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1 Commission for Environmental Cooperation of North America The CEC is an international organization created by Canada, Mexico and the United States under the North American Agreement on Environmental Cooperation (NAAEC). The Agreement complements the environmental provisions of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) in 1994. 2 North American trade and economic activity • Largest free trade area in world • Combined GDP of over $17 trillion • Canada-Mexico-US trade has almost quadrupled to $ 1 trillion 3 Challenge Fostering protection and improvement of the environment in North America - in the context of an increasingly integrated continental economy 4 Biodiversity - Focal areas of cooperation . . . Species Capacity Building Spaces Information Threats Trade 5 . . . and some of the results 6 Climate and biodiversity • Species, habitat, and ecosystems are part of the same integrated system that includes climate – and are profoundly affected by climate variability • But our ability to forecast the ecological implications of a 450+ ppm world – and the range of mitigation available – is poor 7 Average temperatures are definitely on the increase http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/ 8 Implications for terrestrial ecology 9 Many terrestrial ecoregions will become significantly drier or wetter Drought projections for IPCCs A1B scenario 10 . . . and oceans are acidifying Steffen et al., 2004 11 Implications for refugia? 12 Centres of endemism Courtesy of Conservation International 13 Invasive and Opportunistic Species 14 Ecosystems as infrastructure? Coastal wetlands as storm barriers – Estimated service value (US only): 23.2 billion per year Costanza et al, 2008 15 Climate Change and Biodiversity: Opportunities for Conservation and Business •Rehabilitation and biodiversity “offsets” •Habitat/species “banking” Tradable habitat credits • Carbon caps and tradable credits 16 Partners Gund Institute of Ecological Economics, U of V 17 What next? • Improve our predictive & forecasting ability • Develop scenarios, and integrate mitigation into local, regional, and provincial land use decision making • Ensure that economic “stimulus” activities include investments in ecological “infrastructure” 18