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Warmup • What must federal states have in order for them to be federal rather than unitary? Oh, and have your cell phone out. Core-periphery grading: Map 1. No key 2. Uncolored 3. Not detailed enough 4. Countries aren’t continents 5. Really? 6. What country is this? 7. ??? Core-periphery grading: Essay 1. At least 3 maps 2. Use different indicators 3. Be specific 4. Should be at least ½ page Measuring Social and Economic Development A Look at the Human Development Index (HDI) Understanding Indexes • What is an index? • An index is a composite of indicators that produces a single calculation which can then be ranked. Let’s look at some examples!! The Big Mac Index Click here to watch a short informational video about the “Big Mac Index” Other Common Indexes Click here to see the 2008 rankings Click here to see the indicators that make up the index The Body Mass Index Click here to calculate your own body mass index. The imperial bmi formula accepts weight measurements in pounds & height measurements in either inches or feet. Table: Imperial BMI Formula (Weight in pounds * 703 ) BMI = ———————————— ( lbs/inches² ) height in inches² BMI Weight Status Below 18.5 Underweight 18.5 -24.9 Normal 25 - 29.9 Overweight 30 & Above Obese Name Height Weight BMI Tom Brady 6’4″ 225 lbs 27 Kobe Bryant 6’6″ 200 lbs 25 Matt Damon 5’11″ 187 lbs 26 Johnny Depp 5’7″ 190 lbs 27 Vin Diesel 6’2″ 200 lbs 26 Lebron James 6’8″ 240 lbs 26 Michael Jordan 6’6″ 216 lbs 25 Yao Ming 7’6″ 310 lbs 27 Brad Pitt 6’0″ 203 lbs 28 Andy Roddick 6’2″ 197 lbs 25 Will Smith 6’2″ 210 lbs 27 Denzel Washington 6’0″ 199 lbs 27 Tom Cruise 5’7″ 201 lbs 31 The Rock (Dwayne Johnson) 6’5″ 275 lbs 33 Another Formula • Adult Body Fat % = (1.20 x BMI) + (0.23 x Age) - (10.8 x gender) - 5.4 where male gender= 1, female=0. And another… • Procedure: • • 1) Multiply your bodyweight by 1.082. Add the result to 94.42. 2) Multiply your waist girth by 4.15. Once you get this result, subtract it from the number obtained in step 1 ( 3) Finally, subtract your lean bodyweight from your total bodyweight (Total weight-Lean Bodyweight). Once you get the result, multiply that number by 100. Once you get the result divide it by your total bodyweight. This final result is your percentage of body fat. Economic & Social Indexes • Economic and social indexes are like those we just talked about except they include economic and social data (such as income, educational attainment, health, etc.) rather than wind speeds, body weight, and the like. The Human Development Index (HDI) …is the best known composite index of social and economic wellbeing… How the UNDP Measures Human Development • The HDI consists of three equally • • • weighted components: (1) “A long and healthy life” (Health) (2) “Knowledge” (Education) (3) “A decent standard of living” (Wealth) Deconstructing Each Measure • Each component of the HDI is measured • • • • • • in the following way: Health Measured by life expectancy at birth. Education Measured as a combination of adult literacy (with two-thirds weight) and gross enrollment (with one-third weight). Wealth Measured by GDP per capita. Calculating HDI: The United States • • • • • • • Click here to access an calculator. In the United interactive States, in HDI 2005: The average life expectancy was 77.9. The adult literacy rate was 99%. The gross enrollment rate was 93.3%. The GDP per capita was $41,890. The HDI was .951. The HDI ranking was 12th. U.S. HDI = .951 What does it mean that the U.S. ranks 12th in the world with an HDI of .951? The IMF’s GDP Per Capita Rankings (2006) Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) 1 Luxembourg ($80,471) 11 United Kingdom ($35,051) 2 Ireland ($44,087) 12 Finland ($34,819) 3 Norway ($43,574) 13 Belgium ($34,478) 4 5 United States ($43,444) 14 Sweden ($34,409) As you 15 Qatar ($33,049) Iceland ($40,277) 6 Switzerland ($37,369) 16 7 Denmark ($36,549) 17 8 Austria ($36,031) 18 9 Canada ($35,494) 19 10 Netherlands ($35,078) 20 can see here, the United States has the Australia ($32,938) fourth highest GDP per capita Singapore ($32,867) in the world. The question is: Japan ($32,647) how well is the United States Germany ($31,095) using its income to bring Italy ($30,732) about human development? Is the HDI Enough to Measure a Country’s Level of Development? • According to the UNDP, the answer is: • “Not at all.” • “The concept of human development is much broader than what can be captured in the HDI, or any other composite indices…” • “The HDI and the other composite indices can only offer a broad proxy on some of the key the issues of human development…” • “A fuller picture of a country's level of human development requires analysis of other human development indicators and information.” A Sampling of Other Development Indexes The Economist’s “Quality of Life” Index UNICEF’s “Child-Welfare” Index The “Happy Planet” Index The UNDP’s “Human Poverty Index” The UNDP’s “Gender Empowerment Measure” • International Living’s “Quality of Life” Index • The “Global Peace Index” • Freedom House’s “Freedom Rankings” • • • • • Three Issues to Consider When Evaluating Indexes Like the HDI 1) Validity 2) Reliability 3) Parsimony Validity • • • • • What is the index supposed to measure? What indicators make up the index? Are these the best indicators for this index? How are the indicators calculated? Are there better ways to calculate these indicators? • In short, how well does the index actually measure what it is supposed to be measuring? Reliability • Who or what organization collected the data? • How were the data collected? • In short, if you or someone else were to try to replicate the index would you end up with more or less the same results? Parsimony • The whole point of an index is to simplify the measurement of a particular phenomenon. • In short, does the index rely upon as few indicators as reasonably possible without undermining its validity? And another… • Procedure: • • 1) Multiply your bodyweight by 1.082. Add the result to 94.42. 2) Multiply your waist girth by 4.15. Once you get this result, subtract it from the number obtained in step 1 ( 3) Finally, subtract your lean bodyweight from your total bodyweight (Total weight-Lean Bodyweight). Once you get the result, multiply that number by 100. Once you get the result divide it by your total bodyweight. This final result is your percentage of body fat. Writing Exercise • How would you define human development? • Specifically, what indicators would you focus • on if you were trying to measure human development? Would you measure human development differently than the Human Development Index (HDI)? Why or why not? Explain. What’s the Economy For, Anyway? A Project of the Center for Communication and Civic Engagement at the University of Washington. • http://hdr.undp.org/en/statistics/data/calcul ator/ The UNDP’s HDI Rankings (2005) 1 Iceland (.968) 11 Finland (.951) 2 Norway (.968) 12 United States (.951) 3 Australia (961) 13 Spain (.949) 4 Canada (.960)here to 14 access Denmark an (.949) Click interactive 5 6 7 8 graph Ireland (.959)shows 15how Austria (.948) which some countries do better Sweden 16turning United Kingdom (.946) than(.956) others in income into education Switzerland (.955) opportunities 17 Belgium (.946)and therefore into and health Japan (.953) 18 Luxembourg (.944) higher levels of human development. 9 Netherlands (.953) 19 New Zealand (.943) 10 France (.952) 20 Italy (.941)