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Regional Policy Forum on Trade Facilitation in Times of Crisis 20-22 May 2009, Beijing, China Trade Facilitation: A Regional Perspective Trade has been a main engine of growth in Asia-Pacific 30 Comparison of trade growth and GDP growth 2000-2007 25 20 15 10 5 In di a M al di ve s Pa ki st an Az er b Ka aij a n za kh Ky sta n rg yz st an Ta ji k is t U zb an ek is ta n Ko C re hi a (R na ep .o f) Br un e C am i bo di In do a ne si a M al ay si Ph a i li pp in Th es ai la nd Vi e Ba tna ng m la de sh Bh ut an 0 Sources: WTO, 2008 annual percentage change of real GDP annual percentage chang of exports High Trade Dependence of ESCAP member countries Trade to GDP ratio in Asia compared to EU and US, 2005-2007 Central Asia East and Southeast Asia South Asia Developed economies Country Ratio Country Ratio Country Ratio Country Ratio Azerbaijan 105 China 71.3 Bangladesh 45 EU (27) 26.4 Kazakhstan 93.3 Mongolia 127.1 Bhutan 97.3 US 27.2 Kyrgyzstan 126 Korea (Rep. of) 85.7 India 44.7 Tajikistan 139 Brunei 96.9 Maldives 184.2 Uzbekistan 65.1 Cambodia 139.2 Nepal 46.9 Indonesia 60.4 Pakistan 41.6 Lao 73.5 Sri Lanka 70.7 Malaysia 209.6 Philippines 92.3 Singapore 443.7 Thailand 143.9 Vietnam 156 Sources: WTO, 2008 Asia-Pacific Region still the fastest growing 10 Growth (per cent) 8 6 4 2 0 -2 1995 1997 1999 2001 Developing Asia-Pacific 2003 EU-15 2005 2007 2009c/ US Sources: ESCAP, 2009, data for 2008 are estimates and for 2009 are forecasts But export performance in many developing ESCAP economies has faltered Year-on-Year Export Growth 60% 20% -20% -40% China India Indonesia Korea Singapore Thailand -60% Sources: compiled by ESCAP based on CEIC database Feb-09 Jan-09 Dec-08 Nov-08 Oct-08 Sep-08 Aug-08 Jul-08 Jun-08 May-08 Apr-08 Mar-08 Feb-08 Jan-08 Dec-07 Nov-07 Oct-07 Sep-07 Aug-07 Jul-07 Jun-07 May-07 Apr-07 Mar-07 Feb-07 0% Jan-07 YoY Percentage Change 40% How can trade facilitation help? • Trade facilitation: “Any measure, or set of measures, that aims to increase the cost-effectiveness of international trade transactions”. http://www.gfptt.org/Entities/TopicProfile.aspx Hidden trade costs can make up to 10% of value of goods traded Tackling inefficiencies in trade transaction procedures and regulations can be key to sustaining trade competitiveness, particularly during downturn How well are ESCAP members doing in trade facilitation? *Landlocked countries (Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bhutan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Lao PDR, Mongolia, Nepal, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan) are excluded from subregional averages. Source: Calculated based on data from Doing Business 2009, World Bank Time for Export Time for export (days: 07/08) Afghanistan Lao PDR Mongolia Nepal Bangladesh Timor-Leste Vietnam Pakistan Cambodia Indonesia Sri Lanka China Malaysia India Philippines Thailand Korea Singapore OECD Member Countries Developed ESCAP Economies 0 10 20 30 40 50 Source: Calculated based on data from Doing Business 2009, World Bank 60 70 80 Business Cost of Corruption Business cost of corruption (07/08): Scaling (1 - 7) OECD Member Countries Developed ESCAP Economies Singapore Indonesia Korea Malaysia Thailand India Sri Lanka China Pakistan Mongolia Philippines Vietnam Timor-Leste Nepal Cambodia Bangladesh 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Note: Score based on question on whether illegal payments influence impose costs or otherwise negatively affect their companies (1 = yes, they have a significant negative impact, 7 = no, they have no impact) Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2007-2008 Port Infrastructure Port Infrastructure (07/08): Scaling (1 - 7) OECD Member Countries Developed ESCAP Economies Singapore Malaysia Korea Thailand Sri Lanka China Pakistan India Cambodia Nepal Vietnam Philippines Indonesia Mongolia Bangladesh Timor-Leste 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Note: Score based on the questionnaire on Port facilities and inland waterways in a country are (1 = underdeveloped, 7 = as developed as world’s best). For landlocked countries, this measures the ease of access to port facilities and inland waterways Source: Global Competitiveness Report 2007-2008 7 Timeliness (likelihood of on-schedule delivery) Score of Timeliness Indicator; WB Logistic Performance Report 5.00 4.50 Developed ESCAP (4.16) 4.00 3.50 Developing ESCAP (2.93) 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 2.25-4.18 2.08-3.95 1.38-3.47 2.30-3.14 2.11-2.76 Southeast Asia*** South and Southwest Asia Pacific Island North and Central Asia 1.00 0.50 0.00 East and Northeast Asia** Notes: *Developed ESCAP consists of Australia, Japan and New Zealand. **East and Northeast Asia average does not include Hong Kong, China. ***Southeast Asia average does not include Singapore. Source: Calculated based on data from the World Bank Logistic Performance Index (2007) How well are ESCAP members doing in trade facilitation? There are many dimensions/ways to facilitate trade and not all countries have chosen the same approach Most countries have made progress and/or are engaged in trade facilitation reforms, but significant room for improvement remains Although there are many regional trade facilitation initiatives, a lot of potential remain on facilitating intra-regional trade (at land borders) How well are ESCAP members doing in trade facilitation? Trade facilitation performance varies greatly between and within Asian sub-regions, but also within countries Domestic (behind-the-border) regulations and procedures often seem to be most problematic for traders How well are ESCAP members doing in trade facilitation? Promoting trade facilitation: ESCAP approach Promote the use of global standards and innovative solutions collaboration with UN/CEFACT, WCO… Create a community of knowledge and best practices through a pool of experienced experts both in-house and from countries that have successfully implemented trade facilitation reforms UNNExT Conduct analytical work and develop implementation tools and methodologies for practitioners to ease the implementation of global standards Collaboration with WTO, ADB, and ARTNeT Conclusion and Recommendations Asia-Pacific region is a highly trade dependent region Trade facilitation performance varies widely across AsiaPacific countries and subregions Countries have made progress, but still room for improvement in many countries Reducing trade transaction costs is important to increase trade competitiveness to enable participation by more firms in international trade Conclusion and Recommendations International Trade is a tool for development, not an end in itself Governments should promote a more inclusive participation in trade One way to do so is to cater more to the need of SMEs when facilitating trade Trade facilitation needs and priorities differ across countries, and may also differ across industries and firms Pragmatic and holistic approach required Strong inter-agency and public-private sector cooperation required Thank you