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Environmental Issues and Energy -- for sustainable development United Nations University Itaru YASUI http://www.yasuienv.net/ 本日の発表資料が必要でしたら、 アクセスして下さい。 1 Ylab CREST UNU Mission & Roles "to contribute, through research and capacity building, to efforts to resolve the pressing global problems that are the concern of the United Nations, its Peoples and Member States" An international community of scholars A bridge between the United Nations and the international academic community A think-tank for the United Nations system A builder of capacities, particularly in developing countries 2 Ylab CREST ESD Programs UNU’s Environment and sustainable Development (ESD) Programme focuses on the interactions between human activities and the natural environment, and their implications for sustainable human development. Based on an appraisal of current challenges and the targets set forth by the global community through the WSSD and Action Plan, etc., ESD has defined four broad thematic areas to concentrate future research as Sustainable Urbanization Management of Fragile Ecosystems Solutions to Water Crises Environmental Governance and Information Programme Development based on Holistic View of Environmental Transitions 3 Ylab CREST WSSD Plan of Implementation in Johannesburg 2002 Poverty eradication Changing unsustainable patterns of consumption and production Protection and managing the natural resource base of economic and social development Sustainable development in a globalizing world Health and sustainable development 4 Ylab CREST Changing unsustainable patterns of consumption and production All countries should promote sustainable consumption and production patterns, with the developed countries taking the lead…… Encourage and promote the development of a 10 -year framework of programmes……. Develop production and consumption policies to improve the products and services provided, while reducing environmental and health impacts, using, where appropriate, sciencebased approaches, such as life-cycle analysis….. 5 Ylab CREST Changing unsustainable patterns of consumption and production Enhance corporate environmental and social responsibility and accountability……. Prevent and minimize waste and maximize reuse, recycling and use of environmentally friendly alternative materials……. Promote an integrated approach to policy -making at the national, regional and local levels for transport services and systems…… Sound management of chemicals throughout their life cycle and of hazardous wastes…….. 6 Ylab CREST Definition of “Sustainability” Two Kinds of Definition Corporate Social Responsibility Type UN Brundtland Type 7 Ylab CREST Start Point Sustainability Triple Bottom Line Economic Aspects Social Aspects Environmental Aspects 8 Ylab CREST Transition from Non Sustainable to Sustainable Economic Aspects Social Aspects Economic Aspects Social Aspects Environmental Aspects Environmental Aspects 9 Ylab CREST Brundtland Type "Sustainable Development is Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs. It is not a fixed state of harmony, but rather a process of change in which the exploitation of resources, the direction of investments, the orientation of technological development, and institutional change are made consistent with future as well as present needs." (Brundtland Report 1987) 10 Ylab CREST Green & Sustainability; Different Views Economic Aspects Social Aspects Fairness & Justice Resource Consumption Overcome Poverty Case for Japan Resource Factor Human Health Ecological Impact Human Equity Limitation of Earth Eco-System Factor 11 Ylab CREST Fossil Fuel to Renewable Energy Biomass Solar Heat Energy Solar Cells Wind Sea Wave Power Generation by Temperature Difference ーーーーーーーーーー Geothermal 12 Ylab CREST UNU Activities for Energy Geothermal at UNU/GTP 13 Ylab CREST Key Issue: Increase Energy Efficiencies/ Decoupling 14 Ylab CREST Transformation of Environmental Issues Environmental Issues change very quickly in all countries and on the Earth What kind of Explanation for the Changes? Developed Countries:Which Direction to move? Developing Countries:What is the interpretation? How is it possible to apply to own countries? 15 Ylab CREST Dioxin & POPs Environmental Problems and Time Constants in Japan Air Pollution EDC Problem Depletion of Ozone Layer Water & Sea Pollution Soil & Sediment Pollution Resource & Energy Consumption Global Warming 1970 2000 2050 16 Ylab CREST GDP per capita vs. SOx Concentration Environmental Kuznets Curve after Prof. SIMON KUZNETS 17 Ylab CREST CO2 Emission Efficiency to GDP Germany China Malaysia USA Data based on CO2 Emission in 1996 and GDP/person in 1997 UK Japan Cambodia Switzerland 18 Ylab CREST CO2 Emission/person vs. log GDP/capita Factors Temp. Size 19 Ylab CREST A Trend Model for Environment Load in Japan Japanese Model Now Value Environment Load Energy Consumption, CO2 Emission Target 1970 Pollution, General Economical Scale, such as GDP 20 Ylab CREST Total CO2 Emission(Global) Now JAPAN 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080 21 Ylab CREST Decoupling and Stage of Development 4 Thematic Area Material/Energy Quantity Carbon Dioxide 3 Destructive Use Ecosystem:stage 2 Destructive Use Ecosystem:stage 1 1 2 Casualties by Natural Disaster Damage By Pollution Development 22 Ylab CREST Decoupling and Stage of Development Thematic Area 1 Quantity Space Bio-Resource Resource/Energy Water Stable Society Ecosystem Incentive/Effort Human Optimum Tech Destructive Use Ecosystem:stage 1 1 Education Information Capacity Building Development 23 Ylab CREST Decoupling and Stage of Development Thematic Area 2 Quantity Resource Energy Water Technology Legal Framework Social Stock 2 Education Information Technology Transfer Capacity Building Casualties by Natural Disaster Damage By Pollution Development 24 Ylab CREST Decoupling and Stage of Development Thematic Area 3 Science Legal Framework Value Judgment Quantity 3 Education Information Destructive Use Ecosystem:Stage 2 Energy Development 25 Ylab CREST Decoupling and Stage of Development Thematic Area 4 ? 4 Quantity Life Style Foresight Intelligence Tax/Incentives High Tech Craftsmanship Tradition Development Material/Energy Carbon Dioxide Education Information 26 Ylab CREST Decoupling and Stage of Development 4 Thematic Area Material/Energy Quantity Carbon Dioxide 3 Destructive Use Ecosystem:stage 1 1 Destructive Use Ecosystem:Stage 2 2 Casualties by Natural Disaster Damage By Pollution Development 27 Ylab CREST GDP vs. Life Expectancy 28 Ylab CREST GDP vs. Life Expectancy 29 Ylab CREST Studies in the Future @UNU Keywords Environment and Development Dissemination & Eco-Restructuring Risks and MF&EC in Developing Countries Economics and MF&EC in Developing and Developed Countries Risk Reduction & Economic Growth Timeline Analysis MF&EC:Material Flow & Energy Consumption (including “Stock” or “Infrastructures” ) 30 Ylab CREST Risk Reduction RiskReduction Reduction Risk Risk Reduction Economy Growth EconomyGrowth Growth Economy MF&EC:Material Flow & Energy Consumption Economy Growth (including “Stock” or “Infrastructures” ) MF&EC:Material MaterialFlow Flow&&Energy EnergyConsumption Consumption MF&EC: (including“Stock” “Stock”oror“Infrastructures” “Infrastructures”) ) (including MF&EC:Material Flow & Energy ConsumptionTimeLine Analysis (including “Stock” or “Infrastructures” ) 31 Ylab CREST A Scenario for Oil Production 32 Ylab CREST Newly Found and Production of Oil 33 Ylab CREST Long Term Trend of Oil Consumption 34 Ylab CREST CO2 Emission/person vs. log GDP/capita Target Area World Ave. 35 Ylab CREST WSSD Plan of Implementation in Johannesburg 2002 Poverty eradication Changing unsustainable patterns of consumption and production Protection and managing the natural resource base of economic and social development Sustainable development in a globalizing world Health and sustainable development 36