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Investment Opportunities in Sofia “GROWS BUT NEVER AGES” Sofia: Investment Opportunities Speaker: Minko Gerdjikov Date: March 24th 2009 Top x: Templates for Board Presentations “GROWS BUT NEVER AGES” About Sofia Quick Facts • Produces 34% of Bulgaria’s GDP (€12.2 Bn as of 2008) Population 1.6MM (including suburbs and exurbs); • 730K highly motivated, qualified and flexible workforce; • Unemployment rate of 1,3%; • Administrative, cultural, research and business center; • Current mayor: Boyko Borisov. National Assembly Square National Gallery of Art 3 Economic Growth The Sofia region is the country’s most dynamic cluster of economic activity, characterised by high workforce productivity and GDP per capita levels, as well as impressive GDP growth. GDP Growth 2001-2010 37.8 EUR Billions1 35.6 GDP – Sofia Highlights 33.8 GDP – Rest of the Country 29.0 24.9 25.3 23.5 21.9 22.4 19.9 15.2 11.0 16.6 11.8 19.3 17.8 16.9 12.6 14.1 15.1 9.7 11.4 12.2 12.9 4.8 5.1 5.8 6.8 8.4 4.2 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Sofia’s share of national GDP (%) 27.6 29.1 28.8 29.3 `31.0 33.3 33.4 33.8 34.1 34.2 Sofia’s GDP per capita 2 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.8 5.5 6.8 7.8 9.2 9.9 10.2 • Sofia accounts for 16% of the country’s population but produces 34% of the national GDP • Sofia’s GDP growth rate has consistently exceeded the national average; even within financial crisis conditions a growth of 2.5-3% is anticipated. • Sofia’s GDP per capita is currently at 72% of EU average and expected to exceed 80% by 2015 Forecast 1 Subject to rounding error 2 EUR Thousands 4 Economic Profile Sofia’s a high-growth, services-oriented economy is driven primarily by the dynamic private sector. Highlights GDP by Sector, 2008 • Services account for 74% of Sofia’s GDP compared to the national average of 60% EUR Billions TOTAL € 11.5 Trade & Repair 6.2 Processing 1.5 Transportation & Communications 1.1 Property Mgt & Business Services 0.9 Secondary Construction Other • Small & Medium Size Enterprises (SMEs) generate 71% of all sales 0.7 Tertiary Electricity Gas &Water Hospitality & Catering • The private sector generates 94% of all services and 87% of other sales 74% 25% 0.5 Primary 0.1 100% = € 11.5 Bn 0.4 = High-Growth Sector • The construction, real estate, business services, transportation and telecoms sectors account for the largest share of growth in recent years and continue to attract investments 5 Sofia’s Unique Investor Benefits Sofia’s strategic location and broad talent pool makes it uniquely positioned to benefit foreign investors. Human Capital • Sofia’s 730K workforce is highly qualified, motivated, and flexible Tertiary Primary Secondary None • The capital hosts 20 of Bulgaria’s 42 universities (93,000 students and 12,800 faculties) • Center of academic & applied research (including 58 institutes & laboratories affiliated with the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences) • Average annual wage is €4 050 (€336 per month) 25% 43% 56% 50% • Productivity of labor growing at 13-18% per year • Unemployment rate of 1.3% (among the lowest in Europe) • 65.2% of Sofia’s 1.6MM population are people of working age 18% 5% Sofia Sofia Bulgaria Bulgaria Workforce Education Levels Strategic Location 9 • Easy 2-hour flights from all Central European Capitals • 295 regular flights per week, operated by 20 foreign and 6 Bulgarian airlines and flying to over 40 international destinations • Located in the geographic center of the Balkan Peninsula and a natural entry point into the Middle East • Unique intersection of three Pan-European transport corridors (Corridor 1 IV, VIII, X) 4 7 10 8 6 Foreign Investment Flows In 2008, Sofia attracted 68% of all FDI in Bulgaria. The current level of FDI is expected to decline in the coming years, particularly in sectors such as financial infrastructure, real estate (industrial and commercial buildings, business parks), technology, and transportation infrastructure. FDI in Sofia by Source Country, 1996-2008 FDI in Sofia by Sector, 2008 EUR Billions EUR Billions Country Austria Cumulative Amount Sofia = € 3.7 TOTAL 1.7 € 5.4 € 4.6 The Netherlands 3.6 Greece 2.9 Great Britain 2.7 Germany 1.9 Cyprus 1.5 Luxembourg 1.4 Hungary 1.2 USA 1.1 Italy 1.0 Switzerland 1.0 Ireland 0.9 Spain 0.9 Russia 0.8 