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Chapter 8: Cash Flow and Capital Budgeting Corporate Finance, 3e Graham, Smart, and Megginson 1 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Cash Flow and Capital Budgeting Types of cash flows that may appear in almost any type of investment How to deal properly with the problem of inflation in capital budgeting problems Special problems and situations that arise in the capital budgeting process The human element in capital budgeting 2 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Cash Flow Versus Accounting Profit preparing financial statements for external reporting, accountants have a different purpose in mind than financial analysts have. In Accountants measure the inflows and outflows of a business’s operations on an accrual basis rather than on a cash basis. e.g., depreciation 3 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Cash Flow Versus Accounting Profit For capital budgeting purposes, financial analysts focus on cash flows. No matter what earnings a firm may show on an accrual basis, it cannot survive for long unless it generates cash to pay its bills. When calculating a project’s cash flows, analysts should… Include the effects of taxes. Ignore interest expense. 4 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Types of Cash Flows Depreciation Fixed asset expenditures Working capital expenditures Terminal value Incremental cash flow Opportunity costs 5 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Depreciation Largest noncash item for most investment Affects the amount of taxes the firm will projects pay 6 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Two Methods of Handling Depreciation to Compute Cash Flow Assume a firm purchases a fixed asset today for $30,000 Plans to depreciate over 3 years using straight-line method Firm will produce 10,000 units/year Costs $1/unit Sells for $3/unit Firm pays taxes at a 40% marginal rate 7 7 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Depreciation Many countries allow firms to use one depreciation method for tax purposes and another for reporting purposes. Accelerated depreciation methods such as the modified accelerated cost recovery system (MACRS) increase the present value of an investment’s tax benefits. Relative to MACRS, straight-line depreciation results in higher reported earnings early in an investment’s life. Which method would you expect companies to use when they file their taxes, and which would they use when preparing public financial statements? For capital budgeting analysis, it is the depreciation method for tax purposes that matters. 8 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Sale of Old Equipment When a firm sells an old piece of equipment, there will be a tax consequence of the sale if the selling price exceeds or falls below the old equipment’s book value. If the firm sells an asset for more than its book value, the firm must pay taxes on the difference. If a firm sells an asset for less than its book value, then it can treat the difference as a tax-deductible expense. 9 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Working Capital Expenditures Many capital investments require additions to working capital. Net working capital (NWC) = Current assets minus current liabilities An increase in NWC requires a cash outflow, while a decrease creates a cash inflow. 10 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Terminal Value Terminal value used when evaluating an investment with indefinite life-span Construct cash-flow forecasts for 5 to 10 years Forecasts more than 5 to 10 years have high margin of error; use terminal value instead. • Terminal value is intended to reflect the value of a project at a given future point in time. – Large value relative to all the other cash flows of the project 11 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Terminal Value Different ways to calculate terminal values – Use final year cash flow projections and assume that all future cash flows grow at a constant rate. – Multiply final cash flow estimate by a market multiple. – Use investment’s book value or liquidation value. 12 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Incremental Cash Flow Incremental cash flows versus sunk costs Capital budgeting analysis should include only incremental costs. 13 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Opportunity Costs In capital budgeting, the opportunity costs of one investment are the cash flows on the alternative investment that the firm decides not to make. 14 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Opportunity Costs Cash flows from alternative investment opportunities, forgone when one investment is undertaken If Norm did not attend school, he would have earned: First year: $70,000 ($45,500 after taxes) Second Year: $73,500 ($47,775 after taxes) NPV of a project could fall substantially if opportunity costs are recognized. 15 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Cash Inflows, Discounting, and Inflation If inflation is in the numerator, be sure that it is also in the denominator. The nominal return reflects the actual dollar return. The real return measures the increase in purchasing power gained by holding a certain investment. In general, when the inflation rate is high, so too will be the nominal rate of return offered by various investments: 16 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Inflation Rule 1 Nominal cash flows reflect the same inflation rate that the interest rate does. Inflation Rule 1 — When we discount cash flows at a nominal interest rate, embedded in the discount rate is an estimate of expected inflation. 17 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Inflation Rule 2 Occasionally an investment’s cash flow projections may be stated in real terms. Real cash flows only reflect current prices and do not incorporate upward adjustments for expected inflation. Inflation Rule 2 — When project cash flows are stated in real rather than in nominal terms, the appropriate discount rate is the real rate. 18 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Special Problems in Capital Budgeting Equipment replacement and equivalent annual cost Excess capacity 19 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Excess Capacity When firms operate at less than full capacity, managers encourage alternative uses of the excess capacity because they view it as a free asset. The marginal cost of using excess capacity is zero in the very short run, but using excess capacity today may accelerate the need for more capacity in the future. When this is so, managers should charge the cost of accelerating new capacity development against the current proposal for using excess capacity. Excess capacity – not a free asset as traditionally regarded by managers. 20 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part. Human Face of Capital Budgeting The best financial analysts can provide not only the numbers to highlight the value of a good investment, but also can explain why the investment makes sense, highlighting the competitive opportunity that makes one investment’s NPV positive and another’s negative. 21 © 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible Web site, in whole or in part.