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Political Economy and Global Business Our political economy topics… 1. Political-economic systems of the developed world 2. Ways of classifying, analyzing political systems 3. Ways of classifying, analyzing economic systems 4. Legal systems 5. The corruption problem 6. Levels of economic development 7. The spread of freedom, democracy, and markets 8. Managing your relationship with government Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. We complain about government and politics… But the U.S. and other developed countries have important safeguards in their constitutions Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Safeguards of Successful Representative Democracy Individual’s right to freedom of expression, opinion and organization Free media Regular elections Adult suffrage Limited terms for elected representatives A fair court system that is independent from the political system A non-political state bureaucracy Non-political force and armed service Relatively free access to state information Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. The rich countries almost all belong to a group called the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) To join, a country must be guaranteeing these rights to its people Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Business benefits in mature democracy Constitutions limit what government can take and what other changes governments can make Legal systems enforce contracts between businesspeople between businesspeople and customers Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Political systems… provide the written “rules of the game” (institutions) in a nation that allow people to govern themselves and work together To do business, you have to know the rules Sometimes … the written rules aren’t followed there are no agreed rules to say whether what you want is OK Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. 2 key dimensions of difference Political systems as they are designed can be assessed according to two dimensions Degree to which they are democratic or totalitarian Degree to which they emphasize individualism as opposed to collectivism Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Democracy versus totalitarianism Democracy Totalitarianism Government is by the One person/party people, exercised either directly or through elected representatives (representative democracy) Elected representatives are held accountable through safeguards exercises absolute control over all spheres of human life (competing political parties are banned) Communist totalitarianism Theocratic totalitarianism Tribal totalitarianism Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Right wing totalitarianism Collectivism and Individualism Individualism Collectivism Central tenet is that Collective goals are individual economic and political freedoms are the ground rules on which society is based Is the direct opposite of collectivism more important than individual goals Individual rights are sacrificed for the good of the majority In the modern world collectivism is expressed through socialism Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. But government’s official principles don’t tell everything Perhaps we should have an additional classification of political systems More mature (e.g., the rich countries’ systems – usually) Less mature (many systems in poorer countries) Are some of the rich countries turning their systems into less mature ones? Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Classifying Economic Systems Market economy: what is produced & in what quantity is determined by supply/demand and signaled to producers through a price system Hong Kong is closest Command economy: planned by government rare today – North Korea, Cuba Mixed economy: a balance of both of the above most countries, but degree of mixture varies Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Individualism vs. Collectivism in Economic Systems There is a connection between political ideology and economic systems In countries where individual goals are given primacy free market economic systems are fostered Countries where collective goals are given primacy there is marked state control of markets Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. In any new country, consider whether rules are real Many poor countries have what used to be called a “soft state” Powerful people can break or change the rules when they want People don’t follow the rules (take bribes, etc.) Even in many rich countries (Japan), the rules may tilt in favor of local people Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Legal Systems Rules, laws, and processes that enforce them regulate behavior Processes through which grievances are addressed All countries have legal systems, but they may work very differently Property Rights A bundle of legal rights over the use to which a resource is put and over the use made of any income from that resource Can be violated through Private action (e.g., theft) Public (government) action Corruption Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Contract Law Contracts specify conditions under which an exchange is to occur Detail rights and obligations of parties Contract law is the body of law that enforces a contract Dispute resolution is often complex Where to sue, where to arbitrate - whose laws apply? Validity of contracts and decisions The United Nations has a Convention on Contracts for the International Sale of Goods (CIGS) Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Intellectual Property Rights Intellectual property refers to property that is the product of intellectual activity Intellectual property laws are believed very important stimulus to innovation and creative work Protection of intellectual property rights varies greatly from country to country There are international rules, and the U.S. is struggling to get them enforced Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Piracy of Intellectual Property Figure 2.2: Regional Piracy Rates for Software Eastern Europe Asia Pacific Latin America Middle East and Africa Western Europe North America 0 20 40 60 Percentage of Software that is Pirated Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. 