrotic tissue Necrotic tissue Healthy cells Interstitial fibrotic tissue presence and density of the myocardial beta-receptors Slow conduction Electrical impulse Dobutamine Eco-Stress Test Agricola et al. Cardiovascular Ultrasound 2004 LODO-CRT Trial - Preliminary Experience A reverse remodelling was significantly related to Contractile Reserve (r=0.63; p<0.00001) At Multivariate logistic regression (including QRS duration): Contractile Reserve (OR: 11.2; CI: 6.2-19.8; p<0.001) CRT response R DSE test R 25 response NR 0 NR 2 Sensitivity: 100% Specificity: 88% 15 Tuccillo B, Muto C et al., J Interv Card Electrophysiol. 2008 Nov;23(2):121-6 LODO-CRT - Methods DSE test cut-off A patient is considered responder to DSE test if the increase of LVEF at peak stress is at least 5 points with respect to the value at rest Sample size justification The nonresponse rate to CRT, evaluated by means of a remodeling end point, ranges from 40% to 50% of patients. Thus, assumed responder rate is estimated at 60% in this patient population The DSE responder-nonresponder ratio is estimated to be 3:1 It is estimated that demonstration of LVCR using DSE (DSE-positive) will increase CRT responder rate by 20% compared to the absence of DSEassessed LVCR 15% lost-to-follow-up rate 270 patients followed-up for 12 months Muto C. et al., Am H J. 2008 Low-dose Dobutamine Stress-echocardiography to Predict Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Response (LODO-CRT) Trial - Baseline Characteristics of the Study Population Saverio Iacopino, MD; Maurizio Gasparini, MD; Francesco Zanon, MD; Cosimo Dicandia, MD; Giuseppe Distefano, MD; Antonio Curnis, MD; Roberto Donati, MD; Valeria Calvi, MD; Carlo Peraldo Neja, MD; Mario Davinelli, PhD; Vanessa Novelli, BA; Carmine Muto, MD 297 patients enrolled 290 patients implanted 271 patients considered for the analysis CRT implant success rate: 96% 19 incomplete baseline measures - 8 LVESV not measured - 11 echo not completed - inadequate or missing data Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010 LODO-CRT – DSE Test 5 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min EF assessment at rest End test Yes EF assessment Cut-off reached? No 10 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min End test Yes EF assessment Cut-off reached? No Cut-off: increase of at least 5% in EF value with respect to rest conditions 15 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min End test Yes EF assessment Cut-off reached? No Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010 20 μg/Kg/min Dobutamine infusion for 5 min Final EF assessment LODO-CRT – Acute DSE Results Test was interrupted in 3 patients due to ventricular arrhythmias onset 99% The test was feasible in of the patients w/out complications LVEF at rest (%) LVEF at peak-stress (%) CR+ n (%) 26± 6 35±9 198 (73) About 3 out of 4 patients showed presence of CR This confirms preliminary experiences Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010 LODO-CRT – Acute DSE Results DSE Test CR - (62) CR + (206) p value LVEF at rest (%) 26±5 26 ±6 0,184 LVEF at peak stress (%) 28 ±6 38 ±8 <0,001 Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010 LODO-CRT – Acute DSE Results ECHO measures CR - 62 (23%) CR + 206 (77%) p value LVEDD (mm) 71±9 66±8 0,001 LVESD (mm) 59±10 55±9 0,005 LVEDV (ml) 237±91 197±72 0,001 LVESV (ml) 178±74 145±59 0,001 LVEF (%) 26±5 27±6 0,433 IVMD (ms) 30±49 28±51 0,586 