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Lucas (1988) “By the problem of development I mean simply the problem of accounting for the observed pattern, across countries and across time, in levels and rates of growth of per capita income. This may seem too narrow a definition, and perhaps it is, but thinking about income patterns will necessarily involve us in thinking about many other aspects of societies too, so I would suggest that we withhold judgment on the scope of this definition until we have a clearer idea of where it leads us.” Streeten (1994) “[W]e should never lose sight of the ultimate purpose of the exercise, to treat men and women as ends, to improve the human condition, to enlarge people’s choices…[A] unity of interests would exist if there were rigid links between economic production (as measured by income per head) and human development (reflected by human indicators such as life expectancy or literacy, or achievements such as self-respect, not easily measured). But these two sets of indicators are not very closely related.” per-capita Gross National Product the perhead value of final goods and services produced by the people of a country over a given year per capita Gross Domestic Product the perhead value of final goods and services produced within a nation’s boarders over a given year The Exchange Rate Method: Each country’s currency is converted into a common currency (usually US$) and divided by the country’s population. In World Bank Data: Data are converted from national currency to current U.S. $ using the World Bank Atlas method. ◦ This involves using a 3-year average of exchange rates to smooth the effects of transitory exchange rate fluctuations. Problems: Underreported income or non-measurable income in LDCs Prices for many goods in all countries are not appropriately reflected in exchange rates Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): idea that similar foreign and domestic goods or (basket of goods) should have the same price in terms of the same currency. ◦ How much money is needed to purchase the same basket of goods in 2 countries? ◦ It is the Purchasing Power of a country’s currency required to purchase the same basket of goods/services that a US$ will buy in the US. ◦ International prices are constructed for large baskets of goods & services (400-700 goods) by averaging prices (expressed, say in US$ - Phome/PUS) for each good over all countries. then averaged across categories to get 150 relative prices. Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) ◦ National Income is then estimated by valuing its output at these international PPP prices. ◦ Recall, since the price of non-traded goods are lower in LDCs (since wages are lower), the PPP measurements of national income are higher than the exchange rate method. World Development Indicators, Online Ethiopia Switzerland GNI per capita (2010) GNI per capita PPP (2010) $390 $1,040 $71,530 $50,170 182% difference 42% difference Start with Income Distribution Romania South Africa Per Capita GDP (2005 PPP) 6,845 7,641 Share of poorest 20% Share of richest 20% 8.0 3.0 38 63 Source: World Development Indicators 2000 Romania South Africa 2011 Romania South Africa Life Expectancy at birth Expected years of schooling Mean years of schooling GNI per capita (2005 PPP) 70.5 54.8 12 13.1 9.9 8.2 6,759 7,338 74 52.8 14.9 13.1 10.4 8.5 11,046 9,469 Source: UN Human Development Report, 2011 Human Development Index (HDI) ◦ Developed by the United Nations Development Program (UNDP) HDI ranks all countries on a scale of 0 (lowest human development) to 1 (highest development) (1/3) longevity: life expectancy at birth (1/3) knowledge: expected years of schooling and mean years of schooling (1/3) standard of living: real per capita income adjusted for the differing PPP of each country’s currency Romania South Africa Per Capita GDP (2005 PPP) 6,845 7,641 Share of poorest 20% Share of richest 20% 8.0 3 38 63 Source: World Development Indicators 2000 Romania South Africa 2011 Romania South Africa Life Expectancy at birth Expected years of schooling Mean years of schooling GNI per capita (2005 PPP) HDI Value 70.5 54.8 12 13.1 9.9 8.2 6,759 7,338 .704 .616 74 52.8 14.9 13.1 10.4 8.5 11,046 9,469 .779 .619 Source: UN Human Development Report, 2011 HDI Rank 50th 124th Source: UN Human Development Report, 2011 Indicator Agriculture as a % of GDP, 2010 Rural Population as a % of total, Low Income Countries 25% 72% Middle Income Countries 10% 51% High Income Countries 1% 22% 33 11 61% 71 19 8 83% 39 12 8 98% 6 9% 2% 2% 2010 Birth Rates (per 1000), 2009 Death Rates (per 1000), 2009 Adult Literacy Rates, 2009 Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births), 2009 Raw Agricultural Materials as a % of Total Exports, 2010 Source: World Development Indicators (2006) Indicator Agriculture as a % of GDP, 2010 Rural Population as a % of total, Low Income Countries 25% 72% Middle Income Countries 10% 51% High Income Countries 1% 22% 33 11 61% 71 19 8 83% 39 12 8 98% 6 9% 2% 2% 2010 Birth Rates (per 1000), 2009 Death Rates (per 1000), 2009 Adult Literacy Rates, 2009 Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births), 2009 Raw Agricultural Materials as a % of Total Exports, 2010 Source: World Development Indicators (2006) Indicator Agriculture as a % of GDP, 2010 Rural Population as a % of total, Low Income Countries 25% 72% Middle Income Countries 10% 51% High Income Countries 1% 22% 33 11 61% 71 19 8 83% 39 12 8 98% 6 9% 2% 2% 2010 Birth Rates (per 1000), 2009 Death Rates (per 1000), 2009 Adult Literacy Rates, 2009 Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births), 2009 Raw Agricultural Materials as a % of Total Exports, 2010 Source: World Development Indicators (2006)