80 Product Safety and Liability Product safety laws set safety standards for products and manufacturing processes Product liability laws hold the firm and its officers responsible for product safety standards Environmental standards limit pollution etc. Laws differ radically from country to country Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. The ‘corruption’ problem Many (most?) traditional codes of behavior require people to do things that in developed countries are called ‘corruption’ For example, in most traditional societies, a key obligation is taking care of your extended family But doing this often contradicts laws of both capitalist and socialist societies Transparency International produces good measures of corruption for nations Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Which Countries Are Most Corrupt? Rankings of Corruption by Country 2010 Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Differences in Economic Development Different countries have dramatically different levels of economic development Two common measurements of economic development Gross National Income (GNI) superseded Gross National Product or GNP the sum of all income received by residents of a nation Gross National Income at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), which accounts for differences in the cost of living To estimate how big a market a country is, look at GNI U.S. GNI for 2011 was $15.2 trillion. China’s GNI was $7.3 trillion. India’s was $1.9 trillion. Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. To gauge how rich the country is, look at GNI per capita Large GNI does not prove a country is rich China has the second highest GNI in the world, but many of its people are very poor GNI per capita is GNI per head: Total GNI divided by population This is called “nominal” GNI per capita because it is not adjusted for price differences U.S. “nominal” GNI per capita in 2011 was $48,328 China’s nominal GNI per capita was $5,417 India’s nominal GNI per capita was $1,514 Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Differences in Economic Development GNI per Capita, 2006 The single best measure of the wealth of the people of a country is GNI per capita at purchasing power parity (GNI PPP) Agencies calculating GNI at purchasing power parity take GNI and population calculated by governments Then they make an adjustment based on price indexes for different countries Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Differences in Economic Development GNI PPP per Capita, 2006 Differences in Economic Development Growth Rate in GDP per Capita, 1997 - 2006 Broader Conceptions of Development: Amartya Sen Sen says development should be measured less by material output measures, such as GNP per capita, and more by the capabilities and opportunities that people enjoy. His Human Development Index (HDI) measures quality of life in different nations Based on life expectancy, educational attainment, and GNI at PPP average incomes Broader Conceptions of Development: Amartya Sen Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. States in Transition The political economy of the world has changed radically since the late 1980’s Two trends A wave of democratic revolutions swept the world There has been a strong move away from centrally planned and mixed economies toward a free market model The Spread of Democracy The Spread of Democracy Three main reasons account for the spread of democracy Totalitarian regimes failed to deliver economic progress New information and communication technologies, including shortwave radio, satellite television, fax machines, desktop publishing, and most importantly, the Internet, have broken down the ability of the state to control access to information The economic advances of the past quarter century have led to the emergence of increasingly prosperous middle and working classes who have pushed for democratic reforms The Spread of Market-Based Systems Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. What does this mean for businesspeople? Political economy often tells you how attractive a country is for business When operating in a country, understand the political economic situation to know what you can do in the country how to address political problems You have to plan how you’ll address the differences between your home system and the ones you enter You will face major ethical issues Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Political risks Political risk is the danger that political forces will cause drastic changes or unexpected behaviors in a country that adversely affect profit or other business goals. Many kinds of change can alter a business’ position in a country. Portions (c) 2007-2013 McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. Homework assignment 1 The homework task Pick one company that operates internationally Many people will be able to do this easily If you need help, flip through issues of Fortune or Economist magazine, look at www.Fortune.com, or check out the Wall St. Journal or NY Times (or their web pages) List at least 3 countries where the firm operates It’s OK to guess Describe at least five political risks the firm faces in these countries Plan on writing at least one sentence about each risk to describe it It’s OK if the risks all come from 1 country But include a diverse group of risks You don’t have to write a lot to get a good grade But you do have to describe 5 risks clearly and accurately Students who get less than C- will be required to re-write