Inter-Ventricular delay presence n (%) 36 (58) 89 (43) 0,040 Q - Lateral wall delay (ms) 358±135 377±147 0,399 Q - E wave delay (ms) 493±106 522±96 0,052 8 (11) 24 (12) 0,878 E-A duration (ms) 405±159 381±133 0,336 E/A 1,6± 1,6 1,1±0,9 0,030 E wave deceleration time (ms) 126±56 174±83 0,002 Presence of restrictive pattern n (%) 31 (44) 45 (23) <0,001 Mitral regurgitation 23 (38) 44 (22) 0,012 Delayed Lateral Contraction n (%) Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010 LODO-CRT – Etiology 106 (39%) patients have HF of ischemic origin DSE test LVEF at rest (%) LVEF at peak stress (%) CR + (%) Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010 Ischemic Nonischemic p value 26±5 36 ±9 76% 26±6 35±9 70% 0,600 0,394 0,270 LODO-CRT Multivariable Logistic Regression Iacopino S. et al., CHF 2010 Presence of Left Ventricular Contractile Reserve Predicts Mid-term Response to Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy Results from the LODO-CRT trial Carmine Muto, Maurizio Gasparini, Carlo Peraldo Neja, Saverio Iacopino, Mario Davinelli, Francesco Zanon, Cosimo Dicandia, Giuseppe Distefano, Roberto Donati, Valeria Calvi, Alessandra Denaro, Bernardino Tuccillo Muto C. et al., Heart Rhythm 2010 Baseline Characteristics Muto C. et al., Heart Rhythm 2010 Distribution of CRT Response in the Groups with and without LVCR CRT responders in patients with LVCR: 145/185 (78%) LVEF increase under DSE is significantly associated with CRT response (OR:1.35, c.i. 1.08-1.68, p=0.008 for each 5-point increase of LVEF) (Univariable Logistic Regression) LVCR presence at baseline is an independent predictor of response to CRT (OR=5.59; c.i. 2.25-13.90; p<0.001) (Multivariable Logistic Regression) Muto C. et al., Heart Rhythm 2010 Logistic Regression Analysis for Identification of Independent Predictors to Response to CRT Predictors response to CRT ClinicalofResponse QRS duration No previous MI Inter-V dyssynchrony presence LVCR presence Predictors response to CRT ECHOof Response Hypertension No previous revascularization Left Ventricular End Systolic Diameter Inter-V dyssynchrony presence LVCR presence Univariable analysis OR p-value 95%CI 1.02 0.041 1.00 2.53 0.017 1.18 3.19 0.007 1.37 2.35 0.040 1.04 Multivariable analysis OR p-value 95%CI 1.05 5.42 7.44 5.31 Univariable analysis OR p-value 95%CI 2.33 0.020 1.14 4.76 2.84 0.002 1.47 5.48 0.96 0.014 0.93 0.99 6.09 <0.001 2.66 13.93 9.00 <0.001 4.10 19.73 3.38 2.57 0.005 0.028 1.43 1.11 7.98 5.98 Multivariable analysis OR p-value 95%CI 10.81 39.36 0.001 <0.001 2.69 9.73 43.47 159.21 Gasparini M. et al., JAMA submitted Assessment of Survival Over Time to MCE in Patients with and without LVCR Gasparini M. et al., JAMA submitted Positive Predictive Value of LVCR and inter-V Dyssynchrony Tests Combined Gasparini M. et al., JAMA submitted Study Limitations The LODO-CRT is an observational trial Results of this experience should in any case be confirmed by a randomized study, before considering the inclusion of the DSE test in the guidelines for CRT patient selection The cut-off used for the definition of response to CRT is obviously arbitrary, although an association between this cut-off value and the long-term prognosis of these patients has been shown The interaction between AF and HF means that neither can be treated optimally without treating both HF promotes aggravates AF Implantable CRT Device Diagnostics Identify Patients with Increased Risk