Czech Republic 0.8 Others 3.5 Total € 29.8 1.4 Financial Services 1.0 Real Estate & Business Services 0.7 Trade & Repair 0.3 Construction Transport & Communication Manufacturing Industry Other 0.2 0.1 0.05 FDI – Sofia FDI – Rest of the country 7 An Impressive Investor Roster In the past few years, Sofia’s favorable business climate, strategic endowments, and favorable tax code have attracted a range of international business leaders, operating in attractive sectors such as telecommunications, financial services, utilities, electronics, and IT. 8 Municipal Governance & Policy Priorities Sofia’s predictable political environment, sound fiscal policy, and stable governance have helped it earn a credit rating of BB+/Positive (Standard & Poor’s 2007), one of the highest in the region. There has been a broad political consensus on the need to attract and support foreign investors, to which Sofia Municipality has been a reliable and efficient partner. Municipal Spending Priorities (2009) Municipal Budget Growth 100% = € 516 MM EUR Millions 516 Education 323 240 22% 32% Public Utilities Capital Expenditures 16% 30% 2005 2007 2009 Other 9 Municipal Economic Strategy Municipal Development Priorities • Promotion of sustainable growth and knowledge-based economy • Development and modernisation of the transportation services, public, and business infrastructures • Improvement of the living conditions and the quality of the environment Municipal Action Plans • Integrated waste management system • Project for the sewage sector: construction of sewage in the districts of “Ovcha kupel”, “Vitosha” etc. • Extension of the underground, reconstruction, expansion and maintenance of the road network • Construction of 2 schools, 8 kindergardens, construction and refurbishment of hospitals and other public facilities 10 Forecoming tenders – part of the investment programme of Sofia Municipality for 2009 Target Budget (BGN) Construction of underground parking lots at Tube Stations 8 and 11 from the Metrodiameter 2 7 000 000 Metropoliten – Sofia, from Tube Stations 13 to 19 37 000 000 Implementing new street and traffic lighting 1 332 000 Construction and extensions to kindergardens (Poduiane, Krasno Selo, Ljulin, Oborishte, Ilinden, Ovcha Kupel, Pancharevo) 26 090 000 Design and construction of a waste-recycling plant 352 049 400 Installation and utilisation of waste gas from Suhodol depot 1 500 000 Developing projects for equipment for treating the waste of Sofia 12 845 580 11 Privatisation Tenders & Public Commissions Due to the shrinkage of the real estate market the municipal privatisation programme is limited. However, because of the need of income, this programme shall continue its fulfillment, with projected revenue realised by privatisation transactions of BGN 10.8 million. Current & Pending Privatisation Tenders Target “BKC centre” EAD Share 100% Description The Company specialises in maintaining, repairs and reconstruction of buildings, public utilities, communal funds etc. Pending tender scheduled for March 2009 /BGN 5.2 million/ 67% The Bank has a long-term credit rating (BB-) and a short-term credit rating (B) /Standard & Poor’s 2008/. The maintenance of the rating of the Bank, minding the current financial situation, reflects its successful management and good financial standing. 100% Management of municipal buildings & plots. The Company is able to provide for privatisation around 600 real estates. “Obshtinska banka” AD (Municipal Bank) “Sofiiski imoti” EAD (Sofia Real Estate) Subway operations & infrastructure “Metropoliten” EAD 100% Performs exploitation services of the underground in Sofia; tutors personnel and brings to operation the newly constructed sections; conducts control over the investment as well as the projecting and construction phases. 