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Transcript
Chapter Four
The Federal
Reserve System,
Monetary Policy,
and Interest Rates
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
The Federal Reserve



Founded by Congress under the Federal
Reserve Act in 1913
Subject to oversight by Congress under
its authority to coin money
An independent central bank–its
decisions do not have to be ratified by
the President
4-2
Functions of the Federal Reserve

Conduct monetary policy

Supervise and regulate depository
institutions
4-3
Functions of the Federal Reserve

Maintain financial system stability


The Wall Street Reform and Consumer
Protection Act of July 2010 requires the Fed to
supervise complex financial institutions that could
generate systemic risk to the economy
The Fed (and others) has now been given
broader powers to seize or break up institutions
whose actions could harm the economy
4-4
Functions of the Federal Reserve

Maintain financial system stability


Implementing federal laws designed to protect
consumers in credit and other financial
transactions
Implementing regulations to ensure compliance,
investigating complaints, and ensuring availability
of services to low and moderate income groups
and certain geographic regions
4-5
Functions of the Federal Reserve

Provide payment and other financial
services to the U.S. government, the
public, FIs, and foreign official
institutions

Payments are increasingly electronic in
nature
4-6
Structure of the Federal Reserve




Divided into 12 Federal Reserve districts, each
with a main Federal Reserve Bank
Federal Reserve Banks operate under the
general supervision of the Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
(OCC) charters national banks, which are
members of the Federal Reserve System (FRS)
FRS member banks “own” the 12 Federal
Reserve Banks
4-7
Board of Governors of the FRS




Seven member board headquartered in
Washington, DC
President appoints and Senate confirms
members to nonrenewable 14-year terms
President appoints and Senate confirms
Chairman and vice-chairman to renewable 4year terms
Formulates and conducts monetary policy and
supervises and regulates banks
4-8
Federal Open Market Committee
(FOMC)

FOMC consists of 12 members




seven members of the Board of Governors
the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of NY
the presidents of four other Federal Reserve Banks (on a
rotating basis)
The monetary policy-making body of the FRS
4-9
Federal Open Market Committee
(FOMC)

Policies seek to promote full employment,
economic growth, price stability, and a
sustainable pattern of international trade

Are there tradeoffs between these goals?

Why is international monetary cooperation
necessary?
4-10
Federal Open Market Committee
(FOMC)


The FOMC sets ranges for growth of monetary
aggregates and the fed funds rate, and also
directs operations in FX markets
Open market operations are the main policy tool
used to achieve monetary targets:


involve the purchase and sale of U.S. government and
federal agency securities
are implemented by the Federal Reserve Board Trading
Desk of the New York Federal Reserve Bank
4-11
The Fed and the Crisis


2007
 Term Auction Facility
2008
 March: Fed facilitates J.P. Morgan Chase purchase of BearStearns
 Term Securities Lending Facility
 Primary Dealer Credit Facility: Expands discount window
borrowing to investment banks
 September: Lehman Brothers collapses, Goldman-Sachs and
Morgan Stanley become commercial banks, Merrill-Lynch is
bought by Bank of America
4-12
The Fed and the Crisis

2008 (continued)
 Asset-Backed Commercial Paper Money Market Mutual Fund
Liquidity Facility, the Commercial Paper Funding Facility, the
Money Market Investor Funding Facility and the Term AssetBacked Securities Loan Facility (TALF) are created

Average weekly lending from the Fed grew from about $59
million in 2006 to almost $850 billion per week in late 2008
4-13
The Fed and the Crisis





August 2006 fed funds rate = 5.25%
April 2008 fed funds rate = 2.00%
By year end 2008 target fed funds rate between 0 and 0.25%
and the discount rate was lowered to 0.5%
November 2008 -- The Fed announces it would engage in
purchasing up to $600 billion in Treasuries and mortgage-backed
securities (quantitative easing)
 This amount was increased to $1.7 trillion in March 2009.
November 2010 the Fed announced a new series of bond buying
of up to $600 billion in what has been termed QE2
4-14
Federal Reserve Banks

Assist in the conduct of monetary policy



Supervise and regulate FRS member banks




set and change the discount rate (must be approved by the
Board of Governors)
make discount window loans to depository institutions
conduct examinations and inspections of member banks
issue warnings when banking activity is unsafe or unsound
approve bank mergers and acquisitions
Provide government services

act as the commercial banks of the U.S. Treasury
4-15
Federal Reserve Banks

Issue new currency


Clear checks



act as a central clearing system for U.S. banks
clear ~25% of all checks written in the U.S.
Provide wire transfer services



collect and replace currency in circulation as necessary
Fedwire
Automated Clearinghouse (ACH)
Perform banking sector and economic research