for Heart Failure Hospitalization. ICD Diagnostics quantify HF Hospitalization Risk Giovanni B. Perego, MD; Maurizio Landolina, MD; Giuseppe Vergara, MD; Maurizio Lunati, MD; Gabriele Zanotto, MD; Alessia Pappone, MD; Gabriele Lonardi, MD; Giancarlo Speca, MD; Saverio Iacopino, MD; Annamaria Varbaro, MS; Shantanu Sarkar, PhD; Doug A. Hettrick, PhD; Alessandra Denaro, MS; on behalf of the physicians of the Optivol-CRT Clinical Service Observational Group. To determine the association between device-determined diagnostic indices, including intrathoracic impedance, and heart failure (HF) hospitalization Journal of Interventional Cardiac Electrophysiology 2008 558 HF patients indicated for CRT-D were prospectively collected from 34 centers. Device-recorded intrathoracic impedance fluid index threshold crossing event (TCE), mean activity counts, tachyarrhythmia events, night heart rate (NHR) and heart rate variability (HRV) were compared within patients with vs. without documented HF hospitalization. Journal of Interventional Cardiac Electrophysiology 2008 Long-Term Effects of CRT CRT response=reduction in LVESV >10% Gasparini M. JACC 2006; 48, 734-43 Patient Characteristics (N=490) Variable Age (years) Gender M/F Ischemic etiology (n) QRS duration (ms) Serum creatinine (µmol/l) eGFR (ml/min/1.73m2) LVEDV (ml) Baseline follow-up LVESV (ml) Baseline follow-up LVEF (%) Baseline follow-up Responders (n = 263) 65 ± 10 Non-responders (n = 227) 66 ± 11 p-value 202/61 129 (49%) 159 ± 33 104 ± 30 74 ± 26 190/37 164 (72%) 154 ± 31 127 ± 51 64 ± 28 0.070 <0.001 0.130 <0.001 <0.001 234 ± 86 179 ± 71* 219 ± 79 223 ± 75 0.055 <0.001 176 ± 77 116 ± 58‡ 167 ± 70 167 ± 66 0.181 <0.001 26 ± 8 37 ± 9* 25 ± 8 26 ± 8 0.293 <0.001 0.392 J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555 eGFR subgroups Variable eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73m2 N = 193 eGFR 60-90 ml/min/1.73m2 N = 204 eGFR ≥ 90 ml/min/1.73m2 N = 93 p-value Age (years) Gender M/F Ischemic etiology (n) QRS duration (ms) 71 ± 8 152/41 123 (64%) 161 ± 30 65 ± 8 165/39 121 (59%) 159 ± 33 56 ± 11 75/18 49 (53%) 147 ± 35 <0.001 0.856 0.200 0.001 NYHA class 6 MWT (m) QoL score 3.1 ± 0.3 266 ± 99 37 ± 16 3.1 ± 0.3 308 ± 105 38 ± 18 3.0 ± 0.2 352 ± 98 33 ± 18 0.160 <0.001 0.091 LVEDV (ml) LVESV (ml) LVEF (%) MR grade 218 ± 77 168 ± 71 24 ± 8 1.7 ± 1.1 235 ± 92 177 ± 80 26 ± 8 1.5 ± 1.1 229 ± 72 170 ± 64 27 ± 8 1.1 ± 0.8 0.127 0.423 0.022 <0.001 J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555 Differences in Response to CRT Between the 3 eGFR sub-groups 80% * * 60-90 (n = 204) 90 (n = 93) 60% Responders Non-responders 40% 20% 0% <60 (n = 193) eGFR (ml/min) RJ Van Bommel et al. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555 All-cause Mortality in the 3 eGFR subgroups eGFR ≥90 Event-free survival 100% 80% eGFR 60-90 60% eGFR <60 40% 20% p<0.001 0% 0 12 24 36 48 60 Follow-up (months) RJ Van Bommel et al. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555 Change in eGFR (ml/min) Changes in eGFR from Baseline to 6 Months Follow-up, Responders vs. Non-responders (N=133) 0 -2 -4 -6 p<0.05 -8 Responders Non-responders RJ Van Bommel et al. J Am Coll Cardiol 2011;57:549-555 Conclusion Even though patient selection for CRT may not be altered by knowledge of some pre-implantation variables, it may help to place the individual patient in the appropriate part of the response spectrum and aid in setting of expectations