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Recap 1 Cost and Trends in Cost • Cost is an important factor in the design of any computer system (except may be supercomputers) • Cost: amount spent by manufacturer to produce a finished good • Cost changes over time – The learning curve – High volume products lowers manufacturing costs (Double the volume will decrease the cost by 10%) – Commodity products decreases cost as well • Commodities: identical products sold by many vendors in large volumes (keyboards, DRAMs) – low cost because of high volume and competition among suppliers 2 Processor Prices 3 Memory Prices 4 Trends in Cost: The Price of Pentium4 and PentiumM 5 Wafer, Die, IC http://www.intel.com/museum/online/funfacts.htm Wafer Processing F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F F IC Die F Packaging F 6 Cost of Integrated Circuits Cost of die Cost of testing die Cost of packaging Cost of IC Final test yield Cost of wafer Cost of die Dies per wafer Die yield Dingwall’s Equation Defects per unit area Die area Die yield Wafer yield 1 2 Wafer diameter 2 Wafer diameter Test dies per wafer Dies per wafer Die area 2 Die area Cost of testing per hour Average die test time Cost of testing die Die yield 7 Explanations Second term in “Dies per wafer” corrects for the rectangular dies near the periphery of round wafers “Die yield” assumes a simple empirical model: defects are randomly distributed over the wafer, and yield is inversely proportional to the complexity of the fabrication process (indicated by ) =3-4 for modern processes implies that cost of die is proportional to (Die area)4 8 Yield Manufacturing Defects 13/16 working chips 81.25% yield 1/4 working chips 25.0% yield 9 Yield (2) Assuming $250 per wafer: $5.92 per die $58.82 per die 52 die, 81.25% yield 42.25 working parts / wafer 17 die, 25.0% yield 4.25 working parts / wafer 10 Where Do The Transistors Go? • Logic contributes a (vanishingly) small fraction of the number of transistors • Memory (mostly on-chip cache) is the biggest fraction • Computing is free, communication is expensive 11 Cost of Computers What is Relationship of Cost to Price? List Price Average Discount 25~40% ASP Component Cost 100% Gross Margin 45~65% Gross Margin Direct Cost 20~22% Direct Cost 10~11% Direct Cost Component Cost 72~80% Component Cost 25~44% Component Cost +(25~40)% +(82~186)% 34~39% 6~8% 15~33% +(33~66)% 12 Component Cost vs. System Price • Increase CPU cost by $100 • Then – Direct costs go up by ~$20 – Indirect costs go up by ~$40 – Discount goes up by ~$50 • List price of the system is now $210 up – Then, if fewer get sold because of this, indirect costs go up… • Relationship is very complex 13 Cost and Price • A $1000 increase in cost may result in a $3000 increase in price – hence, important to understand the relationship • The relationship is complex – for example, a company may under-price a product that has heavy competition and over-price a product that has no competition 14 Contribution of IC Costs to Total System Cost Subsystem Fraction of total cost Cabinet: sheet metal, plastic, power supply, fans, cables, nuts, bolts, manuals, shipping box 6% Processor 22% DRAM 5% Video card 5% Motherboard 5% Processor board subtotal 37% Keyboard and mouse 3% Monitor 19% Hard disk (20 GB) 9% DVD drive 6% I/O devices subtotal 37% Software (OS + Office) 20% 15 Desktop Prices Vendor Model Processor Clock speed MHz Price Compaq Presario 7000 AMD Athlon 1,400 $2,091 Dell Precision 420 Intel Pentium III 1,000 $3,834 Dell Precision 530 Intel Pentium 4 1,700 $4,175 HP Workstation c3600 PA 8600 552 $12,631 IBM RS6000 44P/170 IBM III-2 450 $13,889 Sun Sunblade 100 UltraSPARC II-e 500 $2,950 Sun Sunblade 1000 UltraSPARC III 750 $9,950 All systems have similar configurations – price variations due to expandability, expensive disks/memory/processor/OS, commoditization 16 Server Prices System CPUs Price IBM xSeries 370 c/s 280 Pentium III $15.5 M Compaq AlphaServer GS 320 32 Alpha 21264 $10.3 M Fujitsu PRIMEPOWER 20000 48 SPARC64 GP $9.7 M IBM pSeries 680 7017-S85 24 IBM RS64-IV $7.5 M HP 9000 Enterprise Server 48 HP PA-RISC 8600 $8.5 M IBM iSeries 400 840-2420 24 iSeries400 Model 840 $8.4 M Dell PowerEdge 6400 3 Pentium III $131 K IBM xSeries 250 c/s 4 Pentium III $297 K Compaq Proliant ML570 4 Pentium III $375 K HP NetServer LH 6000 6 Pentium III $373 K NEC Express 5800/180 8 Pentium III $683 K HP 9000/L2000 4 PA-RISC 8500 $368 K 17