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Fiscal Policy: Fixing an Economy’s Health What is Fiscal Policy? The use of Government policies in order to stabilize the Business Cycle. Points to Remember Prior to the Great Depression (1930’s) economists believed that the best way to stabilize the economy was through the natural market forces/ Adam Smith After the Depression: The gov’t stepped in (FDR) to help. This action (Fiscal Policy) is an example of (John) Keynesian Economics. Policy Theory in Our Govt. Republican/ Theory: – – – – Small government Generally Low taxes Individual responsibility Less govt. control & regulations Democrat/ – – – – Conservative General Liberal General Ideas: Progressive taxes/ make more you pay more Social programs/ community responsibility Govt. regulation Larger govt. to support people Important Concepts: GDP: Gross domestic product is the aggregate (total) market value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given period of time. – Sometimes the measurement is looked at on a per person scale, which is known as…REAL GDP. Inflation: is a sustained increase in the average price level of goods and services. Stagflation: A period of inflation combined with high unemployment (a recession or depression) The 3 “tools” of Fiscal Policy: 1. Government Purchases & Spending 2. Entitlement Programs (also called Transfer Payments) 3. Taxes …these three tools impact macroeconomic variables such as real GDP, employment, price level, and economic growth. Multiplier Effect For every dollar spent by the federal government, GDP will increase by more than that $1 It takes money to make money! How just a little Fiscal Policy can effect our economy in a BIG way. $150 $400 $150 $200 $50 (already in his pocket) $200 already in his pocket) Multiplier Effect: each dollar spent will tend to generate more than 1 dollar added to GDP. Fiscal Policy and Taxes An increase in tax rates = decreased disposable income = consumption & real GDP decrease A decrease in taxes = increases disposable income = consumption & real GDP increase What is disposable income?? Fiscal Policy and Taxes Taxes Disposable Income Consumption & Real GDP Taxes Disposable Income Consumption & Real GDP So which is better HIGHER or LOWER TAXES? WHY? When to use Fiscal Policy? 1. When the economy is in a recession or depression the economy has contracted. The government will enact an Expansionary Fiscal Policy to help boost the economy. Expansionary Fiscal Policy When to use: (recession) supply is bigger than demand because people are not spending. What to do: – increase gov’t purchases – decrease taxes – increase entitlements (transfer payments) to stimulate economy. Government Use of Fiscal Policy 2. When the economy is in an economic boom/ peak the economy has expanded. The government will enact an Contractionary fiscal policy to help slow down the economy. Contractionary Fiscal Policy When to use: (peak) demand exceeds supply because people have too much money. What to do: – decrease gov’t purchases – increase taxes – decrease Entitlements (transfer payments) to close expansion gap. Sum it up... Economy is in a recession or depression Expansionary Fiscal Policy Economy is in a boom/peak Contractionary Fiscal Policy Problems with Fiscal Policy Doesn’t work during periods of stagflation- can’t fight unemployment and inflation at the same time Entitlements or transfer payments: – It is difficult to estimate the natural rate of unemployment- people lie! The time lags involved in implementing fiscal policy (takes the government a long time to do anything). AND….. More Problems with Fiscal Policy Economists and policy makers question the effectiveness of fiscal policy because of deficits. The government experiences a budget deficit during expansionary fiscal policy. GOV. + SPENDING TAXES = (Revenue for Gov.) BUDGET DEFICIT (negative) Fiscal Policy’s Effects on Labor Fiscal Policy’s Effects on Labor If the government does anything to pump money into the economy, then the labor supply should increase along with the number of jobs available. However, the unemployed, who benefit from increased transfer payments (Expansionary Fiscal Policy), may have less incentive to find work. Fiscal Policy’s Effects on Labor Inversely, during Contractionary Fiscal Policy, workers who find their wage reduced by the higher tax rates may be less willing to work. The supply of labor could decrease as a result of increased tax rates or increased transfer payments resulting in aggregate supply declining. Which will cause an economy’s GDP to decline. Simply, there is not enough workers so wages increase. Taxes: Who Should Pay Less or More? 1.) Progressive Income Tax Table Single filers Married filing jointly Head of household Tax Rate Up to $7,150 Up to $14,300 Up to $10,200 10% $7,151 - $29,050 $14,301 - $58,100 $10,201 - $38,900 15% $29,051 - $70,350 $58,101 - $117,250 $38,901 - $100,500 25% $70,351 - $146,750 $117,251 - $178,650 $100,501 - $162,700 28% $146,751 - $319,100 $178,651 - $319,100 $162,701 - $319,100 33% $319,101 or more $319,101 or more $319,101 or more 35% TWO THEORIES ON WHO SHOULD PAY TAXES 1. Benefits-Received Principle Only those who receive benefits should pay taxes. EXAMPLE: City of Canton is building a new parkway to limit the amount of traffic so a tax is raised to pay for it. ONLY those who use the parkway should pay (the citizen of Canton, NOT the citizens of Hickory Flat) EXAMPLE: Gasoline Sales Tax goes toward road construction (you ride on them, you pay for them) 2. Ability-to-Pay Principle Only those with the ability to pay should pay MORE of the tax. EXAMPLE: Same Canton situation, but those who pay more of the tax should be the wealthy. TYPES OF TAXES 1. Progressive Tax (ex-income tax) Those who make more, pay more 2. Regressive Tax A regressive tax is a tax which takes a LARGER PERCENTAGE of income from people whose income is LOW. Regressive taxes, as opposed to progressive taxes, are more burdensome on lower-income individuals than on higher-income individuals. (EXAMPLE: SALES TAX) 3. Proportional Tax (EX: FAIR TAX) A tax that charges the same percentage of income, regardless of the size of income. 2) Progressive Income Tax How it works. DURING A PEAK: INCOME = INCOME = TAXES GDP & AD/ consumption INCOME = TAXES GDP & AD/ consumption DURING A RECESSION: INCOME = TYPES OF TAXES 2. Regressive Tax A regressive tax is a tax which takes a LARGER PERCENTAGE of income from people whose income is LOW. Social Security tax is an example. For 2012, you pay 6.2% tax on wages up to a maximum wage of $97,500. Therefore: A person who makes $30,000 a year pays $1,860 (30,000*.062) in tax or 6.2% of wages. A person who makes $200,000 a year pays $6,045 (97,500*.062) in tax or 3% of wages. A person who makes $500,000 a year still pays $6,045 in tax (97,500*.062) or 1.2% of wages. TAX APPLICATIONS: Identify whether progressive, regressive, or proportional 1. Personal Income Tax Progressive 2. Sales Tax Regressive & Proportional 3. Corporate Income Tax (28% for all corporations) Regressive & Proportional 4. Property Taxes: Pay for CC schools & (based on value of property) Is this fair for everyone? Regressive & Proportional ANY QUESTIONS?