12 Target Share Description Investment audit & engineering “Sofinvest” EOOD 100% Municipal company, which realises the investment functions of the Sofia Municipality, including the organisation of the research, the designing and construction, implementation of the investor’s control, engineering and social infrastructure of Sofia Landscaping; park maintenance “Ozeleniavane” EAD 100% “V i K” EAD 100% “Lozana” EAD 100% A company, which has experience in the production of metal products and recycling of plastics. “Sportna Sofia 2000” EAD 100% Specialises in managing, development and renting out sporting equipment and property “Galatea 2002” EAD 100% Granting for privatisation of sea and mountain recreation centres 100% Public companies, which run, maintain and rent out open and closed trading areas. Specialises in planting, maintenance of green areas, parks, public and private plots in the capital. Water & sewage (subsidiary activities) Specialises in maintaining the sewage infrastructure “Pazari Iztok” EAD, “Pazari Sever” EAD, “Pazari Iug” EAD 13 The financial role of the European Union. Projects financed by EU funds and European Investment Bank Extension of the Underground • Construction of new segments: “Nadezhda” – Blvd. “Patriarch Evtimii” – Blvd. “Cherni Vrah” at a total amount of BGN 483.4 mln. /BGN 308 mln. from Operational Programme “Transport”/ undergoing construction; • Construction of new segments: “Mladost” – Blvd. “Tzarigradsko Shosse” – “Nadezhda” – “Obelia” at a total amount of BGN 220 mln. including a 50% co-financing with a loan from the European Investment Bank – first stage has started. Waste management • Construction and implementation of a system for treatment of waste at a total amount of EUR 183 mln. /BGN 360 mln./. It is expected to be financed by Operational Programme “Okolna Sreda”, loan from the European Investment Bank, municipal and national financing – under preparation; • Closing and re-cultivating of a waste depot “Dolni Bogrov” – EUR 23 mln. /BGN 45 mln./ by OP “Okolna Sreda” and municipal financing – under preparation. Water and Sewage • Integrated project for the water sector of Sofia – it is financed under ISPA programme at a total amount of EUR 58.5 mln. /BGN 116 mln./ - undergoing construction; • Construction of 4 main sewage collectors in the Ovcha Kupel district – BGN 10.5 mln. under Operational Programme “Okolna Sreda” /”Environment”/ – signed contract; • Preparing a project for the construction of sewage network in “Manastirski Livadi – Iztok”, “Triadica”, “Gurdova Glava”, and “Vitosha” districts – preparation stage. Others • Approved projects by OP “Human Resources” • Prepared and submitted projects under OP “Regional Development” – for refurbishment of schools, public houses, municipal roads, subways, and areas between blocks of appartments; • Prepared and submitted projects under OP “Administrative Capacity” for the e-management of the Municipality; • Participation of the Sofia Municipality in projects under programme URBACT II, INTERREG IV C, SEE, 7th Framework Programme etc. 14 Sofia Municipality’s Action Plan Concerning Mitigating the Negative Effects From the Financial Crisis Improving the activities of the Municipality, impacting on the local economy •Improving the system of consent and licensing regimes, easing the procedures and shortening the technical time needed for servicing the investors and traders; •Expanding, within the agreeable limits of the Guarantee Fund for SMEs programme; •Speeding up and directing the investment programme of the Sofia Municipality and that of the Council for Management of the Municipal Guarantee Fund towards the infrastructural projects with the highest public significance; •Improving the city’s surroundings, creating (both directly and indirectly) jobs and directing the regional construction industry’s work force towards specialised Municipal programmes; Fiscal Discipline and Administrative Capacity •Packet of measures for increasing the effectiveness of collecting local fees and taxes; •Increasing the effectiveness and the profitability of the municipal property, companies and trading units; •Procedures for improving the administrative capacity, mainly of those municipal units responsible for public procurement procedures and EU programmes’ projects. •Expanding the scope of activities, subject of Public Private Partnership for development and management of important infrastructural projects; •More and larger projects and programmes for co-financing of the structural funds of EU; •Developing the potential for regional cooperation for the implementation of regional projects in the Southwest region (railway, roads, telecommunications etc.), which increase the attractiveness of the area for investors. 15 Thank you for the attention! Minko Gerdjikov Deputy Mayor of Finance Sofia Municipality Тel: +359 2 987 70 79 E-mail: [email protected] Web site: www.sofia.bg “GROWS BUT NEVER AGES” 16