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Chapter 15 Monetary Policy © West Publishing Company 1996 EQUATION OF EXCHANGE MV=P Q M is the money supply V is the velocity of money P is the price level Q is the real GDP INFLATION Inflation refers to an increase in the general price level. One-shot inflation is a one-time increase in the price level. Continued inflation is continuous increases in the price level (CPI rises each year) CONTINUED INFLATION YEAR 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 CPI 100 108 120 133 150 CONTINUED INFLATION Continued inflation results from continued increases in AD. What causes these continued increases in AD? Usually continued increases in the Money Supply COSTS OF INFLATION Inflation is a “tax” on peoples moneyholdings. Inflation lowers the real return on your savings. Inflation redistributes purchasing power from lenders to borrowers. COSTS OF INFLATION Inflation can lead to social tension Inflation creates greater uncertainty Inflation leads people to divert money away from productive activities. INTEREST RATES REAL RATE - the rate of return banks must have to cover costs and provide a return to investors NOMINAL RATE - real rate plus the expected rate of inflation DEMAND FOR MONEY The inverse relationship between the quantity of money balances and the interest rate the interest rate is the opportunity cost of holding money Demand for, and Supply of Money Exhibit 1 Interest Rate Interest Rate Supply of Money i2 i1 Demand for Money 0 M2 M1 Quantity of Money (a) 0 Quantity of Money (b) Equilibrium in the Money Interest Rate Market S1 i2 Excess Supply of Money Equilibrium in the money market i1 i3 D1 Excess Demand for Money 0 M1 Quantity of Money BONDS AND INTEREST RATES bonds have a face value bonds pay a fixed interest payment each year (coupon pmt) bond prices are determined by the relationship between current interest rates and the bond’s rate BONDS AND INTEREST RATES Bond Prices are inversely related to the current interest rate. If current interest rates are higher than the bond’s rate then the bond will sell below face value If interest rates fall, bond prices rise APPROPRIATE POLICIES What are the appropriate monetary policies to close a recessionary gap? – buy bonds – decrease discount rate – decrease reserve requirement APPROPRIATE POLICIES What are appropriate monetary policies to close an inflationary gap? – sell bonds – increase the discount rate – increase reserve requirements