used in the formulation of monetary policy
4-16
Balance Sheet of the Federal
Reserve
Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve
2007
2010
Assets
(bill $)
%
(bill $)
Gold and Foreign Exchange
$31.8
3.5%
$35.4
SDR Certificates
2.2
0.2%
5.2
Treasury Currency
38.4
4.3%
42.7
Federal Reserve Float
-0.9
-0.1%
-1.6
Loans to Domestic Banks
0.0
0.0%
11.5
Security Repurchase Agreements
33.3
3.7%
0.0
U.S. Treasury Securities
780.8
86.5%
776.7
U.S. Government Agency Securities
0.0
0.0%
1237.7
Miscellaneous Assets
16.8
1.9%
231.1
Total Assets
$ 902.4
100% $2,338.7
%
1.5%
0.2%
1.8%
-0.1%
0.5%
0.0%
33.2%
52.9%
9.9%
100%
Change over
$
$
3.60
$
3.00
$
4.30
$ (0.70)
$ 11.50
$ (33.30)
$ (4.10)
$ 1,237.70
$ 214.30 1
$ 1,436.30
4-17
Balance Sheet of the Federal
Reserve
Liabilities and Equity
Depository Institution Reserves
Vault cash of Commercial Banks
Deposits due to Fed. Government
Deposits due to Rest of World
Currency Outside Banks
Security Repurchase Agreements
Miscellaneous Liabilities
Federal Reserve Bank Stock
Equity
Total Liabilities and Equity
Balance Sheet of the Federal Reserve
2007
2010
(bill $)
%
(bill $)
$18.3
2.0% $1,053.9
41.2
4.6%
51.9
4.5
0.5%
216.7
0.1
0.0%
19.3
764.5
84.7%
882.7
0.0%
57.8
40.9
4.5%
4.1
15.8
1.8%
26.3
17.1
1.9%
26.0
$902.4
100%
$2,338.7
%
45.1%
2.2%
9.3%
0.8%
37.7%
2.5%
0.2%
1.1%
1.1%
Change over P
$
$ 1,035.60 5
$ 10.70
$ 212.20 4
$ 19.20 19
$ 118.20
$ 57.80
$ (36.80)
$ 10.50
$
8.90
100% $ 1,436.30
4-18
Balance Sheet of the Federal
Reserve
Note that currency in circulation + reserves =
monetary base
4-19
Figure 4-5: The Process of
Monetary Policy Implementation
4-20
Monetary Policy

Monetary policy affects the
macroeconomy by influencing the supply
and demand for excess bank reserves


influences the money supply and the level of
short-term and long-term interest rates
affects foreign exchange rates, the amount of
money and credit in the economy, and the levels
of unemployment, output, and prices
4-21
Monetary Policy

Open market operations


policy directive of the FOMC is forwarded to the
Federal Reserve Board Trading Desk at the
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Trading Desk manager buys or sells U.S.
Treasury securities in the over-the-counter (OTC)
market, which keeps the fed funds rate near its
desired target
4-22
Monetary Policy

Open market operations (cont’d)



FRBNY acts through the Trading Desk to
implement policy directives each business day
operations may be permanent or temporary
may use repurchase agreements for temporary
increases or decreases in excess reserves
4-23
Monetary Policy


The discount rate is the rate Federal Reserve
Banks charge on loans to depository
institutions in their district
The Federal Reserve rarely uses the discount
rate as a policy tool


discount rate changes are strong signals of the Federal
Reserves intentions
there is no guarantee that banks will borrow, nor that they
will lend
4-24
Monetary Policy

Reserve requirements are the reserve assets
depository institutions must keep to “back”
transaction deposits


reserve assets include vault cash and deposits at Federal
Reserve Banks
The multiplier effect

1
 in money supply  
 new reserve requiremen t ratio

   in reserves

4-25
Monetary Policy


Suppose reserves are $2 billion and the Fed
increases reserves by 1% or $20 million when
bank reserve requirements are 10%.
What is the predicted increase in bank
deposits?
 1 

  $20 million  $200 million
 0.10 
4-26
Monetary Policy

Suppose that instead of changing the $2 billion
in reserves the Fed reduces the reserve
requirement from 10% to 9%.
What is the predicted increase in bank
deposits?
New level of excess reserves  1% of $2 billion  $20 million
 1 

  $20 million  $222 million
 0.09 
4-27
Monetary Policy

Expansionary monetary policy




open market purchases of securities by the Fed
discount rate decreases
reserve requirement ratio decreases
Contractionary monetary policy



open market sales of securities by the Fed
discount rate increases
reserve requirement ratio increases
4-28
Money Supply versus Interest Rate
Targeting
Interest
Rate
i’=8%
Interest
Rate
MS’
MS
MS
iT = 6%
i*=6%
i’’= 5%
i’’=4%
MD’
MD
MD’’
MS
Quantity of Money
MD’
MD
MD’’
Quantity of Money
4-29
Problems in Conducting Monetary
Policy

Significant time lags involved between policy
implementation and effect

Supplying money to lenders does not guarantee
they will lend
4-30
Problems in Conducting Monetary
Policy

Lowering interest rates or supplying money are
attempts to stimulate demand, but they may not
work



Problems in consumer confidence
High unemployment
High debt levels
4-31
Problems in Conducting Monetary
Policy

Excessive money creation may reduce the value
of the dollar and generate inflation


Inflation can cause interest rates to increase, hurting
growth
Loss in confidence of foreign investors could cause higher
interest rates, hurting growth
4-32
International Monetary Policy


The Federal Reserve generally allows
foreign exchange rates to fluctuate freely
Foreign exchange intervention


commitments between countries about the
institutional aspects of their intervention in the
foreign exchange markets
similar to open market purchases and sales of
Treasury securities
4-33
International Monetary Policy


The Federal Reserve generally allows
foreign exchange rates to fluctuate freely
Foreign exchange intervention


commitments between countries about the
institutional aspects of their intervention in the
foreign exchange markets
similar to open market purchases and sales of
Treasury securities
4-34
Global Rescue Programs

Responses by major central banks to the
financial crisis:





Expansion of retail deposit insurance
Direct injections of capital to improve lender’s balance
sheets
Debt guarantees
Asset purchases or asset guarantees
Stress tests of banks
4-35
Global Rescue Programs
4-36