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Coal cleaning: A viable strategy for reduced carbon emissions and improved environment in China? • Cooperation between National Bureau of Statistics of China and Statistics Norway 1998-2002 • Methods for environmental accounting • Analytical tools, energy-environmentaleconomic analysis • NORAD funded 3E-analysis • General equilibrium model (CGE) with emphasis on energy use and emissions to air • Coal cleaning – measure to reduce CO2emissions and local pollutants (WB, Govt) • Mechanical coal washing Pilot study of coal cleaning • Two coal varieties in the CGE – raw coal and washed coal • Users may fairly easily switch • Input of thermal energy per unit produced kept constant • Incentives for switch: cost per unit thermal energy Coal washing • Particulate matter washed out • Less carbon and PM emissions per unit thermal energy Saving transportation • More heat value per tonne means lower transportation costs • Coal transportation about 40 percent of transportation capacity. CDM-project • Capital allocated to coal cleaning as part of a CDM project • Cleaned coal twice as costly as raw coal • Coal cleaning unprofitable at project level – acceptable as CDM project • Increase in total energy use 2.5 % • Increase in total coal use 10 % • Higher economic growth 0.2 % • Reduced particle emissions 2 % At project level • users switch to cleaned coal, hence more raw coal is available to other users –at a lower price • less transportation is needed, hence more Tservices are available to other users – at a lower price. Price Supply of raw coal Demand of raw coal Demand of raw coal after CDM Quantity K1 K0 CDM and the leakage problem • Leakage – an unanticipated CO2-emission in a CDM project • The Kyoto process: much less focus on leakage in Energy related projects than in Land use change-projects. Böhringer et al. (2003) • Simulate CDM project in India – inproved energy efficiency incoal based electricity production • CGE model including host (India) and purchasers of ER (Germany) • Result: 56 percent of credited carbon reductions are lost in indirect market effects. Leakage effects • Leakage in CDM energy projects are probably huge • Leakage in all CDM projects should be considered more closely • Tax schemes should follow the project approach China and CDM? • Interim measures for management of CDM June 2004 • Requires project developer to share the benefits from CERtransfers with the govt. • Only projects with 50% pluss Chinese ownership